Galen Center · at USC · Conference game
Closing line
USC -4.5✓ WASH covered by 12.5
USC -4.5✓ WASH covered by 12.5Closing total154.5Over by 5.5
 WASH | This season | USC |
|---|---|---|
| 5-3 | Record | 8-0 |
| 4-4 | ATS | 5-3 |
| 4-4 | O/U | 5-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: WASH 80–85 USC · ✗ USC (68%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WASH | 30 | 54 | 84 |
| USC | 48 | 28 | 76 |
1st half: WASH 30, USC 48 (USC by 18). The model had USC by 3.0 and a total of 77.0 (actual 78).
Team stats
| WASH | USC | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-64 45% | Field goals | 22-60 37% |
| 6-21 29% | 3-pointers | 8-23 35% |
| 20-25 80% | Free throws | 24-28 86% |
| 45 14 off | Rebounds | 31 9 off |
| 14 | Assists | 13 |
| 5 | Steals | 3 |
| 5 | Blocks | 5 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 19 | Fouls | 18 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| WASH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannes Steinbach F | 39 | 24 | 16 | 3 | 7-12 | 2-3 |
| Wesley Yates III G | 37 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 6-16 | 2-8 |
| Desmond Claude G | 34 | 22 | 2 | 4 | 8-16 | 1-4 |
| Franck Kepnang C | 28 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Zoom Diallo G | 18 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 4-7 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Quimari Peterson G | 28 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 1-5 | 0-3 |
| Lathan Sommerville C | 9 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| JJ Mandaquit G | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Courtland Muldrew G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: BJ Roy, Christian Nitu, Jasir Rencher, Mady Traore, Jacob Ognacevic, Bryson Tucker
| USC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerry Easter II G | 40 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 4-11 | 1-2 |
| Chad Baker-Mazara G | 34 | 21 | 6 | 2 | 5-14 | 3-9 |
| Jacob Cofie F | 31 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-1 |
| Ezra Ausar F | 27 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 3-9 | 0-0 |
| Terrance Williams II F | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jordan Marsh G | 25 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 4-10 | 2-5 |
| Jaden Brownell F | 18 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 2-5 | 2-5 |
| Gabe Dynes C | 13 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Ryan Cornish G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Patrick O'Brien, Brit Burden, Amarion Dickerson, Jonah Goorin, EJ Neal Jr., Alijah Arenas, Rodney Rice
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUSC -5.5
1 → WASH
CloseUSC -4.5
1 pt toward WASH
Total
Open154.5
no move
Close154.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
WASH +180 · USC -218
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened USC -5.5 · closed USC -4.5 · moved 1 toward WASHmodel USC -5.5
model USC -5.5
Opened 154.5 · unchangedmodel 164.5
model 164.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | USC -4.5 | USC -5.3 | USC +0.8 | L WASH covered |
| Total | 154.5 | 164.6 | Over 10.1 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | WASH 79.6 · USC 84.9 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | USC -3.0 | USC -18.0 |
| 1H total | 77.0 | 78 |
| 1H projected score | WASH 37 · USC 40 | WASH 30 · USC 48 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WASHlast 8 | 5-3 63% | 4-4 50% | 4-4 50% |
| USClast 8 | 8-0 100% | 5-3 63% | 5-3 63% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
WASH 0–8 USCUSC leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · USC has won the last 8 meetings · WASH 3-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2024-25 | WASH 61 @ USC 92 | USC -6.5 | USC W |
| Dec 7, 2024-25 | USC 85 @ WASH 61 | WASH -4.5 | USC W |
| Mar 13, 2023-24 | USC 80 vs WASH 74 | WASH +3.5 | USC W |
| Mar 2, 2023-24 | USC 82 @ WASH 75 | WASH -4.5 | USC W |
| Feb 4, 2022-23 | WASH 74 @ USC 80 | USC -10.5 | WASH W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Washington
8 games played
Straight up
5-3
63% wins
Against the spread
4-4
50% covers · avg −2.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-4
50% overs · avg +2.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs UAPB | W 94-50 | -34.5 | W +9.5 | 160.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 6 | vs DEN | W 84-70 | -27.5 | L −13.5 | 153.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 9 | @ BAY | L 69-78 | +6.5 | L −2.5 | 156.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 14 | @ WSU | W 81-69 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 158.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 18 | vs SOU | W 99-93 | -23.5 | L −17.5 | 157.5 | O 192 |
| Nov 27 | vs NEV | W 83-66 | -3.5 | W +13.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 28 | vs COLO | L 68-81 | -2.5 | L −15.5 | 151.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 3 | vs UCLA | L 80-82 | +2.5 | W +0.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUAPB
UAPBW 94-50
+9.5
6
vsDEN
DENW 84-70
−13.5
9
@BAY
BAYL 69-78
−2.5
14
@WSU
WSUW 81-69
+3.5
18
vsSOU
SOUW 99-93
−17.5
27
vsNEV
NEVW 83-66
+13.5
28
vsCOLO
COLOL 68-81
−15.5
3
vsUCLA
UCLAL 80-82
+0.5
covered 4didn’t cover 4avg −2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUAPB
UAPBW 94-50
−16.5
6
vsDEN
DENW 84-70
+0.5
9
@BAY
BAYL 69-78
−9.5
14
@WSU
WSUW 81-69
−8.5
18
vsSOU
SOUW 99-93
+34.5
27
vsNEV
NEVW 83-66
+3.5
28
vsCOLO
COLOL 68-81
−2.5
3
vsUCLA
UCLAL 80-82
+20.5
over 4under 4avg +2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
USC
8 games played
Straight up
8-0
100% wins
Against the spread
5-3
63% covers · avg +0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-3
63% overs · avg +11.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CP | W 94-64 | -24.5 | W +5.5 | 163.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 9 | vs MAN | W 114-83 | -28.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | O 197 |
| Nov 14 | vs ILST | W 87-67 | -15.5 | W +4.5 | 155.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 20 | vs TROY | W 107-106 | -18.5 | L −17.5 | 159.5 | O 213 |
| Nov 24 | vs BOIS | W 70-67 | -3.5 | L −0.5 | 155.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 25 | vs HALL | W 83-81 | -6.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 26 | vs ASU | W 88-75 | -4.5 | W +8.5 | 161.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 2 | @ ORE | W 82-77 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 154.5 | O 159 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCP
CPW 94-64
+5.5
9
vsMAN
MANW 114-83
+2.5
14
vsILST
ILSTW 87-67
+4.5
20
vsTROY
TROYW 107-106
−17.5
24
vsBOIS
BOISW 70-67
−0.5
25
vsHALL
HALLW 83-81
−4.5
26
vsASU
ASUW 88-75
+8.5
2
@ORE
OREW 82-77
+2.5
covered 5didn’t cover 3avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCP
CPW 94-64
−5.5
9
vsMAN
MANW 114-83
+41.5
14
vsILST
ILSTW 87-67
−1.5
20
vsTROY
TROYW 107-106
+53.5
24
vsBOIS
BOISW 70-67
−18.5
25
vsHALL
HALLW 83-81
+18.5
26
vsASU
ASUW 88-75
+1.5
2
@ORE
OREW 82-77
+4.5
over 5under 3avg +11.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Washington
5-3 overall · 0-1 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs UCLA80–82
- Lvs Colorado68–81
- Wvs Nevada83–66
- Wvs Southern99–93
- W@ Washington St81–69
3 days since their last game.
USC
8-0 overall · 1-0 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Oregon82–77
- Wvs Arizona St88–75
- Wvs Seton Hall83–81
- Wvs Boise St70–67
- Wvs Troy107–106
4 days since their last game.