The Pit · at New Mexico
Closing line
UNM -19.5✓ ALST covered by 13.5
UNM -19.5✓ ALST covered by 13.5Closing total148.5Over by 31.5
 ALST | This season | UNM |
|---|---|---|
| 2-4 | Record | 4-2 |
| 3-3 | ATS | 2-4 |
| 2-4 | O/U | 4-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ALST 66–84 UNM · ✓ UNM (94%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ALST | 51 | 36 | 87 |
| UNM | 38 | 55 | 93 |
1st half: ALST 51, UNM 38 (ALST by 13). The model had UNM by 10.5 and a total of 70.0 (actual 89).
Team stats
| ALST | UNM | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-56 52% | Field goals | 27-54 50% |
| 13-26 50% | 3-pointers | 12-26 46% |
| 16-20 80% | Free throws | 27-38 71% |
| 30 10 off | Rebounds | 27 10 off |
| 13 | Assists | 17 |
| 8 | Steals | 6 |
| 3 | Blocks | 2 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 25 | Fouls | 16 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 14 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| ALST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Micah Simpson G | 36 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 7-14 | 4-8 |
| Cameron Palesse G | 35 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Asjon Anderson G | 35 | 30 | 4 | 4 | 9-20 | 6-12 |
| Jerquarius Stanback F | 30 | 13 | 9 | 0 | 5-7 | 0-1 |
| R'Chaun King F | 29 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tyler Byrd G | 17 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 4-6 | 2-3 |
| Tyler Mason F | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Damarien Yates F | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Mario Andrews C | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jordon Marshall, Kevin Alabi, Tyler Mack, Damarion Bonds, Damion Cox Jr., Trey Miller, JaSteven Walker
| UNM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Hall G | 31 | 24 | 0 | 1 | 7-12 | 7-12 |
| Tomislav Buljan F | 29 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Chris Howell G | 26 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Deyton Albury G | 24 | 18 | 3 | 5 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Antonio Chol F | 22 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 4-9 | 2-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Uriah Tenette G | 29 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 4-10 | 2-5 |
| Luke Haupt G | 16 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Kevin Patton Jr. G | 14 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| JT Rock C | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Milos Vicentic F | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Kallai Patton, Sir Marius Jones, Tajavis Miller, Timeo Pons
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUNM -19.5
ModelUNM -17.6
Model edgeALST +1.9
W ALST covered
Total
Market148.5
Model149.4
Model edgeOver 0.9
W Over
Projected score
ALST 65.9 · UNM 83.5
ALST 87 · UNM 93
Win probability
UNM 94%
1st half
Spread
UNM -10.5
ALST -13.0
Total
70.0
89 points
Projected score
ALST 29.8 · UNM 40.2
ALST 51 · UNM 38
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUNM -20.5
1 → ALST
CloseUNM -19.5
1 pt toward ALST
Total
Open146.5
▲ 2
Close148.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
ALST +1300 · UNM -2800
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UNM -20.5 · closed UNM -19.5 · moved 1 toward ALSTmodel UNM -17.5
model UNM -17.5
Opened 146.5 · closed 148.5 · moved 2 upmodel 149.5
model 149.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ALSTlast 6 | 2-4 33% | 3-3 50% | 2-4 33% |
| UNMlast 6 | 4-2 67% | 2-4 33% | 4-2 67% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Alabama St
6 games played
Straight up
2-4
33% wins
Against the spread
3-3
50% covers · avg +2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-4
33% overs · avg −2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@
FSU
FSUL 64-101
−12.5
11
@
UAB
UABW 77-74
+22.5
17
@
COLO
COLOL 66-94
−5.5
19
@
AF
AFL 64-66
+0.5
21
vs
IUIN
IUINW 101-80
+23.5
23
vs
SIUE
SIUEL 68-83
−13.5
covered 3didn’t cover 3avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@FSU
FSUL 64-101
−1.5
11
@UAB
UABW 77-74
−13.5
17
@COLO
COLOL 66-94
+3.5
19
@AF
AFL 64-66
−8.5
21
vsIUIN
IUINW 101-80
−0.5
23
vsSIUE
SIUEL 68-83
+8.5
over 2under 4avg −2 ptslonger = bigger margin
New Mexico
6 games played
Straight up
4-2
67% wins
Against the spread
2-4
33% covers · avg −1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-2
67% overs · avg −0.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vs
ETAM
ETAMW 76-54
−0.5
8
vs
UTA
UTAW 74-56
+4.5
11
vs
UCR
UCRW 82-68
−5.5
15
@
NMSU
NMSUL 68-76
−11.5
20
vs
NEB
NEBL 72-84
−3.5
21
vs
MSST
MSSTW 80-78
+8.5
covered 2didn’t cover 4avg −1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsETAM
ETAMW 76-54
−13.5
8
vsUTA
UTAW 74-56
−15.5
11
vsUCR
UCRW 82-68
+8.5
15
@NMSU
NMSUL 68-76
+4.5
20
vsNEB
NEBL 72-84
+4.5
21
vsMSST
MSSTW 80-78
+6.5
over 4under 2avg −0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Alabama St
2-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs SIUE68–83
- Wvs IU Indy101–80
- L@ Air Force64–66
- L@ Colorado66–94
- W@ UAB77–74
3 days since their last game.
New Mexico
4-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Mississippi St80–78
- Lvs Nebraska72–84
- L@ New Mexico St68–76
- Wvs UC Riverside82–68
- Wvs UT Arlington74–56
5 days since their last game.