Jerry Richardson Indoor Stadium · at Wofford · Conference game
Closing line
WOF -7.5✓ WOF covered by 4.5
WOF -7.5✓ WOF covered by 4.5Closing total153.5Over by 28.5
 UNCG | This season | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| 4-9 | Record | 8-5 |
| 5-8 | ATS | 7-6 |
| 9-4 | O/U | 8-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UNCG 72–78 WOF · ✓ WOF (71%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNCG | 36 | 49 | 85 |
| WOF | 56 | 41 | 97 |
1st half: UNCG 36, WOF 56 (WOF by 20). The model had WOF by 3.6 and a total of 70.6 (actual 92).
Team stats
| UNCG | WOF | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-61 49% | Field goals | 33-66 50% |
| 11-20 55% | 3-pointers | 12-28 43% |
| 14-21 67% | Free throws | 19-26 73% |
| 35 12 off | Rebounds | 38 12 off |
| 12 | Assists | 16 |
| 1 | Steals | 5 |
| 2 | Blocks | 2 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 21 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| UNCG | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Neely F | 32 | 26 | 9 | 2 | 6-8 | 1-2 |
| KJ Younger G | 31 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5-12 | 3-8 |
| Noah Norgaard G | 29 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2-5 | 2-2 |
| Valentino Pinedo F | 28 | 14 | 10 | 1 | 7-11 | 0-0 |
| Donald Whitehead Jr. G | 24 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3-9 | 2-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Lilian Marville G | 23 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3-7 | 2-2 |
| Clinton Efinda F | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Landon King G | 10 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Domas Kauzonas F | 9 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Assane Mandian G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Braylen Bowman, Chane Bynum, Antwann Jones, Jordan Brown, Clyde Bailey II
| WOF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cayden Vasko G | 39 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 5-12 | 1-6 |
| Luke Flynn G | 37 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4-6 | 4-5 |
| Kahmare Holmes G | 28 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 8-13 | 1-2 |
| Nils Machowski G | 22 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 5-13 | 4-8 |
| Brian Sumpter F | 19 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Chace Watley G | 28 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 5-11 | 1-4 |
| Jayden Tyler G | 11 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3-4 | 1-2 |
| Rex Stirling F | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Max Ortega G | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Callum Richard C | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Cannon Richards, Alessandro Perotti, Brendan Rigsbee, Grayson Collins, Davis Miller
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketWOF -7.5
ModelWOF -6.2
Model edgeUNCG +1.3
L WOF covered
Total
Market153.5
Model150.6
Model edgeUnder 2.9
L Over
Projected score
UNCG 72.2 · WOF 78.4
UNCG 85 · WOF 97
Win probability
WOF 71%
1st half
Spread
WOF -3.6
WOF -20.0
Total
70.6
92 points
Projected score
UNCG 33.5 · WOF 37.1
UNCG 36 · WOF 56
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenWOF -5.5
2 → WOF
CloseWOF -7.5
2 pts toward WOF
Total
Open153.5
no move
Close153.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
UNCG +285 · WOF -360
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened WOF -5.5 · closed WOF -7.5 · moved 2 toward WOFmodel WOF -6
model WOF -6
Opened 153.5 · unchangedmodel 150.5
model 150.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNCG | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
| WOF | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
UNCG 6–3 WOFUNCG leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · UNCG 5-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2024-25 | WOF 74 @ UNCG 62 | UNCG -1.5 | WOF W |
| Jan 1, 2024-25 | UNCG 68 @ WOF 66 | WOF -2.5 | UNCG W |
| Feb 17, 2023-24 | UNCG 58 @ WOF 47 | WOF +1.5 | UNCG W |
| Jan 20, 2023-24 | WOF 59 @ UNCG 82 | UNCG -6.5 | UNCG W |
| Mar 4, 2022-23 | WOF 67 vs UNCG 66 | UNCG -6.5 | WOF W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UNC Greensboro
13 games played
Straight up
4-9
31% wins
Against the spread
5-8
38% covers · avg −2.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-4
69% overs · avg +8.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ KSU | L 64-93 | +18.5 | L −10.5 | 148.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 8 | vs ELON | L 90-92 | -4.5 | L −6.5 | 142.5 | O 182 |
| Nov 12 | @ NCSU | L 64-110 | +30.5 | L −15.5 | 153.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 15 | vs APSU | L 63-69 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 145.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 20 | @ QUC | L 94-101 | +7.5 | W +0.5 | 150.5 | O 195 |
| Nov 23 | vs YSU | W 68-62 | +5.5 | W +11.5 | 152.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 25 | vs DEL | L 60-73 | -1.5 | L −14.5 | 142.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 26 | vs M-OH | L 71-82 | +10.5 | L −0.5 | 150.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 2 | vs UNCA | L 77-82 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 143.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 6 | @ ECU | W 82-78 | +7.5 | W +11.5 | 139.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 16 | vs NCAT | L 65-71 | -6.5 | L −12.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 1 | vs UTC | W 77-72 | +2.5 | W +7.5 | 147.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 3 | vs SAM | W 89-82 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 151.5 | O 171 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@KSU
KSUL 64-93
−10.5
8
vsELON
ELONL 90-92
−6.5
12
@NCSU
NCSUL 64-110
−15.5
15
vsAPSU
APSUL 63-69
−7.5
20
@QUC
QUCL 94-101
+0.5
23
vsYSU
YSUW 68-62
+11.5
25
vsDEL
DELL 60-73
−14.5
26
vsM-OH
M-OHL 71-82
−0.5
2
vsUNCA
UNCAL 77-82
−0.5
6
@ECU
ECUW 82-78
+11.5
16
vsNCAT
NCATL 65-71
−12.5
1
vsUTC
UTCW 77-72
+7.5
3
vsSAM
SAMW 89-82
+9.5
covered 5didn’t cover 8avg −2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@KSU
KSUL 64-93
+8.5
8
vsELON
ELONL 90-92
+39.5
12
@NCSU
NCSUL 64-110
+20.5
15
vsAPSU
APSUL 63-69
−13.5
20
@QUC
QUCL 94-101
+44.5
23
vsYSU
YSUW 68-62
−22.5
25
vsDEL
DELL 60-73
−9.5
26
vsM-OH
M-OHL 71-82
+2.5
2
vsUNCA
UNCAL 77-82
+15.5
6
@ECU
ECUW 82-78
+20.5
16
vsNCAT
NCATL 65-71
−11.5
1
vsUTC
UTCW 77-72
+1.5
3
vsSAM
SAMW 89-82
+19.5
over 9under 4avg +8.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Wofford
13 games played
Straight up
8-5
62% wins
Against the spread
7-6
54% covers · avg −0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-5
62% overs · avg +1.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ GMU | L 46-70 | +14.5 | L −9.5 | 140.5 | U 116 |
| Nov 8 | vs MILW | W 86-76 | +3.5 | W +13.5 | 150.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 11 | @ AUB | L 62-93 | +27.5 | L −3.5 | 152.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 15 | @ BELL | W 94-86 | -3.5 | W +4.5 | 156.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 19 | vs UNF | W 86-78 | -10.5 | L −2.5 | 161.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 26 | @ NKU | L 83-93 | +3.5 | L −6.5 | 149.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 29 | @ EKU | W 83-77 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 153.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 3 | vs PRES | W 63-56 | -4.5 | W +2.5 | 138.5 | U 119 |
| Dec 6 | vsELON | L 52-73 | -4.5 | L −25.5 | 161.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 15 | @ GWEB | W 83-57 | -10.5 | W +15.5 | 155.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 17 | @ WICH | L 73-84 | +12.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 31 | @ WCU | W 79-74 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 154.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 3 | @ CIT | W 95-86 | -9.5 | L −0.5 | 144.5 | O 181 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@GMU
GMUL 46-70
−9.5
8
vsMILW
MILWW 86-76
+13.5
11
@AUB
AUBL 62-93
−3.5
15
@BELL
BELLW 94-86
+4.5
19
vsUNF
UNFW 86-78
−2.5
26
@NKU
NKUL 83-93
−6.5
29
@EKU
EKUW 83-77
+4.5
3
vsPRES
PRESW 63-56
+2.5
6
vsELON
ELONL 52-73
−25.5
15
@GWEB
GWEBW 83-57
+15.5
17
@WICH
WICHL 73-84
+1.5
31
@WCU
WCUW 79-74
+2.5
3
@CIT
CITW 95-86
−0.5
covered 7didn’t cover 6avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@GMU
GMUL 46-70
−24.5
8
vsMILW
MILWW 86-76
+11.5
11
@AUB
AUBL 62-93
+2.5
15
@BELL
BELLW 94-86
+23.5
19
vsUNF
UNFW 86-78
+2.5
26
@NKU
NKUL 83-93
+26.5
29
@EKU
EKUW 83-77
+6.5
3
vsPRES
PRESW 63-56
−19.5
6
vsELON
ELONL 52-73
−36.5
15
@GWEB
GWEBW 83-57
−15.5
17
@WICH
WICHL 73-84
+12.5
31
@WCU
WCUW 79-74
−1.5
3
@CIT
CITW 95-86
+36.5
over 8under 5avg +1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UNC Greensboro
4-9 overall · 2-0 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Samford89–82
- Wvs Chattanooga77–72
- Lvs NC A&T65–71
- W@ East Carolina82–78
- Lvs UNC Asheville77–82
4 days since their last game.
Wofford
8-5 overall · 2-0 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ The Citadel95–86
- W@ W Carolina79–74
- L@ Wichita St73–84
- W@ Gardner-Webb83–57
- Lvs Elon52–73
4 days since their last game.