LionTree Arena · at UC San Diego · Conference game
Closing line
UCSD -7.5✓ CSUN covered by 12.5
UCSD -7.5✓ CSUN covered by 12.5Closing total159.5Over by 3.5
 CSUN | This season | UCSD |
|---|---|---|
| 8-8 | Record | 11-4 |
| 7-9 | ATS | 9-6 |
| 10-6 | O/U | 8-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CSUN 74–85 UCSD · ✗ UCSD (82%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CSUN | 39 | 45 | 84 |
| UCSD | 30 | 49 | 79 |
1st half: CSUN 39, UCSD 30 (CSUN by 9). The model had UCSD by 6.1 and a total of 74.2 (actual 69).
Team stats
| CSUN | UCSD | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-64 47% | Field goals | 28-67 42% |
| 5-18 28% | 3-pointers | 9-30 30% |
| 19-29 66% | Free throws | 14-19 74% |
| 46 13 off | Rebounds | 32 9 off |
| 13 | Assists | 14 |
| 5 | Steals | 3 |
| 3 | Blocks | 4 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 6 |
| 19 | Fouls | 21 |
| 46 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| CSUN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josiah Davis G | 36 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 8-19 | 0-1 |
| Joshua O'Garro G | 32 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 3-9 | 1-3 |
| Larry Hughes II G | 32 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 4-14 | 2-6 |
| Mahmoud Fofana F | 31 | 12 | 17 | 2 | 5-5 | 0-0 |
| Davius Loury F | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| James Evans Jr. G | 29 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 8-11 | 2-5 |
| Jordan Brinson G | 15 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Grady Lewis F | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Aleks Szymczyk C | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jai Chisolm G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Omer Dahan, Max Rehl, Quinton Webb, Greg Gazarian, Robert Thibiant, Jalen Barbee, Joseph Barrio
| UCSD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Beattie G | 33 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 4-7 | 3-6 |
| Leo Beath F | 32 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 4-18 | 0-9 |
| Alex Chaikin G | 30 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 7-14 | 6-11 |
| Bol Dengdit C | 21 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 0-5 | 0-0 |
| Emanuel Prospere II G | 19 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 4-6 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Hudson Mayes G | 26 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 4-8 | 0-1 |
| Aidan Burke G | 24 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Trap Johnson G | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Dimitrije Vukicevic C | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ryder Elisaldez, Jaden Vance, Cade Pendleton, Tyson Dunn, Christopher Cox, Yaqub Mir, Jasen Brooks
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUCSD -7.5
ModelUCSD -10.4
Model edgeUCSD +2.9
L CSUN covered
Total
Market159.5
Model158.5
Model edgeUnder 1.0
L Over
Projected score
CSUN 74.1 · UCSD 84.5
CSUN 84 · UCSD 79
Win probability
UCSD 82%
1st half
Spread
UCSD -6.1
CSUN -9.0
Total
74.2
69 points
Projected score
CSUN 34.1 · UCSD 40.2
CSUN 39 · UCSD 30
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUCSD -9.5
2 → CSUN
CloseUCSD -7.5
2 pts toward CSUN
Total
Open161.5
▼ 2
Close159.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
CSUN +285 · UCSD -360
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UCSD -9.5 · closed UCSD -7.5 · moved 2 toward CSUNmodel UCSD -10.5
model UCSD -10.5
Opened 161.5 · closed 159.5 · moved 2 downmodel 158.5
model 158.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CSUN | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% |
| UCSD | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
CSUN 0–8 UCSDUCSD leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · UCSD has won the last 8 meetings · CSUN 0-8 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2024-25 | UCSD 77 @ CSUN 71 | CSUN +5.5 | UCSD W |
| Jan 25, 2024-25 | CSUN 54 @ UCSD 79 | UCSD -10.5 | UCSD W |
| Mar 2, 2023-24 | UCSD 79 @ CSUN 69 | CSUN +4.5 | UCSD W |
| Feb 1, 2023-24 | CSUN 62 @ UCSD 83 | UCSD -10.5 | UCSD W |
| Feb 18, 2022-23 | CSUN 62 @ UCSD 75 | UCSD -6.5 | UCSD W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
CSU Northridge
16 games played
Straight up
8-8
50% wins
Against the spread
7-9
44% covers · avg −1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-6
63% overs · avg +2.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | @ UNI | L 57-86 | +9.5 | L −19.5 | 153.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 9 | @ UND | W 93-85 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 11 | @ NDSU | L 68-90 | +4.5 | L −17.5 | 156.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 16 | vs TROY | W 94-85 | +4.5 | W +13.5 | 157.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 26 | vs IDHO | L 64-78 | +1.5 | L −12.5 | 159.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 28 | vs IDST | L 50-82 | +1.5 | L −30.5 | 148.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 4 | vs CSUB | W 87-66 | -5.5 | W +15.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 6 | @ UCI | L 71-85 | +7.5 | L −6.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 10 | vs FRES | W 89-87 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 161.5 | O 176 |
| Dec 13 | @ DEL | W 88-66 | +1.5 | W +23.5 | 144.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 22 | vs SAC | W 100-88 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 164.5 | O 188 |
| Dec 27 | @ STAN | L 80-88 | +15.5 | W +7.5 | 160.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 1 | @ UCD | L 80-89 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 162.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 3 | vs UCSB | W 74-65 | -2.5 | W +6.5 | 156.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 8 | vs CP | W 95-90 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 175.5 | O 185 |
| Jan 10 | @ CSUF | L 79-86 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 173.5 | U 165 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@UNI
UNIL 57-86
−19.5
9
@UND
UNDW 93-85
+1.5
11
@NDSU
NDSUL 68-90
−17.5
16
vsTROY
TROYW 94-85
+13.5
26
vsIDHO
IDHOL 64-78
−12.5
28
vsIDST
IDSTL 50-82
−30.5
4
vsCSUB
CSUBW 87-66
+15.5
6
@UCI
UCIL 71-85
−6.5
10
vsFRES
FRESW 89-87
−1.5
13
@DEL
DELW 88-66
+23.5
22
vsSAC
SACW 100-88
+3.5
27
@STAN
STANL 80-88
+7.5
1
@UCD
UCDL 80-89
−5.5
3
vsUCSB
UCSBW 74-65
+6.5
8
vsCP
CPW 95-90
−1.5
10
@CSUF
CSUFL 79-86
−5.5
covered 7didn’t cover 9avg −1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@UNI
UNIL 57-86
−10.5
9
@UND
UNDW 93-85
+19.5
11
@NDSU
NDSUL 68-90
+1.5
16
vsTROY
TROYW 94-85
+21.5
26
vsIDHO
IDHOL 64-78
−17.5
28
vsIDST
IDSTL 50-82
−16.5
4
vsCSUB
CSUBW 87-66
−2.5
6
@UCI
UCIL 71-85
+3.5
10
vsFRES
FRESW 89-87
+14.5
13
@DEL
DELW 88-66
+9.5
22
vsSAC
SACW 100-88
+23.5
27
@STAN
STANL 80-88
+7.5
1
@UCD
UCDL 80-89
+6.5
3
vsUCSB
UCSBW 74-65
−17.5
8
vsCP
CPW 95-90
+9.5
10
@CSUF
CSUFL 79-86
−8.5
over 10under 6avg +2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
UC San Diego
15 games played
Straight up
11-4
73% wins
Against the spread
9-6
60% covers · avg +2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-7
53% overs · avg −0.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | vs HCU | W 78-60 | -7.5 | W +10.5 | 141.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 12 | @FRES | W 78-73 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 15 | vsIDHO | W 75-67 | -5.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 24 | vs TEM | W 91-76 | +1.5 | W +16.5 | 148.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 25 | vs BRAD | W 87-77 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 145.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 26 | vs TOW | W 87-73 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 138.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 2 | @ NEV | L 70-76 | +5.5 | L −0.5 | 149.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 6 | @ LBSU | W 80-74 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 13 | vs TULN | W 93-67 | -5.5 | W +20.5 | 149.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 16 | @ LMU | W 67-57 | -1.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 19 | vs USD | L 80-82 | -12.5 | L −14.5 | 156.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 1 | @CP | L 65-67 | -8.5 | L −10.5 | 174.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 3 | vs HAW | W 83-73 | -2.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 8 | vsCSUF | L 71-88 | -13.5 | L −30.5 | 166.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 10 | @ UCR | W 69-66 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 149.5 | U 135 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
vsHCU
HCUW 78-60
+10.5
12
@FRES
FRESW 78-73
+6.5
15
vsIDHO
IDHOW 75-67
+2.5
24
vsTEM
TEMW 91-76
+16.5
25
vsBRAD
BRADW 87-77
+11.5
26
vsTOW
TOWW 87-73
+12.5
2
@NEV
NEVL 70-76
−0.5
6
@LBSU
LBSUW 80-74
−2.5
13
vsTULN
TULNW 93-67
+20.5
16
@LMU
LMUW 67-57
+8.5
19
vsUSD
USDL 80-82
−14.5
1
@CP
CPL 65-67
−10.5
3
vsHAW
HAWW 83-73
+7.5
8
vsCSUF
CSUFL 71-88
−30.5
10
@UCR
UCRW 69-66
−7.5
covered 9didn’t cover 6avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
vsHCU
HCUW 78-60
−3.5
12
@FRES
FRESW 78-73
+2.5
15
vsIDHO
IDHOW 75-67
−6.5
24
vsTEM
TEMW 91-76
+18.5
25
vsBRAD
BRADW 87-77
+18.5
26
vsTOW
TOWW 87-73
+21.5
2
@NEV
NEVL 70-76
−3.5
6
@LBSU
LBSUW 80-74
+8.5
13
vsTULN
TULNW 93-67
+10.5
16
@LMU
LMUW 67-57
−26.5
19
vsUSD
USDL 80-82
+5.5
1
@CP
CPL 65-67
−42.5
3
vsHAW
HAWW 83-73
+7.5
8
vsCSUF
CSUFL 71-88
−7.5
10
@UCR
UCRW 69-66
−14.5
over 8under 7avg −0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
CSU Northridge
8-8 overall · 3-3 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Fullerton79–86
- Wvs Cal Poly95–90
- Wvs Santa Barbara74–65
- L@ UC Davis80–89
- L@ Stanford80–88
5 days since their last game.
UC San Diego
11-4 overall · 3-2 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ UC Riverside69–66
- Lvs Fullerton71–88
- Wvs Hawai'i83–73
- L@ Cal Poly65–67
- Lvs San Diego80–82
5 days since their last game.