Schar Center · at Elon · Conference game
Closing line
ELON -4.5✓ ELON covered by 7.5
Closing total153.5Over by 40.5
| This season | ELON | |
|---|---|---|
| 4-7 | Record | 6-5 |
| 7-4 | ATS | 6-5 |
| 6-5 | O/U | 8-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NE 77–81 ELON · ✓ ELON (64%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NE | 43 | 48 | 91 |
| ELON | 46 | 57 | 103 |
1st half: NE 43, ELON 46 (ELON by 3). The model had ELON by 2.3 and a total of 74.3 (actual 89).
Team stats
| NE | ELON | |
|---|---|---|
| 33-58 57% | Field goals | 36-58 62% |
| 14-21 67% | 3-pointers | 12-27 44% |
| 11-17 65% | Free throws | 19-25 76% |
| 21 8 off | Rebounds | 32 11 off |
| 22 | Assists | 21 |
| 5 | Steals | 9 |
| 3 | Blocks | 3 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 22 | Fouls | 15 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 44 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 3 |
Players
| NE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Francis F | 30 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 9-11 | 1-1 |
| Mike Loughnane G | 28 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 4-9 | 2-4 |
| William Kermoury G | 24 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 7-12 | 6-10 |
| Youri Fritz F | 23 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 2-7 | 0-0 |
| Ryan Williams G | 19 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| JB Frankel G | 19 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3-4 | 3-3 |
| Luca Soroa Schaller F | 18 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Xavier Abreu G | 16 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3-6 | 1-1 |
| Petar Pinter C | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Liam Koelsch C | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Haris Elezovic F | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Xander Alarie, LA Pratt, Miles Newton
| ELON | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kacper Klaczek F | 29 | 28 | 12 | 5 | 10-12 | 4-6 |
| Isaac Harrell F | 28 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 4-7 | 1-4 |
| Ja'Juan Carr G | 27 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Randall Pettus II G | 27 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 6-9 | 2-5 |
| Chandler Cuthrell F | 27 | 28 | 2 | 1 | 10-17 | 2-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Bryson Cokley G | 20 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| DeMarco Johnson G | 14 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Ned Hull G | 13 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Caleb Middleton C | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bryson Spell F | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Trey O'Neil, Iker Garmendia, Savion Taylor, Austin Williams, Alex Brabec, Alex Olander
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketELON -4.5
ModelELON -4.0
Model edgeNE +0.5
L ELON covered
Total
Market153.5
Model158.6
Model edgeOver 5.1
W Over
Projected score
NE 77.3 · ELON 81.3
NE 91 · ELON 103
Win probability
ELON 64%
1st half
Spread
ELON -2.3
ELON -3.0
Total
74.3
89 points
Projected score
NE 36 · ELON 38.3
NE 43 · ELON 46
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenELON -5.5
1 → NE
CloseELON -4.5
1 pt toward NE
Total
Open155.5
▼ 2
Close153.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
NE +170 · ELON -205
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ELON -5.5 · closed ELON -4.5 · moved 1 toward NEmodel ELON -4
model ELON -4
Opened 155.5 · closed 153.5 · moved 2 downmodel 158.5
model 158.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | |
| 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
NE 2–4 ELONELON leads · 6 games since 2021-22 · NE 1-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2024-25 | NE 60 @ ELON 71 | ELON -3.5 | ELON W |
| Feb 22, 2023-24 | ELON 58 @ NE 61 | NE -9.5 | ELON W |
| Jan 20, 2023-24 | NE 84 @ ELON 72 | ELON +2.5 | NE W |
| Feb 4, 2022-23 | ELON 74 @ NE 73 | NE -6.5 | ELON W |
| Feb 26, 2021-22 | ELON 67 @ NE 54 | NE -4 | ELON W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Northeastern
11 games played
Straight up
4-7
36% wins
Against the spread
7-4
64% covers · avg +2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-5
55% overs · avg +5.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | L 75-76 | -2.5 | L −3.5 | 142.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 7 | @ | W 68-65 | +5.5 | W +8.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 11 | @ | W 77-60 | +5.5 | W +22.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 15 | vs | L 74-85 | -1.5 | L −12.5 | 134.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 20 | @ | L 57-70 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 22 | vs | W 93-86 | +7.5 | W +14.5 | 147.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 28 | @ | L 73-86 | +17.5 | W +4.5 | 154.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 3 | @ | L 59-76 | -8.5 | L −25.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 7 | vs | W 73-56 | -1.5 | W +15.5 | 138.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 20 | @ | L 83-91 | +14.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | O 174 |
| Dec 22 | @ | L 77-85 | +10.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | O 162 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
BU
L 75-76
−3.5
7
@
COLG
W 68-65
+8.5
11
@
HARV
W 77-60
+22.5
15
vs
UVM
L 74-85
−12.5
20
@
PRIN
L 57-70
−10.5
22
vs
DUQ
W 93-86
+14.5
28
@
WAKE
L 73-86
+4.5
3
@
HC
L 59-76
−25.5
7
vs
CCSU
W 73-56
+15.5
20
@
SYR
L 83-91
+6.5
22
@
URI
L 77-85
+2.5
covered 7didn’t cover 4avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
BU
L 75-76
+8.5
7
@
COLG
W 68-65
−14.5
11
@
HARV
W 77-60
−7.5
15
vs
UVM
L 74-85
+24.5
20
@
PRIN
L 57-70
−18.5
22
vs
DUQ
W 93-86
+31.5
28
@
WAKE
L 73-86
+4.5
3
@
HC
L 59-76
−10.5
7
vs
CCSU
W 73-56
−9.5
20
@
SYR
L 83-91
+33.5
22
@
URI
L 77-85
+17.5
over 6under 5avg +5.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Elon
11 games played
Straight up
6-5
55% wins
Against the spread
6-5
55% covers · avg +5.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-3
73% overs · avg +9.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ | W 92-90 | +4.5 | W +6.5 | 142.5 | O 182 |
| Nov 12 | @ | L 89-96 | +8.5 | W +1.5 | 155.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 15 | vs | W 95-84 | -13.5 | L −2.5 | 154.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 20 | @ | L 72-99 | +19.5 | L −7.5 | 164.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 24 | @ | W 88-53 | +5.5 | W +40.5 | 143.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 29 | vs | L 84-91 | -2.5 | L −9.5 | 159.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 3 | vs | L 88-97 | +1.5 | L −7.5 | 153.5 | O 185 |
| Dec 6 | @ | W 73-52 | +4.5 | W +25.5 | 161.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 13 | vs | W 85-79 | -11.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 17 | vs | W 73-70 | +3.5 | W +6.5 | 161.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 20 | @ | L 81-82 | +12.5 | W +11.5 | 158.5 | O 163 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@
UNCG
W 92-90
+6.5
12
@
MRSH
L 89-96
+1.5
15
vs
GWEB
W 95-84
−2.5
20
@
MIA
L 72-99
−7.5
24
@
APP
W 88-53
+40.5
29
vs
MER
L 84-91
−9.5
3
vs
FUR
L 88-97
−7.5
6
@
WOF
W 73-52
+25.5
13
vs
NIU
W 85-79
−5.5
17
vs
RICH
W 73-70
+6.5
20
@
VT
L 81-82
+11.5
covered 6didn’t cover 5avg +5.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@
UNCG
W 92-90
+39.5
12
@
MRSH
L 89-96
+29.5
15
vs
GWEB
W 95-84
+24.5
20
@
MIA
L 72-99
+6.5
24
@
APP
W 88-53
−2.5
29
vs
MER
L 84-91
+15.5
3
vs
FUR
L 88-97
+31.5
6
@
WOF
W 73-52
−36.5
13
vs
NIU
W 85-79
+7.5
17
vs
RICH
W 73-70
−18.5
20
@
VT
L 81-82
+4.5
over 8under 3avg +9.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Northeastern
4-7 overall · 0-0 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Rhode Island77–85
- L@ Syracuse83–91
- Wvs C Connecticut73–56
- L@ Holy Cross59–76
- L@ Wake Forest73–86
A week or more of rest.
Elon
6-5 overall · 0-0 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Virginia Tech81–82
- Wvs Richmond73–70
- Wvs N Illinois85–79
- W@ Wofford73–52
- Lvs Furman88–97
A week or more of rest.