Dale E. and Sarah Ann Fowler Events Center · at CA Baptist
Closing line
CBU -14.5✓ SAC covered by 7.5
CBU -14.5✓ SAC covered by 7.5Closing total158.5Under by 17.5
 SAC | This season | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| 1-6 | Record | 9-3 |
| 3-4 | ATS | 6-6 |
| 3-4 | O/U | 4-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SAC 67–81 CBU · ✓ CBU (88%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAC | 34 | 33 | 67 |
| CBU | 38 | 36 | 74 |
1st half: SAC 34, CBU 38 (CBU by 4). The model had CBU by 7.8 and a total of 69.3 (actual 72).
Team stats
| SAC | CBU | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-71 37% | Field goals | 23-57 40% |
| 10-32 31% | 3-pointers | 7-18 39% |
| 5-6 83% | Free throws | 21-30 70% |
| 40 17 off | Rebounds | 45 17 off |
| 8 | Assists | 12 |
| 7 | Steals | 5 |
| 3 | Blocks | 5 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 23 | Fouls | 14 |
| 16 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 0 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| SAC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jahni Summers G | 35 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 7-10 | 6-8 |
| Mikey Williams G | 33 | 18 | 3 | 5 | 7-23 | 2-8 |
| Mark Lavrenov F | 28 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Taj Glover G | 26 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 2-8 | 1-2 |
| Shaqir O'Neal F | 25 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-8 | 0-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Brandon Gardner F | 22 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-4 |
| Jayden Teat G | 16 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 4-8 | 1-3 |
| Arman Madi G | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Jeremiah Nyarko F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Bear Cherry, Prophet Johnson, Romari Robinson, Zach Anderson, Isaiah Bronson, Davis Ambuehl
| CBU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martel Williams G | 40 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 6-11 | 2-2 |
| Dominique Daniels Jr. G | 30 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 2-8 | 0-1 |
| Thomas Ndong F | 29 | 12 | 17 | 0 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Devon Malcolm G | 24 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2-11 | 0-3 |
| Jordan Muller G | 23 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2-10 | 1-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jayden Jackson G | 26 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 4-7 | 4-7 |
| Jonathan Griman F | 23 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Nate Garcia C | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jalen Dollar, Mouhamadou Dioum, Bradey Henige, Chase Mayo Harmon, Miles Daniels, Rene D'Amelio, OJ Blankson, Monty Bowser
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketCBU -14.5
ModelCBU -13.2
Model edgeSAC +1.3
W SAC covered
Total
Market158.5
Model147.9
Model edgeUnder 10.6
W Under
Projected score
SAC 67.4 · CBU 80.5
SAC 67 · CBU 74
Win probability
CBU 88%
1st half
Spread
CBU -7.8
CBU -4.0
Total
69.3
72 points
Projected score
SAC 30.7 · CBU 38.5
SAC 34 · CBU 38
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCBU -13.5
1 → CBU
CloseCBU -14.5
1 pt toward CBU
Total
Open152.5
▲ 6
Close158.5
Up 6 since the open
Moneyline
SAC +800 · CBU -1350
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CBU -13.5 · closed CBU -14.5 · moved 1 toward CBUmodel CBU -13
model CBU -13
Opened 152.5 · closed 158.5 · moved 6 upmodel 148
model 148
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAClast 7 | 1-6 14% | 3-4 43% | 3-4 43% |
| CBU | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Sacramento St
7 games played
Straight up
1-6
14% wins
Against the spread
3-4
43% covers · avg −0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-4
43% overs · avg −1.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
11
vs
UCSB
UCSBL 87-92
+2.5
14
@
UCD
UCDL 73-77
+0.5
16
vs
PRES
PRESW 64-62
−4.5
18
@
UCLA
UCLAL 48-79
−3.5
21
@
CAL
CALL 67-91
−2.5
29
@
PAC
PACL 54-68
−3.5
2
@
BAY
BAYL 88-110
+7.5
covered 3didn’t cover 4avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
11
vsUCSB
UCSBL 87-92
+17.5
14
@UCD
UCDL 73-77
−1.5
16
vsPRES
PRESW 64-62
−24.5
18
@UCLA
UCLAL 48-79
−19.5
21
@CAL
CALL 67-91
+3.5
29
@PAC
PACL 54-68
−24.5
2
@BAY
BAYL 88-110
+39.5
over 3under 4avg −1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
CA Baptist
12 games played
Straight up
9-3
75% wins
Against the spread
6-6
50% covers · avg +1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-8
33% overs · avg −1.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs UPST | W 87-75 | -14.5 | L −2.5 | 152.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 7 | @ UCI | W 69-61 | +8.5 | W +16.5 | 147.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 14 | vs WIU | W 69-59 | -15.5 | L −5.5 | 140.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 18 | vs UCR | W 80-57 | -12.5 | W +10.5 | 142.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 21 | vs GRAM | W 72-59 | -14.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 25 | vs USD | W 76-61 | -7.5 | W +7.5 | 146.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 29 | @ ORST | W 75-69 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 137.5 | O 144 |
| Dec 1 | @ COLO | L 70-78 | +13.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 3 | @ BYU | L 60-91 | +18.5 | L −12.5 | 153.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 6 | @ UTAH | L 85-91 | +5.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 176 |
| Dec 12 | @ EWU | W 88-83 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 153.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 16 | vs SOU | W 75-67 | -12.5 | L −4.5 | 155.5 | U 142 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUPST
UPSTW 87-75
−2.5
7
@UCI
UCIW 69-61
+16.5
14
vsWIU
WIUW 69-59
−5.5
18
vsUCR
UCRW 80-57
+10.5
21
vsGRAM
GRAMW 72-59
−1.5
25
vsUSD
USDW 76-61
+7.5
29
@ORST
ORSTW 75-69
+7.5
1
@COLO
COLOL 70-78
+5.5
3
@BYU
BYUL 60-91
−12.5
6
@UTAH
UTAHL 85-91
−0.5
12
@EWU
EWUW 88-83
+1.5
16
vsSOU
SOUW 75-67
−4.5
covered 6didn’t cover 6avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUPST
UPSTW 87-75
+9.5
7
@UCI
UCIW 69-61
−17.5
14
vsWIU
WIUW 69-59
−12.5
18
vsUCR
UCRW 80-57
−5.5
21
vsGRAM
GRAMW 72-59
−13.5
25
vsUSD
USDW 76-61
−9.5
29
@ORST
ORSTW 75-69
+6.5
1
@COLO
COLOL 70-78
−2.5
3
@BYU
BYUL 60-91
−2.5
6
@UTAH
UTAHL 85-91
+30.5
12
@EWU
EWUW 88-83
+17.5
16
vsSOU
SOUW 75-67
−13.5
over 4under 8avg −1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Sacramento St
1-6 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Baylor88–110
- L@ Pacific54–68
- L@ California67–91
- L@ UCLA48–79
- Wvs Presbyterian64–62
A week or more of rest.
CA Baptist
9-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Southern75–67
- W@ E Washington88–83
- L@ Utah85–91
- L@ BYU60–91
- L@ Colorado70–78
4 days since their last game.