First National Bank Arena · at Arkansas St · Conference game
Closing line
ARST -10.5✓ JMU covered by 14.5
ARST -10.5✓ JMU covered by 14.5Closing total158.5Under by 6.5
 JMU | This season | ARST |
|---|---|---|
| 6-7 | Record | 8-4 |
| 3-10 | ATS | 9-3 |
| 9-4 | O/U | 7-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: JMU 77–86 ARST · ✗ ARST (80%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| JMU | 39 | 39 | 78 |
| ARST | 34 | 40 | 74 |
1st half: JMU 39, ARST 34 (JMU by 5). The model had ARST by 5.5 and a total of 76.4 (actual 73).
Team stats
| JMU | ARST | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-51 53% | Field goals | 25-70 36% |
| 8-17 47% | 3-pointers | 8-32 25% |
| 16-26 62% | Free throws | 16-27 59% |
| 38 7 off | Rebounds | 42 20 off |
| 11 | Assists | 12 |
| 5 | Steals | 9 |
| 5 | Blocks | 2 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 23 | Fouls | 18 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| JMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cliff Davis G | 35 | 24 | 2 | 1 | 7-12 | 5-7 |
| Justin McBride F | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 7-13 | 2-4 |
| Eddie Ricks III F | 27 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Bradley Douglas G | 22 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1-5 | 1-2 |
| Gabe Newhof F | 20 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 7-9 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kose Egbule G | 18 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Preston Fowler F | 17 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Elijah Wilborn F | 13 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Ike Cornish G | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Christian Brown F | 8 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Paul Jones III, Chance Lundy, Josh Stephen, Paul Lewis, Justin Taylor
| ARST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Hampton G | 31 | 5 | 13 | 2 | 2-6 | 0-1 |
| Chandler Jackson G | 29 | 19 | 1 | 6 | 8-17 | 0-4 |
| Jaxon Ellingsworth F | 26 | 12 | 8 | 0 | 3-8 | 1-3 |
| Christian Harmon G | 23 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1-8 | 1-8 |
| Fredy-Salam Sylla G | 14 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Matt Hayman G | 25 | 23 | 5 | 1 | 8-15 | 5-8 |
| Aly Tounkara F | 17 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| T.J. Caldwell G | 13 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-5 | 0-4 |
| Joey Chammaa G | 12 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Royal Blue Smith G | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Tim Matthews, Weston Honeycutt, CJ Geathers, Grayson Bennett, Chudi Dioramma
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenARST -8.5
2 → ARST
CloseARST -10.5
2 pts toward ARST
Total
Open160.5
▼ 2
Close158.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
JMU +400 · ARST -535
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ARST -8.5 · closed ARST -10.5 · moved 2 toward ARSTmodel ARST -9.5
model ARST -9.5
Opened 160.5 · closed 158.5 · moved 2 downmodel 163
model 163
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | ARST -10.5 | ARST -9.4 | JMU +1.1 | W JMU covered |
| Total | 158.5 | 163.1 | Over 4.6 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | JMU 76.8 · ARST 86.3 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | ARST -5.5 | JMU -5.0 |
| 1H total | 76.4 | 73 |
| 1H projected score | JMU 35.4 · ARST 40.9 | JMU 39 · ARST 34 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| JMU | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% |
| ARST | 7-3 70% | 8-2 80% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
JMU 3–0 ARSTJMU leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · JMU has won the last 3 meetings · JMU 2-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2024-25 | ARST 62 @ JMU 67 | JMU -0.5 | JMU W |
| Mar 11, 2023-24 | ARST 71 vs JMU 91 | JMU -5.5 | JMU W |
| Feb 7, 2023-24 | JMU 77 @ ARST 73 | ARST +4.5 | ARST W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
James Madison
13 games played
Straight up
6-7
46% wins
Against the spread
3-10
23% covers · avg −3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-4
69% overs · avg +7.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ AKR | L 71-85 | +8.5 | L −5.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 9 | vs COPP | W 84-70 | -18.5 | L −4.5 | 141.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 12 | @ LONG | L 72-82 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 149.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 15 | @ LIU | L 79-88 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 18 | vs TOW | W 81-75 | +3.5 | W +9.5 | 140.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 24 | @ FIU | W 80-72 | +2.5 | W +10.5 | 155.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 25 | vs OMA | W 88-77 | -1.5 | W +9.5 | 152.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 29 | @ GMU | L 66-82 | +12.5 | L −3.5 | 141.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 3 | vs NCCU | W 67-62 | -14.5 | L −9.5 | 143.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 6 | vs NORF | W 68-67 | -10.5 | L −9.5 | 138.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 17 | @ ODU | L 68-77 | -2.5 | L −11.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 20 | @ GASO | L 92-96 | +2.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | O 188 |
| Dec 29 | @ ARK | L 74-103 | +23.5 | L −5.5 | 159.5 | O 177 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@AKR
AKRL 71-85
−5.5
9
vsCOPP
COPPW 84-70
−4.5
12
@LONG
LONGL 72-82
−11.5
15
@LIU
LIUL 79-88
−5.5
18
vsTOW
TOWW 81-75
+9.5
24
@FIU
FIUW 80-72
+10.5
25
vsOMA
OMAW 88-77
+9.5
29
@GMU
GMUL 66-82
−3.5
3
vsNCCU
NCCUW 67-62
−9.5
6
vsNORF
NORFW 68-67
−9.5
17
@ODU
ODUL 68-77
−11.5
20
@GASO
GASOL 92-96
−1.5
29
@ARK
ARKL 74-103
−5.5
covered 3didn’t cover 10avg −3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@AKR
AKRL 71-85
+2.5
9
vsCOPP
COPPW 84-70
+12.5
12
@LONG
LONGL 72-82
+4.5
15
@LIU
LIUL 79-88
+19.5
18
vsTOW
TOWW 81-75
+15.5
24
@FIU
FIUW 80-72
−3.5
25
vsOMA
OMAW 88-77
+12.5
29
@GMU
GMUL 66-82
+6.5
3
vsNCCU
NCCUW 67-62
−14.5
6
vsNORF
NORFW 68-67
−3.5
17
@ODU
ODUL 68-77
−3.5
20
@GASO
GASOL 92-96
+34.5
29
@ARK
ARKL 74-103
+17.5
over 9under 4avg +7.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Arkansas St
12 games played
Straight up
8-4
67% wins
Against the spread
9-3
75% covers · avg +1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-5
58% overs · avg +5.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ OHIO | W 89-85 | +3.5 | W +7.5 | 159.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 7 | @ SFA | L 65-90 | -1.5 | L −26.5 | 155.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 11 | @ MOST | W 86-85 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 152.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 19 | @ SMC | L 72-85 | +20.5 | W +7.5 | 149.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 21 | @ SMU | L 69-100 | +14.5 | L −16.5 | 172.5 | U 169 |
| Nov 24 | vs JXST | W 74-63 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 155.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 28 | vs NDSU | W 85-80 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 160.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 2 | vs UTA | W 83-63 | -5.5 | W +14.5 | 151.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 6 | @ LR | W 90-78 | -9.5 | W +2.5 | 147.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 13 | @ RICE | L 76-77 | -2.5 | L −3.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 17 | @ TXST | W 89-70 | -4.5 | W +14.5 | 151.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 20 | @ USM | W 93-86 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 155.5 | O 179 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@OHIO
OHIOW 89-85
+7.5
7
@SFA
SFAL 65-90
−26.5
11
@MOST
MOSTW 86-85
+2.5
19
@SMC
SMCL 72-85
+7.5
21
@SMU
SMUL 69-100
−16.5
24
vsJXST
JXSTW 74-63
+6.5
28
vsNDSU
NDSUW 85-80
+1.5
2
vsUTA
UTAW 83-63
+14.5
6
@LR
LRW 90-78
+2.5
13
@RICE
RICEL 76-77
−3.5
17
@TXST
TXSTW 89-70
+14.5
20
@USM
USMW 93-86
+5.5
covered 9didn’t cover 3avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@OHIO
OHIOW 89-85
+14.5
7
@SFA
SFAL 65-90
−0.5
11
@MOST
MOSTW 86-85
+18.5
19
@SMC
SMCL 72-85
+7.5
21
@SMU
SMUL 69-100
−3.5
24
vsJXST
JXSTW 74-63
−18.5
28
vsNDSU
NDSUW 85-80
+4.5
2
vsUTA
UTAW 83-63
−5.5
6
@LR
LRW 90-78
+20.5
13
@RICE
RICEL 76-77
−2.5
17
@TXST
TXSTW 89-70
+7.5
20
@USM
USMW 93-86
+23.5
over 7under 5avg +5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
James Madison
6-7 overall · 0-2 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Arkansas74–103
- L@ GA Southern92–96
- L@ Old Dominion68–77
- Wvs Norfolk St68–67
- Wvs NC Central67–62
5 days since their last game.
Arkansas St
8-4 overall · 2-0 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Southern Miss93–86
- W@ Texas St89–70
- L@ Rice76–77
- W@ Little Rock90–78
- Wvs UT Arlington83–63
A week or more of rest.