Bartow Arena · at UAB
Closing line
UAB -6.5✓ TROY covered by 7.5
UAB -6.5✓ TROY covered by 7.5Closing total155.5Over by 15.5
 TROY | This season | UAB |
|---|---|---|
| 4-5 | Record | 6-3 |
| 4-5 | ATS | 6-3 |
| 5-4 | O/U | 3-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TROY 78–86 UAB · ✗ UAB (74%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TROY | 35 | 51 | 86 |
| UAB | 39 | 46 | 85 |
1st half: TROY 35, UAB 39 (UAB by 4). The model had UAB by 4.3 and a total of 76.8 (actual 74).
Team stats
| TROY | UAB | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-61 49% | Field goals | 34-61 56% |
| 14-28 50% | 3-pointers | 8-21 38% |
| 12-16 75% | Free throws | 9-13 69% |
| 29 9 off | Rebounds | 33 9 off |
| 18 | Assists | 19 |
| 6 | Steals | 5 |
| 3 | Blocks | 2 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 11 | Fouls | 13 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 46 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 16 |
Players
| TROY | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Theo Seng F | 36 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 5-5 | 1-1 |
| Cooper Campbell G | 35 | 14 | 2 | 9 | 5-11 | 4-8 |
| Thomas Dowd F | 31 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 4-8 | 2-3 |
| Cobi Campbell G | 29 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 4-10 | 4-8 |
| Victor Valdes F | 29 | 26 | 3 | 5 | 7-15 | 2-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Austin Cross G | 15 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-1 |
| Kerrington Kiel F | 13 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Jerrell Bellamy C | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Javen Colbert G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Corbin Green F | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Evan Griffin, Kameryn Mitchell, Emmanuel Clarton, Javier Gilgeous-Glasgow, Hikaru Awata
| UAB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ahmad Robinson G | 37 | 25 | 3 | 8 | 9-15 | 3-8 |
| Salim London G | 36 | 19 | 3 | 3 | 8-12 | 3-5 |
| Daniel Rivera F | 34 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| Evan Chatman F | 31 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 3-6 | 1-3 |
| Jacob Meyer G | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Chance Westry G | 20 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 3-9 | 0-2 |
| KyeRon Lindsay-Martin F | 15 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Quaran McPherson G | 9 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-1 |
| Dayjaun Anderson G | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Ari Gooch G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Joey Kahn, Joao Das Chagas, Lance Carr, Jorden Pittman, Justin Holloway
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUAB -6.5
ModelUAB -7.4
Model edgeUAB +0.9
L TROY covered
Total
Market155.5
Model164.1
Model edgeOver 8.6
W Over
Projected score
TROY 78.3 · UAB 85.8
TROY 86 · UAB 85
Win probability
UAB 74%
1st half
Spread
UAB -4.3
UAB -4.0
Total
76.8
74 points
Projected score
TROY 36.2 · UAB 40.5
TROY 35 · UAB 39
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUAB -6.5
no move
CloseUAB -6.5
No change since the open
Total
Open149.5
▲ 6
Close155.5
Up 6 since the open
Moneyline
TROY +215 · UAB -265
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UAB -6.5 · unchangedmodel UAB -7.5
model UAB -7.5
Opened 149.5 · closed 155.5 · moved 6 upmodel 164
model 164
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TROYlast 9 | 4-5 44% | 4-5 44% | 5-4 56% |
| UABlast 9 | 6-3 67% | 6-3 67% | 3-6 33% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Troy
9 games played
Straight up
4-5
44% wins
Against the spread
4-5
44% covers · avg −1.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-4
56% overs · avg +20.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ KENT | W 103-97 | +3.5 | W +9.5 | 142.5 | O 200 |
| Nov 7 | @ FUR | W 64-61 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 152.5 | U 125 |
| Nov 14 | @ LMU | L 63-74 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 16 | @ CSUN | L 85-94 | -4.5 | L −13.5 | 157.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 18 | @ SDSU | W 108-107 | +14.5 | W +15.5 | 137.5 | O 215 |
| Nov 20 | @ USC | L 106-107 | +18.5 | W +17.5 | 159.5 | O 213 |
| Nov 24 | vs TOL | L 68-75 | -2.5 | L −9.5 | 159.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 26 | vs SFPA | W 74-64 | -21.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 1 | vs WGA | L 89-93 | -17.5 | L −21.5 | 150.5 | O 182 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@KENT
KENTW 103-97
+9.5
7
@FUR
FURW 64-61
+5.5
14
@LMU
LMUL 63-74
−6.5
16
@CSUN
CSUNL 85-94
−13.5
18
@SDSU
SDSUW 108-107
+15.5
20
@USC
USCL 106-107
+17.5
24
vsTOL
TOLL 68-75
−9.5
26
vsSFPA
SFPAW 74-64
−11.5
1
vsWGA
WGAL 89-93
−21.5
covered 4didn’t cover 5avg −1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@KENT
KENTW 103-97
+57.5
7
@FUR
FURW 64-61
−27.5
14
@LMU
LMUL 63-74
−3.5
16
@CSUN
CSUNL 85-94
+21.5
18
@SDSU
SDSUW 108-107
+77.5
20
@USC
USCL 106-107
+53.5
24
vsTOL
TOLL 68-75
−16.5
26
vsSFPA
SFPAW 74-64
−13.5
1
vsWGA
WGAL 89-93
+31.5
over 5under 4avg +20.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
UAB
9 games played
Straight up
6-3
67% wins
Against the spread
6-3
67% covers · avg +1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-6
33% overs · avg −4.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs MVSU | W 106-55 | -34.5 | W +16.5 | 145.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 7 | @ NCSU | L 70-94 | +19.5 | L −4.5 | 162.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 11 | vs ALST | L 74-77 | -19.5 | L −22.5 | 164.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 14 | vs HPU | W 91-74 | +1.5 | W +18.5 | 168.5 | U 165 |
| Nov 21 | vs USA | W 80-72 | -7.5 | W +0.5 | 149.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 24 | vs SIU | W 81-73 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 161.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 25 | vs UTEP | W 75-59 | -8.5 | W +7.5 | 146.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 1 | @ MTSU | L 61-76 | -1.5 | L −16.5 | 153.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 5 | @ DRKE | W 74-69 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | U 143 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMVSU
MVSUW 106-55
+16.5
7
@NCSU
NCSUL 70-94
−4.5
11
vsALST
ALSTL 74-77
−22.5
14
vsHPU
HPUW 91-74
+18.5
21
vsUSA
USAW 80-72
+0.5
24
vsSIU
SIUW 81-73
+5.5
25
vsUTEP
UTEPW 75-59
+7.5
1
@MTSU
MTSUL 61-76
−16.5
5
@DRKE
DRKEW 74-69
+6.5
covered 6didn’t cover 3avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMVSU
MVSUW 106-55
+15.5
7
@NCSU
NCSUL 70-94
+1.5
11
vsALST
ALSTL 74-77
−13.5
14
vsHPU
HPUW 91-74
−3.5
21
vsUSA
USAW 80-72
+2.5
24
vsSIU
SIUW 81-73
−7.5
25
vsUTEP
UTEPW 75-59
−12.5
1
@MTSU
MTSUL 61-76
−16.5
5
@DRKE
DRKEW 74-69
−5.5
over 3under 6avg −4.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Troy
4-5 overall · 0-0 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs West Georgia89–93
- Wvs Saint Francis Red Wolves74–64
- Lvs Toledo68–75
- L@ USC106–107
- W@ San Diego St108–107
A week or more of rest.
UAB
6-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Drake74–69
- L@ MTSU61–76
- Wvs UTEP75–59
- Wvs S Illinois81–73
- Wvs South Alabama80–72
A week or more of rest.