David S. Mack Sports and Exhibition Complex · at Hofstra · Conference game
Closing line
HOF -8.5✓ HOF covered by 8.5
HOF -8.5✓ HOF covered by 8.5Closing total153.5Under by 10.5
 NE | This season | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| 6-15 | Record | 12-9 |
| 9-12 | ATS | 13-8 |
| 16-5 | O/U | 13-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NE 72–81 HOF · ✓ HOF (78%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NE | 28 | 35 | 63 |
| HOF | 41 | 39 | 80 |
1st half: NE 28, HOF 41 (HOF by 13). The model had HOF by 5.1 and a total of 71.6 (actual 69).
Team stats
| NE | HOF | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-51 45% | Field goals | 30-63 48% |
| 8-22 36% | 3-pointers | 8-23 35% |
| 9-14 64% | Free throws | 12-15 80% |
| 24 3 off | Rebounds | 41 14 off |
| 16 | Assists | 18 |
| 5 | Steals | 5 |
| 2 | Blocks | 6 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 15 | Fouls | 16 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| NE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Kermoury G | 33 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 4-13 | 2-8 |
| Mike Loughnane G | 29 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1-5 | 1-2 |
| Luca Soroa Schaller F | 24 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Petar Pinter C | 23 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Xavier Abreu G | 18 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 6-10 | 2-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ryan Williams G | 27 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 7-9 | 3-4 |
| Ty Francis F | 15 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| JB Frankel G | 14 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Youri Fritz F | 14 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Liam Koelsch C | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Xander Alarie, Haris Elezovic, LA Pratt, Miles Newton
| HOF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cruz Davis G | 40 | 16 | 4 | 8 | 6-11 | 1-4 |
| Preston Edmead G | 38 | 23 | 9 | 8 | 7-13 | 5-7 |
| German Plotnikov G | 29 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 5-9 | 0-3 |
| Biggie Patterson G | 24 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 2-10 | 0-4 |
| Silas Sunday F | 11 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Victory Onuetu F | 27 | 6 | 12 | 1 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Joshua DeCady F | 21 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 5-7 | 2-2 |
| Joshua Aaron Reaves G | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Alex Tsynkevich C | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jaeden Roberts G | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Amir Williams, Carlos Lopez, A.J. Wills, Brandon Morgan, Trey Boyd III
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketHOF -8.5
ModelHOF -8.7
Model edgeHOF +0.2
W HOF covered
Total
Market153.5
Model152.9
Model edgeUnder 0.6
W Under
Projected score
NE 72.1 · HOF 80.8
NE 63 · HOF 80
Win probability
HOF 78%
1st half
Spread
HOF -5.1
HOF -13.0
Total
71.6
69 points
Projected score
NE 33.2 · HOF 38.3
NE 28 · HOF 41
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenHOF -9.5
1 → NE
CloseHOF -8.5
1 pt toward NE
Total
Open155.5
▼ 2
Close153.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
NE +350 · HOF -455
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened HOF -9.5 · closed HOF -8.5 · moved 1 toward NEmodel HOF -8.5 matches the line
model HOF -8.5 = line ✓
Opened 155.5 · closed 153.5 · moved 2 downmodel 153
model 153
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NE | 2-8 20% | 2-8 20% | 10-0 100% |
| HOF | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
NE 2–6 HOFHOF leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · NE 3-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2024-25 | NE 77 @ HOF 68 | HOF -3.5 | NE W |
| Jan 4, 2024-25 | HOF 55 @ NE 37 | NE -2.5 | HOF W |
| Feb 17, 2023-24 | NE 62 @ HOF 82 | HOF -6.5 | HOF W |
| Jan 11, 2023-24 | HOF 68 @ NE 71 | NE +4.5 | NE W |
| Feb 25, 2022-23 | NE 52 @ HOF 84 | HOF -13.5 | HOF W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Northeastern
21 games played
Straight up
6-15
29% wins
Against the spread
9-12
43% covers · avg −0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
16-5
76% overs · avg +11.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs BU | L 75-76 | -2.5 | L −3.5 | 142.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 7 | @ COLG | W 68-65 | +5.5 | W +8.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 11 | @ HARV | W 77-60 | +5.5 | W +22.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 15 | vs UVM | L 74-85 | -1.5 | L −12.5 | 134.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 20 | @ PRIN | L 57-70 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 22 | vs DUQ | W 93-86 | +7.5 | W +14.5 | 147.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 28 | @ WAKE | L 73-86 | +17.5 | W +4.5 | 154.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 3 | @ HC | L 59-76 | -8.5 | L −25.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 7 | vs CCSU | W 73-56 | -1.5 | W +15.5 | 138.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 20 | @ SYR | L 83-91 | +14.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | O 174 |
| Dec 22 | @ URI | L 77-85 | +10.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 29 | @ ELON | L 91-103 | +4.5 | L −7.5 | 153.5 | O 194 |
| Dec 31 | @ NCAT | W 85-74 | -3.5 | W +7.5 | 151.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 3 | @ CAM | L 82-97 | +3.5 | L −11.5 | 154.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 8 | vs UNCW | L 78-87 | +4.5 | L −4.5 | 142.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 10 | vs TOW | L 78-87 | +2.5 | L −6.5 | 143.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 15 | vsELON | W 85-78 | +3.5 | W +10.5 | 157.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 19 | @ MONM | L 68-81 | +3.5 | L −9.5 | 143.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 22 | vs STBK | L 80-95 | -3.5 | L −18.5 | 148.5 | O 175 |
| Jan 24 | @ DREX | L 78-83 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 139.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 31 | vs COFC | L 84-89 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 161.5 | O 173 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsBU
BUL 75-76
−3.5
7
@COLG
COLGW 68-65
+8.5
11
@HARV
HARVW 77-60
+22.5
15
vsUVM
UVML 74-85
−12.5
20
@PRIN
PRINL 57-70
−10.5
22
vsDUQ
DUQW 93-86
+14.5
28
@WAKE
WAKEL 73-86
+4.5
3
@HC
HCL 59-76
−25.5
7
vsCCSU
CCSUW 73-56
+15.5
20
@SYR
SYRL 83-91
+6.5
22
@URI
URIL 77-85
+2.5
29
@ELON
ELONL 91-103
−7.5
31
@NCAT
NCATW 85-74
+7.5
3
@CAM
CAML 82-97
−11.5
8
vsUNCW
UNCWL 78-87
−4.5
10
vsTOW
TOWL 78-87
−6.5
15
vsELON
ELONW 85-78
+10.5
19
@MONM
MONML 68-81
−9.5
22
vsSTBK
STBKL 80-95
−18.5
24
@DREX
DREXL 78-83
−0.5
31
vsCOFC
COFCL 84-89
−1.5
covered 9didn’t cover 12avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBU
BUL 75-76
+8.5
7
@COLG
COLGW 68-65
−14.5
11
@HARV
HARVW 77-60
−7.5
15
vsUVM
UVML 74-85
+24.5
20
@PRIN
PRINL 57-70
−18.5
22
vsDUQ
DUQW 93-86
+31.5
28
@WAKE
WAKEL 73-86
+4.5
3
@HC
HCL 59-76
−10.5
7
vsCCSU
CCSUW 73-56
−9.5
20
@SYR
SYRL 83-91
+33.5
22
@URI
URIL 77-85
+17.5
29
@ELON
ELONL 91-103
+40.5
31
@NCAT
NCATW 85-74
+7.5
3
@CAM
CAML 82-97
+24.5
8
vsUNCW
UNCWL 78-87
+22.5
10
vsTOW
TOWL 78-87
+21.5
15
vsELON
ELONW 85-78
+5.5
19
@MONM
MONML 68-81
+5.5
22
vsSTBK
STBKL 80-95
+26.5
24
@DREX
DREXL 78-83
+21.5
31
vsCOFC
COFCL 84-89
+11.5
over 16under 5avg +11.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Hofstra
21 games played
Straight up
12-9
57% wins
Against the spread
13-8
62% covers · avg +2.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-8
62% overs · avg +4.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ UCF | L 78-82 | +8.5 | W +4.5 | 140.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 7 | @ IONA | L 73-81 | -1.5 | L −9.5 | 144.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 14 | @ BUCK | W 83-77 | -4.5 | W +1.5 | 139.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 19 | @ TEM | L 76-81 | +5.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 28 | vs LAS | W 63-58 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 138.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 29 | vs MRMK | W 78-58 | -5.5 | W +14.5 | 135.5 | O 136 |
| Nov 30 | @ PENN | W 77-60 | -1.5 | W +15.5 | 149.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 3 | @ COLU | L 70-72 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 7 | @ PITT | W 80-73 | +8.5 | W +15.5 | 134.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 13 | @SYR | W 70-69 | +9.5 | W +10.5 | 139.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 21 | vs QUIN | W 74-66 | -7.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 29 | vsCAM | W 86-72 | -6.5 | W +7.5 | 149.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 3 | @DREX | W 70-67 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 131.5 | O 137 |
| Jan 8 | @TOW | W 78-67 | +1.5 | W +12.5 | 134.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 10 | vsMONM | W 67-64 | -7.5 | L −4.5 | 139.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 15 | @STBK | L 71-76 | -6.5 | L −11.5 | 136.5 | O 147 |
| Jan 17 | vsELON | L 85-89 | -5.5 | L −9.5 | 149.5 | O 174 |
| Jan 22 | @NCAT | L 78-79 | -9.5 | L −10.5 | 146.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 24 | @ W&M | L 82-89 | +3.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 29 | vsCOFC | L 64-66 | -2.5 | L −4.5 | 148.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 31 | @MONM | W 73-57 | -1.5 | W +14.5 | 140.5 | U 130 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@UCF
UCFL 78-82
+4.5
7
@IONA
IONAL 73-81
−9.5
14
@BUCK
BUCKW 83-77
+1.5
19
@TEM
TEML 76-81
+0.5
28
vsLAS
LASW 63-58
+1.5
29
vsMRMK
MRMKW 78-58
+14.5
30
@PENN
PENNW 77-60
+15.5
3
@COLU
COLUL 70-72
+1.5
7
@PITT
PITTW 80-73
+15.5
13
@SYR
SYRW 70-69
+10.5
21
vsQUIN
QUINW 74-66
+0.5
29
vsCAM
CAMW 86-72
+7.5
3
@DREX
DREXW 70-67
−1.5
8
@TOW
TOWW 78-67
+12.5
10
vsMONM
MONMW 67-64
−4.5
15
@STBK
STBKL 71-76
−11.5
17
vsELON
ELONL 85-89
−9.5
22
@NCAT
NCATL 78-79
−10.5
24
@W&M
W&ML 82-89
−3.5
29
vsCOFC
COFCL 64-66
−4.5
31
@MONM
MONMW 73-57
+14.5
covered 13didn’t cover 8avg +2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@UCF
UCFL 78-82
+19.5
7
@IONA
IONAL 73-81
+9.5
14
@BUCK
BUCKW 83-77
+20.5
19
@TEM
TEML 76-81
+11.5
28
vsLAS
LASW 63-58
−17.5
29
vsMRMK
MRMKW 78-58
+0.5
30
@PENN
PENNW 77-60
−12.5
3
@COLU
COLUL 70-72
−2.5
7
@PITT
PITTW 80-73
+18.5
13
@SYR
SYRW 70-69
−0.5
21
vsQUIN
QUINW 74-66
−7.5
29
vsCAM
CAMW 86-72
+8.5
3
@DREX
DREXW 70-67
+5.5
8
@TOW
TOWW 78-67
+10.5
10
vsMONM
MONMW 67-64
−8.5
15
@STBK
STBKL 71-76
+10.5
17
vsELON
ELONL 85-89
+24.5
22
@NCAT
NCATL 78-79
+10.5
24
@W&M
W&ML 82-89
+13.5
29
vsCOFC
COFCL 64-66
−18.5
31
@MONM
MONMW 73-57
−10.5
over 13under 8avg +4.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Northeastern
6-15 overall · 2-8 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Charleston84–89
- L@ Drexel78–83
- Lvs Stony Brook80–95
- L@ Monmouth68–81
- Wvs Elon85–78
5 days since their last game.
Hofstra
12-9 overall · 5-5 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Monmouth73–57
- Lvs Charleston64–66
- L@ William & Mary82–89
- L@ NC A&T78–79
- Lvs Elon85–89
5 days since their last game.