McAlister Field House · at The Citadel · Conference game
Closing line
ETSU -12.5✓ ETSU covered by 12.5
ETSU -12.5✓ ETSU covered by 12.5Closing total140.5Under by 17.5
| ETSU | This season | CIT |
|---|---|---|
| 6-5 | Record | 0-10 |
| 6-5 | ATS | 3-7 |
| 6-5 | O/U | 4-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ETSU 79–66 CIT · ✓ ETSU (88%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ETSU | 40 | 34 | 74 |
| CIT | 23 | 26 | 49 |
1st half: ETSU 40, CIT 23 (ETSU by 17). The model had ETSU by 8.2 and a total of 67.6 (actual 63).
Team stats
| ETSU | CIT | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-52 50% | Field goals | 17-52 33% |
| 6-16 38% | 3-pointers | 7-32 22% |
| 16-19 84% | Free throws | 8-13 62% |
| 35 10 off | Rebounds | 28 11 off |
| 11 | Assists | 10 |
| 12 | Steals | 7 |
| 2 | Blocks | 3 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 17 |
| 11 | Fouls | 14 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 18 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 3 |
Players
| ETSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Taylor II G | 31 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 3-9 | 2-3 |
| Blake Barkley F | 30 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 6-8 | 1-1 |
| Jordan McCullum F | 28 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 6-11 | 0-4 |
| Cam Morris III F | 24 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Allen Strothers G | 22 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaylen Smith G | 28 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 3-8 | 2-4 |
| Maki Johnson G | 20 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Gabe Sisk G | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Isaiah Sutherland F | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Henry Sisemore F | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Maddox Huff, Frederico Whitaker Jr., Brayden Crump, Milton Matthews III, Joseph Carter
| CIT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sola Adebisi F | 33 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-7 | 0-3 |
| Eze Wali G | 30 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Carter Kingsbury G | 26 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 3-7 | 2-4 |
| Christian Moore F | 23 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 3-10 | 2-8 |
| Simeon German F | 16 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Braxton Williams F | 24 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2-6 | 0-3 |
| Dante Kearse G | 15 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2-5 | 1-4 |
| Logan Applegate G | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Keynan Davis G | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Marcos Gonzales G | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Gabe Hernandez G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Chase Williams C | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Aidan Alexander, Jameson Heck, Rowan Irelan, Jack Walter, Cassius Bonjasky, Logan Menefee
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketETSU -12.5
ModelETSU -13.4
Model edgeETSU +0.9
W ETSU covered
Total
Market140.5
Model144.3
Model edgeOver 3.8
L Under
Projected score
ETSU 78.8 · CIT 65.5
ETSU 74 · CIT 49
Win probability
ETSU 88%
1st half
Spread
ETSU -8.2
ETSU -17.0
Total
67.6
63 points
Projected score
ETSU 37.9 · CIT 29.7
ETSU 40 · CIT 23
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenETSU -12.5
no move
CloseETSU -12.5
No change since the open
Total
Open146.5
▼ 6
Close140.5
Down 6 since the open
Moneyline
ETSU -900 · CIT +600
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ETSU -12.5 · unchangedmodel ETSU -13.5
model ETSU -13.5
Opened 146.5 · closed 140.5 · moved 6 downmodel 144.5
model 144.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ETSU | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
| CIT | 0-10 0% | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
ETSU 7–2 CITETSU leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · ETSU has won the last 6 meetings · ETSU 6-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2024-25 | ETSU 81 @ CIT 66 | CIT +11.5 | ETSU W |
| Jan 11, 2024-25 | CIT 52 @ ETSU 70 | ETSU -16.5 | ETSU W |
| Feb 28, 2023-24 | ETSU 81 @ CIT 63 | CIT +1.5 | ETSU W |
| Feb 3, 2023-24 | CIT 60 @ ETSU 62 | ETSU -6.5 | CIT W |
| Feb 22, 2022-23 | CIT 70 @ ETSU 78 | ETSU -7.5 | ETSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
ETSU
11 games played
Straight up
6-5
55% wins
Against the spread
6-5
55% covers · avg +2.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-5
55% overs · avg +2.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ PRES | L 64-68 | -6.5 | L −10.5 | 141.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 12 | vs NKU | W 75-63 | -6.5 | W +5.5 | 142.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 15 | @ UNA | W 78-74 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 21 | vs MORE | W 77-62 | -10.5 | W +4.5 | 144.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 23 | vs ULM | W 97-55 | -19.5 | W +22.5 | 146.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 29 | vs CARK | W 80-57 | -12.5 | W +10.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 2 | @ DAY | L 71-88 | +11.5 | L −5.5 | 140.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 5 | vs USA | W 91-65 | -7.5 | W +18.5 | 143.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 12 | @ APSU | L 75-76 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 16 | @ UNC | L 58-77 | +17.5 | L −1.5 | 150.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 20 | vs JXST | L 75-81 | -9.5 | L −15.5 | 134.5 | O 156 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@PRES
PRESL 64-68
−10.5
12
vsNKU
NKUW 75-63
+5.5
15
@UNA
UNAW 78-74
+5.5
21
vsMORE
MOREW 77-62
+4.5
23
vsULM
ULMW 97-55
+22.5
29
vsCARK
CARKW 80-57
+10.5
2
@DAY
DAYL 71-88
−5.5
5
vsUSA
USAW 91-65
+18.5
12
@APSU
APSUL 75-76
−4.5
16
@UNC
UNCL 58-77
−1.5
20
vsJXST
JXSTL 75-81
−15.5
covered 6didn’t cover 5avg +2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@PRES
PRESL 64-68
−9.5
12
vsNKU
NKUW 75-63
−4.5
15
@UNA
UNAW 78-74
+6.5
21
vsMORE
MOREW 77-62
−5.5
23
vsULM
ULMW 97-55
+5.5
29
vsCARK
CARKW 80-57
−7.5
2
@DAY
DAYL 71-88
+18.5
5
vsUSA
USAW 91-65
+12.5
12
@APSU
APSUL 75-76
+7.5
16
@UNC
UNCL 58-77
−15.5
20
vsJXST
JXSTL 75-81
+21.5
over 6under 5avg +2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
The Citadel
10 games played
Straight up
0-10
0% wins
Against the spread
3-7
30% covers · avg −3.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-6
40% overs · avg −0.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | @ BC | L 47-76 | +15.5 | L −13.5 | 144.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 10 | vs CHSO | L 86-96 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 145.5 | O 182 |
| Nov 14 | @ WGA | L 92-100 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 150.5 | O 192 |
| Nov 24 | vs BELL | L 58-70 | +3.5 | L −8.5 | 156.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 26 | vs HCU | L 65-72 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 137.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 30 | vsPRES | L 41-69 | +8.5 | L −19.5 | 133.5 | U 110 |
| Dec 4 | @ DAV | L 63-79 | +18.5 | W +2.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 13 | @ SC | L 55-71 | +22.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 17 | @ COFC | L 78-82 | +17.5 | W +13.5 | 146.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 20 | @ RICH | L 56-80 | +18.5 | L −5.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@BC
BCL 47-76
−13.5
10
vsCHSO
CHSOL 86-96
−7.5
14
@WGA
WGAL 92-100
−1.5
24
vsBELL
BELLL 58-70
−8.5
26
vsHCU
HCUL 65-72
−5.5
30
vsPRES
PRESL 41-69
−19.5
4
@DAV
DAVL 63-79
+2.5
13
@SC
SCL 55-71
+6.5
17
@COFC
COFCL 78-82
+13.5
20
@RICH
RICHL 56-80
−5.5
covered 3didn’t cover 7avg −3.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@BC
BCL 47-76
−21.5
10
vsCHSO
CHSOL 86-96
+36.5
14
@WGA
WGAL 92-100
+41.5
24
vsBELL
BELLL 58-70
−28.5
26
vsHCU
HCUL 65-72
−0.5
30
vsPRES
PRESL 41-69
−23.5
4
@DAV
DAVL 63-79
+4.5
13
@SC
SCL 55-71
−15.5
17
@COFC
COFCL 78-82
+13.5
20
@RICH
RICHL 56-80
−10.5
over 4under 6avg −0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
ETSU
6-5 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Jax State75–81
- L@ North Carolina58–77
- L@ Austin Peay75–76
- Wvs South Alabama91–65
- L@ Dayton71–88
A week or more of rest.
The Citadel
0-10 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Richmond56–80
- L@ Charleston78–82
- L@ South Carolina55–71
- L@ Davidson63–79
- Lvs Presbyterian41–69
A week or more of rest.