Alumni Hall (Navy) · at Navy
Closing line
NAVY -9.5✓ AF covered by 4.5
NAVY -9.5✓ AF covered by 4.5Closing total133.5Under by 16.5
 AF | This season | NAVY |
|---|---|---|
| 3-7 | Record | 4-5 |
| 3-7 | ATS | 4-5 |
| 4-6 | O/U | 3-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: AF 63–74 NAVY · ✓ NAVY (84%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| AF | 25 | 31 | 56 |
| NAVY | 24 | 37 | 61 |
1st half: AF 25, NAVY 24 (AF by 1). The model had NAVY by 6.8 and a total of 64.2 (actual 49).
Team stats
| AF | NAVY | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-53 40% | Field goals | 21-53 40% |
| 6-25 24% | 3-pointers | 5-15 33% |
| 8-14 57% | Free throws | 14-15 93% |
| 33 6 off | Rebounds | 36 6 off |
| 11 | Assists | 15 |
| 4 | Steals | 5 |
| 5 | Blocks | 4 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 17 | Fouls | 16 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 0 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| AF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Hobin F | 34 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 4-11 | 2-8 |
| Kam Sanders G | 34 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 4-12 | 2-6 |
| Eli Robinson F | 28 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Wesley Celichowski C | 21 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2-7 | 0-3 |
| Ethan Greenberg G | 17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Justin Hinds G | 27 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 3-7 | 2-5 |
| Caleb Walker F | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 6-9 | 0-0 |
| Kolby Gilles F | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| A.J. Patterson G | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Brendan Martin, Chris Catchings, Sam Imade, Keaton Frisch, Riley Dering, Elliott Taite, Kyle Marshall, Josh Gatete
| NAVY | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Benigni G | 40 | 25 | 7 | 5 | 7-15 | 3-6 |
| Aidan Kehoe C | 36 | 10 | 15 | 1 | 5-8 | 0-0 |
| Jinwoo Kim G | 33 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 3-11 | 2-4 |
| Donovan Draper F | 27 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3-7 | 0-1 |
| Mike Woods F | 25 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jordan Pennick G | 24 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Cam Cole G | 13 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Cooper Jackson F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Owen Gray, Matt Gaffney, Colin Pollock, Steven McLeod, Jerry Ashley Jr., Jordan McConnell, Luke Morgan, C.J. Kearns, Tobi Raji, David Burnett, Davyn de Jongh, Julien King and 5 more
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketNAVY -9.5
ModelNAVY -11.5
Model edgeNAVY +2.0
L AF covered
Total
Market133.5
Model136.8
Model edgeOver 3.3
L Under
Projected score
AF 62.7 · NAVY 74.2
AF 56 · NAVY 61
Win probability
NAVY 84%
1st half
Spread
NAVY -6.8
AF -1.0
Total
64.2
49 points
Projected score
AF 28.7 · NAVY 35.5
AF 25 · NAVY 24
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNAVY -9.5
no move
CloseNAVY -9.5
No change since the open
Total
Open137.5
▼ 4
Close133.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
AF +390 · NAVY -520
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NAVY -9.5 · unchangedmodel NAVY -11.5
model NAVY -11.5
Opened 137.5 · closed 133.5 · moved 4 downmodel 137
model 137
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| AF | 3-7 30% | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% |
| NAVYlast 9 | 4-5 44% | 4-5 44% | 3-6 33% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Air Force
10 games played
Straight up
3-7
30% wins
Against the spread
3-7
30% covers · avg −3.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-6
40% overs · avg −1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ BEL | L 63-79 | +15.5 | L −0.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 8 | vs APSU | L 54-74 | +1.5 | L −18.5 | 136.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 11 | vs LIU | L 72-76 | +5.5 | W +1.5 | 137.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 15 | vs M-OH | L 61-76 | +10.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 19 | vs ALST | W 66-64 | -2.5 | L −0.5 | 138.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 21 | vs SIUE | W 77-63 | +2.5 | W +16.5 | 130.5 | O 140 |
| Nov 23 | vs IUIN | W 98-85 | -3.5 | W +9.5 | 175.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 26 | vs UNCO | L 53-71 | +4.5 | L −13.5 | 146.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 29 | vs SDAK | L 63-80 | +3.5 | L −13.5 | 147.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 3 | vs PAC | L 65-80 | +5.5 | L −9.5 | 134.5 | O 145 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@BEL
BELL 63-79
−0.5
8
vsAPSU
APSUL 54-74
−18.5
11
vsLIU
LIUL 72-76
+1.5
15
vsM-OH
M-OHL 61-76
−4.5
19
vsALST
ALSTW 66-64
−0.5
21
vsSIUE
SIUEW 77-63
+16.5
23
vsIUIN
IUINW 98-85
+9.5
26
vsUNCO
UNCOL 53-71
−13.5
29
vsSDAK
SDAKL 63-80
−13.5
3
vsPAC
PACL 65-80
−9.5
covered 3didn’t cover 7avg −3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@BEL
BELL 63-79
−2.5
8
vsAPSU
APSUL 54-74
−8.5
11
vsLIU
LIUL 72-76
+10.5
15
vsM-OH
M-OHL 61-76
−6.5
19
vsALST
ALSTW 66-64
−8.5
21
vsSIUE
SIUEW 77-63
+9.5
23
vsIUIN
IUINW 98-85
+7.5
26
vsUNCO
UNCOL 53-71
−22.5
29
vsSDAK
SDAKL 63-80
−4.5
3
vsPAC
PACL 65-80
+10.5
over 4under 6avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Navy
9 games played
Straight up
4-5
44% wins
Against the spread
4-5
44% covers · avg −0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-6
33% overs · avg −3.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ PRES | W 76-55 | -3.5 | W +17.5 | 141.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 7 | vs YALE | L 68-97 | +5.5 | L −23.5 | 147.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 11 | @ PSU | L 71-80 | +11.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 18 | @ UNC | L 61-73 | +26.5 | W +14.5 | 160.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 22 | vs NJIT | W 86-70 | -17.5 | L −1.5 | 140.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 26 | vs GWEB | W 84-51 | -10.5 | W +22.5 | 153.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 28 | @ UNCW | L 57-87 | +8.5 | L −21.5 | 138.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 29 | vs SELA | L 65-69 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 136.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 3 | @ DSU | W 66-59 | -15.5 | L −8.5 | 132.5 | U 125 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@PRES
PRESW 76-55
+17.5
7
vsYALE
YALEL 68-97
−23.5
11
@PSU
PSUL 71-80
+2.5
18
@UNC
UNCL 61-73
+14.5
22
vsNJIT
NJITW 86-70
−1.5
26
vsGWEB
GWEBW 84-51
+22.5
28
@UNCW
UNCWL 57-87
−21.5
29
vsSELA
SELAL 65-69
−7.5
3
@DSU
DSUW 66-59
−8.5
covered 4didn’t cover 5avg −0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@PRES
PRESW 76-55
−10.5
7
vsYALE
YALEL 68-97
+17.5
11
@PSU
PSUL 71-80
−4.5
18
@UNC
UNCL 61-73
−26.5
22
vsNJIT
NJITW 86-70
+15.5
26
vsGWEB
GWEBW 84-51
−18.5
28
@UNCW
UNCWL 57-87
+5.5
29
vsSELA
SELAL 65-69
−2.5
3
@DSU
DSUW 66-59
−7.5
over 3under 6avg −3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Air Force
3-7 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Pacific65–80
- Lvs South Dakota63–80
- Lvs N Colorado53–71
- Wvs IU Indy98–85
- Wvs SIUE77–63
4 days since their last game.
Navy
4-5 overall · 0-0 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Delaware St66–59
- Lvs SE Louisiana65–69
- L@ UNC Wilmington57–87
- Wvs Gardner-Webb84–51
- Wvs NJIT86–70
4 days since their last game.