Skip Chappelle Court in Memorial Gymnasium · at Maine · Conference game
Closing line
UVM -8.5✓ ME covered by 14.5
UVM -8.5✓ ME covered by 14.5Closing total130.5Over by 15.5
| UVM | This season | ME |
|---|---|---|
| 12-9 | Record | 4-18 |
| 10-11 | ATS | 10-12 |
| 13-8 | O/U | 8-14 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UVM 69–62 ME · ✗ UVM (72%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UVM | 24 | 46 | 70 |
| ME | 38 | 38 | 76 |
1st half: UVM 24, ME 38 (ME by 14). The model had UVM by 4.1 and a total of 61.5 (actual 62).
Team stats
| UVM | ME | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-52 44% | Field goals | 26-45 58% |
| 10-29 34% | 3-pointers | 10-18 56% |
| 14-21 67% | Free throws | 14-23 61% |
| 34 13 off | Rebounds | 25 4 off |
| 18 | Assists | 20 |
| 5 | Steals | 6 |
| 3 | Blocks | 3 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 20 | Fouls | 21 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| UVM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gus Yalden F | 30 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 4-6 | 0-1 |
| Sean Blake G | 28 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1-6 | 0-1 |
| TJ Hurley G | 25 | 27 | 3 | 1 | 8-12 | 6-9 |
| Ben Johnson G | 16 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Benjamin Michaels F | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| TJ Long G | 34 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 4-13 | 2-9 |
| Momo Nkugwa G | 27 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 2-6 | 0-3 |
| Jackson Skipper F | 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Noah Barnett F | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| David Simon F | 10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Sincere Clemons, Drew Bessette, Lucas Mari, Ben Wesson, Chris Kuzemka, Trey Woodyard
| ME | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Biel F | 39 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 7-12 | 1-3 |
| Ryan Mabrey G | 33 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 3-5 | 2-3 |
| Logan Carey G | 31 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Mekhi Gray G | 30 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 6-11 | 2-3 |
| Ace Flagg F | 16 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Caleb Crawford G | 26 | 21 | 1 | 4 | 6-7 | 3-4 |
| Amare Allen G | 25 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Emmitt Byther, Joshua Ojuri, Bashir N'Galang, Darius Lopes, Yanis Bamba, Isaac Bonilla, Killian Gribben, Keelan Steele, John Shea
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUVM -8.5
ModelUVM -6.7
Model edgeME +1.8
W ME covered
Total
Market130.5
Model131.2
Model edgeOver 0.7
W Over
Projected score
UVM 68.9 · ME 62.2
UVM 70 · ME 76
Win probability
UVM 72%
1st half
Spread
UVM -4.1
ME -14.0
Total
61.5
62 points
Projected score
UVM 32.8 · ME 28.7
UVM 24 · ME 38
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUVM -7.5
1 → UVM
CloseUVM -8.5
1 pt toward UVM
Total
Open128.5
▲ 2
Close130.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
UVM -395 · ME +310
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UVM -7.5 · closed UVM -8.5 · moved 1 toward UVMmodel UVM -6.5
model UVM -6.5
Opened 128.5 · closed 130.5 · moved 2 upmodel 131
model 131
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UVM | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
| ME | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
UVM 9–1 MEUVM leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · UVM 5-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2025-26 | ME 62 @ UVM 67 | UVM -14.5 | ME W |
| Mar 11, 2024-25 | ME 57 @ UVM 42 | UVM -4.5 | ME W |
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | UVM 65 @ ME 61 | ME -3.5 | UVM W |
| Feb 1, 2024-25 | ME 49 @ UVM 55 | UVM -2.5 | UVM W |
| Feb 17, 2023-24 | UVM 68 @ ME 57 | ME +6.5 | UVM W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Vermont
21 games played
Straight up
12-9
57% wins
Against the spread
10-11
48% covers · avg −2.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-8
62% overs · avg +4.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9 | @ BRWN | W 89-84 | -5.5 | L −0.5 | 131.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 15 | @ NE | W 85-74 | +1.5 | W +12.5 | 134.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 18 | @ BUF | L 90-94 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 24 | vs LIB | L 73-79 | +8.5 | W +2.5 | 141.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 25 | vs URI | L 65-80 | +4.5 | L −10.5 | 144.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 26 | vs PRIN | W 79-74 | -5.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 30 | vs YALE | L 74-77 | +6.5 | W +3.5 | 147.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 3 | @ ORST | L 58-80 | +3.5 | L −18.5 | 143.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 6 | @ PEPP | W 65-56 | -1.5 | W +7.5 | 142.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 14 | vs MRMK | W 66-59 | -6.5 | W +0.5 | 136.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 17 | vs SIE | W 83-69 | -2.5 | W +11.5 | 134.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 20 | vs IONA | L 78-83 | -6.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 30 | @PRIN | L 69-75 | -3.5 | L −9.5 | 136.5 | O 144 |
| Jan 3 | @ UNH | W 80-61 | -7.5 | W +11.5 | 139.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 8 | vs BING | W 60-59 | -20.5 | L −19.5 | 140.5 | U 119 |
| Jan 15 | vsME | W 67-62 | -14.5 | L −9.5 | 130.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 19 | @ UALB | L 68-75 | -5.5 | L −12.5 | 139.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 22 | @ UML | W 77-68 | -4.5 | W +4.5 | 145.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 24 | @ BRY | W 62-52 | -8.5 | W +1.5 | 133.5 | U 114 |
| Jan 29 | vs UMBC | W 64-55 | -8.5 | W +0.5 | 141.5 | U 119 |
| Jan 31 | vs NJIT | L 77-79 | -13.5 | L −15.5 | 139.5 | O 156 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
9
@BRWN
BRWNW 89-84
−0.5
15
@NE
NEW 85-74
+12.5
18
@BUF
BUFL 90-94
−5.5
24
vsLIB
LIBL 73-79
+2.5
25
vsURI
URIL 65-80
−10.5
26
vsPRIN
PRINW 79-74
−0.5
30
vsYALE
YALEL 74-77
+3.5
3
@ORST
ORSTL 58-80
−18.5
6
@PEPP
PEPPW 65-56
+7.5
14
vsMRMK
MRMKW 66-59
+0.5
17
vsSIE
SIEW 83-69
+11.5
20
vsIONA
IONAL 78-83
−11.5
30
@PRIN
PRINL 69-75
−9.5
3
@UNH
UNHW 80-61
+11.5
8
vsBING
BINGW 60-59
−19.5
15
vsME
MEW 67-62
−9.5
19
@UALB
UALBL 68-75
−12.5
22
@UML
UMLW 77-68
+4.5
24
@BRY
BRYW 62-52
+1.5
29
vsUMBC
UMBCW 64-55
+0.5
31
vsNJIT
NJITL 77-79
−15.5
covered 10didn’t cover 11avg −2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
9
@BRWN
BRWNW 89-84
+41.5
15
@NE
NEW 85-74
+24.5
18
@BUF
BUFL 90-94
+42.5
24
vsLIB
LIBL 73-79
+10.5
25
vsURI
URIL 65-80
+0.5
26
vsPRIN
PRINW 79-74
+12.5
30
vsYALE
YALEL 74-77
+3.5
3
@ORST
ORSTL 58-80
−5.5
6
@PEPP
PEPPW 65-56
−21.5
14
vsMRMK
MRMKW 66-59
−11.5
17
vsSIE
SIEW 83-69
+17.5
20
vsIONA
IONAL 78-83
+8.5
30
@PRIN
PRINL 69-75
+7.5
3
@UNH
UNHW 80-61
+1.5
8
vsBING
BINGW 60-59
−21.5
15
vsME
MEW 67-62
−1.5
19
@UALB
UALBL 68-75
+3.5
22
@UML
UMLW 77-68
−0.5
24
@BRY
BRYW 62-52
−19.5
29
vsUMBC
UMBCW 64-55
−22.5
31
vsNJIT
NJITL 77-79
+16.5
over 13under 8avg +4.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Maine
22 games played
Straight up
4-18
18% wins
Against the spread
10-12
45% covers · avg −2.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-14
36% overs · avg −3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ GW | L 47-67 | +20.5 | W +0.5 | 143.5 | U 114 |
| Nov 8 | @ STBK | L 60-71 | +3.5 | L −7.5 | 131.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 10 | @ RUTG | L 60-72 | +18.5 | W +6.5 | 130.5 | O 132 |
| Nov 16 | vs QUIN | L 64-70 | +3.5 | L −2.5 | 137.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 19 | @MRMK | L 65-72 | +6.5 | L −0.5 | 130.5 | O 137 |
| Nov 23 | vsBRWN | L 53-58 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 127.5 | U 111 |
| Nov 28 | @ AMER | L 61-74 | +7.5 | L −5.5 | 133.5 | O 135 |
| Nov 29 | vs LONG | L 61-65 | +5.5 | W +1.5 | 138.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 30 | vsSIE | L 60-64 | +9.5 | W +5.5 | 127.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 3 | @ OHIO | L 57-79 | +12.5 | L −9.5 | 138.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 6 | @ M-OH | L 61-93 | +17.5 | L −14.5 | 139.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 10 | @ BU | W 69-59 | +8.5 | W +18.5 | 128.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 13 | vs CAN | L 43-70 | -6.5 | L −33.5 | 127.5 | U 113 |
| Dec 21 | @ DREX | L 56-74 | +10.5 | L −7.5 | 129.5 | O 130 |
| Jan 3 | vsBRY | L 51-56 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 125.5 | U 107 |
| Jan 8 | @UMBC | L 62-69 | +7.5 | W +0.5 | 133.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 10 | @NJIT | W 74-70 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 130.5 | O 144 |
| Jan 15 | @UVM | L 62-67 | +14.5 | W +9.5 | 130.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 19 | vsUNH | L 48-65 | -1.5 | L −18.5 | 129.5 | U 113 |
| Jan 22 | vsUALB | W 52-49 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 131.5 | U 101 |
| Jan 24 | vsBING | W 79-63 | -5.5 | W +10.5 | 124.5 | O 142 |
| Jan 31 | @UML | L 77-91 | +4.5 | L −9.5 | 136.5 | O 168 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@GW
GWL 47-67
+0.5
8
@STBK
STBKL 60-71
−7.5
10
@RUTG
RUTGL 60-72
+6.5
16
vsQUIN
QUINL 64-70
−2.5
19
@MRMK
MRMKL 65-72
−0.5
23
vsBRWN
BRWNL 53-58
−3.5
28
@AMER
AMERL 61-74
−5.5
29
vsLONG
LONGL 61-65
+1.5
30
vsSIE
SIEL 60-64
+5.5
3
@OHIO
OHIOL 57-79
−9.5
6
@M-OH
M-OHL 61-93
−14.5
10
@BU
BUW 69-59
+18.5
13
vsCAN
CANL 43-70
−33.5
21
@DREX
DREXL 56-74
−7.5
3
vsBRY
BRYL 51-56
−3.5
8
@UMBC
UMBCL 62-69
+0.5
10
@NJIT
NJITW 74-70
+5.5
15
@UVM
UVML 62-67
+9.5
19
vsUNH
UNHL 48-65
−18.5
22
vsUALB
UALBW 52-49
+5.5
24
vsBING
BINGW 79-63
+10.5
31
@UML
UMLL 77-91
−9.5
covered 10didn’t cover 12avg −2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@GW
GWL 47-67
−29.5
8
@STBK
STBKL 60-71
−0.5
10
@RUTG
RUTGL 60-72
+1.5
16
vsQUIN
QUINL 64-70
−3.5
19
@MRMK
MRMKL 65-72
+6.5
23
vsBRWN
BRWNL 53-58
−16.5
28
@AMER
AMERL 61-74
+1.5
29
vsLONG
LONGL 61-65
−12.5
30
vsSIE
SIEL 60-64
−3.5
3
@OHIO
OHIOL 57-79
−2.5
6
@M-OH
M-OHL 61-93
+14.5
10
@BU
BUW 69-59
−0.5
13
vsCAN
CANL 43-70
−14.5
21
@DREX
DREXL 56-74
+0.5
3
vsBRY
BRYL 51-56
−18.5
8
@UMBC
UMBCL 62-69
−2.5
10
@NJIT
NJITW 74-70
+13.5
15
@UVM
UVML 62-67
−1.5
19
vsUNH
UNHL 48-65
−16.5
22
vsUALB
UALBW 52-49
−30.5
24
vsBING
BINGW 79-63
+17.5
31
@UML
UMLL 77-91
+31.5
over 8under 14avg −3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Vermont
12-9 overall · 6-2 in conference · America East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs NJIT77–79
- Wvs UMBC64–55
- W@ Bryant62–52
- W@ UMass Lowell77–68
- L@ UAlbany68–75
5 days since their last game.
Maine
4-18 overall · 3-5 in conference · America East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ UMass Lowell77–91
- Wvs Binghamton79–63
- Wvs UAlbany52–49
- Lvs New Hampshire48–65
- L@ Vermont62–67
5 days since their last game.