ExtraMile Arena · at Boise St · Conference game
Closing line
USU -1.5✓ USU covered by 23.5
USU -1.5✓ USU covered by 23.5Closing total149.5Over by 11.5
| USU | This season | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| 12-1 | Record | 8-5 |
| 7-6 | ATS | 8-5 |
| 7-6 | O/U | 3-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: USU 77–74 BOIS · ✓ USU (60%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USU | 46 | 47 | 93 |
| BOIS | 23 | 45 | 68 |
1st half: USU 46, BOIS 23 (USU by 23). The model had USU by 1.9 and a total of 70.5 (actual 69).
Team stats
| USU | BOIS | |
|---|---|---|
| 33-58 57% | Field goals | 21-57 37% |
| 11-25 44% | 3-pointers | 7-26 27% |
| 16-21 76% | Free throws | 19-25 76% |
| 33 12 off | Rebounds | 31 14 off |
| 19 | Assists | 10 |
| 6 | Steals | 4 |
| 3 | Blocks | 4 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 22 | Fouls | 19 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| USU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Falslev G | 34 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 4-7 | 1-2 |
| Adlan Elamin F | 30 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3-7 | 1-4 |
| MJ Collins Jr. G | 27 | 25 | 2 | 1 | 8-13 | 5-9 |
| Drake Allen G | 25 | 14 | 1 | 8 | 6-7 | 2-3 |
| Zach Keller F | 14 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kolby King G | 18 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3-6 | 2-4 |
| Karson Templin F | 17 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Elijah Perryman G | 15 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2-6 | 0-2 |
| Garry Clark F | 14 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Jordy Barnes G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Tucker Anderson F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Luke Kearney F | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kingston Tosi, David Iweze, Brayden Boe
| BOIS | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Andrews G | 30 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 5-13 | 2-8 |
| Aginaldo Neto G | 24 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Andrew Meadow F | 21 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-1 |
| Drew Fielder F | 15 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Javan Buchanan F | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-5 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Dominic Parolin F | 31 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 4-8 | 0-0 |
| Pearson Carmichael F | 28 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 3-10 | 1-6 |
| R.J. Keene II G | 20 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Spencer Ahrens F | 17 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 2-7 | 0-1 |
| Rayzhon Bergersen G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bhan Buom F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Julian Bowie, Brennan Ramirez, Ethan Lathan, Noah Bendinger
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUSU -1.5
ModelUSU -3.0
Model edgeUSU +1.5
W USU covered
Total
Market149.5
Model150.5
Model edgeOver 1.0
W Over
Projected score
USU 76.8 · BOIS 73.7
USU 93 · BOIS 68
Win probability
USU 60%
1st half
Spread
USU -1.9
USU -23.0
Total
70.5
69 points
Projected score
USU 36.2 · BOIS 34.3
USU 46 · BOIS 23
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUSU -1.5
no move
CloseUSU -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open147.5
▲ 2
Close149.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
USU -130 · BOIS +110
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened USU -1.5 · unchangedmodel USU -3
model USU -3
Opened 147.5 · closed 149.5 · moved 2 upmodel 150.5
model 150.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USU | 9-1 90% | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% |
| BOIS | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 2-8 20% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
USU 5–4 BOISUSU leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · USU 4-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2024-25 | USU 65 @ BOIS 82 | BOIS -4.5 | BOIS W |
| Jan 11, 2024-25 | BOIS 79 @ USU 81 | USU -5.5 | BOIS W |
| Feb 10, 2023-24 | BOIS 61 @ USU 80 | USU -4.5 | USU W |
| Jan 27, 2023-24 | USU 90 @ BOIS 84 | BOIS -2.5 | USU W |
| Mar 10, 2022-23 | USU 72 vs BOIS 62 | BOIS +1.5 | USU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Utah State
13 games played
Straight up
12-1
92% wins
Against the spread
7-6
54% covers · avg +4.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-6
54% overs · avg +1.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs VCU | W 80-77 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 163.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 12 | vs WEB | W 83-73 | -22.5 | L −12.5 | 156.5 | U 156 |
| Nov 15 | vs UTEP | W 75-51 | -16.5 | W +7.5 | 149.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 21 | vs TULN | W 96-75 | -8.5 | W +12.5 | 151.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 23 | vs DAV | W 94-60 | -9.5 | W +24.5 | 147.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 29 | vs MTST | W 84-81 | -17.5 | L −14.5 | 148.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 4 | @ USF | L 61-74 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 162.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 7 | @ CLT | W 79-53 | -10.5 | W +15.5 | 139.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 13 | vs ILST | W 83-78 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 148.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 20 | vs CSU | W 100-58 | -10.5 | W +31.5 | 147.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 30 | @ FRES | W 72-63 | -14.5 | L −5.5 | 154.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 3 | vs SJSU | W 96-78 | -22.5 | L −4.5 | 151.5 | O 174 |
| Jan 6 | @ AF | W 99-62 | -22.5 | W +14.5 | 139.5 | O 161 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsVCU
VCUW 80-77
+0.5
12
vsWEB
WEBW 83-73
−12.5
15
vsUTEP
UTEPW 75-51
+7.5
21
vsTULN
TULNW 96-75
+12.5
23
vsDAV
DAVW 94-60
+24.5
29
vsMTST
MTSTW 84-81
−14.5
4
@USF
USFL 61-74
−10.5
7
@CLT
CLTW 79-53
+15.5
13
vsILST
ILSTW 83-78
−3.5
20
vsCSU
CSUW 100-58
+31.5
30
@FRES
FRESW 72-63
−5.5
3
vsSJSU
SJSUW 96-78
−4.5
6
@AF
AFW 99-62
+14.5
covered 7didn’t cover 6avg +4.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsVCU
VCUW 80-77
−6.5
12
vsWEB
WEBW 83-73
−0.5
15
vsUTEP
UTEPW 75-51
−23.5
21
vsTULN
TULNW 96-75
+19.5
23
vsDAV
DAVW 94-60
+6.5
29
vsMTST
MTSTW 84-81
+16.5
4
@USF
USFL 61-74
−27.5
7
@CLT
CLTW 79-53
−7.5
13
vsILST
ILSTW 83-78
+12.5
20
vsCSU
CSUW 100-58
+10.5
30
@FRES
FRESW 72-63
−19.5
3
vsSJSU
SJSUW 96-78
+22.5
6
@AF
AFW 99-62
+21.5
over 7under 6avg +1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Boise St
13 games played
Straight up
8-5
62% wins
Against the spread
8-5
62% covers · avg −1.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-10
23% overs · avg −2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | vs UVU | W 101-77 | -12.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 11 | vs RGV | W 85-65 | -16.5 | W +3.5 | 161.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 15 | vsMTST | W 62-58 | -16.5 | L −12.5 | 147.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 18 | vs WICH | W 62-59 | -9.5 | L −6.5 | 150.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 24 | vs USC | L 67-70 | +3.5 | W +0.5 | 155.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 25 | vs NCSU | L 70-81 | +6.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 6 | @ BTLR | W 77-68 | +2.5 | W +11.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 10 | vs DUQ | W 86-64 | -14.5 | W +7.5 | 150.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 14 | vs SMC | W 68-67 | +2.5 | W +3.5 | 139.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 20 | @ NEV | L 66-81 | -3.5 | L −18.5 | 141.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 30 | vs UNM | W 62-53 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | U 115 |
| Jan 3 | @ SDSU | L 107-110 | +4.5 | W +1.5 | 138.5 | O 217 |
| Jan 7 | vs GCU | L 58-75 | -8.5 | L −25.5 | 140.5 | U 133 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
vsUVU
UVUW 101-77
+11.5
11
vsRGV
RGVW 85-65
+3.5
15
vsMTST
MTSTW 62-58
−12.5
18
vsWICH
WICHW 62-59
−6.5
24
vsUSC
USCL 67-70
+0.5
25
vsNCSU
NCSUL 70-81
−4.5
6
@BTLR
BTLRW 77-68
+11.5
10
vsDUQ
DUQW 86-64
+7.5
14
vsSMC
SMCW 68-67
+3.5
20
@NEV
NEVL 66-81
−18.5
30
vsUNM
UNMW 62-53
+3.5
3
@SDSU
SDSUL 107-110
+1.5
7
vsGCU
GCUL 58-75
−25.5
covered 8didn’t cover 5avg −1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
vsUVU
UVUW 101-77
+26.5
11
vsRGV
RGVW 85-65
−11.5
15
vsMTST
MTSTW 62-58
−27.5
18
vsWICH
WICHW 62-59
−29.5
24
vsUSC
USCL 67-70
−18.5
25
vsNCSU
NCSUL 70-81
−1.5
6
@BTLR
BTLRW 77-68
−3.5
10
vsDUQ
DUQW 86-64
−0.5
14
vsSMC
SMCW 68-67
−4.5
20
@NEV
NEVL 66-81
+5.5
30
vsUNM
UNMW 62-53
−31.5
3
@SDSU
SDSUL 107-110
+78.5
7
vsGCU
GCUL 58-75
−7.5
over 3under 10avg −2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Utah State
12-1 overall · 4-0 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Air Force99–62
- Wvs San José St96–78
- W@ Fresno St72–63
- Wvs Colorado St100–58
- Wvs Illinois St83–78
4 days since their last game.
Boise St
8-5 overall · 1-3 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Grand Canyon58–75
- L@ San Diego St107–110
- Wvs New Mexico62–53
- L@ Nevada66–81
- Wvs Saint Mary's68–67
3 days since their last game.