Prather Coliseum · at N'Western St · Conference game
Closing line
NWST -1.5✓ NWST covered by 3.5
NWST -1.5✓ NWST covered by 3.5Closing total138.5Under by 35.5
 UIW | This season | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| 8-17 | Record | 7-19 |
| 9-16 | ATS | 16-10 |
| 13-12 | O/U | 15-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UIW 71–73 NWST · ✓ NWST (58%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UIW | 23 | 26 | 49 |
| NWST | 18 | 36 | 54 |
1st half: UIW 23, NWST 18 (UIW by 5). The model had NWST by 1.3 and a total of 67.2 (actual 41).
Team stats
| UIW | NWST | |
|---|---|---|
| 17-51 33% | Field goals | 18-49 37% |
| 5-19 26% | 3-pointers | 4-14 29% |
| 10-15 67% | Free throws | 14-19 74% |
| 35 9 off | Rebounds | 33 7 off |
| 8 | Assists | 7 |
| 7 | Steals | 2 |
| 1 | Blocks | 4 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 16 | Fouls | 15 |
| 18 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| UIW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tahj Staveskie G | 40 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1-10 | 1-7 |
| Love Bettis G | 40 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3-8 | 0-0 |
| Davion Bailey G | 40 | 21 | 10 | 5 | 7-21 | 3-10 |
| Harold Woods G | 38 | 11 | 9 | 1 | 4-6 | 1-2 |
| Mihael Tomic G | 18 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Marcus Glover F | 13 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Lewis Rowe C | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Harrison Reede G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Esteban Mann, Tyler Simon, Isaiah Kortas, Jordan Pyke, Drew Barbee, Amani Drummond, Jayden Williams
| NWST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Micah Thomas G | 38 | 18 | 6 | 0 | 7-17 | 2-4 |
| Willie Williams F | 35 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 7-12 | 0-0 |
| Chris Mubiru G | 35 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 0-5 | 0-4 |
| CJ Larry G | 26 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-4 | 0-0 |
| Landyn Jumawan G | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Izzy Miles G | 27 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2-7 | 0-2 |
| Chip Brunt G | 19 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Kordrick Turner F | 13 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Moustapha Loum, Justin Redmond, Seth Ned, J.C. Riley Jr., Quentin Bolton, Omar Adegbola
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketNWST -1.5
ModelNWST -2.3
Model edgeNWST +0.8
W NWST covered
Total
Market138.5
Model143.6
Model edgeOver 5.1
L Under
Projected score
UIW 70.6 · NWST 72.9
UIW 49 · NWST 54
Win probability
NWST 58%
1st half
Spread
NWST -1.3
UIW -5.0
Total
67.2
41 points
Projected score
UIW 33 · NWST 34.2
UIW 23 · NWST 18
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNWST -2.5
1 → UIW
CloseNWST -1.5
1 pt toward UIW
Total
Open141.5
▼ 3
Close138.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
UIW +105 · NWST -125
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NWST -2.5 · closed NWST -1.5 · moved 1 toward UIWmodel NWST -2.5
model NWST -2.5
Opened 141.5 · closed 138.5 · moved 3 downmodel 143.5
model 143.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UIW | 2-8 20% | 2-8 20% | 5-5 50% |
| NWST | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
UIW 1–9 NWSTNWST leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · UIW 2-8 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2025-26 | NWST 74 @ UIW 76 | UIW -8.5 | NWST W |
| Mar 3, 2024-25 | UIW 57 @ NWST 73 | NWST -2.5 | NWST W |
| Dec 5, 2024-25 | NWST 72 @ UIW 70 | UIW -5.5 | NWST W |
| Feb 17, 2023-24 | NWST 81 @ UIW 61 | UIW -3.5 | NWST W |
| Jan 13, 2023-24 | UIW 71 @ NWST 97 | NWST +1.5 | NWST W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Incarnate Word
25 games played
Straight up
8-17
32% wins
Against the spread
9-16
36% covers · avg −2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-12
52% overs · avg +3.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ CSU | L 64-98 | +10.5 | L −23.5 | 147.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 16 | @ IU | L 61-69 | +28.5 | W +20.5 | 157.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 20 | vs USI | W 87-81 | -9.5 | L −3.5 | 145.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 22 | vs HPU | L 80-91 | +12.5 | W +1.5 | 160.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 1 | vs MCN | W 71-67 | +10.5 | W +14.5 | 145.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 6 | @ NICH | L 67-74 | -1.5 | L −8.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 8 | @ NOLA | L 83-84 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 148.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 15 | @ TCU | L 65-69 | +19.5 | W +15.5 | 143.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 21 | vs NAU | W 90-66 | -6.5 | W +17.5 | 140.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 30 | vs SELA | W 79-70 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 135.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 3 | vs HCU | W 73-56 | -6.5 | W +10.5 | 141.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 5 | @ RGV | L 67-80 | +1.5 | L −11.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Jan 10 | @ LAM | L 51-63 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 140.5 | U 114 |
| Jan 12 | @ SFA | L 46-56 | +7.5 | L −2.5 | 140.5 | U 102 |
| Jan 17 | vsNWST | W 76-74 | -8.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 19 | vs ETAM | L 58-80 | -6.5 | L −28.5 | 142.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 24 | vs AMCC | L 71-79 | -1.5 | L −9.5 | 136.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 27 | @HCU | L 75-81 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 140.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 31 | vsRGV | L 93-106 | +1.5 | L −11.5 | 140.5 | O 199 |
| Feb 2 | @AMCC | W 71-69 | +4.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | U 140 |
| Feb 7 | @MCN | L 64-81 | +16.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | U 145 |
| Feb 9 | @SELA | L 62-74 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 137.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 14 | vsNICH | L 83-91 | -2.5 | L −10.5 | 148.5 | O 174 |
| Feb 16 | vsNOLA | L 64-78 | -2.5 | L −16.5 | 154.5 | U 142 |
| Feb 21 | @ETAM | W 82-73 | +3.5 | W +12.5 | 145.5 | O 155 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@CSU
CSUL 64-98
−23.5
16
@IU
IUL 61-69
+20.5
20
vsUSI
USIW 87-81
−3.5
22
vsHPU
HPUL 80-91
+1.5
1
vsMCN
MCNW 71-67
+14.5
6
@NICH
NICHL 67-74
−8.5
8
@NOLA
NOLAL 83-84
−2.5
15
@TCU
TCUL 65-69
+15.5
21
vsNAU
NAUW 90-66
+17.5
30
vsSELA
SELAW 79-70
+2.5
3
vsHCU
HCUW 73-56
+10.5
5
@RGV
RGVL 67-80
−11.5
10
@LAM
LAML 51-63
−10.5
12
@SFA
SFAL 46-56
−2.5
17
vsNWST
NWSTW 76-74
−6.5
19
vsETAM
ETAML 58-80
−28.5
24
vsAMCC
AMCCL 71-79
−9.5
27
@HCU
HCUL 75-81
−7.5
31
vsRGV
RGVL 93-106
−11.5
2
@AMCC
AMCCW 71-69
+6.5
7
@MCN
MCNL 64-81
−0.5
9
@SELA
SELAL 62-74
−10.5
14
vsNICH
NICHL 83-91
−10.5
16
vsNOLA
NOLAL 64-78
−16.5
21
@ETAM
ETAMW 82-73
+12.5
covered 9didn’t cover 16avg −2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@CSU
CSUL 64-98
+14.5
16
@IU
IUL 61-69
−27.5
20
vsUSI
USIW 87-81
+22.5
22
vsHPU
HPUL 80-91
+10.5
1
vsMCN
MCNW 71-67
−7.5
6
@NICH
NICHL 67-74
−4.5
8
@NOLA
NOLAL 83-84
+18.5
15
@TCU
TCUL 65-69
−9.5
21
vsNAU
NAUW 90-66
+15.5
30
vsSELA
SELAW 79-70
+13.5
3
vsHCU
HCUW 73-56
−12.5
5
@RGV
RGVL 67-80
+0.5
10
@LAM
LAML 51-63
−26.5
12
@SFA
SFAL 46-56
−38.5
17
vsNWST
NWSTW 76-74
+8.5
19
vsETAM
ETAML 58-80
−4.5
24
vsAMCC
AMCCL 71-79
+13.5
27
@HCU
HCUL 75-81
+15.5
31
vsRGV
RGVL 93-106
+58.5
2
@AMCC
AMCCW 71-69
−0.5
7
@MCN
MCNL 64-81
−0.5
9
@SELA
SELAL 62-74
−1.5
14
vsNICH
NICHL 83-91
+25.5
16
vsNOLA
NOLAL 64-78
−12.5
21
@ETAM
ETAMW 82-73
+9.5
over 13under 12avg +3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
N'Western St
26 games played
Straight up
7-19
27% wins
Against the spread
16-10
62% covers · avg +1.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-11
58% overs · avg +0.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ TA&M | L 68-98 | +21.5 | L −8.5 | 153.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 6 | @ UNT | L 53-80 | +11.5 | L −15.5 | 137.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 11 | @ UNA | L 83-87 | +6.5 | W +2.5 | 142.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 18 | @ SF | L 64-84 | +16.5 | L −3.5 | 143.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 21 | @ GCU | L 72-85 | +18.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 29 | vs SOU | L 73-75 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 5 | @MCN | L 54-92 | +19.5 | L −18.5 | 139.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 7 | @SELA | W 76-68 | +7.5 | W +15.5 | 133.5 | O 144 |
| Dec 13 | @ CAL | L 70-79 | +19.5 | W +10.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 29 | vsLAM | L 61-76 | +3.5 | L −11.5 | 138.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 31 | vsSFA | L 64-74 | +8.5 | L −1.5 | 138.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 3 | vsNOLA | W 74-68 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 149.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 5 | @NICH | L 72-74 | +8.5 | W +6.5 | 144.5 | O 146 |
| Jan 10 | vsAMCC | W 79-78 | +5.5 | W +6.5 | 138.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 12 | vsRGV | W 64-63 | +2.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 17 | @UIW | L 74-76 | +8.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 19 | @HCU | L 80-82 | +2.5 | W +0.5 | 139.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 27 | @SFA | L 67-69 | +14.5 | W +12.5 | 141.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 31 | @NOLA | L 64-75 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 153.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 2 | vsNICH | L 58-61 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 147.5 | U 119 |
| Feb 4 | vsETAM | L 68-74 | -3.5 | L −9.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
| Feb 7 | @ETAM | L 48-52 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 140.5 | U 100 |
| Feb 9 | @LAM | W 70-68 | +6.5 | W +8.5 | 135.5 | O 138 |
| Feb 14 | vsSELA | W 69-66 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 131.5 | O 135 |
| Feb 16 | vsMCN | L 64-75 | +14.5 | W +3.5 | 138.5 | O 139 |
| Feb 21 | vsHCU | W 71-53 | -2.5 | W +15.5 | 134.5 | U 124 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@TA&M
TA&ML 68-98
−8.5
6
@UNT
UNTL 53-80
−15.5
11
@UNA
UNAL 83-87
+2.5
18
@SF
SFL 64-84
−3.5
21
@GCU
GCUL 72-85
+5.5
29
vsSOU
SOUL 73-75
+1.5
5
@MCN
MCNL 54-92
−18.5
7
@SELA
SELAW 76-68
+15.5
13
@CAL
CALL 70-79
+10.5
29
vsLAM
LAML 61-76
−11.5
31
vsSFA
SFAL 64-74
−1.5
3
vsNOLA
NOLAW 74-68
+7.5
5
@NICH
NICHL 72-74
+6.5
10
vsAMCC
AMCCW 79-78
+6.5
12
vsRGV
RGVW 64-63
+3.5
17
@UIW
UIWL 74-76
+6.5
19
@HCU
HCUL 80-82
+0.5
27
@SFA
SFAL 67-69
+12.5
31
@NOLA
NOLAL 64-75
−6.5
2
vsNICH
NICHL 58-61
−1.5
4
vsETAM
ETAML 68-74
−9.5
7
@ETAM
ETAML 48-52
−2.5
9
@LAM
LAMW 70-68
+8.5
14
vsSELA
SELAW 69-66
+1.5
16
vsMCN
MCNL 64-75
+3.5
21
vsHCU
HCUW 71-53
+15.5
covered 16didn’t cover 10avg +1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@TA&M
TA&ML 68-98
+12.5
6
@UNT
UNTL 53-80
−4.5
11
@UNA
UNAL 83-87
+27.5
18
@SF
SFL 64-84
+4.5
21
@GCU
GCUL 72-85
+9.5
29
vsSOU
SOUL 73-75
+3.5
5
@MCN
MCNL 54-92
+6.5
7
@SELA
SELAW 76-68
+10.5
13
@CAL
CALL 70-79
+3.5
29
vsLAM
LAML 61-76
−1.5
31
vsSFA
SFAL 64-74
−0.5
3
vsNOLA
NOLAW 74-68
−7.5
5
@NICH
NICHL 72-74
+1.5
10
vsAMCC
AMCCW 79-78
+18.5
12
vsRGV
RGVW 64-63
−16.5
17
@UIW
UIWL 74-76
+8.5
19
@HCU
HCUL 80-82
+22.5
27
@SFA
SFAL 67-69
−5.5
31
@NOLA
NOLAL 64-75
−14.5
2
vsNICH
NICHL 58-61
−28.5
4
vsETAM
ETAML 68-74
−1.5
7
@ETAM
ETAML 48-52
−40.5
9
@LAM
LAMW 70-68
+2.5
14
vsSELA
SELAW 69-66
+3.5
16
vsMCN
MCNL 64-75
+0.5
21
vsHCU
HCUW 71-53
−10.5
over 15under 11avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Incarnate Word
8-17 overall · 6-13 in conference · Southland Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ East Texas A&M82–73
- Lvs LSU N Orleans64–78
- Lvs Nicholls83–91
- L@ SE Louisiana62–74
- L@ McNeese64–81
2 days since their last game.
N'Western St
7-19 overall · 7-12 in conference · Southland Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Hou Christian71–53
- Lvs McNeese64–75
- Wvs SE Louisiana69–66
- W@ Lamar70–68
- L@ East Texas A&M48–52
2 days since their last game.