Pauley Pavilion · at UCLA · Conference game
Closing line
UCLA -3.5✓ IU covered by 4.5
UCLA -3.5✓ IU covered by 4.5Closing total144.5Over by 50.5
 IU | This season | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| 14-7 | Record | 15-6 |
| 11-10 | ATS | 9-12 |
| 9-12 | O/U | 9-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: IU 72–74 UCLA · ✗ UCLA (56%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | 2OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IU | 30 | 46 | 8 | 14 | 98 |
| UCLA | 36 | 40 | 8 | 13 | 97 |
1st half: IU 30, UCLA 36 (UCLA by 6). The model had UCLA by 0.9 and a total of 68.3 (actual 66).
Team stats
| IU | UCLA | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-66 42% | Field goals | 30-76 39% |
| 11-34 32% | 3-pointers | 7-22 32% |
| 31-38 82% | Free throws | 30-34 88% |
| 40 8 off | Rebounds | 46 12 off |
| 22 | Assists | 19 |
| 3 | Steals | 6 |
| 4 | Blocks | 4 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 27 | Fouls | 27 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 14 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| IU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Dorn G | 48 | 26 | 7 | 0 | 8-18 | 6-15 |
| Tucker DeVries F | 46 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 2-8 | 1-4 |
| Lamar Wilkerson G | 43 | 24 | 8 | 3 | 8-22 | 3-11 |
| Conor Enright G | 39 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Sam Alexis F | 22 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Reed Bailey F | 28 | 24 | 6 | 5 | 6-7 | 0-0 |
| Trent Sisley F | 15 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Jasai Miles G | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Drew Snively, Tryce Grensing, Andrej Acimovic, Aleksa Ristic, Josh Harris, Tayton Conerway, Ian Stephens, Jordan Rayford, Deuce Drake
| UCLA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Dent G | 50 | 24 | 6 | 11 | 8-23 | 0-3 |
| Trent Perry G | 43 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 6-16 | 3-6 |
| Eric Dailey Jr. F | 41 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 6-11 | 0-1 |
| Tyler Bilodeau F | 40 | 18 | 11 | 1 | 5-12 | 1-3 |
| Xavier Booker C | 32 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 3-7 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jamar Brown G | 28 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 1-6 | 1-4 |
| Brandon Williams F | 15 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Steven Jamerson II F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Anthony Peoples Jr., Markell Alston, Christian Horry, Eric Freeny, Skyy Clark, Jack Seidler, Evan Manjikian
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUCLA -3.5
ModelUCLA -1.7
Model edgeIU +1.8
W IU covered
Total
Market144.5
Model145.8
Model edgeOver 1.3
W Over
Projected score
IU 72.1 · UCLA 73.8
IU 98 · UCLA 97
Win probability
UCLA 56%
1st half
Spread
UCLA -0.9
UCLA -6.0
Total
68.3
66 points
Projected score
IU 33.7 · UCLA 34.6
IU 30 · UCLA 36
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUCLA -1.5
2 → UCLA
CloseUCLA -3.5
2 pts toward UCLA
Total
Open143.5
▲ 1
Close144.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
IU +145 · UCLA -175
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UCLA -1.5 · closed UCLA -3.5 · moved 2 toward UCLAmodel UCLA -1.5
model UCLA -1.5
Opened 143.5 · closed 144.5 · moved 1 upmodel 146
model 146
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| IU | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% |
| UCLA | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
IU 0–1 UCLAUCLA leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · IU 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2024-25 | UCLA 72 @ IU 68 | IU +1.5 | UCLA W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Indiana
21 games played
Straight up
14-7
67% wins
Against the spread
11-10
52% covers · avg −0 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-12
43% overs · avg −3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs AAMU | W 98-51 | -30.5 | W +16.5 | 147.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 9 | vs MARQ | W 100-77 | -3.5 | W +19.5 | 156.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 12 | vs MILW | W 101-70 | -24.5 | W +6.5 | 165.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 16 | vs UIW | W 69-61 | -28.5 | L −20.5 | 157.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 20 | vs LIN | W 73-53 | -32.5 | L −12.5 | 155.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 25 | vs KSU | W 86-69 | -10.5 | W +6.5 | 164.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 29 | vs BCU | W 100-56 | -29.5 | W +14.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 3 | @ MINN | L 64-73 | -7.5 | L −16.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 6 | vs LOU | L 78-87 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 162.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 9 | vs PSU | W 113-72 | -14.5 | W +26.5 | 152.5 | O 185 |
| Dec 13 | @ UK | L 60-72 | +3.5 | L −8.5 | 156.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 20 | vs CHST | W 78-58 | -38.5 | L −18.5 | 152.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 22 | vs SIE | W 81-60 | -21.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 4 | vs WASH | W 90-80 | -9.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 7 | @ MD | W 84-66 | -7.5 | W +10.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 10 | vs NEB | L 77-83 | -4.5 | L −10.5 | 150.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 13 | @ MSU | L 60-81 | +6.5 | L −14.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 17 | vs IOWA | L 57-74 | -3.5 | L −20.5 | 146.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 20 | @ MICH | L 72-86 | +15.5 | W +1.5 | 163.5 | U 158 |
| Jan 23 | @ RUTG | W 82-59 | -7.5 | W +15.5 | 147.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 27 | vs PUR | W 72-67 | +4.5 | W +9.5 | 150.5 | U 139 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsAAMU
AAMUW 98-51
+16.5
9
vsMARQ
MARQW 100-77
+19.5
12
vsMILW
MILWW 101-70
+6.5
16
vsUIW
UIWW 69-61
−20.5
20
vsLIN
LINW 73-53
−12.5
25
vsKSU
KSUW 86-69
+6.5
29
vsBCU
BCUW 100-56
+14.5
3
@MINN
MINNL 64-73
−16.5
6
vsLOU
LOUL 78-87
−5.5
9
vsPSU
PSUW 113-72
+26.5
13
@UK
UKL 60-72
−8.5
20
vsCHST
CHSTW 78-58
−18.5
22
vsSIE
SIEW 81-60
−0.5
4
vsWASH
WASHW 90-80
+0.5
7
@MD
MDW 84-66
+10.5
10
vsNEB
NEBL 77-83
−10.5
13
@MSU
MSUL 60-81
−14.5
17
vsIOWA
IOWAL 57-74
−20.5
20
@MICH
MICHL 72-86
+1.5
23
@RUTG
RUTGW 82-59
+15.5
27
vsPUR
PURW 72-67
+9.5
covered 11didn’t cover 10avg −0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsAAMU
AAMUW 98-51
+1.5
9
vsMARQ
MARQW 100-77
+20.5
12
vsMILW
MILWW 101-70
+5.5
16
vsUIW
UIWW 69-61
−27.5
20
vsLIN
LINW 73-53
−29.5
25
vsKSU
KSUW 86-69
−9.5
29
vsBCU
BCUW 100-56
+7.5
3
@MINN
MINNL 64-73
−7.5
6
vsLOU
LOUL 78-87
+2.5
9
vsPSU
PSUW 113-72
+32.5
13
@UK
UKL 60-72
−24.5
20
vsCHST
CHSTW 78-58
−16.5
22
vsSIE
SIEW 81-60
−4.5
4
vsWASH
WASHW 90-80
+17.5
7
@MD
MDW 84-66
+2.5
10
vsNEB
NEBL 77-83
+9.5
13
@MSU
MSUL 60-81
−4.5
17
vsIOWA
IOWAL 57-74
−15.5
20
@MICH
MICHL 72-86
−5.5
23
@RUTG
RUTGW 82-59
−6.5
27
vsPUR
PURW 72-67
−11.5
over 9under 12avg −3 ptslonger = bigger margin
UCLA
21 games played
Straight up
15-6
71% wins
Against the spread
9-12
43% covers · avg −1.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-12
43% overs · avg −0.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs EWU | W 80-74 | -29.5 | L −23.5 | 149.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 7 | vs PEPP | W 74-63 | -29.5 | L −18.5 | 152.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 10 | vs WGA | W 83-62 | -30.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 14 | vs ARIZ | L 65-69 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 18 | vs SAC | W 79-48 | -27.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 21 | vs PRES | W 86-46 | -25.5 | W +14.5 | 131.5 | O 132 |
| Nov 25 | vs CAL | L 72-80 | -7.5 | L −15.5 | 143.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 3 | @WASH | W 82-80 | -2.5 | L −0.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 6 | vs ORE | W 74-63 | -8.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 13 | vs GONZ | L 72-82 | +10.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 17 | vs ASU | W 90-77 | -9.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 19 | vs CP | W 108-87 | -24.5 | L −3.5 | 161.5 | O 195 |
| Dec 23 | vs UCR | W 97-65 | -24.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 3 | @IOWA | L 61-74 | +6.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 6 | @ WIS | L 72-80 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 10 | vsMD | W 67-55 | -13.5 | L −1.5 | 147.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 14 | @PSU | W 71-60 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 17 | @ OSU | L 74-86 | +4.5 | L −7.5 | 146.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 20 | vsPUR | W 69-67 | +5.5 | W +7.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 24 | vs NU | W 71-64 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 143.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 28 | @ORE | W 73-57 | -4.5 | W +11.5 | 136.5 | U 130 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsEWU
EWUW 80-74
−23.5
7
vsPEPP
PEPPW 74-63
−18.5
10
vsWGA
WGAW 83-62
−9.5
14
vsARIZ
ARIZL 65-69
−2.5
18
vsSAC
SACW 79-48
+3.5
21
vsPRES
PRESW 86-46
+14.5
25
vsCAL
CALL 72-80
−15.5
3
@WASH
WASHW 82-80
−0.5
6
vsORE
OREW 74-63
+2.5
13
vsGONZ
GONZL 72-82
+0.5
17
vsASU
ASUW 90-77
+3.5
19
vsCP
CPW 108-87
−3.5
23
vsUCR
UCRW 97-65
+7.5
3
@IOWA
IOWAL 61-74
−6.5
6
@WIS
WISL 72-80
−4.5
10
vsMD
MDW 67-55
−1.5
14
@PSU
PSUW 71-60
+6.5
17
@OSU
OSUL 74-86
−7.5
20
vsPUR
PURW 69-67
+7.5
24
vsNU
NUW 71-64
−0.5
28
@ORE
OREW 73-57
+11.5
covered 9didn’t cover 12avg −1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsEWU
EWUW 80-74
+4.5
7
vsPEPP
PEPPW 74-63
−15.5
10
vsWGA
WGAW 83-62
−1.5
14
vsARIZ
ARIZL 65-69
−19.5
18
vsSAC
SACW 79-48
−19.5
21
vsPRES
PRESW 86-46
+0.5
25
vsCAL
CALL 72-80
+8.5
3
@WASH
WASHW 82-80
+20.5
6
vsORE
OREW 74-63
−9.5
13
vsGONZ
GONZL 72-82
+6.5
17
vsASU
ASUW 90-77
+24.5
19
vsCP
CPW 108-87
+33.5
23
vsUCR
UCRW 97-65
+13.5
3
@IOWA
IOWAL 61-74
−5.5
6
@WIS
WISL 72-80
−0.5
10
vsMD
MDW 67-55
−25.5
14
@PSU
PSUW 71-60
−17.5
17
@OSU
OSUL 74-86
+13.5
20
vsPUR
PURW 69-67
−11.5
24
vsNU
NUW 71-64
−8.5
28
@ORE
OREW 73-57
−6.5
over 9under 12avg −0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Indiana
14-7 overall · 5-5 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Purdue72–67
- W@ Rutgers82–59
- L@ Michigan72–86
- Lvs Iowa57–74
- L@ Michigan St60–81
4 days since their last game.
UCLA
15-6 overall · 7-3 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Oregon73–57
- Wvs Northwestern71–64
- Wvs Purdue69–67
- L@ Ohio State74–86
- W@ Penn State71–60
3 days since their last game.