FedExForum · at Memphis · Conference game
Closing line
MEM -9.5✓ UNT covered by 0.5
MEM -9.5✓ UNT covered by 0.5Closing total137.5Under by 32.5
 UNT | This season | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| 7-4 | Record | 5-7 |
| 6-5 | ATS | 9-3 |
| 3-8 | O/U | 5-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UNT 63–73 MEM · ✓ MEM (81%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNT | 18 | 30 | 48 |
| MEM | 28 | 29 | 57 |
1st half: UNT 18, MEM 28 (MEM by 10). The model had MEM by 5.8 and a total of 63.5 (actual 46).
Team stats
| UNT | MEM | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-55 36% | Field goals | 24-51 47% |
| 1-18 6% | 3-pointers | 5-18 28% |
| 5-8 63% | Free throws | 4-15 27% |
| 30 9 off | Rebounds | 38 13 off |
| 8 | Assists | 16 |
| 14 | Steals | 13 |
| 5 | Blocks | 5 |
| 18 | Turnovers | 20 |
| 18 | Fouls | 14 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 18 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| UNT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Je'Shawn Stevenson G | 36 | 20 | 6 | 0 | 8-18 | 0-7 |
| Cole Franklin G | 29 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 3-10 | 1-5 |
| Reece Robinson F | 27 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-3 |
| David Terrell Jr. G | 26 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 4-10 | 0-2 |
| Dylan Arnett F | 25 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Curtis Stinson Jr. G | 15 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Josiah Shackleford F | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Demarion Watson G | 12 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| EJ Horton G | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Cahmai Crosby G | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Buddy Hammer Jr. F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Will McClendon
| MEM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dug McDaniel G | 34 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 4-10 | 1-5 |
| Julius Thedford G | 18 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Ashton Hardaway F | 17 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Tariq Ingraham F | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| William Whorton F | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Hasan Abdul Hakim G | 25 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Zach Davis G | 23 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5-11 | 2-5 |
| Curtis Givens III G | 21 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2-6 | 1-3 |
| Aaron Bradshaw F | 20 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Sincere Parker G | 15 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 5-6 | 0-1 |
| Quante Berry G | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Simon Majok C | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Arop Arop, Mason Matthews, Thierno Sylla
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMEM -9.5
ModelMEM -9.8
Model edgeMEM +0.3
L UNT covered
Total
Market137.5
Model135.6
Model edgeUnder 1.9
W Under
Projected score
UNT 62.9 · MEM 72.7
UNT 48 · MEM 57
Win probability
MEM 81%
1st half
Spread
MEM -5.8
MEM -10.0
Total
63.5
46 points
Projected score
UNT 28.9 · MEM 34.7
UNT 18 · MEM 28
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMEM -11.5
2 → UNT
CloseMEM -9.5
2 pts toward UNT
Total
Open132.5
▲ 5
Close137.5
Up 5 since the open
Moneyline
UNT +400 · MEM -535
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MEM -11.5 · closed MEM -9.5 · moved 2 toward UNTmodel MEM -10
model MEM -10
Opened 132.5 · closed 137.5 · moved 5 upmodel 135.5
model 135.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNT | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% |
| MEM | 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
UNT 1–1 MEMSeries tied · 2 games since 2021-22 · UNT 2-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2024-25 | UNT 64 @ MEM 68 | MEM -7.5 | UNT W |
| Feb 15, 2023-24 | MEM 66 @ UNT 76 | UNT -1.5 | UNT W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
North Texas
11 games played
Straight up
7-4
64% wins
Against the spread
6-5
55% covers · avg −1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-8
27% overs · avg −4.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | vs NWST | W 80-53 | -11.5 | W +15.5 | 137.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 9 | vs LUC | W 64-62 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 138.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 12 | @ ORST | L 64-66 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 134.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 14 | @ SMC | L 49-80 | +14.5 | L −16.5 | 128.5 | O 129 |
| Nov 20 | vs CARK | W 74-56 | -16.5 | W +1.5 | 134.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 25 | vs EWU | W 79-71 | -12.5 | L −4.5 | 141.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 30 | vs PV | W 72-69 | -16.5 | L −13.5 | 141.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 2 | vs HCU | W 77-75 | -11.5 | L −9.5 | 127.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 7 | vs TCU | L 55-65 | +9.5 | L −0.5 | 135.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 14 | @ USA | W 58-57 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 135.5 | U 115 |
| Dec 17 | vs SCU | L 60-63 | +12.5 | W +9.5 | 139.5 | U 123 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
vsNWST
NWSTW 80-53
+15.5
9
vsLUC
LUCW 64-62
+3.5
12
@ORST
ORSTL 64-66
+1.5
14
@SMC
SMCL 49-80
−16.5
20
vsCARK
CARKW 74-56
+1.5
25
vsEWU
EWUW 79-71
−4.5
30
vsPV
PVW 72-69
−13.5
2
vsHCU
HCUW 77-75
−9.5
7
vsTCU
TCUL 55-65
−0.5
14
@USA
USAW 58-57
+2.5
17
vsSCU
SCUL 60-63
+9.5
covered 6didn’t cover 5avg −1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
vsNWST
NWSTW 80-53
−4.5
9
vsLUC
LUCW 64-62
−12.5
12
@ORST
ORSTL 64-66
−4.5
14
@SMC
SMCL 49-80
+0.5
20
vsCARK
CARKW 74-56
−4.5
25
vsEWU
EWUW 79-71
+8.5
30
vsPV
PVW 72-69
−0.5
2
vsHCU
HCUW 77-75
+24.5
7
vsTCU
TCUL 55-65
−15.5
14
@USA
USAW 58-57
−20.5
17
vsSCU
SCUL 60-63
−16.5
over 3under 8avg −4.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Memphis
12 games played
Straight up
5-7
42% wins
Against the spread
9-3
75% covers · avg 0 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-7
42% overs · avg −5.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | vs SF | W 76-70 | -2.5 | W +3.5 | 157.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 11 | @ MISS | L 77-83 | +9.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 16 | vs UNLV | L 78-92 | -9.5 | L −23.5 | 163.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 20 | vs PUR | L 71-80 | +14.5 | W +5.5 | 156.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 21 | vs WAKE | L 68-69 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 160.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 26 | vs SIU | W 74-58 | -10.5 | W +5.5 | 156.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 3 | vs NOLA | W 86-70 | -14.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 6 | vs BAY | W 78-71 | +3.5 | W +10.5 | 158.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 13 | @ LOU | L 73-99 | +16.5 | L −9.5 | 162.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 17 | vs VAN | L 70-77 | +9.5 | W +2.5 | 159.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 20 | @ MSST | L 66-71 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 22 | vs ALST | W 88-67 | -20.5 | W +0.5 | 151.5 | O 155 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
vsSF
SFW 76-70
+3.5
11
@MISS
MISSL 77-83
+3.5
16
vsUNLV
UNLVL 78-92
−23.5
20
vsPUR
PURL 71-80
+5.5
21
vsWAKE
WAKEL 68-69
+1.5
26
vsSIU
SIUW 74-58
+5.5
3
vsNOLA
NOLAW 86-70
+1.5
6
vsBAY
BAYW 78-71
+10.5
13
@LOU
LOUL 73-99
−9.5
17
vsVAN
VANL 70-77
+2.5
20
@MSST
MSSTL 66-71
−1.5
22
vsALST
ALSTW 88-67
+0.5
covered 9didn’t cover 3avg 0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
vsSF
SFW 76-70
−11.5
11
@MISS
MISSL 77-83
+7.5
16
vsUNLV
UNLVL 78-92
+6.5
20
vsPUR
PURL 71-80
−5.5
21
vsWAKE
WAKEL 68-69
−23.5
26
vsSIU
SIUW 74-58
−24.5
3
vsNOLA
NOLAW 86-70
+6.5
6
vsBAY
BAYW 78-71
−9.5
13
@LOU
LOUL 73-99
+9.5
17
vsVAN
VANL 70-77
−12.5
20
@MSST
MSSTL 66-71
−16.5
22
vsALST
ALSTW 88-67
+3.5
over 5under 7avg −5.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
North Texas
7-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Santa Clara60–63
- W@ South Alabama58–57
- Lvs TCU55–65
- Wvs Hou Christian77–75
- Wvs Prairie View72–69
A week or more of rest.
Memphis
5-7 overall · 0-0 in conference · American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Alabama St88–67
- L@ Mississippi St66–71
- Lvs Vanderbilt70–77
- L@ Louisville73–99
- Wvs Baylor78–71
A week or more of rest.