McAlister Field House · at The Citadel · Conference game
Closing line
CIT -2.5✓ CIT covered by 21.5
CIT -2.5✓ CIT covered by 21.5Closing total142.5Under by 6.5
 VMI | This season | CIT |
|---|---|---|
| 3-15 | Record | 3-15 |
| 6-12 | ATS | 8-10 |
| 8-10 | O/U | 9-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: VMI 72–74 CIT · ✓ CIT (59%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| VMI | 25 | 31 | 56 |
| CIT | 34 | 46 | 80 |
1st half: VMI 25, CIT 34 (CIT by 9). The model had CIT by 1.5 and a total of 68.4 (actual 59).
Team stats
| VMI | CIT | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-54 37% | Field goals | 28-61 46% |
| 8-26 31% | 3-pointers | 17-38 45% |
| 8-10 80% | Free throws | 7-15 47% |
| 30 7 off | Rebounds | 43 14 off |
| 6 | Assists | 21 |
| 7 | Steals | 6 |
| 0 | Blocks | 3 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 20 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| VMI | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Johnson F | 38 | 16 | 8 | 0 | 5-12 | 4-9 |
| Mario Tatum Jr. G | 37 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 4-10 | 2-4 |
| AJ Clark G | 31 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Cal Liston F | 27 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Tan Yildizoglu G | 26 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 1-6 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Walker Andrews G | 21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-9 | 1-7 |
| Jaylen Pazon G | 15 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 4-8 | 0-1 |
| Kaden Stuckey F | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Mason Hagedorn, Robert Peters, Linus Holmstrom, Rickey Bradley Jr., Alexander Daushvili, Branford Edmonds III, Mason Lawson
| CIT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sola Adebisi F | 35 | 11 | 12 | 5 | 5-8 | 1-1 |
| Carter Kingsbury G | 34 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5-10 | 4-5 |
| Christian Moore F | 33 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 7-11 | 5-8 |
| Braxton Williams F | 33 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 4-15 | 3-11 |
| Eze Wali G | 27 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 4-5 | 3-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Logan Applegate G | 15 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Marcos Gonzales G | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Keynan Davis G | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Dante Kearse G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Jameson Heck G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Aidan Alexander F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Logan Menefee F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Cassius Bonjasky F | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Chase Williams C | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Gabe Hernandez G | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jack Walter G | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Simeon German, Rowan Irelan
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCIT -2.5
no move
CloseCIT -2.5
No change since the open
Total
Open142.5
no move
Close142.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
VMI +124 · CIT -148
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CIT -2.5 · unchangedmodel CIT -2.5 matches the line
model CIT -2.5 = line ✓
Opened 142.5 · unchangedmodel 146
model 146
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | CIT -2.5 | CIT -2.7 | CIT +0.2 | W CIT covered |
| Total | 142.5 | 146.1 | Over 3.6 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | VMI 71.7 · CIT 74.4 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | CIT -1.5 | CIT -9.0 |
| 1H total | 68.4 | 59 |
| 1H projected score | VMI 33.5 · CIT 34.9 | VMI 25 · CIT 34 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| VMI | 2-8 20% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
| CIT | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
VMI 6–4 CITVMI leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · VMI 6-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2025-26 | CIT 82 @ VMI 68 | VMI -6.5 | CIT W |
| Mar 7, 2024-25 | CIT 62 vs VMI 73 | VMI -5.5 | VMI W |
| Feb 8, 2024-25 | CIT 70 @ VMI 82 | VMI -9.5 | VMI W |
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | VMI 75 @ CIT 70 | CIT +1.5 | VMI W |
| Feb 17, 2023-24 | VMI 51 @ CIT 76 | CIT -11.5 | CIT W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
VMI
18 games played
Straight up
3-15
17% wins
Against the spread
6-12
33% covers · avg −5.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-10
44% overs · avg −2.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ USI | W 78-74 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 9 | @ MIZ | L 68-106 | +23.5 | L −14.5 | 161.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 15 | vs JAX | L 67-69 | +1.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 19 | @ RICH | L 54-87 | +14.5 | L −18.5 | 152.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 22 | @ STET | L 80-99 | -2.5 | L −21.5 | 148.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 24 | vs BUF | L 70-78 | +5.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 26 | vs BGSU | L 48-81 | +11.5 | L −21.5 | 148.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 29 | @ UCF | L 57-82 | +25.5 | W +0.5 | 159.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 9 | vs L-MD | W 86-70 | +2.5 | W +18.5 | 151.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 21 | @ RAD | L 90-97 | +11.5 | W +4.5 | 158.5 | O 187 |
| Jan 1 | vs SAM | L 58-78 | +6.5 | L −13.5 | 154.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 3 | vs UTC | W 79-71 | +6.5 | W +14.5 | 149.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 7 | @ ETSU | L 67-81 | +16.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 10 | @ FUR | L 48-69 | +12.5 | L −8.5 | 149.5 | U 117 |
| Jan 15 | vs MER | L 67-77 | +8.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 17 | vsCIT | L 68-82 | -6.5 | L −20.5 | 143.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 21 | vs UNCG | L 78-85 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 151.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 24 | @ WCU | L 58-88 | +8.5 | L −21.5 | 152.5 | U 146 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@USI
USIW 78-74
+1.5
9
@MIZ
MIZL 68-106
−14.5
15
vsJAX
JAXL 67-69
−0.5
19
@RICH
RICHL 54-87
−18.5
22
@STET
STETL 80-99
−21.5
24
vsBUF
BUFL 70-78
−2.5
26
vsBGSU
BGSUL 48-81
−21.5
29
@UCF
UCFL 57-82
+0.5
9
vsL-MD
L-MDW 86-70
+18.5
21
@RAD
RADL 90-97
+4.5
1
vsSAM
SAML 58-78
−13.5
3
vsUTC
UTCW 79-71
+14.5
7
@ETSU
ETSUL 67-81
+2.5
10
@FUR
FURL 48-69
−8.5
15
vsMER
MERL 67-77
−1.5
17
vsCIT
CITL 68-82
−20.5
21
vsUNCG
UNCGL 78-85
−4.5
24
@WCU
WCUL 58-88
−21.5
covered 6didn’t cover 12avg −5.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@USI
USIW 78-74
−1.5
9
@MIZ
MIZL 68-106
+12.5
15
vsJAX
JAXL 67-69
−15.5
19
@RICH
RICHL 54-87
−11.5
22
@STET
STETL 80-99
+30.5
24
vsBUF
BUFL 70-78
−2.5
26
vsBGSU
BGSUL 48-81
−19.5
29
@UCF
UCFL 57-82
−20.5
9
vsL-MD
L-MDW 86-70
+4.5
21
@RAD
RADL 90-97
+28.5
1
vsSAM
SAML 58-78
−18.5
3
vsUTC
UTCW 79-71
+0.5
7
@ETSU
ETSUL 67-81
+1.5
10
@FUR
FURL 48-69
−32.5
15
vsMER
MERL 67-77
−9.5
17
vsCIT
CITL 68-82
+6.5
21
vsUNCG
UNCGL 78-85
+11.5
24
@WCU
WCUL 58-88
−6.5
over 8under 10avg −2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
The Citadel
18 games played
Straight up
3-15
17% wins
Against the spread
8-10
44% covers · avg −1.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-9
50% overs · avg +2.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | @ BC | L 47-76 | +15.5 | L −13.5 | 144.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 10 | vs CHSO | L 86-96 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 145.5 | O 182 |
| Nov 14 | @ WGA | L 92-100 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 150.5 | O 192 |
| Nov 24 | vs BELL | L 58-70 | +3.5 | L −8.5 | 156.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 26 | vs HCU | L 65-72 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 137.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 30 | vs PRES | L 41-69 | +8.5 | L −19.5 | 133.5 | U 110 |
| Dec 4 | @ DAV | L 63-79 | +18.5 | W +2.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 13 | @ SC | L 55-71 | +22.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 17 | @ COFC | L 78-82 | +17.5 | W +13.5 | 146.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 20 | @RICH | L 56-80 | +18.5 | L −5.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 30 | vsETSU | L 49-74 | +12.5 | L −12.5 | 140.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 3 | vs WOF | L 86-95 | +9.5 | W +0.5 | 144.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 7 | @MER | L 63-101 | +16.5 | L −21.5 | 147.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 10 | vsWCU | W 79-77 | +6.5 | W +8.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 15 | @UNCG | L 66-69 | +9.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 17 | @VMI | W 82-68 | +6.5 | W +20.5 | 143.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 21 | vsFUR | W 77-75 | +11.5 | W +13.5 | 142.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 23 | @ETSU | L 55-84 | +17.5 | L −11.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@BC
BCL 47-76
−13.5
10
vsCHSO
CHSOL 86-96
−7.5
14
@WGA
WGAL 92-100
−1.5
24
vsBELL
BELLL 58-70
−8.5
26
vsHCU
HCUL 65-72
−5.5
30
vsPRES
PRESL 41-69
−19.5
4
@DAV
DAVL 63-79
+2.5
13
@SC
SCL 55-71
+6.5
17
@COFC
COFCL 78-82
+13.5
20
@RICH
RICHL 56-80
−5.5
30
vsETSU
ETSUL 49-74
−12.5
3
vsWOF
WOFL 86-95
+0.5
7
@MER
MERL 63-101
−21.5
10
vsWCU
WCUW 79-77
+8.5
15
@UNCG
UNCGL 66-69
+6.5
17
@VMI
VMIW 82-68
+20.5
21
vsFUR
FURW 77-75
+13.5
23
@ETSU
ETSUL 55-84
−11.5
covered 8didn’t cover 10avg −1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@BC
BCL 47-76
−21.5
10
vsCHSO
CHSOL 86-96
+36.5
14
@WGA
WGAL 92-100
+41.5
24
vsBELL
BELLL 58-70
−28.5
26
vsHCU
HCUL 65-72
−0.5
30
vsPRES
PRESL 41-69
−23.5
4
@DAV
DAVL 63-79
+4.5
13
@SC
SCL 55-71
−15.5
17
@COFC
COFCL 78-82
+13.5
20
@RICH
RICHL 56-80
−10.5
30
vsETSU
ETSUL 49-74
−17.5
3
vsWOF
WOFL 86-95
+36.5
7
@MER
MERL 63-101
+16.5
10
vsWCU
WCUW 79-77
+7.5
15
@UNCG
UNCGL 66-69
−13.5
17
@VMI
VMIW 82-68
+6.5
21
vsFUR
FURW 77-75
+9.5
23
@ETSU
ETSUL 55-84
−2.5
over 9under 9avg +2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
VMI
3-15 overall · 1-7 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ W Carolina58–88
- Lvs UNC Greensboro78–85
- Lvs The Citadel68–82
- Lvs Mercer67–77
- L@ Furman48–69
5 days since their last game.
The Citadel
3-15 overall · 3-5 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ ETSU55–84
- Wvs Furman77–75
- W@ VMI82–68
- L@ UNC Greensboro66–69
- Wvs W Carolina79–77
6 days since their last game.