G.B. Hodge Center · at SC Upstate · Conference game
Closing line
WIN -5.5✓ WIN covered by 15.5
WIN -5.5✓ WIN covered by 15.5Closing total157.5Under by 36.5
| WIN | This season | UPST |
|---|---|---|
| 7-8 | Record | 5-9 |
| 7-8 | ATS | 8-6 |
| 7-8 | O/U | 6-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: WIN 83–78 UPST · ✓ WIN (65%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | 38 | 33 | 71 |
| UPST | 19 | 31 | 50 |
1st half: WIN 38, UPST 19 (WIN by 19). The model had WIN by 2.9 and a total of 75.3 (actual 57).
Team stats
| WIN | UPST | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-62 39% | Field goals | 19-55 35% |
| 12-31 39% | 3-pointers | 2-11 18% |
| 11-19 58% | Free throws | 10-14 71% |
| 49 18 off | Rebounds | 31 7 off |
| 11 | Assists | 8 |
| 10 | Steals | 6 |
| 6 | Blocks | 7 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 15 | Fouls | 18 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| WIN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kareem Rozier G | 30 | 24 | 3 | 2 | 9-15 | 6-9 |
| Logan Duncomb C | 30 | 8 | 13 | 3 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Kody Clouet G | 26 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3-9 | 2-7 |
| Isaiah Wilson G | 24 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 4-6 | 2-4 |
| Tommy Kamarad F | 18 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Daylen Berry G | 21 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Seifeldin Hendawy G | 20 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0-8 | 0-3 |
| Josh Meo G | 20 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2-7 | 2-5 |
| Ed Nnamoko F | 10 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Cam Christy G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Henry Harrison, Braylhan Thomas, Pharrell Boyogueno, Tai Hamilton, Kaleb Evans
| UPST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coen Collier C | 26 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Learic Davis F | 23 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Tyler Smith G | 20 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1-6 | 0-1 |
| Karmani Gregory G | 19 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-7 | 0-0 |
| Mason Bendinger G | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Carmelo Adkins G | 32 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 4-12 | 0-4 |
| Isaiah Skinner G | 20 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Breylin Garcia F | 19 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 7-7 | 0-0 |
| Chico Johnson G | 13 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-1 |
| Jafeth Martinez F | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Nic Book, CJ Rich, Kanye Jones, TJ Lewis
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketWIN -5.5
ModelWIN -4.6
Model edgeUPST +0.9
L WIN covered
Total
Market157.5
Model160.8
Model edgeOver 3.3
L Under
Projected score
WIN 82.7 · UPST 78.1
WIN 71 · UPST 50
Win probability
WIN 65%
1st half
Spread
WIN -2.9
WIN -19.0
Total
75.3
57 points
Projected score
WIN 39.1 · UPST 36.2
WIN 38 · UPST 19
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenWIN -5.5
no move
CloseWIN -5.5
No change since the open
Total
Open157.5
no move
Close157.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
WIN -258 · UPST +210
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened WIN -5.5 · unchangedmodel WIN -4.5
model WIN -4.5
Opened 157.5 · unchangedmodel 161
model 161
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% |
| UPST | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
WIN 6–2 UPSTWIN leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · WIN has won the last 4 meetings · WIN 3-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2024-25 | WIN 105 @ UPST 95 | UPST +8.5 | WIN W |
| Jan 2, 2024-25 | UPST 76 @ WIN 95 | WIN -14.5 | WIN W |
| Feb 24, 2023-24 | UPST 74 @ WIN 83 | WIN -9.5 | UPST W |
| Jan 6, 2023-24 | WIN 82 @ UPST 80 | UPST +6.5 | UPST W |
| Feb 11, 2022-23 | UPST 79 @ WIN 70 | WIN -3.5 | UPST W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Winthrop
15 games played
Straight up
7-8
47% wins
Against the spread
7-8
47% covers · avg −1.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-8
47% overs · avg +2.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs QUC | W 81-74 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 163.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 7 | @ GMU | L 90-96 | +9.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | O 186 |
| Nov 11 | @ CCU | L 66-72 | -2.5 | L −8.5 | 165.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 15 | vs MER | W 105-69 | -2.5 | W +33.5 | 162.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 18 | @ ARK | L 83-84 | +23.5 | W +22.5 | 168.5 | U 167 |
| Nov 23 | @ JKST | W 80-62 | -10.5 | W +7.5 | 163.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 25 | @ NEB | L 73-80 | +14.5 | W +7.5 | 166.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 29 | vs SCST | W 101-79 | -20.5 | W +1.5 | 157.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 2 | @ LIU | W 94-92 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 153.5 | O 186 |
| Dec 6 | vsCCU | L 84-88 | -16.5 | L −20.5 | 153.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 18 | @ UND | L 88-90 | -12.5 | L −14.5 | 157.5 | O 178 |
| Dec 28 | @ TTU | L 57-87 | +17.5 | L −12.5 | 163.5 | U 144 |
| Dec 31 | @ LONG | L 70-82 | -7.5 | L −19.5 | 161.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 3 | vs GWEB | W 88-77 | -23.5 | L −12.5 | 164.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 7 | vs CHSO | W 81-77 | -8.5 | L −4.5 | 166.5 | U 158 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsQUC
QUCW 81-74
+3.5
7
@GMU
GMUL 90-96
+3.5
11
@CCU
CCUL 66-72
−8.5
15
vsMER
MERW 105-69
+33.5
18
@ARK
ARKL 83-84
+22.5
23
@JKST
JKSTW 80-62
+7.5
25
@NEB
NEBL 73-80
+7.5
29
vsSCST
SCSTW 101-79
+1.5
2
@LIU
LIUW 94-92
−3.5
6
vsCCU
CCUL 84-88
−20.5
18
@UND
UNDL 88-90
−14.5
28
@TTU
TTUL 57-87
−12.5
31
@LONG
LONGL 70-82
−19.5
3
vsGWEB
GWEBW 88-77
−12.5
7
vsCHSO
CHSOW 81-77
−4.5
covered 7didn’t cover 8avg −1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsQUC
QUCW 81-74
−8.5
7
@GMU
GMUL 90-96
+39.5
11
@CCU
CCUL 66-72
−27.5
15
vsMER
MERW 105-69
+11.5
18
@ARK
ARKL 83-84
−1.5
23
@JKST
JKSTW 80-62
−21.5
25
@NEB
NEBL 73-80
−13.5
29
vsSCST
SCSTW 101-79
+22.5
2
@LIU
LIUW 94-92
+32.5
6
vsCCU
CCUL 84-88
+18.5
18
@UND
UNDL 88-90
+20.5
28
@TTU
TTUL 57-87
−19.5
31
@LONG
LONGL 70-82
−9.5
3
vsGWEB
GWEBW 88-77
+0.5
7
vsCHSO
CHSOW 81-77
−8.5
over 7under 8avg +2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
SC Upstate
14 games played
Straight up
5-9
36% wins
Against the spread
8-6
57% covers · avg +2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-8
43% overs · avg −3.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ CBU | L 75-87 | +14.5 | W +2.5 | 152.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 5 | @ FRES | W 67-66 | +9.5 | W +10.5 | 164.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 15 | @ UNCW | L 60-73 | +14.5 | W +1.5 | 155.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 19 | vs TNTC | L 84-88 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 150.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 21 | @ WGA | L 64-72 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 153.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 25 | vs NCCU | W 82-67 | -7.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 29 | @NEB | L 63-72 | +25.5 | W +16.5 | 157.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 3 | vsCCU | W 85-78 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 144.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 6 | vs WCU | W 78-67 | -2.5 | W +8.5 | 149.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 13 | @ UNC | L 62-80 | +29.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 16 | @SCST | W 78-72 | -10.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 20 | @ YSU | L 65-74 | +6.5 | L −2.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 31 | vs RAD | L 69-76 | -1.5 | L −8.5 | 158.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 3 | @ PRES | L 77-86 | +1.5 | L −7.5 | 137.5 | O 163 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@CBU
CBUL 75-87
+2.5
5
@FRES
FRESW 67-66
+10.5
15
@UNCW
UNCWL 60-73
+1.5
19
vsTNTC
TNTCL 84-88
−6.5
21
@WGA
WGAL 64-72
−5.5
25
vsNCCU
NCCUW 82-67
+7.5
29
@NEB
NEBL 63-72
+16.5
3
vsCCU
CCUW 85-78
+4.5
6
vsWCU
WCUW 78-67
+8.5
13
@UNC
UNCL 62-80
+11.5
16
@SCST
SCSTW 78-72
−4.5
20
@YSU
YSUL 65-74
−2.5
31
vsRAD
RADL 69-76
−8.5
3
@PRES
PRESL 77-86
−7.5
covered 8didn’t cover 6avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@CBU
CBUL 75-87
+9.5
5
@FRES
FRESW 67-66
−31.5
15
@UNCW
UNCWL 60-73
−22.5
19
vsTNTC
TNTCL 84-88
+21.5
21
@WGA
WGAL 64-72
−17.5
25
vsNCCU
NCCUW 82-67
+0.5
29
@NEB
NEBL 63-72
−22.5
3
vsCCU
CCUW 85-78
+18.5
6
vsWCU
WCUW 78-67
−4.5
13
@UNC
UNCL 62-80
−9.5
16
@SCST
SCSTW 78-72
+2.5
20
@YSU
YSUL 65-74
−2.5
31
vsRAD
RADL 69-76
−13.5
3
@PRES
PRESL 77-86
+25.5
over 6under 8avg −3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Winthrop
7-8 overall · 2-1 in conference · Big South Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Charleston So81–77
- Wvs Gardner-Webb88–77
- L@ Longwood70–82
- L@ Texas Tech57–87
- L@ North Dakota88–90
3 days since their last game.
SC Upstate
5-9 overall · 0-2 in conference · Big South Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Presbyterian77–86
- Lvs Radford69–76
- L@ Youngstown St65–74
- W@ SC State78–72
- L@ North Carolina62–80
A week or more of rest.