Patrick Gymnasium · at Vermont · Conference game
Closing line
UVM -9.5✓ UVM covered by 13.5
Closing total138.5Under by 1.5
| This season | UVM | |
|---|---|---|
| 6-13 | Record | 12-10 |
| 11-8 | ATS | 10-12 |
| 10-9 | O/U | 14-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UNH 67–77 UVM · ✓ UVM (80%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNH | 29 | 28 | 57 |
| UVM | 42 | 38 | 80 |
1st half: UNH 29, UVM 42 (UVM by 13). The model had UVM by 5.7 and a total of 67.3 (actual 71).
Team stats
| UNH | UVM | |
|---|---|---|
| 19-50 38% | Field goals | 28-62 45% |
| 5-17 29% | 3-pointers | 15-39 38% |
| 14-22 64% | Free throws | 9-11 82% |
| 32 6 off | Rebounds | 40 10 off |
| 5 | Assists | 20 |
| 6 | Steals | 5 |
| 1 | Blocks | 4 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 17 | Fouls | 19 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| UNH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Graham G | 30 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3-8 | 1-5 |
| Tyler Bike G | 29 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3-7 | 2-4 |
| John Squire F | 26 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Davide Poser F | 24 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2-8 | 1-5 |
| Belal El Shakery F | 22 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 4-8 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Comeh Emuobor F | 26 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 4-10 | 0-0 |
| KiJan Robinson G | 20 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| R.J. Kennedy G | 14 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Giannos Xanthopoulos C | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Dylan Saunders F | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Myles Blackley G | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jon O'Neill, Antoni Siewruk, Nick Sanford
| UVM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Blake G | 32 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 4-8 | 1-3 |
| Noah Barnett F | 28 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Ben Johnson G | 26 | 26 | 2 | 1 | 8-14 | 7-10 |
| Gus Yalden F | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6-9 | 3-6 |
| TJ Hurley G | 24 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 5-12 | 2-7 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Lucas Mari G | 19 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| Momo Nkugwa G | 17 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-2 |
| TJ Long G | 16 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Jackson Skipper F | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Ben Wesson G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Drew Bessette F | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Sincere Clemons G | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Benjamin Michaels F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: David Simon, Chris Kuzemka, Trey Woodyard
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUVM -9.5
ModelUVM -9.7
Model edgeUVM +0.2
W UVM covered
Total
Market138.5
Model143.7
Model edgeOver 5.2
L Under
Projected score
UNH 67 · UVM 76.7
UNH 57 · UVM 80
Win probability
UVM 80%
1st half
Spread
UVM -5.7
UVM -13.0
Total
67.3
71 points
Projected score
UNH 30.8 · UVM 36.5
UNH 29 · UVM 42
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUVM -10.5
1 → UNH
CloseUVM -9.5
1 pt toward UNH
Total
Open137.5
▲ 1
Close138.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
UNH +410 · UVM -550
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UVM -10.5 · closed UVM -9.5 · moved 1 toward UNHmodel UVM -9.5 matches the line
model UVM -9.5 = line ✓
Opened 137.5 · closed 138.5 · moved 1 upmodel 143.5
model 143.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% | |
| 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 11 since 2021-22
UNH 1–10 UVMUVM leads · 11 games since 2021-22 · UVM has won the last 8 meetings · UNH 4-7 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2025-26 | UVM 80 @ UNH 61 | UNH +7.5 | UVM W |
| Mar 8, 2024-25 | UNH 57 @ UVM 64 | UVM -14.5 | UNH W |
| Feb 13, 2024-25 | UNH 59 @ UVM 79 | UVM -14.5 | UVM W |
| Jan 4, 2024-25 | UVM 60 @ UNH 40 | UNH +11.5 | UVM W |
| Mar 12, 2023-24 | UNH 59 @ UVM 66 | UVM -15.5 | UNH W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
New Hampshire
19 games played
Straight up
6-13
32% wins
Against the spread
11-8
58% covers · avg +1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-9
53% overs · avg +0.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ | L 38-88 | +29.5 | L −20.5 | 146.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 9 | @ | L 75-86 | +15.5 | W +4.5 | 147.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 15 | @ | L 44-61 | +24.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | U 105 |
| Nov 18 | @ | L 66-98 | +29.5 | L −2.5 | 161.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 26 | vs | L 47-59 | +5.5 | L −6.5 | 136.5 | U 106 |
| Nov 30 | @ | L 68-72 | +9.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 3 | @ | L 68-69 | +8.5 | W +7.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 6 | vs | W 88-82 | +5.5 | W +11.5 | 134.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 17 | vs | W 59-58 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 138.5 | U 117 |
| Dec 21 | @ | L 79-93 | +34.5 | W +20.5 | 157.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 30 | @ | L 55-86 | +31.5 | W +0.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 3 | vs | L 61-80 | +7.5 | L −11.5 | 139.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 8 | @ | L 76-80 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 137.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 10 | @ | L 74-75 | +6.5 | W +5.5 | 143.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 19 | @ | W 65-48 | +1.5 | W +18.5 | 129.5 | U 113 |
| Jan 22 | vs | W 88-82 | -9.5 | L −3.5 | 135.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 24 | vs | W 80-72 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 137.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 29 | vs | W 66-61 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 31 | @ | L 84-92 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 131.5 | O 176 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
CLEM
L 38-88
−20.5
9
@
HARV
L 75-86
+4.5
15
@
GMU
L 44-61
+7.5
18
@
PROV
L 66-98
−2.5
26
vs
BRWN
L 47-59
−6.5
30
@
FAIR
L 68-72
+5.5
3
@
DART
L 68-69
+7.5
6
vs
BU
W 88-82
+11.5
17
vs
STO
W 59-58
−2.5
21
@
SLU
L 79-93
+20.5
30
@
NEB
L 55-86
+0.5
3
vs
UVM
L 61-80
−11.5
8
@
NJIT
L 76-80
−6.5
10
@
UMBC
L 74-75
+5.5
19
@
ME
W 65-48
+18.5
22
vs
BING
W 88-82
−3.5
24
vs
UALB
W 80-72
+5.5
29
vs
UML
W 66-61
+1.5
31
@
BRY
L 84-92
−6.5
covered 11didn’t cover 8avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@
CLEM
L 38-88
−20.5
9
@
HARV
L 75-86
+13.5
15
@
GMU
L 44-61
−39.5
18
@
PROV
L 66-98
+2.5
26
vs
BRWN
L 47-59
−30.5
30
@
FAIR
L 68-72
−7.5
3
@
DART
L 68-69
−10.5
6
vs
BU
W 88-82
+35.5
17
vs
STO
W 59-58
−21.5
21
@
SLU
L 79-93
+14.5
30
@
NEB
L 55-86
−5.5
3
vs
UVM
L 61-80
+1.5
8
@
NJIT
L 76-80
+18.5
10
@
UMBC
L 74-75
+5.5
19
@
ME
W 65-48
−16.5
22
vs
BING
W 88-82
+34.5
24
vs
UALB
W 80-72
+14.5
29
vs
UML
W 66-61
−19.5
31
@
BRY
L 84-92
+44.5
over 10under 9avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Vermont
22 games played
Straight up
12-10
55% wins
Against the spread
10-12
45% covers · avg −3.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-8
64% overs · avg +4.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9 | @ | W 89-84 | -5.5 | L −0.5 | 131.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 15 | @ | W 85-74 | +1.5 | W +12.5 | 134.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 18 | @ | L 90-94 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 24 | vs | L 73-79 | +8.5 | W +2.5 | 141.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 25 | vs | L 65-80 | +4.5 | L −10.5 | 144.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 26 | vs | W 79-74 | -5.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 30 | vs | L 74-77 | +6.5 | W +3.5 | 147.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 3 | @ | L 58-80 | +3.5 | L −18.5 | 143.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 6 | @ | W 65-56 | -1.5 | W +7.5 | 142.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 14 | vs | W 66-59 | -6.5 | W +0.5 | 136.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 17 | vs | W 83-69 | -2.5 | W +11.5 | 134.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 20 | vs | L 78-83 | -6.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 30 | @ | L 69-75 | -3.5 | L −9.5 | 136.5 | O 144 |
| Jan 3 | @ | W 80-61 | -7.5 | W +11.5 | 139.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 8 | vs | W 60-59 | -20.5 | L −19.5 | 140.5 | U 119 |
| Jan 15 | vs | W 67-62 | -14.5 | L −9.5 | 130.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 19 | @ | L 68-75 | -5.5 | L −12.5 | 139.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 22 | @ | W 77-68 | -4.5 | W +4.5 | 145.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 24 | @ | W 62-52 | -8.5 | W +1.5 | 133.5 | U 114 |
| Jan 29 | vs | W 64-55 | -8.5 | W +0.5 | 141.5 | U 119 |
| Jan 31 | vs | L 77-79 | -13.5 | L −15.5 | 139.5 | O 156 |
| Feb 5 | @ | L 70-76 | -8.5 | L −14.5 | 130.5 | O 146 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
9
@
BRWN
W 89-84
−0.5
15
@
NE
W 85-74
+12.5
18
@
BUF
L 90-94
−5.5
24
vs
LIB
L 73-79
+2.5
25
vs
URI
L 65-80
−10.5
26
vs
PRIN
W 79-74
−0.5
30
vs
YALE
L 74-77
+3.5
3
@
ORST
L 58-80
−18.5
6
@
PEPP
W 65-56
+7.5
14
vs
MRMK
W 66-59
+0.5
17
vs
SIE
W 83-69
+11.5
20
vs
IONA
L 78-83
−11.5
30
@
PRIN
L 69-75
−9.5
3
@
UNH
W 80-61
+11.5
8
vs
BING
W 60-59
−19.5
15
vs
ME
W 67-62
−9.5
19
@
UALB
L 68-75
−12.5
22
@
UML
W 77-68
+4.5
24
@
BRY
W 62-52
+1.5
29
vs
UMBC
W 64-55
+0.5
31
vs
NJIT
L 77-79
−15.5
5
@
ME
L 70-76
−14.5
covered 10didn’t cover 12avg −3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
9
@
BRWN
W 89-84
+41.5
15
@
NE
W 85-74
+24.5
18
@
BUF
L 90-94
+42.5
24
vs
LIB
L 73-79
+10.5
25
vs
URI
L 65-80
+0.5
26
vs
PRIN
W 79-74
+12.5
30
vs
YALE
L 74-77
+3.5
3
@
ORST
L 58-80
−5.5
6
@
PEPP
W 65-56
−21.5
14
vs
MRMK
W 66-59
−11.5
17
vs
SIE
W 83-69
+17.5
20
vs
IONA
L 78-83
+8.5
30
@
PRIN
L 69-75
+7.5
3
@
UNH
W 80-61
+1.5
8
vs
BING
W 60-59
−21.5
15
vs
ME
W 67-62
−1.5
19
@
UALB
L 68-75
+3.5
22
@
UML
W 77-68
−0.5
24
@
BRY
W 62-52
−19.5
29
vs
UMBC
W 64-55
−22.5
31
vs
NJIT
L 77-79
+16.5
5
@
ME
L 70-76
+15.5
over 14under 8avg +4.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
New Hampshire
6-13 overall · 4-4 in conference · America East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Bryant84–92
- Wvs UMass Lowell66–61
- Wvs UAlbany80–72
- Wvs Binghamton88–82
- W@ Maine65–48
A week or more of rest.
Vermont
12-10 overall · 6-3 in conference · America East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Maine70–76
- Lvs NJIT77–79
- Wvs UMBC64–55
- W@ Bryant62–52
- W@ UMass Lowell77–68
2 days since their last game.