Petersen Events Center · at Pitt
Closing line
OSU -5.5✓ PITT covered by 6.5
OSU -5.5✓ PITT covered by 6.5Closing total148.5Under by 15.5
| OSU | This season | PITT |
|---|---|---|
| 6-0 | Record | 4-3 |
| 3-3 | ATS | 3-4 |
| 3-3 | O/U | 2-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: OSU 79–72 PITT · ✗ OSU (72%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| OSU | 24 | 42 | 66 |
| PITT | 34 | 33 | 67 |
1st half: OSU 24, PITT 34 (PITT by 10). The model had OSU by 4.2 and a total of 70.7 (actual 58).
Team stats
| OSU | PITT | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-54 43% | Field goals | 26-69 38% |
| 7-24 29% | 3-pointers | 5-22 23% |
| 13-15 87% | Free throws | 10-16 63% |
| 38 9 off | Rebounds | 39 16 off |
| 8 | Assists | 6 |
| 3 | Steals | 9 |
| 4 | Blocks | 3 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 5 |
| 17 | Fouls | 17 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| OSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Royal F | 39 | 22 | 2 | 2 | 9-15 | 4-8 |
| Bruce Thornton G | 38 | 18 | 13 | 1 | 7-15 | 1-5 |
| Christoph Tilly C | 32 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 1-8 | 0-2 |
| John Mobley Jr. G | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Brandon Noel F | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Amare Bynum F | 31 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| Gabe Cupps G | 27 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Ivan Njegovan C | 8 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Colin White F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Taison Chatman G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Braylen Nash, Myles Herro, Mathieu Grujicic, Josh Ojianwuna
| PITT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barry Dunning Jr. G | 39 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 8-13 | 1-6 |
| Omari Witherspoon G | 37 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 4-14 | 0-3 |
| Damarco Minor G | 37 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 7-14 | 3-8 |
| Cameron Corhen F | 36 | 18 | 10 | 1 | 6-14 | 1-2 |
| Roman Siulepa F | 24 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 1-9 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Nojus Indrusaitis G | 20 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Papa Amadou Kante F | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Dishon Jackson, Benjamin Mayhew, Jajuan Nelson, Macari Moore, Brandin Cummings, Amdy Ndiaye, Henry Lau, Kieran Mullen
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketOSU -5.5
ModelOSU -6.6
Model edgeOSU +1.1
L PITT covered
Total
Market148.5
Model150.9
Model edgeOver 2.4
L Under
Projected score
OSU 78.8 · PITT 72.1
OSU 66 · PITT 67
Win probability
OSU 72%
1st half
Spread
OSU -4.2
PITT -10.0
Total
70.7
58 points
Projected score
OSU 37.4 · PITT 33.2
OSU 24 · PITT 34
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenOSU -5.5
no move
CloseOSU -5.5
No change since the open
Total
Open146.5
▲ 2
Close148.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
OSU -225 · PITT +190
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened OSU -5.5 · unchangedmodel OSU -6.5
model OSU -6.5
Opened 146.5 · closed 148.5 · moved 2 upmodel 151
model 151
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| OSUlast 6 | 6-0 100% | 3-3 50% | 3-3 50% |
| PITTlast 7 | 4-3 57% | 3-4 43% | 2-5 29% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
OSU 0–1 PITTPITT leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · OSU 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2024-25 | PITT 91 @ OSU 90 | OSU -5.5 | PITT W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Ohio State
6 games played
Straight up
6-0
100% wins
Against the spread
3-3
50% covers · avg +0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-3
50% overs · avg +2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
IUIN
IUINW 118-102
−17.5
7
vs
PFW
PFWW 94-68
+1.5
11
vs
APP
APPW 75-53
−1.5
16
vs
ND
NDW 64-63
−8.5
20
vs
WMU
WMUW 91-58
+6.5
25
vs
MSM
MSMW 113-60
+22.5
covered 3didn’t cover 3avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsIUIN
IUINW 118-102
+47.5
7
vsPFW
PFWW 94-68
+2.5
11
vsAPP
APPW 75-53
−19.5
16
vsND
NDW 64-63
−29.5
20
vsWMU
WMUW 91-58
−10.5
25
vsMSM
MSMW 113-60
+21.5
over 3under 3avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Pitt
7 games played
Straight up
4-3
57% wins
Against the spread
3-4
43% covers · avg −4.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-5
29% overs · avg −3.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs YSU | W 74-59 | -14.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 7 | vs LONG | W 78-60 | -14.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 10 | vs EMU | W 78-66 | -15.5 | L −3.5 | 141.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 13 | @ WVU | L 49-71 | +5.5 | L −16.5 | 134.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 17 | vs BUCK | W 84-50 | -16.5 | W +17.5 | 141.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 20 | vs UCF | L 67-77 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 23 | vs QUIN | L 75-83 | -12.5 | L −20.5 | 140.5 | O 158 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsYSU
YSUW 74-59
+0.5
7
vsLONG
LONGW 78-60
+3.5
10
vsEMU
EMUW 78-66
−3.5
13
@WVU
WVUL 49-71
−16.5
17
vsBUCK
BUCKW 84-50
+17.5
20
vsUCF
UCFL 67-77
−11.5
23
vsQUIN
QUINL 75-83
−20.5
covered 3didn’t cover 4avg −4.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsYSU
YSUW 74-59
−12.5
7
vsLONG
LONGW 78-60
−7.5
10
vsEMU
EMUW 78-66
+2.5
13
@WVU
WVUL 49-71
−14.5
17
vsBUCK
BUCKW 84-50
−7.5
20
vsUCF
UCFL 67-77
−5.5
23
vsQUIN
QUINL 75-83
+17.5
over 2under 5avg −3.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Ohio State
6-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Mount St Marys113–60
- Wvs W Michigan91–58
- Wvs Notre Dame64–63
- Wvs App State75–53
- Wvs Purdue FW94–68
3 days since their last game.
Pitt
4-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Quinnipiac75–83
- Lvs UCF67–77
- Wvs Bucknell84–50
- L@ West Virginia49–71
- Wvs E Michigan78–66
5 days since their last game.