Kohl Center · at Wisconsin
Closing line
WIS -19.5✓ WIS covered by 0.5
WIS -19.5✓ WIS covered by 0.5Closing total157.5Under by 17.5
 MILW | This season | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| 6-6 | Record | 8-4 |
| 5-7 | ATS | 6-6 |
| 6-6 | O/U | 7-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MILW 71–89 WIS · ✓ WIS (95%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MILW | 21 | 39 | 60 |
| WIS | 37 | 43 | 80 |
1st half: MILW 21, WIS 37 (WIS by 16). The model had WIS by 10.9 and a total of 74.6 (actual 58).
Team stats
| MILW | WIS | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-63 33% | Field goals | 28-57 49% |
| 3-22 14% | 3-pointers | 4-22 18% |
| 15-21 71% | Free throws | 20-32 63% |
| 40 13 off | Rebounds | 40 7 off |
| 5 | Assists | 14 |
| 6 | Steals | 5 |
| 3 | Blocks | 4 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 23 | Fouls | 22 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 46 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 15 |
Players
| MILW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Dorceus G | 34 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Josh Dixon G | 29 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 6-15 | 1-6 |
| Aaron Franklin G | 26 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0-5 | 0-2 |
| Faizon Fields F | 25 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Danilo Jovanovich F | 20 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-9 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Amar Augillard G | 27 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 4-15 | 1-7 |
| Sekou Konneh F | 14 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 4-9 | 0-1 |
| Esyah Pippa-White G | 13 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Simeon Murchison F | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Austin Villarreal G | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Tate Mackenzie, Chandler Jackson, Ned Renfree, Stevie Elam, John Lovelace Jr., Seth Hubbard
| WIS | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Blackwell G | 28 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Aleksas Bieliauskas F | 22 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-3 |
| Nick Boyd G | 22 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 5-7 | 0-1 |
| Nolan Winter F | 21 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 5-8 | 1-3 |
| Andrew Rohde G | 20 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3-6 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Zach Kinziger G | 18 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2-7 | 0-3 |
| Austin Rapp F | 18 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2-7 | 0-3 |
| Jack Janicki G | 14 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Will Garlock F | 12 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Hayden Jones G | 11 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Jack Robison G | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Braeden Carrington G | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Riccardo Greppi F | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Isaac Gard G | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Elijah Gray
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenWIS -20.5
1 → MILW
CloseWIS -19.5
1 pt toward MILW
Total
Open155.5
▲ 2
Close157.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
MILW +1400 · WIS -3200
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened WIS -20.5 · closed WIS -19.5 · moved 1 toward MILWmodel WIS -18.5
model WIS -18.5
Opened 155.5 · closed 157.5 · moved 2 upmodel 159.5
model 159.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | WIS -19.5 | WIS -18.4 | MILW +1.1 | L WIS covered |
| Total | 157.5 | 159.3 | Over 1.8 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | MILW 70.5 · WIS 88.8 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | WIS -10.9 | WIS -16.0 |
| 1H total | 74.6 | 58 |
| 1H projected score | MILW 31.9 · WIS 42.7 | MILW 21 · WIS 37 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MILW | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
| WIS | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Milwaukee
12 games played
Straight up
6-6
50% wins
Against the spread
5-7
42% covers · avg +0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-6
50% overs · avg −1.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs HAMP | W 90-86 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 8 | @ WOF | L 76-86 | -3.5 | L −13.5 | 150.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 10 | vs LR | W 92-72 | -3.5 | W +16.5 | 156.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 12 | @ IU | L 70-101 | +24.5 | L −6.5 | 165.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 14 | @ TTU | L 63-80 | +27.5 | W +10.5 | 165.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 22 | @ WICH | L 58-75 | +10.5 | L −6.5 | 158.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 29 | @ AKR | L 81-105 | +12.5 | L −11.5 | 166.5 | O 186 |
| Dec 6 | vs RMU | W 74-72 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 14 | vs INST | L 68-70 | -2.5 | L −4.5 | 159.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 19 | vs SDST | W 88-87 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 151.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 21 | @ CLE | W 81-71 | -6.5 | W +3.5 | 160.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 29 | vs PFW | W 77-55 | -3.5 | W +18.5 | 156.5 | U 132 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsHAMP
HAMPW 90-86
−1.5
8
@WOF
WOFL 76-86
−13.5
10
vsLR
LRW 92-72
+16.5
12
@IU
IUL 70-101
−6.5
14
@TTU
TTUL 63-80
+10.5
22
@WICH
WICHL 58-75
−6.5
29
@AKR
AKRL 81-105
−11.5
6
vsRMU
RMUW 74-72
−2.5
14
vsINST
INSTL 68-70
−4.5
19
vsSDST
SDSTW 88-87
+2.5
21
@CLE
CLEW 81-71
+3.5
29
vsPFW
PFWW 77-55
+18.5
covered 5didn’t cover 7avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsHAMP
HAMPW 90-86
+29.5
8
@WOF
WOFL 76-86
+11.5
10
vsLR
LRW 92-72
+7.5
12
@IU
IUL 70-101
+5.5
14
@TTU
TTUL 63-80
−22.5
22
@WICH
WICHL 58-75
−25.5
29
@AKR
AKRL 81-105
+19.5
6
vsRMU
RMUW 74-72
−7.5
14
vsINST
INSTL 68-70
−21.5
19
vsSDST
SDSTW 88-87
+23.5
21
@CLE
CLEW 81-71
−8.5
29
vsPFW
PFWW 77-55
−24.5
over 6under 6avg −1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Wisconsin
12 games played
Straight up
8-4
67% wins
Against the spread
6-6
50% covers · avg −3.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-5
58% overs · avg +1.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CAM | W 96-64 | -20.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 7 | vs NIU | W 97-72 | -28.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 11 | vs BALL | W 86-55 | -26.5 | W +4.5 | 156.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 17 | vs SIUE | W 94-69 | -25.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 21 | @ BYU | L 70-98 | +4.5 | L −23.5 | 165.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 27 | vs PROV | W 104-83 | -6.5 | W +14.5 | 166.5 | O 187 |
| Nov 28 | vs TCU | L 63-74 | -5.5 | L −16.5 | 157.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 3 | vs NU | W 85-73 | -10.5 | W +1.5 | 155.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 6 | vs MARQ | W 96-76 | -11.5 | W +8.5 | 160.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 10 | @ NEB | L 60-90 | +1.5 | L −28.5 | 158.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 19 | vs VILL | L 66-76 | -3.5 | L −13.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 22 | vs CMU | W 88-61 | -26.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | U 149 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCAM
CAMW 96-64
+11.5
7
vsNIU
NIUW 97-72
−3.5
11
vsBALL
BALLW 86-55
+4.5
17
vsSIUE
SIUEW 94-69
−0.5
21
@BYU
BYUL 70-98
−23.5
27
vsPROV
PROVW 104-83
+14.5
28
vsTCU
TCUL 63-74
−16.5
3
vsNU
NUW 85-73
+1.5
6
vsMARQ
MARQW 96-76
+8.5
10
@NEB
NEBL 60-90
−28.5
19
vsVILL
VILLL 66-76
−13.5
22
vsCMU
CMUW 88-61
+0.5
covered 6didn’t cover 6avg −3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCAM
CAMW 96-64
+8.5
7
vsNIU
NIUW 97-72
+11.5
11
vsBALL
BALLW 86-55
−15.5
17
vsSIUE
SIUEW 94-69
+16.5
21
@BYU
BYUL 70-98
+2.5
27
vsPROV
PROVW 104-83
+20.5
28
vsTCU
TCUL 63-74
−20.5
3
vsNU
NUW 85-73
+2.5
6
vsMARQ
MARQW 96-76
+11.5
10
@NEB
NEBL 60-90
−8.5
19
vsVILL
VILLL 66-76
−10.5
22
vsCMU
CMUW 88-61
−3.5
over 7under 5avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Milwaukee
6-6 overall · 3-0 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Purdue FW77–55
- W@ Cleveland St81–71
- Wvs S Dakota St88–87
- Lvs Indiana St68–70
- Wvs Robert Morris74–72
1 day since their last game.
Wisconsin
8-4 overall · 1-1 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs C Michigan88–61
- Lvs Villanova66–76
- L@ Nebraska60–90
- Wvs Marquette96–76
- Wvs Northwestern85–73
A week or more of rest.