Pete Hanna Center · at Samford · Conference game
Closing line
SAM -13.5✓ SAM covered by 0.5
SAM -13.5✓ SAM covered by 0.5Closing total146.5Under by 4.5
 CIT | This season | SAM |
|---|---|---|
| 5-15 | Record | 9-12 |
| 10-10 | ATS | 11-10 |
| 9-11 | O/U | 13-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CIT 68–80 SAM · ✓ SAM (85%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CIT | 32 | 32 | 64 |
| SAM | 39 | 39 | 78 |
1st half: CIT 32, SAM 39 (SAM by 7). The model had SAM by 7.0 and a total of 69.6 (actual 71).
Team stats
| CIT | SAM | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-61 43% | Field goals | 25-49 51% |
| 5-21 24% | 3-pointers | 10-22 45% |
| 7-15 47% | Free throws | 18-26 69% |
| 34 13 off | Rebounds | 33 8 off |
| 10 | Assists | 15 |
| 6 | Steals | 6 |
| 2 | Blocks | 3 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 20 | Fouls | 14 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 3 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| CIT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carter Kingsbury G | 33 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 6-11 | 0-1 |
| Sola Adebisi F | 31 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Eze Wali G | 27 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 2-7 | 1-2 |
| Braxton Williams F | 27 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4-10 | 0-2 |
| Christian Moore F | 21 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4-8 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Logan Applegate G | 23 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 4-13 | 3-12 |
| Marcos Gonzales G | 17 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-2 |
| Keynan Davis G | 9 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Simeon German F | 7 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Dante Kearse G | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Chase Williams, Cassius Bonjasky, Gabe Hernandez, Logan Menefee, Jameson Heck, Aidan Alexander, Jack Walter, Rowan Irelan
| SAM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jadin Booth G | 36 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 5-9 | 3-4 |
| Keaton Norris G | 36 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 5-9 | 2-5 |
| Dylan Faulkner F | 30 | 14 | 11 | 1 | 4-10 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Campbell-Finch G | 29 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 4-7 | 1-3 |
| Cade Norris G | 29 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kam Martin G | 23 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 4-8 | 3-6 |
| Will Shaver C | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Zion Wilburn G | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
Did not play: DaJion Humphrey, Cooper Davenport, JD Gossett, Judson Bjornstad, Caleb Harrison, Corey Brown, Jaxon Pollard, Zach Lamey, Joshua Hughes
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSAM -13.5
ModelSAM -11.9
Model edgeCIT +1.6
L SAM covered
Total
Market146.5
Model148.7
Model edgeOver 2.2
L Under
Projected score
CIT 68.4 · SAM 80.3
CIT 64 · SAM 78
Win probability
SAM 85%
1st half
Spread
SAM -7.0
SAM -7.0
Total
69.6
71 points
Projected score
CIT 31.3 · SAM 38.3
CIT 32 · SAM 39
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSAM -13.5
no move
CloseSAM -13.5
No change since the open
Total
Open142.5
▲ 4
Close146.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
CIT +850 · SAM -1450
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SAM -13.5 · unchangedmodel SAM -12
model SAM -12
Opened 142.5 · closed 146.5 · moved 4 upmodel 148.5
model 148.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CIT | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% |
| SAM | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | 8-2 80% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
CIT 1–7 SAMSAM leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · SAM has won the last 7 meetings · CIT 4-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2024-25 | SAM 83 @ CIT 58 | CIT +16.5 | SAM W |
| Jan 1, 2024-25 | CIT 56 @ SAM 86 | SAM -20.5 | SAM W |
| Mar 2, 2023-24 | CIT 80 @ SAM 92 | SAM -13.5 | CIT W |
| Jan 6, 2023-24 | SAM 80 @ CIT 64 | CIT +8.5 | SAM W |
| Feb 11, 2022-23 | CIT 70 @ SAM 76 | SAM -14.5 | CIT W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
The Citadel
20 games played
Straight up
5-15
25% wins
Against the spread
10-10
50% covers · avg −0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-11
45% overs · avg +1.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | @ BC | L 47-76 | +15.5 | L −13.5 | 144.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 10 | vs CHSO | L 86-96 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 145.5 | O 182 |
| Nov 14 | @ WGA | L 92-100 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 150.5 | O 192 |
| Nov 24 | vs BELL | L 58-70 | +3.5 | L −8.5 | 156.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 26 | vs HCU | L 65-72 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 137.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 30 | vs PRES | L 41-69 | +8.5 | L −19.5 | 133.5 | U 110 |
| Dec 4 | @ DAV | L 63-79 | +18.5 | W +2.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 13 | @ SC | L 55-71 | +22.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 17 | @ COFC | L 78-82 | +17.5 | W +13.5 | 146.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 20 | @ RICH | L 56-80 | +18.5 | L −5.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 30 | vs ETSU | L 49-74 | +12.5 | L −12.5 | 140.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 3 | vs WOF | L 86-95 | +9.5 | W +0.5 | 144.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 7 | @ MER | L 63-101 | +16.5 | L −21.5 | 147.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 10 | vs WCU | W 79-77 | +6.5 | W +8.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 15 | @ UNCG | L 66-69 | +9.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 17 | @ VMI | W 82-68 | +6.5 | W +20.5 | 143.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 21 | vs FUR | W 77-75 | +11.5 | W +13.5 | 142.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 23 | @ETSU | L 55-84 | +17.5 | L −11.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 29 | vsVMI | W 80-56 | -2.5 | W +21.5 | 142.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 31 | vsUNCG | W 71-66 | +2.5 | W +7.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@BC
BCL 47-76
−13.5
10
vsCHSO
CHSOL 86-96
−7.5
14
@WGA
WGAL 92-100
−1.5
24
vsBELL
BELLL 58-70
−8.5
26
vsHCU
HCUL 65-72
−5.5
30
vsPRES
PRESL 41-69
−19.5
4
@DAV
DAVL 63-79
+2.5
13
@SC
SCL 55-71
+6.5
17
@COFC
COFCL 78-82
+13.5
20
@RICH
RICHL 56-80
−5.5
30
vsETSU
ETSUL 49-74
−12.5
3
vsWOF
WOFL 86-95
+0.5
7
@MER
MERL 63-101
−21.5
10
vsWCU
WCUW 79-77
+8.5
15
@UNCG
UNCGL 66-69
+6.5
17
@VMI
VMIW 82-68
+20.5
21
vsFUR
FURW 77-75
+13.5
23
@ETSU
ETSUL 55-84
−11.5
29
vsVMI
VMIW 80-56
+21.5
31
vsUNCG
UNCGW 71-66
+7.5
covered 10didn’t cover 10avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@BC
BCL 47-76
−21.5
10
vsCHSO
CHSOL 86-96
+36.5
14
@WGA
WGAL 92-100
+41.5
24
vsBELL
BELLL 58-70
−28.5
26
vsHCU
HCUL 65-72
−0.5
30
vsPRES
PRESL 41-69
−23.5
4
@DAV
DAVL 63-79
+4.5
13
@SC
SCL 55-71
−15.5
17
@COFC
COFCL 78-82
+13.5
20
@RICH
RICHL 56-80
−10.5
30
vsETSU
ETSUL 49-74
−17.5
3
vsWOF
WOFL 86-95
+36.5
7
@MER
MERL 63-101
+16.5
10
vsWCU
WCUW 79-77
+7.5
15
@UNCG
UNCGL 66-69
−13.5
17
@VMI
VMIW 82-68
+6.5
21
vsFUR
FURW 77-75
+9.5
23
@ETSU
ETSUL 55-84
−2.5
29
vsVMI
VMIW 80-56
−6.5
31
vsUNCG
UNCGW 71-66
−10.5
over 9under 11avg +1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Samford
21 games played
Straight up
9-12
43% wins
Against the spread
11-10
52% covers · avg −1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-8
62% overs · avg +2.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ TULN | L 72-85 | +7.5 | L −5.5 | 154.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 7 | vs SCST | W 82-72 | -14.5 | L −4.5 | 154.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 12 | @ TXSO | W 93-90 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 153.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 14 | @ ARK | L 75-79 | +24.5 | W +20.5 | 158.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 16 | @ CARK | W 84-77 | -6.5 | W +0.5 | 151.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 19 | vs FGCU | L 62-77 | -5.5 | L −20.5 | 154.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 21 | @ NMSU | L 72-81 | +8.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 25 | vs GAST | W 78-63 | -5.5 | W +9.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 26 | vs UVU | L 45-89 | +7.5 | L −36.5 | 148.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 5 | @ VCU | L 57-83 | +19.5 | L −6.5 | 154.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 7 | vs COR | W 93-90 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 166.5 | O 183 |
| Jan 1 | @VMI | W 78-58 | -6.5 | W +13.5 | 154.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 3 | @UNCG | L 82-89 | -2.5 | L −9.5 | 151.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 7 | vsWCU | W 82-77 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 153.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 10 | @ UTC | L 79-88 | +1.5 | L −7.5 | 148.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 14 | vsFUR | L 73-77 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 149.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 17 | vsETSU | L 75-76 | +3.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 21 | @WOF | L 78-88 | +3.5 | L −6.5 | 154.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 24 | vsUTC | W 75-64 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 152.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 29 | @FUR | L 73-78 | +5.5 | W +0.5 | 149.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 1 | @WCU | W 88-74 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 154.5 | O 162 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@TULN
TULNL 72-85
−5.5
7
vsSCST
SCSTW 82-72
−4.5
12
@TXSO
TXSOW 93-90
+0.5
14
@ARK
ARKL 75-79
+20.5
16
@CARK
CARKW 84-77
+0.5
19
vsFGCU
FGCUL 62-77
−20.5
21
@NMSU
NMSUL 72-81
−0.5
25
vsGAST
GASTW 78-63
+9.5
26
vsUVU
UVUL 45-89
−36.5
5
@VCU
VCUL 57-83
−6.5
7
vsCOR
CORW 93-90
+0.5
1
@VMI
VMIW 78-58
+13.5
3
@UNCG
UNCGL 82-89
−9.5
7
vsWCU
WCUW 82-77
+0.5
10
@UTC
UTCL 79-88
−7.5
14
vsFUR
FURL 73-77
−2.5
17
vsETSU
ETSUL 75-76
+2.5
21
@WOF
WOFL 78-88
−6.5
24
vsUTC
UTCW 75-64
+6.5
29
@FUR
FURL 73-78
+0.5
1
@WCU
WCUW 88-74
+12.5
covered 11didn’t cover 10avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@TULN
TULNL 72-85
+2.5
7
vsSCST
SCSTW 82-72
−0.5
12
@TXSO
TXSOW 93-90
+29.5
14
@ARK
ARKL 75-79
−4.5
16
@CARK
CARKW 84-77
+9.5
19
vsFGCU
FGCUL 62-77
−15.5
21
@NMSU
NMSUL 72-81
+7.5
25
vsGAST
GASTW 78-63
−5.5
26
vsUVU
UVUL 45-89
−14.5
5
@VCU
VCUL 57-83
−14.5
7
vsCOR
CORW 93-90
+16.5
1
@VMI
VMIW 78-58
−18.5
3
@UNCG
UNCGL 82-89
+19.5
7
vsWCU
WCUW 82-77
+5.5
10
@UTC
UTCL 79-88
+18.5
14
vsFUR
FURL 73-77
+0.5
17
vsETSU
ETSUL 75-76
+2.5
21
@WOF
WOFL 78-88
+11.5
24
vsUTC
UTCW 75-64
−13.5
29
@FUR
FURL 73-78
+1.5
1
@WCU
WCUW 88-74
+7.5
over 13under 8avg +2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
The Citadel
5-15 overall · 5-5 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UNC Greensboro71–66
- Wvs VMI80–56
- L@ ETSU55–84
- Wvs Furman77–75
- W@ VMI82–68
5 days since their last game.
Samford
9-12 overall · 4-6 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ W Carolina88–74
- L@ Furman73–78
- Wvs Chattanooga75–64
- L@ Wofford78–88
- Lvs ETSU75–76
4 days since their last game.