Thomas & Mack Center · at UNLV · Conference game
Closing line
SDSU -3.5✓ SDSU covered by 7.5
SDSU -3.5✓ SDSU covered by 7.5Closing total149.5Over by 3.5
| SDSU | This season | UNLV |
|---|---|---|
| 12-5 | Record | 9-8 |
| 8-9 | ATS | 9-8 |
| 8-9 | O/U | 9-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SDSU 80–76 UNLV · ✓ SDSU (65%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SDSU | 39 | 43 | 82 |
| UNLV | 34 | 37 | 71 |
1st half: SDSU 39, UNLV 34 (SDSU by 5). The model had SDSU by 2.7 and a total of 72.8 (actual 73).
Team stats
| SDSU | UNLV | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-46 57% | Field goals | 26-51 51% |
| 8-13 62% | 3-pointers | 7-21 33% |
| 22-26 85% | Free throws | 12-22 55% |
| 25 3 off | Rebounds | 25 7 off |
| 18 | Assists | 11 |
| 7 | Steals | 8 |
| 1 | Blocks | 2 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 17 | Fouls | 21 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| SDSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Byrd G | 33 | 23 | 1 | 5 | 7-8 | 5-5 |
| Reese Dixon-Waters G | 32 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 3-11 | 2-6 |
| Miles Heide F | 26 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Elzie Harrington G | 26 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Jeremiah Oden F | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Taj DeGourville G | 19 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 4-6 | 1-2 |
| Tae Simmons F | 16 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Pharaoh Compton F | 13 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| BJ Davis G | 12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Sean Newman Jr. G | 11 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Cam Lawin, Raymar Gonzales, Thokbor Majak, Latrell Davis, Magoon Gwath
| UNLV | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kimani Hamilton F | 36 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 3-7 | 2-4 |
| Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn G | 34 | 27 | 2 | 2 | 11-21 | 1-7 |
| Tyrin Jones F | 34 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Howie Fleming Jr. G | 33 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 2-7 | 1-4 |
| Emmanuel Stephen C | 24 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Issac Williamson G | 11 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Jacob Bannarbie F | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Al Green G | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Walter Brown F | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Xavier Brumfield, Jalen Cunningham, Naas Cunningham, Mason Abittan, Myles Che, Ladji Dembele
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSDSU -3.5
ModelSDSU -4.3
Model edgeSDSU +0.8
W SDSU covered
Total
Market149.5
Model155.5
Model edgeOver 6.0
W Over
Projected score
SDSU 79.9 · UNLV 75.6
SDSU 82 · UNLV 71
Win probability
SDSU 65%
1st half
Spread
SDSU -2.7
SDSU -5.0
Total
72.8
73 points
Projected score
SDSU 37.8 · UNLV 35
SDSU 39 · UNLV 34
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSDSU -5.5
2 → UNLV
CloseSDSU -3.5
2 pts toward UNLV
Total
Open149.5
no move
Close149.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
SDSU -185 · UNLV +154
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SDSU -5.5 · closed SDSU -3.5 · moved 2 toward UNLVmodel SDSU -4.5
model SDSU -4.5
Opened 149.5 · unchangedmodel 155.5
model 155.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SDSU | 8-2 80% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
| UNLV | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
SDSU 6–3 UNLVSDSU leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · UNLV has won the last 2 meetings · SDSU 5-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2024-25 | SDSU 67 @ UNLV 74 | UNLV +3.5 | UNLV W |
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | UNLV 76 @ SDSU 68 | SDSU -10.5 | UNLV W |
| Mar 14, 2023-24 | SDSU 74 @ UNLV 71 | UNLV +4.5 | UNLV W |
| Mar 5, 2023-24 | SDSU 58 @ UNLV 62 | UNLV +3.5 | UNLV W |
| Jan 6, 2023-24 | UNLV 61 @ SDSU 72 | SDSU -8.5 | SDSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
San Diego St
17 games played
Straight up
12-5
71% wins
Against the spread
8-9
47% covers · avg −1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-9
47% overs · avg +9.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs LBSU | W 77-45 | -25.5 | W +6.5 | 135.5 | U 122 |
| Nov 9 | vs IDST | W 73-57 | -21.5 | L −5.5 | 135.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 18 | vs TROY | L 107-108 | -14.5 | L −15.5 | 137.5 | O 215 |
| Nov 24 | vs MICH | L 54-94 | +6.5 | L −33.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 25 | vs ORE | W 97-80 | +2.5 | W +19.5 | 141.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 26 | vs BAY | L 81-91 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 148.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 3 | vs UVU | W 77-66 | -8.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 10 | vs LAM | W 89-71 | -17.5 | W +0.5 | 135.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 17 | vs AF | W 81-58 | -24.5 | L −1.5 | 135.5 | O 139 |
| Dec 20 | vs ARIZ | L 45-68 | +13.5 | L −9.5 | 153.5 | U 113 |
| Dec 30 | @ SJSU | W 81-68 | -11.5 | W +1.5 | 141.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 3 | vs BOIS | W 110-107 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 138.5 | O 217 |
| Jan 6 | @ NEV | W 73-68 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 10 | vs FRES | W 71-52 | -14.5 | W +4.5 | 146.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 14 | @ WYO | W 74-57 | -1.5 | W +15.5 | 148.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 17 | vs UNM | W 83-79 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 148.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 21 | @ GCU | L 69-70 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | U 139 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsLBSU
LBSUW 77-45
+6.5
9
vsIDST
IDSTW 73-57
−5.5
18
vsTROY
TROYL 107-108
−15.5
24
vsMICH
MICHL 54-94
−33.5
25
vsORE
OREW 97-80
+19.5
26
vsBAY
BAYL 81-91
−7.5
3
vsUVU
UVUW 77-66
+2.5
10
vsLAM
LAMW 89-71
+0.5
17
vsAF
AFW 81-58
−1.5
20
vsARIZ
ARIZL 45-68
−9.5
30
@SJSU
SJSUW 81-68
+1.5
3
vsBOIS
BOISW 110-107
−1.5
6
@NEV
NEVW 73-68
+6.5
10
vsFRES
FRESW 71-52
+4.5
14
@WYO
WYOW 74-57
+15.5
17
vsUNM
UNMW 83-79
−1.5
21
@GCU
GCUL 69-70
−2.5
covered 8didn’t cover 9avg −1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsLBSU
LBSUW 77-45
−13.5
9
vsIDST
IDSTW 73-57
−5.5
18
vsTROY
TROYL 107-108
+77.5
24
vsMICH
MICHL 54-94
−0.5
25
vsORE
OREW 97-80
+35.5
26
vsBAY
BAYL 81-91
+23.5
3
vsUVU
UVUW 77-66
−1.5
10
vsLAM
LAMW 89-71
+24.5
17
vsAF
AFW 81-58
+3.5
20
vsARIZ
ARIZL 45-68
−40.5
30
@SJSU
SJSUW 81-68
+7.5
3
vsBOIS
BOISW 110-107
+78.5
6
@NEV
NEVW 73-68
−0.5
10
vsFRES
FRESW 71-52
−23.5
14
@WYO
WYOW 74-57
−17.5
17
vsUNM
UNMW 83-79
+13.5
21
@GCU
GCUL 69-70
−6.5
over 8under 9avg +9.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
UNLV
17 games played
Straight up
9-8
53% wins
Against the spread
9-8
53% covers · avg −1.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-8
53% overs · avg −0.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs UTM | L 81-86 | -16.5 | L −21.5 | 146.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 8 | vs UTC | W 101-69 | -7.5 | W +24.5 | 155.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 11 | vs MONT | L 93-102 | -10.5 | L −19.5 | 157.5 | O 195 |
| Nov 16 | @ MEM | W 92-78 | +9.5 | W +23.5 | 163.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 20 | vs JOES | W 99-85 | -10.5 | W +3.5 | 161.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 24 | vs MD | L 67-74 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 164.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 25 | vs ALA | L 76-115 | +13.5 | L −25.5 | 181.5 | O 191 |
| Nov 27 | vs RUTG | L 65-80 | -4.5 | L −19.5 | 153.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 7 | @ STAN | W 75-74 | +9.5 | W +10.5 | 164.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 13 | vs TNST | L 60-63 | -12.5 | L −15.5 | 161.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 20 | vsFRES | W 84-72 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 159.5 | U 156 |
| Jan 3 | vsAF | W 67-39 | -14.5 | W +13.5 | 142.5 | U 106 |
| Jan 6 | @WYO | L 66-98 | +4.5 | L −27.5 | 154.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 9 | @ CSU | L 62-70 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 151.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 13 | vsBOIS | W 89-85 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | O 174 |
| Jan 17 | @SJSU | W 76-62 | -7.5 | W +6.5 | 146.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 20 | @ USU | W 86-76 | +15.5 | W +25.5 | 156.5 | O 162 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsUTM
UTML 81-86
−21.5
8
vsUTC
UTCW 101-69
+24.5
11
vsMONT
MONTL 93-102
−19.5
16
@MEM
MEMW 92-78
+23.5
20
vsJOES
JOESW 99-85
+3.5
24
vsMD
MDL 67-74
−4.5
25
vsALA
ALAL 76-115
−25.5
27
vsRUTG
RUTGL 65-80
−19.5
7
@STAN
STANW 75-74
+10.5
13
vsTNST
TNSTL 60-63
−15.5
20
vsFRES
FRESW 84-72
+3.5
3
vsAF
AFW 67-39
+13.5
6
@WYO
WYOL 66-98
−27.5
9
@CSU
CSUL 62-70
−1.5
13
vsBOIS
BOISW 89-85
+5.5
17
@SJSU
SJSUW 76-62
+6.5
20
@USU
USUW 86-76
+25.5
covered 9didn’t cover 8avg −1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsUTM
UTML 81-86
+20.5
8
vsUTC
UTCW 101-69
+14.5
11
vsMONT
MONTL 93-102
+37.5
16
@MEM
MEMW 92-78
+6.5
20
vsJOES
JOESW 99-85
+22.5
24
vsMD
MDL 67-74
−23.5
25
vsALA
ALAL 76-115
+9.5
27
vsRUTG
RUTGL 65-80
−8.5
7
@STAN
STANW 75-74
−15.5
13
vsTNST
TNSTL 60-63
−38.5
20
vsFRES
FRESW 84-72
−3.5
3
vsAF
AFW 67-39
−36.5
6
@WYO
WYOL 66-98
+9.5
9
@CSU
CSUL 62-70
−19.5
13
vsBOIS
BOISW 89-85
+23.5
17
@SJSU
SJSUW 76-62
−8.5
20
@USU
USUW 86-76
+5.5
over 9under 8avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
San Diego St
12-5 overall · 7-1 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Grand Canyon69–70
- Wvs New Mexico83–79
- W@ Wyoming74–57
- Wvs Fresno St71–52
- W@ Nevada73–68
3 days since their last game.
UNLV
9-8 overall · 5-2 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Utah State86–76
- W@ San José St76–62
- Wvs Boise St89–85
- L@ Colorado St62–70
- L@ Wyoming66–98
4 days since their last game.