TD Arena · at Charleston · Conference game
Closing line
COFC -1.5✓ UNCW covered by 13.5
Closing total148.5Under by 8.5
| This season | COFC | |
|---|---|---|
| 17-4 | Record | 15-8 |
| 8-13 | ATS | 13-10 |
| 13-8 | O/U | 11-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UNCW 75–76 COFC · ✗ COFC (54%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNCW | 42 | 34 | 76 |
| COFC | 32 | 32 | 64 |
1st half: UNCW 42, COFC 32 (UNCW by 10). The model had COFC by 0.6 and a total of 70.3 (actual 74).
Team stats
| UNCW | COFC | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-69 41% | Field goals | 20-50 40% |
| 8-24 33% | 3-pointers | 5-19 26% |
| 12-17 71% | Free throws | 19-23 83% |
| 39 13 off | Rebounds | 37 7 off |
| 10 | Assists | 6 |
| 7 | Steals | 3 |
| 1 | Blocks | 2 |
| 5 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 21 | Fouls | 16 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| UNCW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Hodge G | 37 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 4-12 | 3-8 |
| Greedy Williams G | 33 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 5-11 | 2-4 |
| Patrick Wessler C | 30 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 7-14 | 0-0 |
| Noah Ross G | 30 | 11 | 8 | 0 | 5-10 | 0-1 |
| Christian May G | 24 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 5-11 | 2-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Madison Durr G | 19 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1-7 | 0-3 |
| Jahnathan Lamothe G | 17 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Makoi Mabor Makoi F | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Adam Tokpah, Matija Prodanovic, JoJo Fullwood, Makel Smith, CJ Luster II, Grady Whitt, Gavin Walsh
| COFC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jlynn Counter G | 36 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 5-14 | 2-4 |
| Christian Reeves C | 33 | 13 | 11 | 1 | 5-8 | 0-0 |
| Connor Hickman G | 30 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 4-9 | 0-3 |
| Martin Kalu G | 25 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Colby Duggan F | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Chris Davis Jr. G | 27 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 3-8 | 1-4 |
| Chol Machot C | 15 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Chadlyn Traylor G | 12 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Jaxon Prunty G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kendall Taylor, Will Mortimore, AJ Fowler, Mister Dean, Joey Scarpitti, Djordje Curcic, Bryce Baker
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketCOFC -1.5
ModelCOFC -1.3
Model edgeUNCW +0.2
W UNCW covered
Total
Market148.5
Model150.2
Model edgeOver 1.7
L Under
Projected score
UNCW 74.5 · COFC 75.8
UNCW 76 · COFC 64
Win probability
COFC 54%
1st half
Spread
COFC -0.6
UNCW -10.0
Total
70.3
74 points
Projected score
UNCW 34.8 · COFC 35.5
UNCW 42 · COFC 32
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCOFC -1.5
no move
CloseCOFC -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open150.5
▼ 2
Close148.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
UNCW +110 · COFC -130
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened COFC -1.5 · unchangedmodel COFC -1.5 matches the line
model COFC -1.5 = line ✓
Opened 150.5 · closed 148.5 · moved 2 downmodel 150
model 150
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8-2 80% | 3-7 30% | 7-3 70% | |
| 8-2 80% | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 11 since 2021-22
UNCW 8–3 COFCUNCW leads · 11 games since 2021-22 · UNCW has won the last 5 meetings · UNCW 9-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2024-25 | COFC 67 vs UNCW 68 | UNCW -5.5 | COFC W |
| Feb 13, 2024-25 | COFC 66 @ UNCW 86 | UNCW -5.5 | UNCW W |
| Jan 23, 2024-25 | UNCW 85 @ COFC 83 | COFC -2.5 | UNCW W |
| Feb 1, 2023-24 | UNCW 80 @ COFC 74 | COFC -4.5 | UNCW W |
| Jan 20, 2023-24 | COFC 69 @ UNCW 78 | UNCW -2.5 | UNCW W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UNC Wilmington
21 games played
Straight up
17-4
81% wins
Against the spread
8-13
38% covers · avg +0 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-8
62% overs · avg −1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10 | @ | L 77-86 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 15 | vs | W 73-60 | -14.5 | L −1.5 | 155.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 18 | vs | W 85-60 | -6.5 | W +18.5 | 145.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 21 | @ | W 81-73 | -4.5 | W +3.5 | 151.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 26 | vs | W 70-57 | -11.5 | W +1.5 | 137.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 28 | vs | W 87-57 | -8.5 | W +21.5 | 138.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 29 | vs | W 88-62 | -18.5 | W +7.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 3 | vs | W 70-69 | -8.5 | L −7.5 | 150.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 6 | @ | W 70-63 | -12.5 | L −5.5 | 130.5 | O 133 |
| Dec 13 | @ | W 73-70 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 136.5 | O 143 |
| Dec 20 | vs | L 66-67 | -15.5 | L −16.5 | 141.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 29 | @ | W 87-78 | -10.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 31 | vs | W 65-53 | -12.5 | L −0.5 | 137.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 3 | vs | W 49-45 | -12.5 | L −8.5 | 140.5 | U 94 |
| Jan 8 | @ | W 87-78 | -4.5 | W +4.5 | 142.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 10 | @ | W 75-71 | -6.5 | L −2.5 | 133.5 | O 146 |
| Jan 17 | vs | W 78-75 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 149.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 22 | @ | L 70-77 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 159.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 24 | @ | W 75-67 | -4.5 | W +3.5 | 136.5 | O 142 |
| Jan 29 | @ | W 82-73 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 135.5 | O 155 |
| Feb 5 | vs | L 78-85 | -4.5 | L −11.5 | 159.5 | O 163 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
10
@
KENT
L 77-86
−5.5
15
vs
UPST
W 73-60
−1.5
18
vs
ECU
W 85-60
+18.5
21
@
RAD
W 81-73
+3.5
26
vs
SELA
W 70-57
+1.5
28
vs
NAVY
W 87-57
+21.5
29
vs
GWEB
W 88-62
+7.5
3
vs
MRSH
W 70-69
−7.5
6
@
UL
W 70-63
−5.5
13
@
VAL
W 73-70
−1.5
20
vs
HOW
L 66-67
−16.5
29
@
NCAT
W 87-78
−1.5
31
vs
DREX
W 65-53
−0.5
3
vs
HAMP
W 49-45
−8.5
8
@
NE
W 87-78
+4.5
10
@
STBK
W 75-71
−2.5
17
vs
CAM
W 78-75
−3.5
22
@
W&M
L 70-77
−4.5
24
@
HAMP
W 75-67
+3.5
29
@
TOW
W 82-73
+10.5
5
vs
W&M
L 78-85
−11.5
covered 8didn’t cover 13avg +0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
10
@
KENT
L 77-86
+6.5
15
vs
UPST
W 73-60
−22.5
18
vs
ECU
W 85-60
−0.5
21
@
RAD
W 81-73
+2.5
26
vs
SELA
W 70-57
−10.5
28
vs
NAVY
W 87-57
+5.5
29
vs
GWEB
W 88-62
+2.5
3
vs
MRSH
W 70-69
−11.5
6
@
UL
W 70-63
+2.5
13
@
VAL
W 73-70
+6.5
20
vs
HOW
L 66-67
−8.5
29
@
NCAT
W 87-78
+18.5
31
vs
DREX
W 65-53
−19.5
3
vs
HAMP
W 49-45
−46.5
8
@
NE
W 87-78
+22.5
10
@
STBK
W 75-71
+12.5
17
vs
CAM
W 78-75
+3.5
22
@
W&M
L 70-77
−12.5
24
@
HAMP
W 75-67
+5.5
29
@
TOW
W 82-73
+19.5
5
vs
W&M
L 78-85
+3.5
over 13under 8avg −1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Charleston
23 games played
Straight up
15-8
65% wins
Against the spread
13-10
57% covers · avg −0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-12
48% overs · avg +0.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ | L 75-90 | +9.5 | L −5.5 | 145.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 8 | vs | L 77-94 | +5.5 | L −11.5 | 156.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 14 | vs | W 88-61 | -18.5 | W +8.5 | 156.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 17 | vs | L 62-71 | -7.5 | L −16.5 | 153.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 21 | vs | W 69-65 | -3.5 | W +0.5 | 161.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 23 | vs | L 63-74 | +6.5 | L −4.5 | 148.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 24 | vs | W 78-59 | -4.5 | W +14.5 | 141.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 30 | vs | L 73-96 | +2.5 | L −20.5 | 152.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 10 | @ | L 75-81 | +13.5 | W +7.5 | 160.5 | U 156 |
| Dec 14 | vs | W 74-67 | -5.5 | W +1.5 | 140.5 | O 141 |
| Dec 17 | vs | W 82-78 | -17.5 | L −13.5 | 146.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 21 | @ | W 85-74 | +5.5 | W +16.5 | 153.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 29 | vs | W 72-63 | -9.5 | L −0.5 | 142.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 31 | @ | W 85-81 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 155.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 5 | vs | W 88-79 | -2.5 | W +6.5 | 165.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 10 | vs | W 74-70 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 145.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 15 | @ | L 52-61 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 143.5 | U 113 |
| Jan 17 | @ | L 106-112 | -4.5 | L −10.5 | 142.5 | O 218 |
| Jan 22 | vs | W 87-83 | -3.5 | W +0.5 | 160.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 24 | vs | W 80-70 | -3.5 | W +6.5 | 159.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 29 | @ | W 66-64 | +2.5 | W +4.5 | 148.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 31 | @ | W 89-84 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 161.5 | O 173 |
| Feb 5 | vs | W 78-62 | -11.5 | W +4.5 | 155.5 | U 140 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@
LIB
L 75-90
−5.5
8
vs
FAU
L 77-94
−11.5
14
vs
SCST
W 88-61
+8.5
17
vs
DRKE
L 62-71
−16.5
21
vs
MASS
W 69-65
+0.5
23
vs
YALE
L 63-74
−4.5
24
vs
EVAN
W 78-59
+14.5
30
vs
BEL
L 73-96
−20.5
10
@
USF
L 75-81
+7.5
14
vs
CLT
W 74-67
+1.5
17
vs
CIT
W 82-78
−13.5
21
@
NKU
W 85-74
+16.5
29
vs
DREX
W 72-63
−0.5
31
@
ELON
W 85-81
+6.5
5
vs
W&M
W 88-79
+6.5
10
vs
HAMP
W 74-70
−5.5
15
@
TOW
L 52-61
−5.5
17
@
STBK
L 106-112
−10.5
22
vs
CAM
W 87-83
+0.5
24
vs
ELON
W 80-70
+6.5
29
@
HOF
W 66-64
+4.5
31
@
NE
W 89-84
+1.5
5
vs
NCAT
W 78-62
+4.5
covered 13didn’t cover 10avg −0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@
LIB
L 75-90
+19.5
8
vs
FAU
L 77-94
+14.5
14
vs
SCST
W 88-61
−7.5
17
vs
DRKE
L 62-71
−20.5
21
vs
MASS
W 69-65
−27.5
23
vs
YALE
L 63-74
−11.5
24
vs
EVAN
W 78-59
−4.5
30
vs
BEL
L 73-96
+16.5
10
@
USF
L 75-81
−4.5
14
vs
CLT
W 74-67
+0.5
17
vs
CIT
W 82-78
+13.5
21
@
NKU
W 85-74
+5.5
29
vs
DREX
W 72-63
−7.5
31
@
ELON
W 85-81
+10.5
5
vs
W&M
W 88-79
+1.5
10
vs
HAMP
W 74-70
−1.5
15
@
TOW
L 52-61
−30.5
17
@
STBK
L 106-112
+75.5
22
vs
CAM
W 87-83
+9.5
24
vs
ELON
W 80-70
−9.5
29
@
HOF
W 66-64
−18.5
31
@
NE
W 89-84
+11.5
5
vs
NCAT
W 78-62
−15.5
over 11under 12avg +0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UNC Wilmington
17-4 overall · 8-2 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs William & Mary78–85
- W@ Towson82–73
- W@ Hampton75–67
- L@ William & Mary70–77
- Wvs Campbell78–75
4 days since their last game.
Charleston
15-8 overall · 9-2 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs NC A&T78–62
- W@ Northeastern89–84
- W@ Hofstra66–64
- Wvs Elon80–70
- Wvs Campbell87–83
4 days since their last game.