Stroh Center · at Bowling Green · Conference game
Closing line
BGSU -6.5✓ M-OH covered by 16.5
BGSU -6.5✓ M-OH covered by 16.5Closing total150.5Over by 25.5
 M-OH | This season | BGSU |
|---|---|---|
| 10-0 | Record | 7-3 |
| 7-3 | ATS | 6-4 |
| 8-2 | O/U | 2-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: M-OH 74–79 BGSU · ✗ BGSU (65%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| M-OH | 54 | 39 | 93 |
| BGSU | 28 | 55 | 83 |
1st half: M-OH 54, BGSU 28 (M-OH by 26). The model had BGSU by 2.5 and a total of 71.7 (actual 82).
Team stats
| M-OH | BGSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-55 55% | Field goals | 31-63 49% |
| 11-23 48% | 3-pointers | 5-22 23% |
| 22-24 92% | Free throws | 16-23 70% |
| 34 8 off | Rebounds | 28 10 off |
| 16 | Assists | 12 |
| 6 | Steals | 11 |
| 3 | Blocks | 3 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 19 | Fouls | 21 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 46 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| M-OH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brant Byers F | 36 | 17 | 6 | 0 | 6-11 | 3-5 |
| Peter Suder G | 35 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 6-11 | 1-2 |
| Luke Skaljac G | 30 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 6-9 | 1-2 |
| Eian Elmer G | 21 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Antwone Woolfolk F | 17 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 4-4 | 2-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Almar Atlason F | 20 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3-8 | 2-6 |
| Trey Perry G | 15 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Justin Kirby G | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Kyle Waltz F | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Tyler Robbins F | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Leshawn Stowers, Eli Yofan, Brady Ganley, Evan Ipsaro, Jackson Kotecki, Blake Anderson, Ethan Wright
| BGSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Towns F | 38 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 9-15 | 2-4 |
| Javontae Campbell G | 34 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 7-11 | 0-2 |
| Javon Ruffin G | 31 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 4-13 | 1-8 |
| Justin Thomas G | 21 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-3 |
| Troy Glover II F | 20 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Josiah Shackelford G | 26 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 4-7 | 0-2 |
| Mayar Wol F | 16 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 4-7 | 1-2 |
| Makhi Leach G | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Camden Karel F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Preston Squire F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Greg Spurgin, Mohamed Maxamud, Aiden Goins, Christian Dedivanaj, Jason Kimbrough, Jaxon Pardon, Alijah Adem
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketBGSU -6.5
ModelBGSU -4.5
Model edgeM-OH +2.0
W M-OH covered
Total
Market150.5
Model153.1
Model edgeOver 2.6
W Over
Projected score
M-OH 74.3 · BGSU 78.8
M-OH 93 · BGSU 83
Win probability
BGSU 65%
1st half
Spread
BGSU -2.5
M-OH -26.0
Total
71.7
82 points
Projected score
M-OH 34.6 · BGSU 37.1
M-OH 54 · BGSU 28
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenBGSU -5.5
1 → BGSU
CloseBGSU -6.5
1 pt toward BGSU
Total
Open152.5
▼ 2
Close150.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
M-OH +220 · BGSU -270
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened BGSU -5.5 · closed BGSU -6.5 · moved 1 toward BGSUmodel BGSU -4.5
model BGSU -4.5
Opened 152.5 · closed 150.5 · moved 2 downmodel 153
model 153
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| M-OH | 10-0 100% | 7-3 70% | 8-2 80% |
| BGSU | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 2-8 20% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
M-OH 4–3 BGSUM-OH leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · M-OH has won the last 2 meetings · M-OH 3-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2024-25 | BGSU 76 @ M-OH 84 | M-OH -9.5 | BGSU W |
| Feb 27, 2023-24 | M-OH 66 @ BGSU 58 | BGSU -3.5 | M-OH W |
| Jan 16, 2023-24 | BGSU 78 @ M-OH 73 | M-OH -0.5 | BGSU W |
| Feb 21, 2022-23 | BGSU 65 @ M-OH 74 | M-OH -1.5 | M-OH W |
| Jan 21, 2022-23 | M-OH 73 @ BGSU 83 | BGSU -3.5 | BGSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Miami OH
10 games played
Straight up
10-0
100% wins
Against the spread
7-3
70% covers · avg +2.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-2
80% overs · avg +9.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs ODU | W 87-72 | -16.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 15 | @ AF | W 76-61 | -10.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 20 | vs MERC | W 76-71 | -15.5 | L −10.5 | 139.5 | O 147 |
| Nov 23 | vs UAPB | W 111-84 | -21.5 | W +5.5 | 160.5 | O 195 |
| Nov 26 | vs UNCG | W 82-71 | -10.5 | W +0.5 | 150.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 6 | vs ME | W 93-61 | -17.5 | W +14.5 | 139.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 10 | @ UNCA | W 90-87 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 152.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 13 | @ EKU | W 79-69 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 158.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 16 | @ WRST | W 83-76 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 149.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 20 | @ BALL | W 86-77 | -7.5 | W +1.5 | 147.5 | O 163 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsODU
ODUW 87-72
−1.5
15
@AF
AFW 76-61
+4.5
20
vsMERC
MERCW 76-71
−10.5
23
vsUAPB
UAPBW 111-84
+5.5
26
vsUNCG
UNCGW 82-71
+0.5
6
vsME
MEW 93-61
+14.5
10
@UNCA
UNCAW 90-87
−3.5
13
@EKU
EKUW 79-69
+4.5
16
@WRST
WRSTW 83-76
+5.5
20
@BALL
BALLW 86-77
+1.5
covered 7didn’t cover 3avg +2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsODU
ODUW 87-72
+5.5
15
@AF
AFW 76-61
−6.5
20
vsMERC
MERCW 76-71
+7.5
23
vsUAPB
UAPBW 111-84
+34.5
26
vsUNCG
UNCGW 82-71
+2.5
6
vsME
MEW 93-61
+14.5
10
@UNCA
UNCAW 90-87
+24.5
13
@EKU
EKUW 79-69
−10.5
16
@WRST
WRSTW 83-76
+9.5
20
@BALL
BALLW 86-77
+15.5
over 8under 2avg +9.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Bowling Green
10 games played
Straight up
7-3
70% wins
Against the spread
6-4
60% covers · avg +6.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-8
20% overs · avg −8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs TXST | W 83-48 | -5.5 | W +29.5 | 146.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 9 | vs LEM | W 83-60 | -11.5 | W +11.5 | 154.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 15 | @ DAV | L 87-91 | +4.5 | W +0.5 | 144.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 19 | vs W&M | L 74-82 | -8.5 | L −16.5 | 167.5 | U 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs BUCK | W 71-66 | -10.5 | L −5.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 26 | vs VMI | W 81-48 | -11.5 | W +21.5 | 148.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 1 | @ KSU | W 82-66 | +12.5 | W +28.5 | 159.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 6 | vs UVU | L 71-82 | +1.5 | L −9.5 | 144.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 16 | vs CHST | W 76-55 | -21.5 | L −0.5 | 148.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 20 | @ OHIO | W 68-58 | -1.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | U 126 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsTXST
TXSTW 83-48
+29.5
9
vsLEM
LEMW 83-60
+11.5
15
@DAV
DAVL 87-91
+0.5
19
vsW&M
W&ML 74-82
−16.5
24
vsBUCK
BUCKW 71-66
−5.5
26
vsVMI
VMIW 81-48
+21.5
1
@KSU
KSUW 82-66
+28.5
6
vsUVU
UVUL 71-82
−9.5
16
vsCHST
CHSTW 76-55
−0.5
20
@OHIO
OHIOW 68-58
+8.5
covered 6didn’t cover 4avg +6.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsTXST
TXSTW 83-48
−15.5
9
vsLEM
LEMW 83-60
−11.5
15
@DAV
DAVL 87-91
+33.5
19
vsW&M
W&ML 74-82
−11.5
24
vsBUCK
BUCKW 71-66
−7.5
26
vsVMI
VMIW 81-48
−19.5
1
@KSU
KSUW 82-66
−11.5
6
vsUVU
UVUL 71-82
+8.5
16
vsCHST
CHSTW 76-55
−17.5
20
@OHIO
OHIOW 68-58
−27.5
over 2under 8avg −8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Miami OH
10-0 overall · 1-0 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Ball State86–77
- W@ Wright St83–76
- W@ E Kentucky79–69
- W@ UNC Asheville90–87
- Wvs Maine93–61
A week or more of rest.
Bowling Green
7-3 overall · 1-0 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Ohio68–58
- Wvs Chicago St76–55
- Lvs Utah Valley71–82
- W@ Kansas St82–66
- Wvs VMI81–48
A week or more of rest.