JMA Wireless Dome · at Syracuse · Conference game
Closing line
SYR -4.5✓ SYR covered by 3.5
SYR -4.5✓ SYR covered by 3.5Closing total160.5Over by 19.5
 FSU | This season | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| 7-9 | Record | 11-5 |
| 8-8 | ATS | 8-8 |
| 7-9 | O/U | 7-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: FSU 76–82 SYR · ✓ SYR (70%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FSU | 40 | 46 | 86 |
| SYR | 43 | 51 | 94 |
1st half: FSU 40, SYR 43 (SYR by 3). The model had SYR by 3.5 and a total of 74.1 (actual 83).
Team stats
| FSU | SYR | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-62 45% | Field goals | 37-62 60% |
| 10-27 37% | 3-pointers | 11-27 41% |
| 20-27 74% | Free throws | 9-15 60% |
| 33 15 off | Rebounds | 34 11 off |
| 12 | Assists | 22 |
| 8 | Steals | 9 |
| 2 | Blocks | 7 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 16 | Fouls | 17 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 46 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 24 |
Players
| FSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobe MaGee G | 32 | 20 | 4 | 3 | 5-12 | 2-8 |
| Robert McCray V G | 30 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 5-14 | 1-5 |
| Thomas Bassong F | 27 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2-7 | 0-2 |
| Chauncey Wiggins F | 26 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2-4 | 2-2 |
| Alier Maluk F | 10 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Lajae Jones G | 26 | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6-10 | 1-3 |
| Alex Steen F | 24 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| Martin Somerville G | 22 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 4-9 | 4-7 |
| AJ Swinton F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jalen Crawford, Shah Muhammad, Max Garcia-Plata, Cam Miles, Xavier Osceola
| SYR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donnie Freeman F | 34 | 25 | 8 | 2 | 9-12 | 1-3 |
| J.J. Starling G | 33 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 7-10 | 0-1 |
| Naithan George G | 29 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 3-6 | 2-5 |
| William Kyle III F | 28 | 11 | 9 | 1 | 5-7 | 0-0 |
| Nate Kingz G | 18 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-7 | 2-7 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tyler Betsey F | 22 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 6-9 | 6-8 |
| Kiyan Anthony G | 18 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2-7 | 0-3 |
| Sadiq White Jr. F | 13 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Akir Souare F | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Noah Lobdell, Aaron Womack III, Luke Fennell, Tiefing Diawara, Bryce Zephir, Calvin Russell III
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSYR -8.5
4 → FSU
CloseSYR -4.5
4 pts toward FSU
Total
Open158.5
▲ 2
Close160.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
FSU +200 · SYR -245
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SYR -8.5 · closed SYR -4.5 · moved 4 toward FSUmodel SYR -6
model SYR -6
Opened 158.5 · closed 160.5 · moved 2 upmodel 158.5
model 158.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | SYR -4.5 | SYR -6.1 | SYR +1.6 | W SYR covered |
| Total | 160.5 | 158.3 | Under 2.2 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | FSU 76.1 · SYR 82.2 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | SYR -3.5 | SYR -3.0 |
| 1H total | 74.1 | 83 |
| 1H projected score | FSU 35.3 · SYR 38.8 | FSU 40 · SYR 43 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FSU | 2-8 20% | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% |
| SYR | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
FSU 3–4 SYRSYR leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · FSU 3-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2024-25 | SYR 66 vs FSU 62 | FSU -3.5 | SYR W |
| Jan 4, 2024-25 | SYR 74 @ FSU 90 | FSU -8.5 | FSU W |
| Jan 23, 2023-24 | FSU 85 @ SYR 69 | SYR -2.5 | FSU W |
| Feb 8, 2022-23 | SYR 76 @ FSU 67 | FSU +3.5 | SYR W |
| Mar 9, 2021-22 | SYR 96 vs FSU 57 | FSU -2 | SYR W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Florida St
16 games played
Straight up
7-9
44% wins
Against the spread
8-8
50% covers · avg −6.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-9
44% overs · avg −1.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs ALCN | W 108-76 | -27.5 | W +4.5 | 156.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 7 | vs ALST | W 101-64 | -24.5 | W +12.5 | 166.5 | U 165 |
| Nov 11 | @ FLA | L 76-78 | +17.5 | W +15.5 | 180.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 18 | vs UTM | W 87-73 | -19.5 | L −5.5 | 165.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 21 | vs GASO | W 98-72 | -18.5 | W +7.5 | 175.5 | U 170 |
| Nov 25 | vs CSUB | W 89-59 | -26.5 | W +3.5 | 159.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 28 | vs TA&M | L 59-95 | -1.5 | L −37.5 | 174.5 | U 154 |
| Dec 2 | vs UGA | L 73-107 | -1.5 | L −35.5 | 176.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 6 | vs HOU | L 67-82 | +12.5 | L −2.5 | 148.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 13 | vs MASS | L 95-103 | -12.5 | L −20.5 | 165.5 | O 198 |
| Dec 16 | @ DAY | L 69-97 | +6.5 | L −21.5 | 162.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 19 | vs MVSU | W 96-49 | -40.5 | W +6.5 | 164.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 22 | vs JAX | W 87-63 | -23.5 | W +0.5 | 159.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 30 | @ UNC | L 66-79 | +12.5 | L −0.5 | 166.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 3 | vs DUKE | L 87-91 | +16.5 | W +12.5 | 163.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 10 | vs NCSU | L 69-113 | +4.5 | L −39.5 | 160.5 | O 182 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsALCN
ALCNW 108-76
+4.5
7
vsALST
ALSTW 101-64
+12.5
11
@FLA
FLAL 76-78
+15.5
18
vsUTM
UTMW 87-73
−5.5
21
vsGASO
GASOW 98-72
+7.5
25
vsCSUB
CSUBW 89-59
+3.5
28
vsTA&M
TA&ML 59-95
−37.5
2
vsUGA
UGAL 73-107
−35.5
6
vsHOU
HOUL 67-82
−2.5
13
vsMASS
MASSL 95-103
−20.5
16
@DAY
DAYL 69-97
−21.5
19
vsMVSU
MVSUW 96-49
+6.5
22
vsJAX
JAXW 87-63
+0.5
30
@UNC
UNCL 66-79
−0.5
3
vsDUKE
DUKEL 87-91
+12.5
10
vsNCSU
NCSUL 69-113
−39.5
covered 8didn’t cover 8avg −6.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsALCN
ALCNW 108-76
+27.5
7
vsALST
ALSTW 101-64
−1.5
11
@FLA
FLAL 76-78
−26.5
18
vsUTM
UTMW 87-73
−5.5
21
vsGASO
GASOW 98-72
−5.5
25
vsCSUB
CSUBW 89-59
−11.5
28
vsTA&M
TA&ML 59-95
−20.5
2
vsUGA
UGAL 73-107
+3.5
6
vsHOU
HOUL 67-82
+0.5
13
vsMASS
MASSL 95-103
+32.5
16
@DAY
DAYL 69-97
+3.5
19
vsMVSU
MVSUW 96-49
−19.5
22
vsJAX
JAXW 87-63
−9.5
30
@UNC
UNCL 66-79
−21.5
3
vsDUKE
DUKEL 87-91
+14.5
10
vsNCSU
NCSUL 69-113
+21.5
over 7under 9avg −1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Syracuse
16 games played
Straight up
11-5
69% wins
Against the spread
8-8
50% covers · avg +1.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-9
44% overs · avg −3.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs BING | W 85-47 | -21.5 | W +16.5 | 153.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 8 | vs DSU | W 83-43 | -26.5 | W +13.5 | 157.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 15 | vs DREX | W 80-50 | -11.5 | W +18.5 | 143.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 18 | vs MONM | W 78-73 | -21.5 | L −16.5 | 145.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 24 | vsHOU | L 74-78 | +14.5 | W +10.5 | 140.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 25 | vs KU | L 60-71 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 26 | vs ISU | L 64-95 | +10.5 | L −20.5 | 145.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 2 | vs TENN | W 62-60 | +7.5 | W +9.5 | 147.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 11 | vs JOES | W 71-63 | -11.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 13 | vs HOF | L 69-70 | -9.5 | L −10.5 | 139.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 17 | vs MERC | W 76-62 | -24.5 | L −10.5 | 131.5 | O 138 |
| Dec 20 | vs NE | W 91-83 | -14.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | O 174 |
| Dec 22 | vs STO | W 77-48 | -22.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 31 | vs CLEM | L 61-64 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 140.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 6 | @ GT | W 82-72 | -2.5 | W +7.5 | 146.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 10 | @ PITT | W 83-72 | +1.5 | W +12.5 | 142.5 | O 155 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsBING
BINGW 85-47
+16.5
8
vsDSU
DSUW 83-43
+13.5
15
vsDREX
DREXW 80-50
+18.5
18
vsMONM
MONMW 78-73
−16.5
24
vsHOU
HOUL 74-78
+10.5
25
vsKU
KUL 60-71
−6.5
26
vsISU
ISUL 64-95
−20.5
2
vsTENN
TENNW 62-60
+9.5
11
vsJOES
JOESW 71-63
−3.5
13
vsHOF
HOFL 69-70
−10.5
17
vsMERC
MERCW 76-62
−10.5
20
vsNE
NEW 91-83
−6.5
22
vsSTO
STOW 77-48
+6.5
31
vsCLEM
CLEML 61-64
−1.5
6
@GT
GTW 82-72
+7.5
10
@PITT
PITTW 83-72
+12.5
covered 8didn’t cover 8avg +1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBING
BINGW 85-47
−21.5
8
vsDSU
DSUW 83-43
−31.5
15
vsDREX
DREXW 80-50
−13.5
18
vsMONM
MONMW 78-73
+5.5
24
vsHOU
HOUL 74-78
+11.5
25
vsKU
KUL 60-71
−13.5
26
vsISU
ISUL 64-95
+13.5
2
vsTENN
TENNW 62-60
−25.5
11
vsJOES
JOESW 71-63
−12.5
13
vsHOF
HOFL 69-70
−0.5
17
vsMERC
MERCW 76-62
+6.5
20
vsNE
NEW 91-83
+33.5
22
vsSTO
STOW 77-48
−15.5
31
vsCLEM
CLEML 61-64
−15.5
6
@GT
GTW 82-72
+7.5
10
@PITT
PITTW 83-72
+12.5
over 7under 9avg −3.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Florida St
7-9 overall · 0-3 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs NC State69–113
- Lvs Duke87–91
- L@ North Carolina66–79
- Wvs Jacksonville87–63
- Wvs Miss Valley St96–49
3 days since their last game.
Syracuse
11-5 overall · 2-1 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Pitt83–72
- W@ Georgia Tech82–72
- Lvs Clemson61–64
- Wvs Stonehill77–48
- Wvs Northeastern91–83
3 days since their last game.