Stabler Arena · at Lehigh · Conference game
Closing line
LEH -2.5✓ LEH covered by 5.5
LEH -2.5✓ LEH covered by 5.5Closing total137.5Under by 13.5
 HC | This season | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| 4-9 | Record | 2-11 |
| 7-6 | ATS | 5-8 |
| 5-8 | O/U | 7-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: HC 69–73 LEH · ✓ LEH (61%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HC | 30 | 28 | 58 |
| LEH | 33 | 33 | 66 |
1st half: HC 30, LEH 33 (LEH by 3). The model had LEH by 1.7 and a total of 66.5 (actual 63).
Team stats
| HC | LEH | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-55 44% | Field goals | 26-53 49% |
| 3-13 23% | 3-pointers | 6-15 40% |
| 7-10 70% | Free throws | 8-9 89% |
| 27 5 off | Rebounds | 32 6 off |
| 8 | Assists | 13 |
| 8 | Steals | 8 |
| 1 | Blocks | 3 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 15 | Fouls | 11 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 14 |
Players
| HC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Nugent F | 35 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 5-12 | 2-6 |
| Gabe Warren G | 32 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 6-8 | 0-0 |
| Aidan Richard F | 31 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Tyler Boston G | 28 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2-9 | 0-1 |
| Aiden Disu F | 23 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2-9 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| DeAndre Williams G | 25 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 4-10 | 1-3 |
| Declan Ryan F | 14 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| John St. Germain III G | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jaden Kirkwood, Chuck Hare, Will Aljancic, Jude Haigh, Tim Finau, Ethan Clark, Austin Mejia, Ben Capron
| LEH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Ingram G | 38 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 2-6 | 0-3 |
| Nasir Whitlock G | 35 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2-9 | 0-1 |
| Hank Alvey C | 33 | 20 | 8 | 1 | 9-15 | 0-0 |
| Edouard Benoit F | 33 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 9-14 | 4-7 |
| Jalen Vazquez G | 27 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Peter Kramer G | 16 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Caleb Thomas G | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Henri Adiassa C | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Bube Momah, Brendan Reed, Alfredo Addesa, Jake Pike, Andrew Urosevic, Caesar Burrows, Tommy Conniff
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketLEH -2.5
ModelLEH -3.1
Model edgeLEH +0.6
W LEH covered
Total
Market137.5
Model141.9
Model edgeOver 4.4
L Under
Projected score
HC 69.4 · LEH 72.5
HC 58 · LEH 66
Win probability
LEH 61%
1st half
Spread
LEH -1.7
LEH -3.0
Total
66.5
63 points
Projected score
HC 32.4 · LEH 34.1
HC 30 · LEH 33
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenLEH -3.5
1 → HC
CloseLEH -2.5
1 pt toward HC
Total
Open136.5
▲ 1
Close137.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
HC +124 · LEH -148
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened LEH -3.5 · closed LEH -2.5 · moved 1 toward HCmodel LEH -3
model LEH -3
Opened 136.5 · closed 137.5 · moved 1 upmodel 142
model 142
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HC | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% |
| LEH | 2-8 20% | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
HC 2–6 LEHLEH leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · LEH has won the last 3 meetings · HC 2-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | HC 60 @ LEH 72 | LEH -4.5 | LEH W |
| Feb 1, 2024-25 | LEH 69 @ HC 67 | HC -1.5 | LEH W |
| Jan 27, 2023-24 | LEH 78 @ HC 72 | HC +3.5 | LEH W |
| Jan 13, 2023-24 | HC 69 @ LEH 66 | LEH -9.5 | HC W |
| Jan 25, 2022-23 | LEH 74 @ HC 68 | HC +2.5 | LEH W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Holy Cross
13 games played
Straight up
4-9
31% wins
Against the spread
7-6
54% covers · avg +0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-8
38% overs · avg −6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ PROV | L 79-89 | +23.5 | W +13.5 | 152.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 8 | @ BYU | L 53-98 | +38.5 | L −6.5 | 165.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 10 | @ UTAH | L 69-87 | +21.5 | W +3.5 | 155.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 16 | vs HAMP | W 67-61 | +4.5 | W +10.5 | 148.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 18 | @ BRWN | L 49-68 | +2.5 | L −16.5 | 141.5 | U 117 |
| Nov 21 | @ SHU | L 66-79 | +7.5 | L −5.5 | 152.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 24 | vs SIE | L 69-73 | +9.5 | W +5.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 3 | vs NE | W 76-59 | +8.5 | W +25.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 6 | @ FOR | W 70-69 | +10.5 | W +11.5 | 138.5 | O 139 |
| Dec 16 | vs DART | L 64-89 | +1.5 | L −23.5 | 147.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 20 | @ HARV | L 53-81 | +10.5 | L −17.5 | 136.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 31 | vs BUCK | W 65-58 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 133.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 3 | vs NAVY | L 58-65 | +5.5 | L −1.5 | 137.5 | U 123 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@PROV
PROVL 79-89
+13.5
8
@BYU
BYUL 53-98
−6.5
10
@UTAH
UTAHL 69-87
+3.5
16
vsHAMP
HAMPW 67-61
+10.5
18
@BRWN
BRWNL 49-68
−16.5
21
@SHU
SHUL 66-79
−5.5
24
vsSIE
SIEL 69-73
+5.5
3
vsNE
NEW 76-59
+25.5
6
@FOR
FORW 70-69
+11.5
16
vsDART
DARTL 64-89
−23.5
20
@HARV
HARVL 53-81
−17.5
31
vsBUCK
BUCKW 65-58
+8.5
3
vsNAVY
NAVYL 58-65
−1.5
covered 7didn’t cover 6avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@PROV
PROVL 79-89
+15.5
8
@BYU
BYUL 53-98
−14.5
10
@UTAH
UTAHL 69-87
+0.5
16
vsHAMP
HAMPW 67-61
−20.5
18
@BRWN
BRWNL 49-68
−24.5
21
@SHU
SHUL 66-79
−7.5
24
vsSIE
SIEL 69-73
+4.5
3
vsNE
NEW 76-59
−10.5
6
@FOR
FORW 70-69
+0.5
16
vsDART
DARTL 64-89
+5.5
20
@HARV
HARVL 53-81
−2.5
31
vsBUCK
BUCKW 65-58
−10.5
3
vsNAVY
NAVYL 58-65
−14.5
over 5under 8avg −6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Lehigh
13 games played
Straight up
2-11
15% wins
Against the spread
5-8
38% covers · avg −1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-6
54% overs · avg +3.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ HOU | L 57-75 | +36.5 | W +18.5 | 136.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 9 | @ WVU | L 47-69 | +17.5 | L −4.5 | 139.5 | U 116 |
| Nov 14 | @ RUTG | L 72-84 | +18.5 | W +6.5 | 136.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 18 | vs SFPA | W 79-62 | -10.5 | W +6.5 | 151.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 21 | vs COLU | L 67-82 | +2.5 | L −12.5 | 143.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 25 | @ MRST | L 55-78 | +7.5 | L −15.5 | 132.5 | O 133 |
| Nov 28 | vs UCSB | L 70-72 | +10.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 29 | vs TXST | W 78-74 | +6.5 | W +10.5 | 135.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 2 | @ BING | L 71-80 | -3.5 | L −12.5 | 139.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 6 | vs LIU | L 82-87 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 142.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 21 | @ MONM | L 62-76 | +9.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 31 | vs ARMY | L 78-85 | -5.5 | L −12.5 | 146.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 3 | @BUCK | L 65-72 | +4.5 | L −2.5 | 137.5 | U 137 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@HOU
HOUL 57-75
+18.5
9
@WVU
WVUL 47-69
−4.5
14
@RUTG
RUTGL 72-84
+6.5
18
vsSFPA
SFPAW 79-62
+6.5
21
vsCOLU
COLUL 67-82
−12.5
25
@MRST
MRSTL 55-78
−15.5
28
vsUCSB
UCSBL 70-72
+8.5
29
vsTXST
TXSTW 78-74
+10.5
2
@BING
BINGL 71-80
−12.5
6
vsLIU
LIUL 82-87
−3.5
21
@MONM
MONML 62-76
−4.5
31
vsARMY
ARMYL 78-85
−12.5
3
@BUCK
BUCKL 65-72
−2.5
covered 5didn’t cover 8avg −1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@HOU
HOUL 57-75
−4.5
9
@WVU
WVUL 47-69
−23.5
14
@RUTG
RUTGL 72-84
+19.5
18
vsSFPA
SFPAW 79-62
−10.5
21
vsCOLU
COLUL 67-82
+5.5
25
@MRST
MRSTL 55-78
+0.5
28
vsUCSB
UCSBL 70-72
−4.5
29
vsTXST
TXSTW 78-74
+16.5
2
@BING
BINGL 71-80
+11.5
6
vsLIU
LIUL 82-87
+26.5
21
@MONM
MONML 62-76
−5.5
31
vsARMY
ARMYL 78-85
+16.5
3
@BUCK
BUCKL 65-72
−0.5
over 7under 6avg +3.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Holy Cross
4-9 overall · 1-1 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Navy58–65
- Wvs Bucknell65–58
- L@ Harvard53–81
- Lvs Dartmouth64–89
- W@ Fordham70–69
4 days since their last game.
Lehigh
2-11 overall · 0-2 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Bucknell65–72
- Lvs Army78–85
- L@ Monmouth62–76
- Lvs Long Island82–87
- L@ Binghamton71–80
4 days since their last game.