Cassell Coliseum · at Virginia Tech · Conference game
Closing line
UVA -5.5✓ VT covered by 15.5
UVA -5.5✓ VT covered by 15.5Closing total153.5Over by 26.5
| UVA | This season | VT |
|---|---|---|
| 11-1 | Record | 11-2 |
| 7-5 | ATS | 7-6 |
| 6-6 | O/U | 7-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UVA 79–76 VT · ✗ UVA (63%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | 2OT | 3OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA | 24 | 31 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 85 |
| VT | 23 | 32 | 13 | 10 | 17 | 95 |
1st half: UVA 24, VT 23 (UVA by 1). The model had UVA by 2.4 and a total of 72.4 (actual 47).
Team stats
| UVA | VT | |
|---|---|---|
| 32-89 36% | Field goals | 29-82 35% |
| 10-45 22% | 3-pointers | 9-28 32% |
| 11-15 73% | Free throws | 28-41 68% |
| 54 17 off | Rebounds | 60 20 off |
| 15 | Assists | 12 |
| 9 | Steals | 7 |
| 7 | Blocks | 5 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 27 | Fouls | 16 |
| 44 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| UVA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thijs De Ridder F | 45 | 22 | 13 | 5 | 9-20 | 3-11 |
| Dallin Hall G | 41 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 1-5 | 1-4 |
| Devin Tillis F | 39 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 3-12 | 2-7 |
| Johann Grunloh C | 35 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 4-10 | 1-4 |
| Malik Thomas G | 29 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 8-20 | 2-9 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Chance Mallory G | 31 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4-11 | 1-5 |
| Sam Lewis G | 24 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0-5 | 0-2 |
| Ugonna Onyenso C | 20 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-1 |
| Elijah Gertrude G | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Silas Barksdale, Desmond Roberts, Jacari White, Martin Carrere, Owen Odom, Carter Lang
| VT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amani Hansberry F | 51 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 5-16 | 2-5 |
| Neo Avdalas G | 49 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5-21 | 3-11 |
| Christian Gurdak C | 46 | 17 | 19 | 1 | 7-10 | 0-0 |
| Jaden Schutt G | 37 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 3-11 | 3-8 |
| Jailen Bedford G | 29 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-8 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ben Hammond G | 42 | 30 | 5 | 5 | 7-16 | 0-0 |
| Sin'Cere Jones F | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Izaiah Pasha G | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Tyler Johnson, Tobi Lawal, Brett Freeman, Shamarius Peterkin, Solomon Davis, Antonio Dorn
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUVA -5.5
ModelUVA -3.7
Model edgeVT +1.8
W VT covered
Total
Market153.5
Model154.7
Model edgeOver 1.2
W Over
Projected score
UVA 79.2 · VT 75.5
UVA 85 · VT 95
Win probability
UVA 63%
1st half
Spread
UVA -2.4
UVA -1.0
Total
72.4
47 points
Projected score
UVA 37.4 · VT 35
UVA 24 · VT 23
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUVA -4.5
1 → UVA
CloseUVA -5.5
1 pt toward UVA
Total
Open153.5
no move
Close153.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
UVA -258 · VT +210
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UVA -4.5 · closed UVA -5.5 · moved 1 toward UVAmodel UVA -3.5
model UVA -3.5
Opened 153.5 · unchangedmodel 154.5
model 154.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UVA | 9-1 90% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
| VT | 8-2 80% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
UVA 4–4 VTSeries tied · 8 games since 2021-22 · UVA 4-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | UVA 73 @ VT 70 | VT -1.5 | UVA W |
| Feb 1, 2024-25 | VT 75 @ UVA 74 | UVA -4.5 | VT W |
| Feb 19, 2023-24 | UVA 41 @ VT 75 | VT -3.5 | VT W |
| Jan 17, 2023-24 | VT 57 @ UVA 65 | UVA -4.5 | UVA W |
| Feb 4, 2022-23 | UVA 68 @ VT 74 | VT -1.5 | VT W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Virginia
12 games played
Straight up
11-1
92% wins
Against the spread
7-5
58% covers · avg +1.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-6
50% overs · avg +2.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs RID | W 87-53 | -26.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 7 | vs NCCU | W 81-62 | -34.5 | L −15.5 | 151.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 11 | vs HAMP | W 91-53 | -24.5 | W +13.5 | 148.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 15 | vs MRSH | W 104-78 | -20.5 | W +5.5 | 155.5 | O 182 |
| Nov 21 | vs NU | W 83-78 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 149.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 23 | vs BTLR | L 73-80 | -6.5 | L −13.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 28 | vs QUC | W 94-69 | -25.5 | L −0.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 3 | @ TEX | W 88-69 | +3.5 | W +22.5 | 154.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 6 | vs DAY | W 86-73 | -5.5 | W +7.5 | 147.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 9 | vs UMES | W 84-60 | -36.5 | L −12.5 | 134.5 | O 144 |
| Dec 20 | vs MD | W 80-72 | -16.5 | L −8.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 22 | vs AMER | W 95-51 | -27.5 | W +16.5 | 153.5 | U 146 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsRID
RIDW 87-53
+7.5
7
vsNCCU
NCCUW 81-62
−15.5
11
vsHAMP
HAMPW 91-53
+13.5
15
vsMRSH
MRSHW 104-78
+5.5
21
vsNU
NUW 83-78
+0.5
23
vsBTLR
BTLRL 73-80
−13.5
28
vsQUC
QUCW 94-69
−0.5
3
@TEX
TEXW 88-69
+22.5
6
vsDAY
DAYW 86-73
+7.5
9
vsUMES
UMESW 84-60
−12.5
20
vsMD
MDW 80-72
−8.5
22
vsAMER
AMERW 95-51
+16.5
covered 7didn’t cover 5avg +1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsRID
RIDW 87-53
−8.5
7
vsNCCU
NCCUW 81-62
−8.5
11
vsHAMP
HAMPW 91-53
−4.5
15
vsMRSH
MRSHW 104-78
+26.5
21
vsNU
NUW 83-78
+11.5
23
vsBTLR
BTLRL 73-80
−2.5
28
vsQUC
QUCW 94-69
+2.5
3
@TEX
TEXW 88-69
+2.5
6
vsDAY
DAYW 86-73
+11.5
9
vsUMES
UMESW 84-60
+9.5
20
vsMD
MDW 80-72
−1.5
22
vsAMER
AMERW 95-51
−7.5
over 6under 6avg +2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Virginia Tech
13 games played
Straight up
11-2
85% wins
Against the spread
7-6
54% covers · avg +0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-6
54% overs · avg +5.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CHSO | W 98-67 | -18.5 | W +12.5 | 146.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 8 | vs PROV | W 107-101 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 157.5 | O 208 |
| Nov 12 | vs JOES | W 94-59 | -12.5 | W +22.5 | 158.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 16 | vs CLT | W 84-76 | -18.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 19 | vs BRY | W 78-61 | -24.5 | L −7.5 | 151.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 26 | vs CSU | W 66-64 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 27 | vs SMC | L 66-77 | +5.5 | L −5.5 | 144.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 28 | vs VCU | L 68-86 | +2.5 | L −15.5 | 153.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 2 | @ SC | W 86-83 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 149.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 6 | vs GMU | W 73-62 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 144.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 11 | vs WCU | W 96-74 | -20.5 | W +1.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 14 | vsUMES | W 82-53 | -27.5 | W +1.5 | 139.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 20 | vs ELON | W 82-81 | -12.5 | L −11.5 | 158.5 | O 163 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCHSO
CHSOW 98-67
+12.5
8
vsPROV
PROVW 107-101
+8.5
12
vsJOES
JOESW 94-59
+22.5
16
vsCLT
CLTW 84-76
−10.5
19
vsBRY
BRYW 78-61
−7.5
26
vsCSU
CSUW 66-64
−2.5
27
vsSMC
SMCL 66-77
−5.5
28
vsVCU
VCUL 68-86
−15.5
2
@SC
SCW 86-83
+5.5
6
vsGMU
GMUW 73-62
+6.5
11
vsWCU
WCUW 96-74
+1.5
14
vsUMES
UMESW 82-53
+1.5
20
vsELON
ELONW 82-81
−11.5
covered 7didn’t cover 6avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCHSO
CHSOW 98-67
+18.5
8
vsPROV
PROVW 107-101
+50.5
12
vsJOES
JOESW 94-59
−5.5
16
vsCLT
CLTW 84-76
+14.5
19
vsBRY
BRYW 78-61
−12.5
26
vsCSU
CSUW 66-64
−23.5
27
vsSMC
SMCL 66-77
−1.5
28
vsVCU
VCUL 68-86
+0.5
2
@SC
SCW 86-83
+19.5
6
vsGMU
GMUW 73-62
−9.5
11
vsWCU
WCUW 96-74
+17.5
14
vsUMES
UMESW 82-53
−4.5
20
vsELON
ELONW 82-81
+4.5
over 7under 6avg +5.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Virginia
11-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs American95–51
- Wvs Maryland80–72
- Wvs MD Eastern84–60
- Wvs Dayton86–73
- W@ Texas88–69
A week or more of rest.
Virginia Tech
11-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Elon82–81
- Wvs MD Eastern82–53
- Wvs W Carolina96–74
- Wvs George Mason73–62
- W@ South Carolina86–83
A week or more of rest.