Icardo Center · at Bakersfield
Closing line
NDSU -7.5✓ NDSU covered by 3.5
Closing total149.5Under by 0.5
| This season | CSUB | |
|---|---|---|
| 5-3 | Record | 3-6 |
| 5-3 | ATS | 3-6 |
| 4-4 | O/U | 4-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NDSU 79–72 CSUB · ✓ NDSU (73%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NDSU | 40 | 40 | 80 |
| CSUB | 30 | 39 | 69 |
1st half: NDSU 40, CSUB 30 (NDSU by 10). The model had NDSU by 4.3 and a total of 70.7 (actual 70).
Team stats
| NDSU | CSUB | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-61 39% | Field goals | 24-64 38% |
| 6-25 24% | 3-pointers | 4-16 25% |
| 26-37 70% | Free throws | 17-21 81% |
| 48 21 off | Rebounds | 37 15 off |
| 6 | Assists | 8 |
| 11 | Steals | 9 |
| 4 | Blocks | 7 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 16 |
| 14 | Fouls | 23 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 20 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| NDSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevian Carson G | 36 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 4-7 | 0-2 |
| Damari Wheeler-Thomas G | 34 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 3-11 | 1-6 |
| Andy Stefonowicz G | 33 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 4-7 | 3-4 |
| Markhi Strickland G | 29 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 6-11 | 0-0 |
| Noah Feddersen C | 20 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 1-6 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Treyson Anderson F | 21 | 11 | 9 | 0 | 5-11 | 1-3 |
| Riley Massey G | 13 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Tay Smith G | 8 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-4 |
| Carson Smith G | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Max Majerle, Emil Skytt, Riley Saunders, Dom Clay, Caleb Schoenrock
| CSUB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dailin Smith G | 30 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1-9 | 1-5 |
| CJ Hardy G | 28 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 4-9 | 0-4 |
| Ronald Jessamy F | 28 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 7-11 | 0-0 |
| Jaden Alexander G | 26 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 3-9 | 0-1 |
| AJ George G | 25 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2-9 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tom Mark F | 27 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3-7 | 1-1 |
| Mike Price G | 19 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3-9 | 2-4 |
| Pierre Geneste Jr. C | 15 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Kadar Waller G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Caleb McCarty, Bentley Waller, Colin Darby, Dylan Purnell, TJ James Jr.
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNDSU -6.5
1 → NDSU
CloseNDSU -7.5
1 pt toward NDSU
Total
Open148.5
▲ 1
Close149.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
NDSU -340 · CSUB +270
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NDSU -6.5 · closed NDSU -7.5 · moved 1 toward NDSUmodel NDSU -7
model NDSU -7
Opened 148.5 · closed 149.5 · moved 1 upmodel 151
model 151
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | NDSU -7.5 | NDSU -6.9 | CSUB +0.6 | L NDSU covered |
| Total | 149.5 | 151.1 | Over 1.6 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | NDSU 79 · CSUB 72.1 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | NDSU -4.3 | NDSU -10.0 |
| 1H total | 70.7 | 70 |
| 1H projected score | NDSU 37.5 · CSUB 33.2 | NDSU 40 · CSUB 30 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-3 63% | 5-3 63% | 4-4 50% | |
| 3-6 33% | 3-6 33% | 4-5 44% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
NDSU 1–1 CSUBSeries tied · 2 games since 2021-22 · NDSU 1-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2024-25 | CSUB 60 @ NDSU 94 | NDSU -9.5 | NDSU W |
| Nov 11, 2024-25 | NDSU 81 @ CSUB 86 | CSUB -2.5 | CSUB W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
N Dakota St
8 games played
Straight up
5-3
63% wins
Against the spread
5-3
63% covers · avg +3.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-4
50% overs · avg −4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ | L 65-67 | +9.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 5 | @ | L 68-80 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 142.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 11 | vs | W 90-68 | -4.5 | W +17.5 | 156.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 17 | vs | W 92-85 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 26 | vs | W 56-43 | -3.5 | W +9.5 | 142.5 | U 99 |
| Nov 28 | @ | L 80-85 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 160.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 3 | @ | W 81-72 | +3.5 | W +12.5 | 153.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 6 | vs | W 69-68 | -12.5 | L −11.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
ORST
L 65-67
+7.5
5
@
UCD
L 68-80
−10.5
11
vs
CSUN
W 90-68
+17.5
17
vs
SIU
W 92-85
+5.5
26
vs
JXST
W 56-43
+9.5
28
@
ARST
L 80-85
−1.5
3
@
MONT
W 81-72
+12.5
6
vs
NAU
W 69-68
−11.5
covered 5didn’t cover 3avg +3.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@
ORST
L 65-67
−12.5
5
@
UCD
L 68-80
+5.5
11
vs
CSUN
W 90-68
+1.5
17
vs
SIU
W 92-85
+23.5
26
vs
JXST
W 56-43
−43.5
28
@
ARST
L 80-85
+4.5
3
@
MONT
W 81-72
−0.5
6
vs
NAU
W 69-68
−10.5
over 4under 4avg −4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Bakersfield
9 games played
Straight up
3-6
33% wins
Against the spread
3-6
33% covers · avg −3.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-5
44% overs · avg +7.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ | L 60-87 | +15.5 | L −11.5 | 147.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 11 | vs | W 74-58 | -7.5 | W +8.5 | 141.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 14 | @ | L 60-82 | +23.5 | W +1.5 | 140.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 17 | @ | L 80-93 | +8.5 | L −4.5 | 141.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 22 | vs | W 86-70 | -21.5 | L −5.5 | 138.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 25 | @ | L 59-89 | +26.5 | L −3.5 | 159.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 30 | vs | W 76-71 | +10.5 | W +15.5 | 150.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 4 | @ | L 66-87 | +5.5 | L −15.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 6 | @ | L 84-109 | +12.5 | L −12.5 | 145.5 | O 193 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
CAL
L 60-87
−11.5
11
vs
WIU
W 74-58
+8.5
14
@
MISS
L 60-82
+1.5
17
@
PRST
L 80-93
−4.5
22
vs
MVSU
W 86-70
−5.5
25
@
FSU
L 59-89
−3.5
30
vs
FRES
W 76-71
+15.5
4
@
CSUN
L 66-87
−15.5
6
@
UCSB
L 84-109
−12.5
covered 3didn’t cover 6avg −3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@
CAL
L 60-87
−0.5
11
vs
WIU
W 74-58
−9.5
14
@
MISS
L 60-82
+1.5
17
@
PRST
L 80-93
+31.5
22
vs
MVSU
W 86-70
+17.5
25
@
FSU
L 59-89
−11.5
30
vs
FRES
W 76-71
−3.5
4
@
CSUN
L 66-87
−2.5
6
@
UCSB
L 84-109
+47.5
over 4under 5avg +7.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
N Dakota St
5-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Summit League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs N Arizona69–68
- W@ Montana81–72
- L@ Arkansas St80–85
- Wvs Jax State56–43
- Wvs S Illinois92–85
5 days since their last game.
Bakersfield
3-6 overall · 0-2 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Santa Barbara84–109
- L@ CSU Northridge66–87
- Wvs Fresno St76–71
- L@ Florida St59–89
- Wvs Miss Valley St86–70
5 days since their last game.