Premier America Credit Union Arena · at CSU Northridge · Conference game
Closing line
UCSD -1.5✓ CSUN covered by 18.5
UCSD -1.5✓ CSUN covered by 18.5Closing total160.5Under by 15.5
| UCSD | This season | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| 13-7 | Record | 10-10 |
| 11-9 | ATS | 9-11 |
| 10-10 | O/U | 13-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UCSD 80–77 CSUN · ✗ UCSD (61%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCSD | 28 | 36 | 64 |
| CSUN | 41 | 40 | 81 |
1st half: UCSD 28, CSUN 41 (CSUN by 13). The model had UCSD by 2.1 and a total of 73.6 (actual 69).
Team stats
| UCSD | CSUN | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-70 34% | Field goals | 28-62 45% |
| 8-28 29% | 3-pointers | 7-21 33% |
| 8-18 44% | Free throws | 18-23 78% |
| 35 14 off | Rebounds | 48 14 off |
| 16 | Assists | 21 |
| 12 | Steals | 3 |
| 5 | Blocks | 5 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 16 |
| 21 | Fouls | 18 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 42 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| UCSD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Beattie G | 33 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 3-10 | 2-5 |
| Alex Chaikin G | 32 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 3-12 | 2-8 |
| Leo Beath F | 32 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 4-14 | 2-6 |
| Bol Dengdit C | 19 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Emanuel Prospere II G | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Hudson Mayes G | 32 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 5-12 | 0-1 |
| Cade Pendleton F | 13 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 3-6 | 1-2 |
| Aidan Burke G | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Jaden Vance F | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Trap Johnson G | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Ryder Elisaldez G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Christopher Cox G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Tyson Dunn, Dimitrije Vukicevic, Yaqub Mir, Jasen Brooks
| CSUN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josiah Davis G | 35 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 3-9 | 0-1 |
| Joshua O'Garro G | 32 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 1-7 | 0-3 |
| Mahmoud Fofana F | 29 | 22 | 10 | 1 | 8-11 | 0-0 |
| Larry Hughes II G | 26 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 4-11 | 3-6 |
| James Evans Jr. G | 22 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jordan Brinson G | 20 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3-6 | 2-4 |
| Jai Chisolm G | 14 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 5-7 | 1-3 |
| Grady Lewis F | 10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Davius Loury F | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Joseph Barrio G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Robert Thibiant G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Greg Gazarian G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jalen Barbee, Max Rehl, Omer Dahan, Aleks Szymczyk, Quinton Webb
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUCSD -1.5
ModelUCSD -3.3
Model edgeUCSD +1.8
L CSUN covered
Total
Market160.5
Model157.4
Model edgeUnder 3.1
W Under
Projected score
UCSD 80.4 · CSUN 77
UCSD 64 · CSUN 81
Win probability
UCSD 61%
1st half
Spread
UCSD -2.1
CSUN -13.0
Total
73.6
69 points
Projected score
UCSD 37.9 · CSUN 35.8
UCSD 28 · CSUN 41
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUCSD -2.5
1 → CSUN
CloseUCSD -1.5
1 pt toward CSUN
Total
Open157.5
▲ 3
Close160.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
UCSD -130 · CSUN +110
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UCSD -2.5 · closed UCSD -1.5 · moved 1 toward CSUNmodel UCSD -3.5
model UCSD -3.5
Opened 157.5 · closed 160.5 · moved 3 upmodel 157.5
model 157.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCSD | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% |
| CSUN | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
UCSD 8–1 CSUNUCSD leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · UCSD 8-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2025-26 | CSUN 84 @ UCSD 79 | UCSD -7.5 | CSUN W |
| Feb 27, 2024-25 | UCSD 77 @ CSUN 71 | CSUN +5.5 | UCSD W |
| Jan 25, 2024-25 | CSUN 54 @ UCSD 79 | UCSD -10.5 | UCSD W |
| Mar 2, 2023-24 | UCSD 79 @ CSUN 69 | CSUN +4.5 | UCSD W |
| Feb 1, 2023-24 | CSUN 62 @ UCSD 83 | UCSD -10.5 | UCSD W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UC San Diego
20 games played
Straight up
13-7
65% wins
Against the spread
11-9
55% covers · avg +0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-10
50% overs · avg −3.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | vs HCU | W 78-60 | -7.5 | W +10.5 | 141.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 12 | @ FRES | W 78-73 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 15 | vs IDHO | W 75-67 | -5.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 24 | vs TEM | W 91-76 | +1.5 | W +16.5 | 148.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 25 | vs BRAD | W 87-77 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 145.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 26 | vs TOW | W 87-73 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 138.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 2 | @ NEV | L 70-76 | +5.5 | L −0.5 | 149.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 6 | @ LBSU | W 80-74 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 13 | vs TULN | W 93-67 | -5.5 | W +20.5 | 149.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 16 | @ LMU | W 67-57 | -1.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 19 | vs USD | L 80-82 | -12.5 | L −14.5 | 156.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 1 | @ CP | L 65-67 | -8.5 | L −10.5 | 174.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 3 | vs HAW | W 83-73 | -2.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 8 | vs CSUF | L 71-88 | -13.5 | L −30.5 | 166.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 10 | @ UCR | W 69-66 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 149.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 15 | vsCSUN | L 79-84 | -7.5 | L −12.5 | 159.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 17 | @ CSUB | W 83-62 | -8.5 | W +12.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 22 | @ UCD | W 80-74 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 24 | vs UCI | L 59-61 | -2.5 | L −4.5 | 146.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 29 | vs UCSB | L 48-62 | -4.5 | L −18.5 | 145.5 | U 110 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
vsHCU
HCUW 78-60
+10.5
12
@FRES
FRESW 78-73
+6.5
15
vsIDHO
IDHOW 75-67
+2.5
24
vsTEM
TEMW 91-76
+16.5
25
vsBRAD
BRADW 87-77
+11.5
26
vsTOW
TOWW 87-73
+12.5
2
@NEV
NEVL 70-76
−0.5
6
@LBSU
LBSUW 80-74
−2.5
13
vsTULN
TULNW 93-67
+20.5
16
@LMU
LMUW 67-57
+8.5
19
vsUSD
USDL 80-82
−14.5
1
@CP
CPL 65-67
−10.5
3
vsHAW
HAWW 83-73
+7.5
8
vsCSUF
CSUFL 71-88
−30.5
10
@UCR
UCRW 69-66
−7.5
15
vsCSUN
CSUNL 79-84
−12.5
17
@CSUB
CSUBW 83-62
+12.5
22
@UCD
UCDW 80-74
+4.5
24
vsUCI
UCIL 59-61
−4.5
29
vsUCSB
UCSBL 48-62
−18.5
covered 11didn’t cover 9avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
vsHCU
HCUW 78-60
−3.5
12
@FRES
FRESW 78-73
+2.5
15
vsIDHO
IDHOW 75-67
−6.5
24
vsTEM
TEMW 91-76
+18.5
25
vsBRAD
BRADW 87-77
+18.5
26
vsTOW
TOWW 87-73
+21.5
2
@NEV
NEVL 70-76
−3.5
6
@LBSU
LBSUW 80-74
+8.5
13
vsTULN
TULNW 93-67
+10.5
16
@LMU
LMUW 67-57
−26.5
19
vsUSD
USDL 80-82
+5.5
1
@CP
CPL 65-67
−42.5
3
vsHAW
HAWW 83-73
+7.5
8
vsCSUF
CSUFL 71-88
−7.5
10
@UCR
UCRW 69-66
−14.5
15
vsCSUN
CSUNL 79-84
+3.5
17
@CSUB
CSUBW 83-62
−2.5
22
@UCD
UCDW 80-74
+1.5
24
vsUCI
UCIL 59-61
−26.5
29
vsUCSB
UCSBL 48-62
−35.5
over 10under 10avg −3.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
CSU Northridge
20 games played
Straight up
10-10
50% wins
Against the spread
9-11
45% covers · avg −1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-7
65% overs · avg +3.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | @ UNI | L 57-86 | +9.5 | L −19.5 | 153.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 9 | @ UND | W 93-85 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 11 | @ NDSU | L 68-90 | +4.5 | L −17.5 | 156.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 16 | vs TROY | W 94-85 | +4.5 | W +13.5 | 157.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 26 | vsIDHO | L 64-78 | +1.5 | L −12.5 | 159.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 28 | vs IDST | L 50-82 | +1.5 | L −30.5 | 148.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 4 | vsCSUB | W 87-66 | -5.5 | W +15.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 6 | @UCI | L 71-85 | +7.5 | L −6.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 10 | vsFRES | W 89-87 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 161.5 | O 176 |
| Dec 13 | @ DEL | W 88-66 | +1.5 | W +23.5 | 144.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 22 | vs SAC | W 100-88 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 164.5 | O 188 |
| Dec 27 | @ STAN | L 80-88 | +15.5 | W +7.5 | 160.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 1 | @UCD | L 80-89 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 162.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 3 | vsUCSB | W 74-65 | -2.5 | W +6.5 | 156.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 8 | vsCP | W 95-90 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 175.5 | O 185 |
| Jan 10 | @CSUF | L 79-86 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 173.5 | U 165 |
| Jan 15 | @UCSD | W 84-79 | +7.5 | W +12.5 | 159.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 17 | vsLBSU | L 80-87 | -7.5 | L −14.5 | 158.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 24 | @HAW | L 68-89 | +10.5 | L −10.5 | 158.5 | U 157 |
| Jan 29 | vsUCD | W 94-78 | -3.5 | W +12.5 | 163.5 | O 172 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@UNI
UNIL 57-86
−19.5
9
@UND
UNDW 93-85
+1.5
11
@NDSU
NDSUL 68-90
−17.5
16
vsTROY
TROYW 94-85
+13.5
26
vsIDHO
IDHOL 64-78
−12.5
28
vsIDST
IDSTL 50-82
−30.5
4
vsCSUB
CSUBW 87-66
+15.5
6
@UCI
UCIL 71-85
−6.5
10
vsFRES
FRESW 89-87
−1.5
13
@DEL
DELW 88-66
+23.5
22
vsSAC
SACW 100-88
+3.5
27
@STAN
STANL 80-88
+7.5
1
@UCD
UCDL 80-89
−5.5
3
vsUCSB
UCSBW 74-65
+6.5
8
vsCP
CPW 95-90
−1.5
10
@CSUF
CSUFL 79-86
−5.5
15
@UCSD
UCSDW 84-79
+12.5
17
vsLBSU
LBSUL 80-87
−14.5
24
@HAW
HAWL 68-89
−10.5
29
vsUCD
UCDW 94-78
+12.5
covered 9didn’t cover 11avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@UNI
UNIL 57-86
−10.5
9
@UND
UNDW 93-85
+19.5
11
@NDSU
NDSUL 68-90
+1.5
16
vsTROY
TROYW 94-85
+21.5
26
vsIDHO
IDHOL 64-78
−17.5
28
vsIDST
IDSTL 50-82
−16.5
4
vsCSUB
CSUBW 87-66
−2.5
6
@UCI
UCIL 71-85
+3.5
10
vsFRES
FRESW 89-87
+14.5
13
@DEL
DELW 88-66
+9.5
22
vsSAC
SACW 100-88
+23.5
27
@STAN
STANL 80-88
+7.5
1
@UCD
UCDL 80-89
+6.5
3
vsUCSB
UCSBW 74-65
−17.5
8
vsCP
CPW 95-90
+9.5
10
@CSUF
CSUFL 79-86
−8.5
15
@UCSD
UCSDW 84-79
+3.5
17
vsLBSU
LBSUL 80-87
+8.5
24
@HAW
HAWL 68-89
−1.5
29
vsUCD
UCDW 94-78
+8.5
over 13under 7avg +3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UC San Diego
13-7 overall · 5-5 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Santa Barbara48–62
- Lvs UC Irvine59–61
- W@ UC Davis80–74
- W@ Bakersfield83–62
- Lvs CSU Northridge79–84
2 days since their last game.
CSU Northridge
10-10 overall · 5-5 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UC Davis94–78
- L@ Hawai'i68–89
- Lvs Long Beach St80–87
- W@ UC San Diego84–79
- L@ Fullerton79–86
2 days since their last game.