Thomas Assembly Center · at Louisiana Tech
Closing line
LT -16.5✓ LT covered by 8.5
LT -16.5✓ LT covered by 8.5Closing total137.5Over by 3.5
 ALCN | This season | LT |
|---|---|---|
| 1-7 | Record | 2-2 |
| 5-3 | ATS | 1-3 |
| 5-3 | O/U | 1-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ALCN 63–76 LT · ✓ LT (87%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ALCN | 30 | 28 | 58 |
| LT | 37 | 46 | 83 |
1st half: ALCN 30, LT 37 (LT by 7). The model had LT by 7.6 and a total of 64.9 (actual 67).
Team stats
| ALCN | LT | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-57 39% | Field goals | 35-66 53% |
| 4-14 29% | 3-pointers | 8-21 38% |
| 10-21 48% | Free throws | 5-9 56% |
| 33 16 off | Rebounds | 42 16 off |
| 5 | Assists | 16 |
| 5 | Steals | 6 |
| 7 | Blocks | 8 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 11 | Fouls | 15 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 48 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 3 |
Players
| ALCN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jameel Morris G | 30 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 3-9 | 0-2 |
| Omari Hamilton F | 21 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3-7 | 0-2 |
| Tycen McDaniels F | 20 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 4-8 | 0-1 |
| Nick Woodard SF | 17 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-2 |
| Shane Lancaster G | 16 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2-5 | 2-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Davian Williams PG | 26 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 4-9 | 1-2 |
| Travis Roberts SG | 22 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| William Henderson F | 20 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Mike Jones SG | 18 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-1 |
| Bryson Calamese PG | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Alex Hawkins, Jeremy Ellis, Ray Glasgow
| LT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Bates G | 31 | 26 | 3 | 6 | 10-14 | 4-6 |
| Jaylen Fenner G | 17 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Avery Thomas II F | 15 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1-9 | 0-5 |
| Will Allen F | 13 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Melian Martinez C | 12 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| DJ Dudley G | 28 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 4-12 | 2-4 |
| Kaden Cooper F | 27 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 4-6 | 1-1 |
| Scooter Williams G | 23 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4-7 | 0-2 |
| Sir Issac Herron F | 21 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 6-7 | 0-0 |
| Will Jeffress F | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Kylan Howze F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Keegan Rowell G | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Jermaurhiyun Anderson, Lachlan Thompson, A'Meir Williams
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketLT -16.5
ModelLT -12.8
Model edgeALCN +3.7
L LT covered
Total
Market137.5
Model138.5
Model edgeOver 1.0
W Over
Projected score
ALCN 62.8 · LT 75.7
ALCN 58 · LT 83
Win probability
LT 87%
1st half
Spread
LT -7.6
LT -7.0
Total
64.9
67 points
Projected score
ALCN 28.6 · LT 36.2
ALCN 30 · LT 37
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenLT -12.5
4 → LT
CloseLT -16.5
4 pts toward LT
Total
Open136.5
▲ 1
Close137.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
ALCN +950 · LT -1650
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened LT -12.5 · closed LT -16.5 · moved 4 toward LTmodel LT -13
model LT -13
Opened 136.5 · closed 137.5 · moved 1 upmodel 138.5
model 138.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ALCNlast 8 | 1-7 13% | 5-3 63% | 5-3 63% |
| LTlast 4 | 2-2 50% | 1-3 25% | 1-3 25% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Alcorn St
8 games played
Straight up
1-7
13% wins
Against the spread
5-3
63% covers · avg +5.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-3
63% overs · avg +0.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ FSU | L 76-108 | +27.5 | L −4.5 | 156.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 6 | @ USA | L 70-76 | +18.5 | W +12.5 | 141.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 8 | @ MINN | L 50-95 | +31.5 | L −13.5 | 152.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 11 | @ MD | L 64-84 | +29.5 | W +9.5 | 146.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 13 | @ HOW | L 64-72 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 154.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 18 | @ LSU | L 81-107 | +32.5 | W +6.5 | 155.5 | O 188 |
| Nov 23 | @ OU | L 53-72 | +31.5 | W +12.5 | 160.5 | U 125 |
| Nov 28 | vs INST | W 81-74 | +12.5 | W +19.5 | 152.5 | O 155 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@FSU
FSUL 76-108
−4.5
6
@USA
USAL 70-76
+12.5
8
@MINN
MINNL 50-95
−13.5
11
@MD
MDL 64-84
+9.5
13
@HOW
HOWL 64-72
−1.5
18
@LSU
LSUL 81-107
+6.5
23
@OU
OUL 53-72
+12.5
28
vsINST
INSTW 81-74
+19.5
covered 5didn’t cover 3avg +5.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@FSU
FSUL 76-108
+27.5
6
@USA
USAL 70-76
+4.5
8
@MINN
MINNL 50-95
−7.5
11
@MD
MDL 64-84
+1.5
13
@HOW
HOWL 64-72
−18.5
18
@LSU
LSUL 81-107
+32.5
23
@OU
OUL 53-72
−35.5
28
vsINST
INSTW 81-74
+2.5
over 5under 3avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Louisiana Tech
4 games played
Straight up
2-2
50% wins
Against the spread
1-3
25% covers · avg −3.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-3
25% overs · avg −16.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@
NEV
NEVL 50-77
−17.5
15
vs
JKST
JKSTW 68-51
+8.5
19
@INST
INSTL 51-60
−5.5
26
vsINST
INSTW 75-73
−0.5
covered 1didn’t cover 3avg −3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@NEV
NEVL 50-77
−9.5
15
vsJKST
JKSTW 68-51
−27.5
19
@INST
INSTL 51-60
−36.5
26
vsINST
INSTW 75-73
+6.5
over 1under 3avg −16.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Alcorn St
1-7 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Indiana St81–74
- L@ Oklahoma53–72
- L@ LSU81–107
- L@ Howard64–72
- L@ Maryland64–84
1 day since their last game.
Louisiana Tech
2-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Indiana St75–73
- L@ Indiana St51–60
- Wvs Jackson St68–51
- L@ Nevada50–77
3 days since their last game.