Petersen Events Center · at Pitt
Closing line
PITT -8.5✓ HOF covered by 15.5
PITT -8.5✓ HOF covered by 15.5Closing total134.5Over by 18.5
 HOF | This season | PITT |
|---|---|---|
| 4-4 | Record | 5-4 |
| 7-1 | ATS | 4-5 |
| 5-3 | O/U | 3-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: HOF 64–72 PITT · ✗ PITT (76%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOF | 36 | 44 | 80 |
| PITT | 23 | 50 | 73 |
1st half: HOF 36, PITT 23 (HOF by 13). The model had PITT by 4.7 and a total of 63.8 (actual 59).
Team stats
| HOF | PITT | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-55 53% | Field goals | 22-48 46% |
| 8-20 40% | 3-pointers | 10-23 43% |
| 14-18 78% | Free throws | 19-22 86% |
| 26 8 off | Rebounds | 26 8 off |
| 17 | Assists | 14 |
| 3 | Steals | 2 |
| 1 | Blocks | 2 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 14 | Fouls | 16 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 16 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| HOF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cruz Davis G | 40 | 36 | 2 | 7 | 14-25 | 5-11 |
| German Plotnikov G | 38 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 3-4 | 2-3 |
| Preston Edmead G | 33 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 0-6 | 0-4 |
| Victory Onuetu F | 24 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 5-5 | 0-0 |
| Joshua DeCady F | 17 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Biggie Patterson G | 25 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Silas Sunday F | 16 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Jaeden Roberts G | 7 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Joshua Aaron Reaves, Trey Boyd III, Brandon Morgan, Amir Williams, Alex Tsynkevich, Carlos Lopez, A.J. Wills
| PITT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barry Dunning Jr. G | 40 | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4-7 | 2-4 |
| Cameron Corhen F | 39 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 2-7 | 0-2 |
| Omari Witherspoon G | 32 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Damarco Minor G | 32 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Roman Siulepa F | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Brandin Cummings G | 32 | 34 | 2 | 5 | 10-15 | 5-8 |
| Nojus Indrusaitis G | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-1 |
| Kieran Mullen C | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Macari Moore, Dishon Jackson, Henry Lau, Papa Amadou Kante, Amdy Ndiaye, Jajuan Nelson, Benjamin Mayhew
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketPITT -8.5
ModelPITT -8.1
Model edgeHOF +0.4
W HOF covered
Total
Market134.5
Model136.1
Model edgeOver 1.6
W Over
Projected score
HOF 64 · PITT 72.1
HOF 80 · PITT 73
Win probability
PITT 76%
1st half
Spread
PITT -4.7
HOF -13.0
Total
63.8
59 points
Projected score
HOF 29.5 · PITT 34.2
HOF 36 · PITT 23
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenPITT -7.5
1 → PITT
ClosePITT -8.5
1 pt toward PITT
Total
Open133.5
▲ 1
Close134.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
HOF +330 · PITT -425
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened PITT -7.5 · closed PITT -8.5 · moved 1 toward PITTmodel PITT -8
model PITT -8
Opened 133.5 · closed 134.5 · moved 1 upmodel 136
model 136
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOFlast 8 | 4-4 50% | 7-1 88% | 5-3 63% |
| PITTlast 9 | 5-4 56% | 4-5 44% | 3-6 33% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Hofstra
8 games played
Straight up
4-4
50% wins
Against the spread
7-1
88% covers · avg +3.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-3
63% overs · avg +3.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ UCF | L 78-82 | +8.5 | W +4.5 | 140.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 7 | @ IONA | L 73-81 | -1.5 | L −9.5 | 144.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 14 | @ BUCK | W 83-77 | -4.5 | W +1.5 | 139.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 19 | @ TEM | L 76-81 | +5.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 28 | vs LAS | W 63-58 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 138.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 29 | vs MRMK | W 78-58 | -5.5 | W +14.5 | 135.5 | O 136 |
| Nov 30 | @ PENN | W 77-60 | -1.5 | W +15.5 | 149.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 3 | @ COLU | L 70-72 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@UCF
UCFL 78-82
+4.5
7
@IONA
IONAL 73-81
−9.5
14
@BUCK
BUCKW 83-77
+1.5
19
@TEM
TEML 76-81
+0.5
28
vsLAS
LASW 63-58
+1.5
29
vsMRMK
MRMKW 78-58
+14.5
30
@PENN
PENNW 77-60
+15.5
3
@COLU
COLUL 70-72
+1.5
covered 7didn’t cover 1avg +3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@UCF
UCFL 78-82
+19.5
7
@IONA
IONAL 73-81
+9.5
14
@BUCK
BUCKW 83-77
+20.5
19
@TEM
TEML 76-81
+11.5
28
vsLAS
LASW 63-58
−17.5
29
vsMRMK
MRMKW 78-58
+0.5
30
@PENN
PENNW 77-60
−12.5
3
@COLU
COLUL 70-72
−2.5
over 5under 3avg +3.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Pitt
9 games played
Straight up
5-4
56% wins
Against the spread
4-5
44% covers · avg −3.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-6
33% overs · avg −4.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs YSU | W 74-59 | -14.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 7 | vs LONG | W 78-60 | -14.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 10 | vs EMU | W 78-66 | -15.5 | L −3.5 | 141.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 13 | @ WVU | L 49-71 | +5.5 | L −16.5 | 134.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 17 | vsBUCK | W 84-50 | -16.5 | W +17.5 | 141.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 20 | vsUCF | L 67-77 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 23 | vs QUIN | L 75-83 | -12.5 | L −20.5 | 140.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 28 | vs OSU | W 67-66 | +5.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 2 | vs TA&M | L 73-81 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | O 154 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsYSU
YSUW 74-59
+0.5
7
vsLONG
LONGW 78-60
+3.5
10
vsEMU
EMUW 78-66
−3.5
13
@WVU
WVUL 49-71
−16.5
17
vsBUCK
BUCKW 84-50
+17.5
20
vsUCF
UCFL 67-77
−11.5
23
vsQUIN
QUINL 75-83
−20.5
28
vsOSU
OSUW 67-66
+6.5
2
vsTA&M
TA&ML 73-81
−4.5
covered 4didn’t cover 5avg −3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsYSU
YSUW 74-59
−12.5
7
vsLONG
LONGW 78-60
−7.5
10
vsEMU
EMUW 78-66
+2.5
13
@WVU
WVUL 49-71
−14.5
17
vsBUCK
BUCKW 84-50
−7.5
20
vsUCF
UCFL 67-77
−5.5
23
vsQUIN
QUINL 75-83
+17.5
28
vsOSU
OSUW 67-66
−15.5
2
vsTA&M
TA&ML 73-81
+1.5
over 3under 6avg −4.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Hofstra
4-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Columbia70–72
- W@ Penn77–60
- Wvs Merrimack78–58
- Wvs La Salle63–58
- L@ Temple76–81
4 days since their last game.
Pitt
5-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Texas A&M73–81
- Wvs Ohio State67–66
- Lvs Quinnipiac75–83
- Lvs UCF67–77
- Wvs Bucknell84–50
5 days since their last game.