Provident Credit Union Event Center · at San José St
Closing line
STAN -8.5✓ SJSU covered by 4.5
STAN -8.5✓ SJSU covered by 4.5Closing total145.5Over by 22.5
| STAN | This season | SJSU |
|---|---|---|
| 7-2 | Record | 4-5 |
| 5-4 | ATS | 5-4 |
| 4-5 | O/U | 4-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: STAN 77–71 SJSU · ✓ STAN (68%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| STAN | 44 | 42 | 86 |
| SJSU | 36 | 46 | 82 |
1st half: STAN 44, SJSU 36 (STAN by 8). The model had STAN by 3.4 and a total of 69.2 (actual 80).
Team stats
| STAN | SJSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-46 61% | Field goals | 29-64 45% |
| 9-18 50% | 3-pointers | 6-17 35% |
| 21-29 72% | Free throws | 18-20 90% |
| 34 12 off | Rebounds | 19 11 off |
| 16 | Assists | 12 |
| 5 | Steals | 9 |
| 2 | Blocks | 2 |
| 20 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 18 | Fouls | 24 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 44 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| STAN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Agarwal G | 34 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 5-13 | 1-4 |
| Jeremy Dent-Smith G | 33 | 16 | 1 | 4 | 6-12 | 4-8 |
| Benny Gealer G | 31 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| AJ Rohosy F | 28 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 8-9 | 0-0 |
| Chisom Okpara F | 27 | 20 | 2 | 5 | 5-6 | 3-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Aidan Cammann F | 22 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Oskar Giltay C | 10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Jaylen Thompson F | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Kristers Skrinda F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Evan Stinson F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Cameron Grant G | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Myles Jones, Ebuka Okorie, Ethan Kitch, Donavin Young, Anthony Batson Jr., Tallis Toure
| SJSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jermaine Washington G | 38 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2-7 | 0-2 |
| Melvin Bell Jr. G | 36 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Colby Garland G | 36 | 20 | 3 | 9 | 8-15 | 2-3 |
| Yaphet Moundi F | 26 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 8-14 | 0-0 |
| Sadraque NgaNga F | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Adrian Myers G | 26 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 6-13 | 1-4 |
| Pasha Goodarzi G | 16 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3-7 | 3-5 |
| Douglas Langford F | 8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Damase Coly, Eren Karakaya, Japhet Moupadele, Marcus Overstreet, Christian Wise, JaVaughn Hannah, Jaden Goodall, Ben Roseborough
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSTAN -8.5
ModelSTAN -5.5
Model edgeSJSU +3.0
W SJSU covered
Total
Market145.5
Model147.8
Model edgeOver 2.3
W Over
Projected score
STAN 76.7 · SJSU 71.2
STAN 86 · SJSU 82
Win probability
STAN 68%
1st half
Spread
STAN -3.4
STAN -8.0
Total
69.2
80 points
Projected score
STAN 36.3 · SJSU 32.9
STAN 44 · SJSU 36
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSTAN -7.5
1 → STAN
CloseSTAN -8.5
1 pt toward STAN
Total
Open143.5
▲ 2
Close145.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
STAN -410 · SJSU +320
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened STAN -7.5 · closed STAN -8.5 · moved 1 toward STANmodel STAN -5.5
model STAN -5.5
Opened 143.5 · closed 145.5 · moved 2 upmodel 148
model 148
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| STANlast 9 | 7-2 78% | 5-4 56% | 4-5 44% |
| SJSUlast 9 | 4-5 44% | 5-4 56% | 4-5 44% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
STAN 1–0 SJSUSTAN leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · STAN 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2021-22 | SJSU 62 @ STAN 76 | STAN -18.5 | SJSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Stanford
9 games played
Straight up
7-2
78% wins
Against the spread
5-4
56% covers · avg −1.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-5
44% overs · avg +3.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs PRST | W 89-79 | -11.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 8 | vs MONT | W 91-68 | -12.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 12 | vs MTST | W 77-68 | -14.5 | L −5.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 18 | vs UL | W 93-66 | -20.5 | W +6.5 | 139.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 21 | vs SEA | L 69-77 | -10.5 | L −18.5 | 152.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 27 | vs MINN | W 72-68 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 28 | vs SLU | W 78-77 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 160.5 | U 155 |
| Dec 1 | vs PORT | W 94-72 | -19.5 | W +2.5 | 156.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 7 | vs UNLV | L 74-75 | -9.5 | L −10.5 | 164.5 | U 149 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsPRST
PRSTW 89-79
−1.5
8
vsMONT
MONTW 91-68
+10.5
12
vsMTST
MTSTW 77-68
−5.5
18
vsUL
ULW 93-66
+6.5
21
vsSEA
SEAL 69-77
−18.5
27
vsMINN
MINNW 72-68
+1.5
28
vsSLU
SLUW 78-77
+2.5
1
vsPORT
PORTW 94-72
+2.5
7
vsUNLV
UNLVL 74-75
−10.5
covered 5didn’t cover 4avg −1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsPRST
PRSTW 89-79
+23.5
8
vsMONT
MONTW 91-68
+8.5
12
vsMTST
MTSTW 77-68
−3.5
18
vsUL
ULW 93-66
+19.5
21
vsSEA
SEAL 69-77
−6.5
27
vsMINN
MINNW 72-68
−2.5
28
vsSLU
SLUW 78-77
−5.5
1
vsPORT
PORTW 94-72
+9.5
7
vsUNLV
UNLVL 74-75
−15.5
over 4under 5avg +3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
San José St
9 games played
Straight up
4-5
44% wins
Against the spread
5-4
56% covers · avg +0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-5
44% overs · avg +1.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ UTAH | L 75-84 | +11.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 8 | @ UCSB | L 74-85 | +9.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 13 | @ MSU | L 60-79 | +24.5 | W +5.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 21 | vs SOU | W 80-66 | -5.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 25 | vs TLSA | L 51-81 | +5.5 | L −24.5 | 149.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 26 | vs LUC | W 63-51 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 136.5 | U 114 |
| Nov 30 | vs UCI | L 63-72 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 139.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 5 | vs USD | W 86-69 | -6.5 | W +10.5 | 144.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 9 | vs LBSU | W 89-83 | -7.5 | L −1.5 | 141.5 | O 172 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@UTAH
UTAHL 75-84
+2.5
8
@UCSB
UCSBL 74-85
−1.5
13
@MSU
MSUL 60-79
+5.5
21
vsSOU
SOUW 80-66
+8.5
25
vsTLSA
TLSAL 51-81
−24.5
26
vsLUC
LUCW 63-51
+10.5
30
vsUCI
UCIL 63-72
−5.5
5
vsUSD
USDW 86-69
+10.5
9
vsLBSU
LBSUW 89-83
−1.5
covered 5didn’t cover 4avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@UTAH
UTAHL 75-84
+12.5
8
@UCSB
UCSBL 74-85
+12.5
13
@MSU
MSUL 60-79
−4.5
21
vsSOU
SOUW 80-66
−4.5
25
vsTLSA
TLSAL 51-81
−17.5
26
vsLUC
LUCW 63-51
−22.5
30
vsUCI
UCIL 63-72
−4.5
5
vsUSD
USDW 86-69
+10.5
9
vsLBSU
LBSUW 89-83
+30.5
over 4under 5avg +1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Stanford
7-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs UNLV74–75
- Wvs Portland94–72
- Wvs Saint Louis78–77
- Wvs Minnesota72–68
- Lvs Seattle U69–77
6 days since their last game.
San José St
4-5 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Long Beach St89–83
- Wvs San Diego86–69
- Lvs UC Irvine63–72
- Wvs Loyola Chicago63–51
- Lvs Tulsa51–81
4 days since their last game.