Physical Education Complex · at Coppin St · Conference game
#197HOWHoward
@
#352COPPCoppin St
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
Season records: Howard and Coppin St
HOWThis seasonCOPP
8-9Record2-19
9-8ATS8-13
6-11O/U15-6

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects HOW 78–68 · win probability HOW 83%
Line
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no line yet
Total
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model 146.0
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: HOW has more of the edges

HOW 7, COPP 1 · 2025-26 so far
HOWBig
Three-pointers
HOW hits 35.8% and allows 31.4%; COPP hits 30.7% and allows 38.3%. Threes are 34.7% and 35.2% of their shots
HOWBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: HOW 50.9 and allows 48.7; COPP 45.9 and allows 55.4
HOWBig
COPP offense vs HOW defense
Offense 351st of 366 against a defense 206th, on the model’s ratings
HOWBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: HOW 35.8%, COPP 30.4%. Defensive: HOW 68.6%, COPP 65.3%
HOWBig
HOW offense vs COPP defense
Offense 196th of 366 against a defense 324th, on the model’s ratings
HOWSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: HOW 43.5, COPP 38.5. Allowed: HOW 38.4, COPP 42.9
HOWSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: HOW 19.3%, COPP 22.3%. Forced: HOW 20.7%, COPP 17.6%
COPPSmall
Home court
COPP at home. This season: COPP 0-3 at home, HOW 3-6 away
Context
Schedule so far
HOW has played the 348th-hardest schedule, COPP the 313th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: HOW 76%, COPP 68%. Transfers in: HOW 2, COPP 3. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Context
Tempo
About 69 possessions: HOW plays 69.5 a game (144th fastest), COPP 69.3 (159th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Rest
HOW 2 days since its last game, COPP 2
Even
Recent form
Last 5: HOW 2-3 ATS, margin +5.2; COPP 2-3 ATS, margin -8.2

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—HOW -10.8—
Total—146.0—
Projected score—HOW 78.4 · COPP 67.6

1st-half model

ModelActual
1H spreadHOW -6.5—
1H total68.4—
1H projected scoreHOW 37.5 · COPP 30.9—

Howard has the better starters

Position by position: Howard 3, Coppin St 0, even 2
HowardBetterCoppin St
G C. Gillus10.8 pts · 4.4 reb · 4.7 ast Score 52
HOWSmall
G H. Williams7.3 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.8 ast Score 27
G C. Taylor17.2 pts · 6.4 reb · 3 ast Score 89
HOWBig
G C. Sparrow5.9 pts · 3.6 reb · 1.3 ast Score 40
G A. Cotton8.3 pts · 2.7 reb · 1.1 ast Score 15
Even
G J. Piercy6.8 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.8 ast Score 23
G O. Okojie10.3 pts · 4 reb · 1.6 ast Score 61
HOWBig
F N. Lamizana6.6 pts · 3 reb · 0.9 ast Score 18
C G. Kocevar TR3.2 pts · 2.2 reb · 0.6 ast Score 31
Even
F T. Koenig5.4 pts · 3.8 reb · 0.4 ast Score 28
HowardBetterCoppin St
HOW offense196th of 366 · -6.1
HOWBig
COPP defense324th of 366 · -8.4
HOW defense206th of 366 · -5.2
HOWBig
COPP offense351st of 366 · -12.8
Backcourt-1.0 · 4 players
HOWSmall
Backcourt-3.8 · 3 players
Frontcourt-0.5 · 1 player
HOWSmall
Frontcourt-2.6 · 2 players
Bench-3.1 · 5 players
HOWBig
Bench-6.3 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestHOW betterCOPP betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Howard
Guards
C. Gillus34 minC. Taylor32 minA. Cotton27 minO. Okojie26 minI. Brown10 minJ. Johnson6 min
Forwards
C. Robins6 minJ. Johnson3 minJ. LawsonNewD. HarrisNew
Centers
G. Kocevar13 min · TRJ. Brown6 min · TR
Coppin St
Guards
H. Williams20 minC. Sparrow19 minJ. Piercy18 minB. Saunders16 minD. Lydner12 minJ. Brown5 min
Forwards
N. Lamizana19 minT. Koenig17 minT. Gapare16 min · TRE. TaylorNewL. LawalNewA. MyersNew
Centers
F. Aire9 min

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
HOWCOPP
Scoring
75.5 #155Points per game64.3 #352
1.09 #162Points per possession0.93 #362
69.5 #144Pace (possessions)69.3 #159
Shooting
50.9 #198Effective FG%45.9 #350
35.8 #683-point %30.7 #326
34.7 #2833-point attempt rate35.2 #273
43.5 #17Free throw rate38.5 #90
Possessions
19.3 #331Turnover rate22.3 #363
35.8 #28Offensive rebound rate30.4 #183
15.2 #78Assists per game11.4 #317
Defense
69.3 #51Points allowed81.0 #334
1.00 #24Points allowed per possession1.17 #342
48.7 #53Opponent effective FG%55.4 #339
31.4 #41Opponent 3-point %38.3 #360
20.7 #13Turnovers forced17.6 #118
68.6 #223Defensive rebound rate65.3 #333
8.3 #29Steals per game6.0 #233
3.7 #113Blocks per game3.5 #143

Howard

8-9 overall · 2-3 in conference · Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Morgan St77–78
  • W@ NC Central83–69
  • Wvs Delaware St84–58
  • L@ MD Eastern57–69
  • L@ SC State57–58

2 days since their last game.

Coppin St

2-19 overall · 1-4 in conference · Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ Norfolk St76–103
  • L@ MD Eastern67–70
  • Lvs SC State72–74
  • Lvs NC Central77–88
  • W@ Delaware St53–51

2 days since their last game.