McKenzie Arena · at Chattanooga · Conference game
Closing line
UTC -1.5✓ UTC covered by 7.5
UTC -1.5✓ UTC covered by 7.5Closing total148.5Over by 18.5
 SAM | This season | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| 7-7 | Record | 3-10 |
| 7-7 | ATS | 4-9 |
| 7-7 | O/U | 7-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SAM 75–75 UTC · ✗ SAM (51%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAM | 28 | 51 | 79 |
| UTC | 49 | 39 | 88 |
1st half: SAM 28, UTC 49 (UTC by 21). The model had SAM by 0.3 and a total of 70.5 (actual 77).
Team stats
| SAM | UTC | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-54 46% | Field goals | 29-61 48% |
| 7-22 32% | 3-pointers | 8-19 42% |
| 22-36 61% | Free throws | 22-24 92% |
| 35 5 off | Rebounds | 33 3 off |
| 16 | Assists | 16 |
| 2 | Steals | 6 |
| 3 | Blocks | 3 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 3 |
| 17 | Fouls | 24 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 15 | Fast-break points | 15 |
Players
| SAM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jadin Booth G | 40 | 23 | 6 | 3 | 7-17 | 4-10 |
| Keaton Norris G | 31 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 2-7 | 1-4 |
| Isaiah Campbell-Finch G | 28 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 6-10 | 1-3 |
| Cade Norris G | 27 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1-5 | 1-3 |
| Dylan Faulkner F | 27 | 24 | 5 | 2 | 8-10 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kam Martin G | 18 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Judson Bjornstad F | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Zion Wilburn G | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Will Shaver C | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jaxon Pollard F | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Caleb Harrison F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Zach Lamey, Corey Brown, Joshua Hughes, DaJion Humphrey, JD Gossett, Cooper Davenport
| UTC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tate Darner G | 31 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 3-9 | 1-2 |
| Jordan Frison G | 30 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 6-11 | 2-2 |
| Brennan Watkins G | 29 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Jikari Johnson G | 23 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 3-8 | 0-4 |
| Josh Bowman F | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3-4 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Billy Smith G | 26 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 4-9 | 3-6 |
| Teddy Washington Jr. G | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 4-10 | 0-2 |
| Makai Richards C | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Houston Holland G | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Parker Robison G | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ryan Lopez, Liam Vitters, Latif Diouf, Collin Mulholland, Sean Cusano, Sebastian Hartmann, Zach Bleshoy
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUTC -1.5
ModelSAM -0.3
Model edgeSAM +1.8
L UTC covered
Total
Market148.5
Model150.6
Model edgeOver 2.1
W Over
Projected score
SAM 75.4 · UTC 75.2
SAM 79 · UTC 88
Win probability
SAM 51%
1st half
Spread
SAM -0.3
UTC -21.0
Total
70.5
77 points
Projected score
SAM 35.4 · UTC 35.1
SAM 28 · UTC 49
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUTC -1.5
no move
CloseUTC -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open146.5
▲ 2
Close148.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
SAM +100 · UTC -120
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UTC -1.5 · unchangedmodel SAM -0.5
model SAM -0.5
Opened 146.5 · closed 148.5 · moved 2 upmodel 150.5
model 150.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAM | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
| UTC | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
SAM 6–3 UTCSAM leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · SAM 5-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2024-25 | UTC 82 @ SAM 68 | SAM -5.5 | UTC W |
| Jan 23, 2024-25 | SAM 73 @ UTC 69 | UTC +2.5 | SAM W |
| Feb 3, 2023-24 | SAM 78 @ UTC 56 | UTC -1.5 | SAM W |
| Jan 3, 2023-24 | UTC 74 @ SAM 89 | SAM -6.5 | SAM W |
| Mar 4, 2022-23 | UTC 85 vs SAM 82 | SAM -1.5 | UTC W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Samford
14 games played
Straight up
7-7
50% wins
Against the spread
7-7
50% covers · avg −2.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-7
50% overs · avg +1.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ TULN | L 72-85 | +7.5 | L −5.5 | 154.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 7 | vs SCST | W 82-72 | -14.5 | L −4.5 | 154.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 12 | @ TXSO | W 93-90 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 153.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 14 | @ ARK | L 75-79 | +24.5 | W +20.5 | 158.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 16 | @ CARK | W 84-77 | -6.5 | W +0.5 | 151.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 19 | vs FGCU | L 62-77 | -5.5 | L −20.5 | 154.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 21 | @ NMSU | L 72-81 | +8.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 25 | vs GAST | W 78-63 | -5.5 | W +9.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 26 | vs UVU | L 45-89 | +7.5 | L −36.5 | 148.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 5 | @ VCU | L 57-83 | +19.5 | L −6.5 | 154.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 7 | vs COR | W 93-90 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 166.5 | O 183 |
| Jan 1 | @ VMI | W 78-58 | -6.5 | W +13.5 | 154.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 3 | @ UNCG | L 82-89 | -2.5 | L −9.5 | 151.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 7 | vs WCU | W 82-77 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 153.5 | O 159 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@TULN
TULNL 72-85
−5.5
7
vsSCST
SCSTW 82-72
−4.5
12
@TXSO
TXSOW 93-90
+0.5
14
@ARK
ARKL 75-79
+20.5
16
@CARK
CARKW 84-77
+0.5
19
vsFGCU
FGCUL 62-77
−20.5
21
@NMSU
NMSUL 72-81
−0.5
25
vsGAST
GASTW 78-63
+9.5
26
vsUVU
UVUL 45-89
−36.5
5
@VCU
VCUL 57-83
−6.5
7
vsCOR
CORW 93-90
+0.5
1
@VMI
VMIW 78-58
+13.5
3
@UNCG
UNCGL 82-89
−9.5
7
vsWCU
WCUW 82-77
+0.5
covered 7didn’t cover 7avg −2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@TULN
TULNL 72-85
+2.5
7
vsSCST
SCSTW 82-72
−0.5
12
@TXSO
TXSOW 93-90
+29.5
14
@ARK
ARKL 75-79
−4.5
16
@CARK
CARKW 84-77
+9.5
19
vsFGCU
FGCUL 62-77
−15.5
21
@NMSU
NMSUL 72-81
+7.5
25
vsGAST
GASTW 78-63
−5.5
26
vsUVU
UVUL 45-89
−14.5
5
@VCU
VCUL 57-83
−14.5
7
vsCOR
CORW 93-90
+16.5
1
@VMI
VMIW 78-58
−18.5
3
@UNCG
UNCGL 82-89
+19.5
7
vsWCU
WCUW 82-77
+5.5
over 7under 7avg +1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Chattanooga
13 games played
Straight up
3-10
23% wins
Against the spread
4-9
31% covers · avg −8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-6
54% overs · avg −0.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ SMC | L 66-87 | +15.5 | L −5.5 | 145.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 8 | @ UNLV | L 69-101 | +7.5 | L −24.5 | 155.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 15 | @FGCU | L 73-91 | -1.5 | L −19.5 | 152.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 19 | @SCST | W 78-66 | -11.5 | W +0.5 | 154.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 22 | vs UNA | W 71-57 | -9.5 | W +4.5 | 149.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 30 | vs TNST | L 64-70 | -8.5 | L −14.5 | 155.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 6 | vs SEMO | L 70-74 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Dec 13 | vs AUB | L 78-92 | +19.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 17 | @ BELL | L 64-79 | -1.5 | L −16.5 | 146.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 21 | @ AAMU | W 73-66 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 138.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 1 | @UNCG | L 72-77 | -2.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 3 | @VMI | L 71-79 | -6.5 | L −14.5 | 149.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 7 | vs FUR | L 67-78 | +2.5 | L −8.5 | 146.5 | U 145 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@SMC
SMCL 66-87
−5.5
8
@UNLV
UNLVL 69-101
−24.5
15
@FGCU
FGCUL 73-91
−19.5
19
@SCST
SCSTW 78-66
+0.5
22
vsUNA
UNAW 71-57
+4.5
30
vsTNST
TNSTL 64-70
−14.5
6
vsSEMO
SEMOL 70-74
−7.5
13
vsAUB
AUBL 78-92
+5.5
17
@BELL
BELLL 64-79
−16.5
21
@AAMU
AAMUW 73-66
+4.5
1
@UNCG
UNCGL 72-77
−7.5
3
@VMI
VMIL 71-79
−14.5
7
vsFUR
FURL 67-78
−8.5
covered 4didn’t cover 9avg −8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@SMC
SMCL 66-87
+7.5
8
@UNLV
UNLVL 69-101
+14.5
15
@FGCU
FGCUL 73-91
+11.5
19
@SCST
SCSTW 78-66
−10.5
22
vsUNA
UNAW 71-57
−21.5
30
vsTNST
TNSTL 64-70
−21.5
6
vsSEMO
SEMOL 70-74
−5.5
13
vsAUB
AUBL 78-92
+19.5
17
@BELL
BELLL 64-79
−3.5
21
@AAMU
AAMUW 73-66
+0.5
1
@UNCG
UNCGL 72-77
+1.5
3
@VMI
VMIL 71-79
+0.5
7
vsFUR
FURL 67-78
−1.5
over 7under 6avg −0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Samford
7-7 overall · 2-1 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs W Carolina82–77
- L@ UNC Greensboro82–89
- W@ VMI78–58
- Wvs Cornell93–90
- L@ VCU57–83
3 days since their last game.
Chattanooga
3-10 overall · 0-3 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Furman67–78
- L@ VMI71–79
- L@ UNC Greensboro72–77
- W@ Alabama A&M73–66
- L@ Bellarmine64–79
3 days since their last game.