William R. Johnson Coliseum · at SF Austin · Conference game
Closing line
MCN -2.5✓ SFA covered by 9.5
MCN -2.5✓ SFA covered by 9.5Closing total141.5Under by 14.5
| MCN | This season | SFA |
|---|---|---|
| 16-4 | Record | 17-3 |
| 10-10 | ATS | 16-4 |
| 10-10 | O/U | 7-13 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MCN 73–70 SFA · ✗ MCN (59%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MCN | 19 | 41 | 60 |
| SFA | 31 | 36 | 67 |
1st half: MCN 19, SFA 31 (SFA by 12). The model had MCN by 1.7 and a total of 66.8 (actual 50).
Team stats
| MCN | SFA | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-61 34% | Field goals | 21-57 37% |
| 6-27 22% | 3-pointers | 9-25 36% |
| 12-16 75% | Free throws | 16-20 80% |
| 31 12 off | Rebounds | 32 11 off |
| 11 | Assists | 9 |
| 10 | Steals | 9 |
| 6 | Blocks | 4 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 16 | Fouls | 17 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 16 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| MCN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyshawn Archie G | 34 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 6-18 | 2-6 |
| Larry Johnson G | 26 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 4-11 | 2-5 |
| Javohn Garcia G | 25 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-3 |
| Jerrell Colbert F | 25 | 14 | 11 | 0 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Carl Cherenfant G | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Garwey Dual G | 33 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 2-10 | 0-5 |
| DJ Richards Jr. G | 27 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 2-7 | 2-7 |
| Jacolb Fredson-Cole F | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Peitok Machar F | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Yanis Ndjonga F | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: T'Johnn Brown, JJ Rembert, Akim Mazou, Kaleb Brewer, Erik Villarreal
| SFA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keon Thompson G | 33 | 21 | 7 | 3 | 6-17 | 1-3 |
| Chrishawn Christmas G | 31 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Lateef Patrick Jr. G | 27 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 4-11 | 0-3 |
| Jerald Colonel F | 25 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Kam Burton G | 20 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 4-8 | 4-8 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ahamed Mohammed G | 21 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2-7 | 2-5 |
| Narit Chotikavanic G | 20 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3-7 | 2-6 |
| Gediminas Alisas F | 13 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Christian Green G | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Eltramon Smith, Yohan Gutierrez, Harris Dar, Bryceson Melvin, Marcus Scurry, Tichyque Musaka
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMCN -2.5
ModelMCN -2.6
Model edgeMCN +0.1
L SFA covered
Total
Market141.5
Model142.5
Model edgeOver 1.0
L Under
Projected score
MCN 72.6 · SFA 70
MCN 60 · SFA 67
Win probability
MCN 59%
1st half
Spread
MCN -1.7
SFA -12.0
Total
66.8
50 points
Projected score
MCN 34.2 · SFA 32.5
MCN 19 · SFA 31
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMCN -3.5
1 → SFA
CloseMCN -2.5
1 pt toward SFA
Total
Open141.5
no move
Close141.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
MCN -142 · SFA +120
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MCN -3.5 · closed MCN -2.5 · moved 1 toward SFAmodel MCN -2.5 matches the line
model MCN -2.5 = line ✓
Opened 141.5 · unchangedmodel 142.5
model 142.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MCN | 8-2 80% | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% |
| SFA | 9-1 90% | 8-2 80% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
MCN 3–0 SFAMCN leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · MCN has won the last 3 meetings · MCN 2-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2025-26 | SFA 64 @ MCN 66 | MCN -10.5 | SFA W |
| Mar 3, 2024-25 | MCN 95 @ SFA 64 | SFA +12.5 | MCN W |
| Jan 20, 2024-25 | SFA 59 @ MCN 79 | MCN -14.5 | MCN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
McNeese
20 games played
Straight up
16-4
80% wins
Against the spread
10-10
50% covers · avg +0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-10
50% overs · avg −0.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ SCU | L 67-79 | +6.5 | L −5.5 | 151.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 14 | vs UL | W 88-62 | -15.5 | W +10.5 | 134.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 23 | vs GW | W 92-86 | +5.5 | W +11.5 | 157.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 24 | vs MUR | W 73-60 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 158.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 25 | vs MTSU | W 72-62 | -9.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 1 | @ UIW | L 67-71 | -10.5 | L −14.5 | 145.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 5 | vs NWST | W 92-54 | -19.5 | W +18.5 | 139.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 9 | @ URI | W 66-64 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 146.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 12 | vs ETAM | W 102-66 | -20.5 | W +15.5 | 142.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 15 | @ HCU | W 78-68 | -14.5 | L −4.5 | 137.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 29 | @ MICH | L 71-112 | +24.5 | L −16.5 | 161.5 | O 183 |
| Jan 2 | vs LAM | W 82-70 | -16.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 5 | vsSFA | W 66-64 | -10.5 | L −8.5 | 144.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 10 | vs SELA | W 73-61 | -16.5 | L −4.5 | 138.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 12 | vs NICH | W 94-68 | -15.5 | W +10.5 | 146.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 17 | @ RGV | L 76-79 | -9.5 | L −12.5 | 146.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 19 | @ AMCC | W 69-53 | -9.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 24 | vs NOLA | W 82-63 | -18.5 | W +0.5 | 156.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 27 | @SELA | W 76-66 | -12.5 | L −2.5 | 139.5 | O 142 |
| Jan 31 | @LAM | W 64-63 | -10.5 | L −9.5 | 144.5 | U 127 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@SCU
SCUL 67-79
−5.5
14
vsUL
ULW 88-62
+10.5
23
vsGW
GWW 92-86
+11.5
24
vsMUR
MURW 73-60
+10.5
25
vsMTSU
MTSUW 72-62
+0.5
1
@UIW
UIWL 67-71
−14.5
5
vsNWST
NWSTW 92-54
+18.5
9
@URI
URIW 66-64
+0.5
12
vsETAM
ETAMW 102-66
+15.5
15
@HCU
HCUW 78-68
−4.5
29
@MICH
MICHL 71-112
−16.5
2
vsLAM
LAMW 82-70
−4.5
5
vsSFA
SFAW 66-64
−8.5
10
vsSELA
SELAW 73-61
−4.5
12
vsNICH
NICHW 94-68
+10.5
17
@RGV
RGVL 76-79
−12.5
19
@AMCC
AMCCW 69-53
+6.5
24
vsNOLA
NOLAW 82-63
+0.5
27
@SELA
SELAW 76-66
−2.5
31
@LAM
LAMW 64-63
−9.5
covered 10didn’t cover 10avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@SCU
SCUL 67-79
−5.5
14
vsUL
ULW 88-62
+15.5
23
vsGW
GWW 92-86
+20.5
24
vsMUR
MURW 73-60
−25.5
25
vsMTSU
MTSUW 72-62
−13.5
1
@UIW
UIWL 67-71
−7.5
5
vsNWST
NWSTW 92-54
+6.5
9
@URI
URIW 66-64
−16.5
12
vsETAM
ETAMW 102-66
+25.5
15
@HCU
HCUW 78-68
+8.5
29
@MICH
MICHL 71-112
+21.5
2
vsLAM
LAMW 82-70
+6.5
5
vsSFA
SFAW 66-64
−14.5
10
vsSELA
SELAW 73-61
−4.5
12
vsNICH
NICHW 94-68
+15.5
17
@RGV
RGVL 76-79
+8.5
19
@AMCC
AMCCW 69-53
−18.5
24
vsNOLA
NOLAW 82-63
−11.5
27
@SELA
SELAW 76-66
+2.5
31
@LAM
LAMW 64-63
−17.5
over 10under 10avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
SF Austin
20 games played
Straight up
17-3
85% wins
Against the spread
16-4
80% covers · avg +5.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-13
35% overs · avg −1.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs ARST | W 90-65 | +1.5 | W +26.5 | 155.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 11 | @ RICE | W 81-69 | +2.5 | W +14.5 | 149.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 14 | vs ACU | W 76-66 | -6.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 18 | @ FRES | L 78-80 | -2.5 | L −4.5 | 146.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 21 | @ PEPP | W 63-60 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 148.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 29 | @ UTA | L 61-66 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 138.5 | U 127 |
| Dec 3 | vsRGV | W 73-60 | -6.5 | W +6.5 | 143.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 7 | vs ULM | W 96-76 | -19.5 | W +0.5 | 142.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 17 | vsAMCC | W 69-60 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 139.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 29 | @ETAM | W 75-48 | -4.5 | W +22.5 | 146.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 31 | @NWST | W 74-64 | -8.5 | W +1.5 | 138.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 3 | @SELA | W 73-63 | -3.5 | W +6.5 | 137.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 5 | @MCN | L 64-66 | +10.5 | W +8.5 | 144.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 10 | vsHCU | W 85-67 | -12.5 | W +5.5 | 137.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 12 | vsUIW | W 56-46 | -7.5 | W +2.5 | 140.5 | U 102 |
| Jan 17 | @NOLA | W 84-79 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 147.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 19 | @NICH | W 79-62 | -4.5 | W +12.5 | 144.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 24 | @LAM | W 88-81 | -4.5 | W +2.5 | 136.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 27 | vsNWST | W 69-67 | -14.5 | L −12.5 | 141.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 31 | vsSELA | W 85-58 | -9.5 | W +17.5 | 135.5 | O 143 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsARST
ARSTW 90-65
+26.5
11
@RICE
RICEW 81-69
+14.5
14
vsACU
ACUW 76-66
+3.5
18
@FRES
FRESL 78-80
−4.5
21
@PEPP
PEPPW 63-60
+1.5
29
@UTA
UTAL 61-66
−3.5
3
vsRGV
RGVW 73-60
+6.5
7
vsULM
ULMW 96-76
+0.5
17
vsAMCC
AMCCW 69-60
+2.5
29
@ETAM
ETAMW 75-48
+22.5
31
@NWST
NWSTW 74-64
+1.5
3
@SELA
SELAW 73-63
+6.5
5
@MCN
MCNL 64-66
+8.5
10
vsHCU
HCUW 85-67
+5.5
12
vsUIW
UIWW 56-46
+2.5
17
@NOLA
NOLAW 84-79
−1.5
19
@NICH
NICHW 79-62
+12.5
24
@LAM
LAMW 88-81
+2.5
27
vsNWST
NWSTW 69-67
−12.5
31
vsSELA
SELAW 85-58
+17.5
covered 16didn’t cover 4avg +5.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsARST
ARSTW 90-65
−0.5
11
@RICE
RICEW 81-69
+0.5
14
vsACU
ACUW 76-66
−0.5
18
@FRES
FRESL 78-80
+11.5
21
@PEPP
PEPPW 63-60
−25.5
29
@UTA
UTAL 61-66
−11.5
3
vsRGV
RGVW 73-60
−10.5
7
vsULM
ULMW 96-76
+29.5
17
vsAMCC
AMCCW 69-60
−10.5
29
@ETAM
ETAMW 75-48
−23.5
31
@NWST
NWSTW 74-64
−0.5
3
@SELA
SELAW 73-63
−1.5
5
@MCN
MCNL 64-66
−14.5
10
vsHCU
HCUW 85-67
+14.5
12
vsUIW
UIWW 56-46
−38.5
17
@NOLA
NOLAW 84-79
+15.5
19
@NICH
NICHW 79-62
−3.5
24
@LAM
LAMW 88-81
+32.5
27
vsNWST
NWSTW 69-67
−5.5
31
vsSELA
SELAW 85-58
+7.5
over 7under 13avg −1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
McNeese
16-4 overall · 11-2 in conference · Southland Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Lamar64–63
- W@ SE Louisiana76–66
- Wvs LSU N Orleans82–63
- W@ Texas A&M-CC69–53
- L@ UT Rio Grande76–79
2 days since their last game.
SF Austin
17-3 overall · 12-1 in conference · Southland Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs SE Louisiana85–58
- Wvs N'Western St69–67
- W@ Lamar88–81
- W@ Nicholls79–62
- W@ LSU N Orleans84–79
2 days since their last game.