Millett Hall · at Miami OH · Conference game
Closing line
M-OH -15.5✓ M-OH covered by 23.5
M-OH -15.5✓ M-OH covered by 23.5Closing total158.5Over by 2.5
 CMU | This season | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| 3-12 | Record | 14-0 |
| 8-7 | ATS | 10-4 |
| 6-9 | O/U | 10-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CMU 71–85 M-OH · ✓ M-OH (88%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CMU | 35 | 26 | 61 |
| M-OH | 49 | 51 | 100 |
1st half: CMU 35, M-OH 49 (M-OH by 14). The model had M-OH by 8.0 and a total of 73.1 (actual 84).
Team stats
| CMU | M-OH | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-59 41% | Field goals | 32-53 60% |
| 5-19 26% | 3-pointers | 11-23 48% |
| 8-12 67% | Free throws | 25-28 89% |
| 26 10 off | Rebounds | 33 5 off |
| 12 | Assists | 19 |
| 4 | Steals | 12 |
| 3 | Blocks | 4 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 19 | Fouls | 16 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| CMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tamario Adley G | 31 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4-9 | 1-2 |
| Logan McIntire G | 29 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 4-7 | 3-5 |
| Phat Phat Brooks G | 29 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 1-10 | 0-2 |
| Nathan Claerbaut C | 28 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 8-13 | 0-1 |
| Keenan Garner F | 27 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 5-9 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Will Ashford G | 18 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Jalen Kampen G | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Jaxson Whitaker G | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Kayden Nation F | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Nick Mullen F | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jorden Brooks G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Rodney Johnson Jr., Kareem Aburashed, Nsikan Usen, Uchenna Amene
| M-OH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Skaljac G | 27 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 5-7 | 3-4 |
| Peter Suder G | 27 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 5-12 | 1-5 |
| Antwone Woolfolk F | 24 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 5-5 | 0-0 |
| Brant Byers F | 23 | 24 | 3 | 1 | 6-9 | 3-5 |
| Eian Elmer G | 22 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Justin Kirby G | 22 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 4-5 | 3-4 |
| Almar Atlason F | 19 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3-4 | 1-2 |
| Trey Perry G | 17 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Tyler Robbins F | 9 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Kyle Waltz F | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Jackson Kotecki F | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ethan Wright F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Brady Ganley G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Evan Ipsaro, Leshawn Stowers, Eli Yofan, Blake Anderson
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketM-OH -15.5
ModelM-OH -13.6
Model edgeCMU +1.9
L M-OH covered
Total
Market158.5
Model156.1
Model edgeUnder 2.4
L Over
Projected score
CMU 71.3 · M-OH 84.9
CMU 61 · M-OH 100
Win probability
M-OH 88%
1st half
Spread
M-OH -8.0
M-OH -14.0
Total
73.1
84 points
Projected score
CMU 32.6 · M-OH 40.6
CMU 35 · M-OH 49
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenM-OH -16.5
1 → CMU
CloseM-OH -15.5
1 pt toward CMU
Total
Open155.5
▲ 3
Close158.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
CMU +900 · M-OH -1600
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened M-OH -16.5 · closed M-OH -15.5 · moved 1 toward CMUmodel M-OH -13.5
model M-OH -13.5
Opened 155.5 · closed 158.5 · moved 3 upmodel 156
model 156
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CMU | 1-9 10% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
| M-OH | 10-0 100% | 8-2 80% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
CMU 4–3 M-OHCMU leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · M-OH has won the last 2 meetings · CMU 4-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2024-25 | M-OH 76 @ CMU 70 | CMU -1.5 | M-OH W |
| Feb 24, 2023-24 | CMU 60 @ M-OH 88 | M-OH -3.5 | M-OH W |
| Jan 23, 2023-24 | M-OH 55 @ CMU 71 | CMU -1.5 | CMU W |
| Feb 11, 2022-23 | CMU 66 @ M-OH 60 | M-OH -7.5 | CMU W |
| Jan 3, 2022-23 | M-OH 56 @ CMU 68 | CMU -1.5 | CMU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
C Michigan
15 games played
Straight up
3-12
20% wins
Against the spread
8-7
53% covers · avg −1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-9
40% overs · avg −0.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs APP | W 82-66 | -1.5 | W +14.5 | 142.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 8 | @ BRAD | L 54-85 | +9.5 | L −21.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 13 | vs USA | L 64-66 | +5.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 14 | vs COPP | W 82-59 | -10.5 | W +12.5 | 142.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 20 | vs NKU | L 66-90 | -4.5 | L −28.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 22 | @ MARQ | L 71-85 | +25.5 | W +11.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 2 | @ LUC | L 72-83 | +6.5 | L −4.5 | 140.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 7 | @ SLU | L 65-107 | +24.5 | L −17.5 | 160.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 13 | @ STBK | L 55-78 | +7.5 | L −15.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 20 | @ NIU | L 73-74 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 22 | @ WIS | L 61-88 | +26.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 30 | vs OHIO | L 64-80 | +6.5 | L −9.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 3 | vs TOL | L 75-78 | +7.5 | W +4.5 | 158.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 6 | @ AKR | L 69-82 | +23.5 | W +10.5 | 164.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 10 | vs KENT | W 87-85 | +10.5 | W +12.5 | 156.5 | O 172 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsAPP
APPW 82-66
+14.5
8
@BRAD
BRADL 54-85
−21.5
13
vsUSA
USAL 64-66
+3.5
14
vsCOPP
COPPW 82-59
+12.5
20
vsNKU
NKUL 66-90
−28.5
22
@MARQ
MARQL 71-85
+11.5
2
@LUC
LUCL 72-83
−4.5
7
@SLU
SLUL 65-107
−17.5
13
@STBK
STBKL 55-78
−15.5
20
@NIU
NIUL 73-74
+1.5
22
@WIS
WISL 61-88
−0.5
30
vsOHIO
OHIOL 64-80
−9.5
3
vsTOL
TOLL 75-78
+4.5
6
@AKR
AKRL 69-82
+10.5
10
vsKENT
KENTW 87-85
+12.5
covered 8didn’t cover 7avg −1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsAPP
APPW 82-66
+5.5
8
@BRAD
BRADL 54-85
−8.5
13
vsUSA
USAL 64-66
−12.5
14
vsCOPP
COPPW 82-59
−1.5
20
vsNKU
NKUL 66-90
+9.5
22
@MARQ
MARQL 71-85
+3.5
2
@LUC
LUCL 72-83
+14.5
7
@SLU
SLUL 65-107
+11.5
13
@STBK
STBKL 55-78
−12.5
20
@NIU
NIUL 73-74
−2.5
22
@WIS
WISL 61-88
−3.5
30
vsOHIO
OHIOL 64-80
−7.5
3
vsTOL
TOLL 75-78
−5.5
6
@AKR
AKRL 69-82
−13.5
10
vsKENT
KENTW 87-85
+15.5
over 6under 9avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Miami OH
14 games played
Straight up
14-0
100% wins
Against the spread
10-4
71% covers · avg +4.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-4
71% overs · avg +6.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs ODU | W 87-72 | -16.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 15 | @ AF | W 76-61 | -10.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 20 | vs MERC | W 76-71 | -15.5 | L −10.5 | 139.5 | O 147 |
| Nov 23 | vs UAPB | W 111-84 | -21.5 | W +5.5 | 160.5 | O 195 |
| Nov 26 | vs UNCG | W 82-71 | -10.5 | W +0.5 | 150.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 6 | vs ME | W 93-61 | -17.5 | W +14.5 | 139.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 10 | @ UNCA | W 90-87 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 152.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 13 | @ EKU | W 79-69 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 158.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 16 | @ WRST | W 83-76 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 149.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 20 | @ BALL | W 86-77 | -7.5 | W +1.5 | 147.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 30 | @ BGSU | W 93-83 | +6.5 | W +16.5 | 150.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 3 | vsAKR | W 76-73 | +4.5 | W +7.5 | 177.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 6 | vs WMU | W 87-76 | -14.5 | L −3.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 9 | @TOL | W 87-73 | +1.5 | W +15.5 | 166.5 | U 160 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsODU
ODUW 87-72
−1.5
15
@AF
AFW 76-61
+4.5
20
vsMERC
MERCW 76-71
−10.5
23
vsUAPB
UAPBW 111-84
+5.5
26
vsUNCG
UNCGW 82-71
+0.5
6
vsME
MEW 93-61
+14.5
10
@UNCA
UNCAW 90-87
−3.5
13
@EKU
EKUW 79-69
+4.5
16
@WRST
WRSTW 83-76
+5.5
20
@BALL
BALLW 86-77
+1.5
30
@BGSU
BGSUW 93-83
+16.5
3
vsAKR
AKRW 76-73
+7.5
6
vsWMU
WMUW 87-76
−3.5
9
@TOL
TOLW 87-73
+15.5
covered 10didn’t cover 4avg +4.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsODU
ODUW 87-72
+5.5
15
@AF
AFW 76-61
−6.5
20
vsMERC
MERCW 76-71
+7.5
23
vsUAPB
UAPBW 111-84
+34.5
26
vsUNCG
UNCGW 82-71
+2.5
6
vsME
MEW 93-61
+14.5
10
@UNCA
UNCAW 90-87
+24.5
13
@EKU
EKUW 79-69
−10.5
16
@WRST
WRSTW 83-76
+9.5
20
@BALL
BALLW 86-77
+15.5
30
@BGSU
BGSUW 93-83
+25.5
3
vsAKR
AKRW 76-73
−28.5
6
vsWMU
WMUW 87-76
+2.5
9
@TOL
TOLW 87-73
−6.5
over 10under 4avg +6.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
C Michigan
3-12 overall · 1-4 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Kent State87–85
- L@ Akron69–82
- Lvs Toledo75–78
- Lvs Ohio64–80
- L@ Wisconsin61–88
3 days since their last game.
Miami OH
14-0 overall · 5-0 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Toledo87–73
- Wvs W Michigan87–76
- Wvs Akron76–73
- W@ Bowling Green93–83
- W@ Ball State86–77
4 days since their last game.