M.A.C. Center · at Kent State · Conference game
Closing line
KENT -16.5✓ NIU covered by 12.5
KENT -16.5✓ NIU covered by 12.5Closing total157.5Under by 7.5
 NIU | This season | KENT |
|---|---|---|
| 3-8 | Record | 8-3 |
| 5-6 | ATS | 6-5 |
| 4-7 | O/U | 8-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NIU 72–88 KENT · ✓ KENT (91%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NIU | 26 | 47 | 73 |
| KENT | 47 | 30 | 77 |
1st half: NIU 26, KENT 47 (KENT by 21). The model had KENT by 9.2 and a total of 75.1 (actual 73).
Team stats
| NIU | KENT | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-51 43% | Field goals | 21-53 40% |
| 11-28 39% | 3-pointers | 4-24 17% |
| 18-30 60% | Free throws | 31-40 78% |
| 38 14 off | Rebounds | 34 13 off |
| 9 | Assists | 8 |
| 9 | Steals | 9 |
| 1 | Blocks | 2 |
| 22 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 27 | Fouls | 23 |
| 20 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| NIU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Makhai Valentine G | 38 | 27 | 3 | 0 | 9-17 | 5-12 |
| Dylan Ducommun G | 37 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 3-7 | 2-5 |
| Taj Walters G | 35 | 13 | 11 | 0 | 4-9 | 3-4 |
| Gustav Winther F | 21 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Daemar Kelly G | 17 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Gianni Cobb G | 24 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 5-8 | 1-2 |
| Hassan Washington F | 13 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Carlos Coronado G | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Jaylen Wharton F | 7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Isaiah Washington, Ladji Kante, Isaiah Stewart, Max Laskey, Lataevyon Taylor, JJ Taylor, Jao Ituka
| KENT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Safford G | 34 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 2-10 | 1-5 |
| Delrecco Gillespie F | 32 | 28 | 11 | 0 | 8-13 | 0-3 |
| Jahari Williamson G | 31 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1-7 | 1-4 |
| Rob Whaley Jr. F | 29 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 6-8 | 0-0 |
| Cian Medley G | 22 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0-4 | 0-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Quinn Woidke G | 16 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Rayvon Griffith G | 11 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2-5 | 1-4 |
| Omer Hamama G | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Magnus Entenmann F | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Dezmon Briscoe F | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Dylan Lakatos, Jaymen Townsend, Landon Vanderwarker, Drew Huffman, Dre Jones, Brenden Moss, Jamal Sumlin
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketKENT -16.5
ModelKENT -15.6
Model edgeNIU +0.9
W NIU covered
Total
Market157.5
Model160.3
Model edgeOver 2.8
L Under
Projected score
NIU 72.4 · KENT 88
NIU 73 · KENT 77
Win probability
KENT 91%
1st half
Spread
KENT -9.2
KENT -21.0
Total
75.1
73 points
Projected score
NIU 33 · KENT 42.1
NIU 26 · KENT 47
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenKENT -16.5
no move
CloseKENT -16.5
No change since the open
Total
Open158.5
▼ 1
Close157.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
NIU +1000 · KENT -1800
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened KENT -16.5 · unchangedmodel KENT -15.5
model KENT -15.5
Opened 158.5 · closed 157.5 · moved 1 downmodel 160.5
model 160.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NIU | 2-8 20% | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% |
| KENT | 8-2 80% | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
NIU 2–5 KENTKENT leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · KENT has won the last 4 meetings · NIU 2-4-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2024-25 | KENT 68 @ NIU 50 | NIU +12.5 | KENT W |
| Feb 17, 2023-24 | NIU 47 @ KENT 85 | KENT -10.5 | KENT W |
| Jan 16, 2023-24 | KENT 83 @ NIU 76 | NIU +4.5 | KENT W |
| Mar 9, 2022-23 | NIU 57 vs KENT 76 | KENT -13.5 | KENT W |
| Jan 24, 2022-23 | KENT 76 @ NIU 86 | NIU +13.5 | NIU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
N Illinois
11 games played
Straight up
3-8
27% wins
Against the spread
5-6
45% covers · avg −1.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-7
36% overs · avg −0.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs ULM | W 102-82 | -7.5 | W +12.5 | 147.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 7 | @ WIS | L 72-97 | +28.5 | W +3.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 10 | @ GCU | L 59-88 | +22.5 | L −6.5 | 163.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 18 | @ UNI | L 57-70 | +19.5 | W +6.5 | 146.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 21 | @ LUC | W 76-59 | +13.5 | W +30.5 | 148.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 25 | @ APSU | L 59-77 | +6.5 | L −11.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 2 | vs LIN | L 64-99 | -3.5 | L −38.5 | 147.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 6 | @ BRAD | L 55-84 | +18.5 | L −10.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 13 | @ ELON | L 79-85 | +11.5 | W +5.5 | 156.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 20 | vs CMU | W 74-73 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 31 | vs BUF | L 67-81 | +6.5 | L −7.5 | 152.5 | U 148 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsULM
ULMW 102-82
+12.5
7
@WIS
WISL 72-97
+3.5
10
@GCU
GCUL 59-88
−6.5
18
@UNI
UNIL 57-70
+6.5
21
@LUC
LUCW 76-59
+30.5
25
@APSU
APSUL 59-77
−11.5
2
vsLIN
LINL 64-99
−38.5
6
@BRAD
BRADL 55-84
−10.5
13
@ELON
ELONL 79-85
+5.5
20
vsCMU
CMUW 74-73
−1.5
31
vsBUF
BUFL 67-81
−7.5
covered 5didn’t cover 6avg −1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsULM
ULMW 102-82
+36.5
7
@WIS
WISL 72-97
+11.5
10
@GCU
GCUL 59-88
−16.5
18
@UNI
UNIL 57-70
−19.5
21
@LUC
LUCW 76-59
−13.5
25
@APSU
APSUL 59-77
−11.5
2
vsLIN
LINL 64-99
+15.5
6
@BRAD
BRADL 55-84
−7.5
13
@ELON
ELONL 79-85
+7.5
20
vsCMU
CMUW 74-73
−2.5
31
vsBUF
BUFL 67-81
−4.5
over 4under 7avg −0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Kent State
11 games played
Straight up
8-3
73% wins
Against the spread
6-5
55% covers · avg −1.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-3
73% overs · avg +12.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs TROY | L 97-103 | -3.5 | L −9.5 | 142.5 | O 200 |
| Nov 7 | vs COR | W 110-102 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 164.5 | O 212 |
| Nov 10 | vs UNCW | W 86-77 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 156.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 15 | vs CLE | W 102-95 | -11.5 | L −4.5 | 165.5 | O 197 |
| Nov 16 | vs WRST | W 76-72 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 157.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 18 | vs EKU | W 93-78 | -10.5 | W +4.5 | 161.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 22 | vsCLE | W 91-71 | -15.5 | W +4.5 | 172.5 | U 162 |
| Dec 3 | vsAPSU | W 96-84 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 153.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 14 | @ PORT | L 78-88 | -7.5 | L −17.5 | 160.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 20 | @ MASS | W 69-59 | -1.5 | W +8.5 | 163.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 29 | @ PUR | L 60-101 | +24.5 | L −16.5 | 155.5 | O 161 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsTROY
TROYL 97-103
−9.5
7
vsCOR
CORW 110-102
+1.5
10
vsUNCW
UNCWW 86-77
+5.5
15
vsCLE
CLEW 102-95
−4.5
16
vsWRST
WRSTW 76-72
−0.5
18
vsEKU
EKUW 93-78
+4.5
22
vsCLE
CLEW 91-71
+4.5
3
vsAPSU
APSUW 96-84
+3.5
14
@PORT
PORTL 78-88
−17.5
20
@MASS
MASSW 69-59
+8.5
29
@PUR
PURL 60-101
−16.5
covered 6didn’t cover 5avg −1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsTROY
TROYL 97-103
+57.5
7
vsCOR
CORW 110-102
+47.5
10
vsUNCW
UNCWW 86-77
+6.5
15
vsCLE
CLEW 102-95
+31.5
16
vsWRST
WRSTW 76-72
−9.5
18
vsEKU
EKUW 93-78
+9.5
22
vsCLE
CLEW 91-71
−10.5
3
vsAPSU
APSUW 96-84
+26.5
14
@PORT
PORTL 78-88
+5.5
20
@MASS
MASSW 69-59
−35.5
29
@PUR
PURL 60-101
+5.5
over 8under 3avg +12.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
N Illinois
3-8 overall · 1-1 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Buffalo67–81
- Wvs C Michigan74–73
- L@ Elon79–85
- L@ Bradley55–84
- Lvs Lindenwood Lions64–99
3 days since their last game.
Kent State
8-3 overall · 1-0 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Purdue60–101
- W@ UMass69–59
- L@ Portland78–88
- Wvs Austin Peay96–84
- Wvs Cleveland St91–71
5 days since their last game.