John J. Lee Amphitheater · at Yale · Conference game
Closing line
YALE -15.5✓ DART covered by 0.5
YALE -15.5✓ DART covered by 0.5Closing total155.5Under by 4.5
 DART | This season | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| 7-9 | Record | 13-3 |
| 8-8 | ATS | 9-7 |
| 7-9 | O/U | 9-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: DART 70–85 YALE · ✓ YALE (91%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DART | 32 | 36 | 68 |
| YALE | 33 | 50 | 83 |
1st half: DART 32, YALE 33 (YALE by 1). The model had YALE by 9.0 and a total of 72.6 (actual 65).
Team stats
| DART | YALE | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-60 45% | Field goals | 32-58 55% |
| 10-29 34% | 3-pointers | 10-20 50% |
| 4-7 57% | Free throws | 9-9 100% |
| 28 9 off | Rebounds | 31 7 off |
| 14 | Assists | 15 |
| 4 | Steals | 5 |
| 2 | Blocks | 3 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 12 | Fouls | 15 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| DART | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Amundsen G | 32 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 1-8 | 0-5 |
| Brandon Mitchell-Day F | 31 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 6-13 | 1-3 |
| Kareem Thomas G | 29 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 5-13 | 2-5 |
| Jackson Munro F | 27 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Jayden Williams F | 24 | 18 | 6 | 0 | 7-13 | 4-10 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Cameron McNamee G | 21 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Nikola Abusara G | 13 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Anton Strelnikov C | 9 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Ben Brown G | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Shanon Simango F | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Khai Lockwood G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Patrick Tivnan Jr. F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Cam Hiatt, Tyler Garrett
| YALE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Townsend F | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 7-11 | 1-2 |
| Isaac Celiscar F | 31 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 6-9 | 1-2 |
| Samson Aletan C | 29 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Casey Simmons G | 24 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 4-7 | 1-1 |
| Trevor Mullin G | 20 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 5-8 | 3-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jordan Brathwaite G | 19 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 3-7 | 2-4 |
| Riley Fox F | 18 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2-7 | 2-6 |
| Devon Arlington G | 18 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Jack Sullivan F | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Daniel Ogunyemi F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jeannot Basima, Courtney Wallace, Jacob Tsai, Alvin Loving
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketYALE -15.5
ModelYALE -15.4
Model edgeDART +0.1
W DART covered
Total
Market155.5
Model155.1
Model edgeUnder 0.4
W Under
Projected score
DART 69.9 · YALE 85.3
DART 68 · YALE 83
Win probability
YALE 91%
1st half
Spread
YALE -9.0
YALE -1.0
Total
72.6
65 points
Projected score
DART 31.8 · YALE 40.8
DART 32 · YALE 33
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenYALE -14.5
1 → YALE
CloseYALE -15.5
1 pt toward YALE
Total
Open157.5
▼ 2
Close155.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
DART +950 · YALE -1650
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened YALE -14.5 · closed YALE -15.5 · moved 1 toward YALEmodel YALE -15.5 matches the line
model YALE -15.5 = line ✓
Opened 157.5 · closed 155.5 · moved 2 downmodel 155
model 155
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DART | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% |
| YALE | 8-2 80% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
DART 1–7 YALEYALE leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · YALE has won the last 5 meetings · DART 4-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2024-25 | YALE 72 @ DART 67 | DART +8.5 | DART W |
| Jan 20, 2024-25 | DART 67 @ YALE 83 | YALE -17.5 | DART W |
| Mar 1, 2023-24 | DART 56 @ YALE 80 | YALE -19.5 | YALE W |
| Jan 20, 2023-24 | YALE 76 @ DART 51 | DART +12.5 | YALE W |
| Feb 4, 2022-23 | YALE 72 @ DART 53 | DART +8.5 | YALE W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Dartmouth
16 games played
Straight up
7-9
44% wins
Against the spread
8-8
50% covers · avg +2.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-9
44% overs · avg −0.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9 | vs MRST | L 56-75 | -1.5 | L −20.5 | 138.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 12 | @ BRY | L 75-82 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 151.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 16 | vs APP | L 77-85 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 29 | @ SPU | W 87-61 | +3.5 | W +29.5 | 144.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 3 | vs UNH | W 69-68 | -8.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 6 | @ WYO | L 80-93 | +14.5 | W +1.5 | 156.5 | O 173 |
| Dec 9 | @ CSU | L 55-76 | +20.5 | L −0.5 | 153.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 13 | vs BU | W 77-64 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 144.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 16 | @ HC | W 89-64 | -1.5 | W +23.5 | 147.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 19 | @ SHU | L 63-85 | -1.5 | L −23.5 | 155.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 29 | @ FLA | L 72-94 | +35.5 | W +13.5 | 160.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 5 | @ HARV | W 76-68 | +7.5 | W +15.5 | 148.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 10 | @ COR | W 102-91 | +9.5 | W +20.5 | 175.5 | O 193 |
| Jan 17 | vs PENN | L 74-84 | -2.5 | L −12.5 | 163.5 | U 158 |
| Jan 19 | vs PRIN | W 71-69 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 147.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 24 | vs COLU | L 69-79 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 156.5 | U 148 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
9
vsMRST
MRSTL 56-75
−20.5
12
@BRY
BRYL 75-82
−5.5
16
vsAPP
APPL 77-85
−6.5
29
@SPU
SPUW 87-61
+29.5
3
vsUNH
UNHW 69-68
−7.5
6
@WYO
WYOL 80-93
+1.5
9
@CSU
CSUL 55-76
−0.5
13
vsBU
BUW 77-64
+10.5
16
@HC
HCW 89-64
+23.5
19
@SHU
SHUL 63-85
−23.5
29
@FLA
FLAL 72-94
+13.5
5
@HARV
HARVW 76-68
+15.5
10
@COR
CORW 102-91
+20.5
17
vsPENN
PENNL 74-84
−12.5
19
vsPRIN
PRINW 71-69
+3.5
24
vsCOLU
COLUL 69-79
−7.5
covered 8didn’t cover 8avg +2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
9
vsMRST
MRSTL 56-75
−7.5
12
@BRY
BRYL 75-82
+5.5
16
vsAPP
APPL 77-85
+21.5
29
@SPU
SPUW 87-61
+3.5
3
vsUNH
UNHW 69-68
−10.5
6
@WYO
WYOL 80-93
+16.5
9
@CSU
CSUL 55-76
−22.5
13
vsBU
BUW 77-64
−3.5
16
@HC
HCW 89-64
+5.5
19
@SHU
SHUL 63-85
−7.5
29
@FLA
FLAL 72-94
+5.5
5
@HARV
HARVW 76-68
−4.5
10
@COR
CORW 102-91
+17.5
17
vsPENN
PENNL 74-84
−5.5
19
vsPRIN
PRINW 71-69
−7.5
24
vsCOLU
COLUL 69-79
−8.5
over 7under 9avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Yale
16 games played
Straight up
13-3
81% wins
Against the spread
9-7
56% covers · avg +1.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-7
56% overs · avg +3.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ NAVY | W 97-68 | -5.5 | W +23.5 | 147.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 11 | @ QUIN | W 97-60 | -6.5 | W +30.5 | 156.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 15 | vs STBK | W 86-79 | -20.5 | L −13.5 | 150.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 18 | vs URI | L 77-86 | -8.5 | L −17.5 | 153.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 21 | vs GB | W 73-67 | -17.5 | L −11.5 | 148.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 23 | vs COFC | W 74-63 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 148.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 24 | vs AKR | W 97-94 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 156.5 | O 191 |
| Nov 30 | @ UVM | W 77-74 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 147.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 7 | vs UIC | W 80-66 | -12.5 | W +1.5 | 148.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 10 | vs UALB | W 93-82 | -17.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 29 | @ ALA | L 78-102 | +15.5 | L −8.5 | 171.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 5 | @ BRWN | W 70-53 | -8.5 | W +8.5 | 142.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 10 | @PRIN | L 60-76 | -7.5 | L −23.5 | 142.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 17 | vsCOR | W 102-68 | -9.5 | W +24.5 | 174.5 | U 170 |
| Jan 19 | vsCOLU | W 91-74 | -9.5 | W +7.5 | 150.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 24 | @PENN | W 77-60 | -6.5 | W +10.5 | 157.5 | U 137 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@NAVY
NAVYW 97-68
+23.5
11
@QUIN
QUINW 97-60
+30.5
15
vsSTBK
STBKW 86-79
−13.5
18
vsURI
URIL 77-86
−17.5
21
vsGB
GBW 73-67
−11.5
23
vsCOFC
COFCW 74-63
+4.5
24
vsAKR
AKRW 97-94
+4.5
30
@UVM
UVMW 77-74
−3.5
7
vsUIC
UICW 80-66
+1.5
10
vsUALB
UALBW 93-82
−6.5
29
@ALA
ALAL 78-102
−8.5
5
@BRWN
BRWNW 70-53
+8.5
10
@PRIN
PRINL 60-76
−23.5
17
vsCOR
CORW 102-68
+24.5
19
vsCOLU
COLUW 91-74
+7.5
24
@PENN
PENNW 77-60
+10.5
covered 9didn’t cover 7avg +1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@NAVY
NAVYW 97-68
+17.5
11
@QUIN
QUINW 97-60
+0.5
15
vsSTBK
STBKW 86-79
+14.5
18
vsURI
URIL 77-86
+9.5
21
vsGB
GBW 73-67
−8.5
23
vsCOFC
COFCW 74-63
−11.5
24
vsAKR
AKRW 97-94
+34.5
30
@UVM
UVMW 77-74
+3.5
7
vsUIC
UICW 80-66
−2.5
10
vsUALB
UALBW 93-82
+29.5
29
@ALA
ALAL 78-102
+8.5
5
@BRWN
BRWNW 70-53
−19.5
10
@PRIN
PRINL 60-76
−6.5
17
vsCOR
CORW 102-68
−4.5
19
vsCOLU
COLUW 91-74
+14.5
24
@PENN
PENNW 77-60
−20.5
over 9under 7avg +3.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Dartmouth
7-9 overall · 3-2 in conference · Ivy League
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Columbia69–79
- Wvs Princeton71–69
- Lvs Penn74–84
- W@ Cornell102–91
- W@ Harvard76–68
6 days since their last game.
Yale
13-3 overall · 4-1 in conference · Ivy League
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Penn77–60
- Wvs Columbia91–74
- Wvs Cornell102–68
- L@ Princeton60–76
- W@ Brown70–53
6 days since their last game.