State Farm Arena · Neutral site
Closing line
UGA -5.5✓ UGA covered by 13.5
UGA -5.5✓ UGA covered by 13.5Closing total157.5Under by 8.5
 CIN | This season | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| 6-3 | Record | 8-1 |
| 2-7 | ATS | 5-4 |
| 3-6 | O/U | 6-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CIN 74–84 UGA · ✓ UGA (81%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CIN | 37 | 28 | 65 |
| UGA | 37 | 47 | 84 |
1st half: CIN 37, UGA 37 (tied). The model had UGA by 5.8 and a total of 74.0 (actual 74).
Team stats
| CIN | UGA | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-65 35% | Field goals | 30-60 50% |
| 7-27 26% | 3-pointers | 4-21 19% |
| 12-21 57% | Free throws | 20-26 77% |
| 37 14 off | Rebounds | 41 9 off |
| 17 | Assists | 18 |
| 8 | Steals | 7 |
| 3 | Blocks | 6 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 21 | Fouls | 17 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 48 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 18 |
Players
| CIN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baba Miller F | 33 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 5-7 | 0-0 |
| Kerr Kriisa G | 29 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2-8 | 2-7 |
| Shon Abaev F | 24 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 2-11 | 1-5 |
| Day Day Thomas G | 23 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 1-7 | 0-4 |
| Moustapha Thiam C | 21 | 11 | 9 | 0 | 5-11 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jalen Celestine G | 23 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 5-9 | 3-7 |
| Sencire Harris G | 20 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Tyler McKinley F | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Halvine Dzellat C | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Keyshuan Tillery G | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jordi Rodriguez-Stegemeijer G | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Grant Darbyshire, Jalen Haynes, Bryson Buckingham, Lucas Atauri
| UGA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blue Cain G | 34 | 22 | 5 | 5 | 5-12 | 0-6 |
| Kanon Catchings F | 26 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 1-4 | 1-2 |
| Jeremiah Wilkinson G | 25 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 5-15 | 1-7 |
| Somto Cyril C | 24 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 6-6 | 0-0 |
| Jordan Ross G | 21 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3-7 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Marcus Millender G | 19 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 4-6 | 2-3 |
| Justin Bailey G | 15 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Kareem Stagg F | 12 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-1 |
| Justin Abson F | 12 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Jake Wilkins F | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Dylan James F | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jackson McVey, Jaden Newell, Markel Jennings, Brandon Klatsky
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUGA -5.5
ModelUGA -9.8
Model edgeUGA +4.3
W UGA covered
Total
Market157.5
Model158.3
Model edgeOver 0.8
L Under
Projected score
CIN 74.2 · UGA 84.1
CIN 65 · UGA 84
Win probability
UGA 81%
1st half
Spread
UGA -5.8
tied
Total
74.0
74 points
Projected score
CIN 34.1 · UGA 39.9
CIN 37 · UGA 37
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUGA -8.5
3 → CIN
CloseUGA -5.5
3 pts toward CIN
Total
Open156.5
▲ 1
Close157.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
CIN +220 · UGA -270
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UGA -8.5 · closed UGA -5.5 · moved 3 toward CINmodel UGA -10
model UGA -10
Opened 156.5 · closed 157.5 · moved 1 upmodel 158.5
model 158.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CINlast 9 | 6-3 67% | 2-7 22% | 3-6 33% |
| UGAlast 9 | 8-1 89% | 5-4 56% | 6-3 67% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
CIN 1–0 UGACIN leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · CIN 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2021-22 | UGA 68 @ CIN 73 | CIN -10.5 | UGA W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Cincinnati
9 games played
Straight up
6-3
67% wins
Against the spread
2-7
22% covers · avg −7.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-6
33% overs · avg −7.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs WCU | W 94-63 | -22.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 7 | vs GAST | W 74-64 | -29.5 | L −19.5 | 151.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 11 | vs DAY | W 74-62 | -5.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 16 | vs MSM | W 72-55 | -25.5 | L −8.5 | 145.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 21 | vs LOU | L 64-74 | +8.5 | L −1.5 | 163.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 24 | vs NJIT | W 94-67 | -34.5 | L −7.5 | 141.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 26 | vs EMU | L 56-64 | -22.5 | L −30.5 | 146.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 1 | vs TAR | W 76-58 | -24.5 | L −6.5 | 142.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 5 | @ XAV | L 74-79 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | O 153 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsWCU
WCUW 94-63
+8.5
7
vsGAST
GASTW 74-64
−19.5
11
vsDAY
DAYW 74-62
+6.5
16
vsMSM
MSMW 72-55
−8.5
21
vsLOU
LOUL 64-74
−1.5
24
vsNJIT
NJITW 94-67
−7.5
26
vsEMU
EMUL 56-64
−30.5
1
vsTAR
TARW 76-58
−6.5
5
@XAV
XAVL 74-79
−6.5
covered 2didn’t cover 7avg −7.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsWCU
WCUW 94-63
+13.5
7
vsGAST
GASTW 74-64
−13.5
11
vsDAY
DAYW 74-62
−11.5
16
vsMSM
MSMW 72-55
−18.5
21
vsLOU
LOUL 64-74
−25.5
24
vsNJIT
NJITW 94-67
+19.5
26
vsEMU
EMUL 56-64
−26.5
1
vsTAR
TARW 76-58
−8.5
5
@XAV
XAVL 74-79
+5.5
over 3under 6avg −7.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Georgia
9 games played
Straight up
8-1
89% wins
Against the spread
5-4
56% covers · avg +8.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-3
67% overs · avg +12.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs BELL | W 104-59 | -23.5 | W +21.5 | 150.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 5 | vs UMES | W 94-29 | -33.5 | W +31.5 | 142.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 9 | vs MORE | W 120-81 | -28.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | O 201 |
| Nov 14 | vs GT | W 92-87 | -15.5 | L −10.5 | 155.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 17 | vs FAMU | W 87-57 | -40.5 | L −10.5 | 170.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 21 | vsXAV | W 78-77 | -10.5 | L −9.5 | 165.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 23 | vs CLEM | L 94-97 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 152.5 | O 191 |
| Nov 29 | vs TNTC | W 123-81 | -34.5 | W +7.5 | 160.5 | O 204 |
| Dec 2 | @ FSU | W 107-73 | +1.5 | W +35.5 | 176.5 | O 180 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsBELL
BELLW 104-59
+21.5
5
vsUMES
UMESW 94-29
+31.5
9
vsMORE
MOREW 120-81
+10.5
14
vsGT
GTW 92-87
−10.5
17
vsFAMU
FAMUW 87-57
−10.5
21
vsXAV
XAVW 78-77
−9.5
23
vsCLEM
CLEML 94-97
−1.5
29
vsTNTC
TNTCW 123-81
+7.5
2
@FSU
FSUW 107-73
+35.5
covered 5didn’t cover 4avg +8.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBELL
BELLW 104-59
+12.5
5
vsUMES
UMESW 94-29
−19.5
9
vsMORE
MOREW 120-81
+50.5
14
vsGT
GTW 92-87
+23.5
17
vsFAMU
FAMUW 87-57
−26.5
21
vsXAV
XAVW 78-77
−10.5
23
vsCLEM
CLEML 94-97
+38.5
29
vsTNTC
TNTCW 123-81
+43.5
2
@FSU
FSUW 107-73
+3.5
over 6under 3avg +12.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Cincinnati
6-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Xavier74–79
- Wvs Tarleton St76–58
- Lvs E Michigan56–64
- Wvs NJIT94–67
- Lvs Louisville64–74
A week or more of rest.
Georgia
8-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Florida St107–73
- Wvs Tennessee Tech123–81
- Lvs Clemson94–97
- Wvs Xavier78–77
- Wvs Florida A&M87–57
A week or more of rest.