Coleman Coliseum · at Alabama
Closing line
ALA -33.5✓ ALA covered by 8.5
ALA -33.5✓ ALA covered by 8.5Closing total171.5Under by 19.5
 UTSA | This season | ALA |
|---|---|---|
| 2-4 | Record | 6-2 |
| 2-4 | ATS | 4-4 |
| 2-4 | O/U | 5-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UTSA 68–101 ALA · ✓ ALA (100%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTSA | 17 | 38 | 55 |
| ALA | 56 | 41 | 97 |
1st half: UTSA 17, ALA 56 (ALA by 39). The model had ALA by 20.0 and a total of 79.2 (actual 73).
Team stats
| UTSA | ALA | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-61 33% | Field goals | 32-82 39% |
| 8-33 24% | 3-pointers | 16-57 28% |
| 7-16 44% | Free throws | 17-20 85% |
| 41 9 off | Rebounds | 57 19 off |
| 8 | Assists | 22 |
| 4 | Steals | 15 |
| 3 | Blocks | 6 |
| 18 | Turnovers | 5 |
| 17 | Fouls | 15 |
| 20 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 13 | Fast-break points | 29 |
Players
| UTSA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorian Hayes G | 33 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 4-8 | 4-8 |
| Austin Nunez G | 31 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 2-11 | 1-6 |
| Jamir Simpson G | 27 | 20 | 7 | 0 | 7-17 | 2-8 |
| Kaidon Rayfield F | 22 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| Matheo Coffi F | 16 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Baboucarr Njie F | 25 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Brent Moss G | 25 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1-9 | 1-8 |
| Daniel Akitoby F | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Macaleab Rich G | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Mo Njie C | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jackson Fazande, Vasean Allette, LJ Brown, Stanley Borden, Pierce Spencer
| ALA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amari Allen G | 33 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 5-13 | 1-6 |
| Houston Mallette G | 23 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Labaron Philon Jr. G | 22 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7-11 | 3-6 |
| Latrell Wrightsell Jr. G | 21 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 4-18 | 2-14 |
| Aiden Sherrell F | 20 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 1-6 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Davion Hannah G | 23 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 2-5 | 2-5 |
| Jalil Bethea G | 22 | 21 | 6 | 2 | 6-12 | 5-10 |
| London Jemison F | 18 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 6-10 | 2-6 |
| Noah Williamson C | 11 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Preston Murphy Jr. G | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Jacob Martin C | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Collins Onyejiaka, Klark James, Jack Fagan, Keitenn Bristow, Taylor Bol Bowen, Aden Holloway
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketALA -33.5
ModelALA -33.5
Model edge—
ALA covered
Total
Market171.5
Model169.3
Model edgeUnder 2.2
W Under
Projected score
UTSA 67.9 · ALA 101.4
UTSA 55 · ALA 97
Win probability
ALA 100%
1st half
Spread
ALA -20.0
ALA -39.0
Total
79.2
73 points
Projected score
UTSA 29.6 · ALA 49.6
UTSA 17 · ALA 56
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenALA -32.5
1 → ALA
CloseALA -33.5
1 pt toward ALA
Total
Open166.5
▲ 5
Close171.5
Up 5 since the open
Moneyline
—
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ALA -32.5 · closed ALA -33.5 · moved 1 toward ALAmodel ALA -33.5 matches the line
model ALA -33.5 = line ✓
Opened 166.5 · closed 171.5 · moved 5 upmodel 169.5
model 169.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTSAlast 6 | 2-4 33% | 2-4 33% | 2-4 33% |
| ALAlast 8 | 6-2 75% | 4-4 50% | 5-3 63% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UTSA
6 games played
Straight up
2-4
33% wins
Against the spread
2-4
33% covers · avg −6.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-4
33% overs · avg −9.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vs
SIUE
SIUEL 60-77
−23.5
12
@
TXST
TXSTL 69-80
−8.5
15
@
DEN
DENW 84-79
+9.5
24
vs
ACU
ACUL 50-61
−8.5
25
vs
GASO
GASOW 77-64
+16.5
30
vs
USA
USAL 58-82
−22.5
covered 2didn’t cover 4avg −6.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsSIUE
SIUEL 60-77
−16.5
12
@TXST
TXSTL 69-80
+1.5
15
@DEN
DENW 84-79
+14.5
24
vsACU
ACUL 50-61
−33.5
25
vsGASO
GASOW 77-64
−19.5
30
vsUSA
USAL 58-82
−1.5
over 2under 4avg −9.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Alabama
8 games played
Straight up
6-2
75% wins
Against the spread
4-4
50% covers · avg +4.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-3
63% overs · avg +3.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs UND | W 91-62 | -36.5 | L −7.5 | 170.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 8 | @ SJU | W 103-96 | +4.5 | W +11.5 | 172.5 | O 199 |
| Nov 13 | vs PUR | L 80-87 | -3.5 | L −10.5 | 172.5 | U 167 |
| Nov 19 | vs ILL | W 90-86 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 180.5 | U 176 |
| Nov 24 | vs GONZ | L 85-95 | +4.5 | L −5.5 | 178.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 25 | vs UNLV | W 115-76 | -13.5 | W +25.5 | 181.5 | O 191 |
| Nov 26 | vs MD | W 105-72 | -14.5 | W +18.5 | 166.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 3 | vs CLEM | W 90-84 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 165.5 | O 174 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUND
UNDW 91-62
−7.5
8
@SJU
SJUW 103-96
+11.5
13
vsPUR
PURL 80-87
−10.5
19
vsILL
ILLW 90-86
+6.5
24
vsGONZ
GONZL 85-95
−5.5
25
vsUNLV
UNLVW 115-76
+25.5
26
vsMD
MDW 105-72
+18.5
3
vsCLEM
CLEMW 90-84
−2.5
covered 4didn’t cover 4avg +4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUND
UNDW 91-62
−17.5
8
@SJU
SJUW 103-96
+26.5
13
vsPUR
PURL 80-87
−5.5
19
vsILL
ILLW 90-86
−4.5
24
vsGONZ
GONZL 85-95
+1.5
25
vsUNLV
UNLVW 115-76
+9.5
26
vsMD
MDW 105-72
+10.5
3
vsCLEM
CLEMW 90-84
+8.5
over 5under 3avg +3.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UTSA
2-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs South Alabama58–82
- Wvs GA Southern77–64
- Lvs Abilene Chrstn50–61
- W@ Denver84–79
- L@ Texas St69–80
A week or more of rest.
Alabama
6-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Clemson90–84
- Wvs Maryland105–72
- Wvs UNLV115–76
- Lvs Gonzaga85–95
- Wvs Illinois90–86
4 days since their last game.