Conte Forum · at Boston College
Closing line
LSU -7.5✓ LSU covered by 1.5
LSU -7.5✓ LSU covered by 1.5Closing total149.5Under by 2.5
| LSU | This season | BC |
|---|---|---|
| 7-0 | Record | 4-4 |
| 4-3 | ATS | 3-5 |
| 5-2 | O/U | 3-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: LSU 83–72 BC · ✓ LSU (84%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LSU | 37 | 24 | 17 | 78 |
| BC | 26 | 35 | 8 | 69 |
1st half: LSU 37, BC 26 (LSU by 11). The model had LSU by 7.1 and a total of 72.6 (actual 63).
Team stats
| LSU | BC | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-72 40% | Field goals | 23-62 37% |
| 3-19 16% | 3-pointers | 9-24 38% |
| 17-20 85% | Free throws | 14-21 67% |
| 46 15 off | Rebounds | 40 11 off |
| 10 | Assists | 10 |
| 4 | Steals | 3 |
| 4 | Blocks | 5 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 17 | Fouls | 20 |
| 42 | Points in paint | 22 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| LSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marquel Sutton F | 40 | 18 | 13 | 0 | 6-11 | 1-2 |
| Dedan Thomas Jr. G | 39 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 8-21 | 0-5 |
| Max Mackinnon G | 39 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 4-14 | 2-6 |
| Pablo Tamba F | 33 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Mike Nwoko F | 25 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 6-10 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Robert Miller III F | 28 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Rashad King G | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-5 | 0-3 |
| Jalen Reece G | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| PJ Carter G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Jalen Reed, Mazi Mosley, Jaden Bobbett, Matt Gilhool, Ron Zipper
| BC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred Payne G | 40 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 3-10 | 1-4 |
| Donald Hand Jr. G | 35 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 2-13 | 1-4 |
| Jayden Hastings F | 31 | 9 | 10 | 1 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Aidan Shaw F | 25 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Chase Forte G | 14 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Boden Kapke F | 32 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 3-12 | 2-6 |
| Luka Toews G | 27 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 6-11 | 2-4 |
| Caleb Steger G | 18 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 3-5 | 3-5 |
| Jason Asemota F | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jack Bailey, Kany Musungay, Jack DiDonna, Akbar Waheed III, Nick Petronio, Will Eggemeier, Marko Radunovic
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketLSU -7.5
ModelLSU -11.5
Model edgeLSU +4.0
W LSU covered
Total
Market149.5
Model155.2
Model edgeOver 5.7
L Under
Projected score
LSU 83.4 · BC 71.8
LSU 78 · BC 69
Win probability
LSU 84%
1st half
Spread
LSU -7.1
LSU -11.0
Total
72.6
63 points
Projected score
LSU 39.9 · BC 32.8
LSU 37 · BC 26
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenLSU -7.5
no move
CloseLSU -7.5
No change since the open
Total
Open147.5
▲ 2
Close149.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
LSU -325 · BC +260
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened LSU -7.5 · unchangedmodel LSU -11.5
model LSU -11.5
Opened 147.5 · closed 149.5 · moved 2 upmodel 155
model 155
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LSUlast 7 | 7-0 100% | 4-3 57% | 5-2 71% |
| BClast 8 | 4-4 50% | 3-5 38% | 3-5 38% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
LSU
7 games played
Straight up
7-0
100% wins
Against the spread
4-3
57% covers · avg +7.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-2
71% overs · avg +6.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs TAR | W 96-60 | -15.5 | W +20.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 10 | vs NOLA | W 93-58 | -19.5 | W +15.5 | 162.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 13 | vs FIU | W 98-81 | -21.5 | L −4.5 | 158.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 18 | vs ALCN | W 107-81 | -32.5 | L −6.5 | 155.5 | O 188 |
| Nov 21 | vs OMA | W 99-73 | -20.5 | W +5.5 | 163.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 28 | vs DRKE | W 71-62 | -11.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 29 | vs DEP | W 96-63 | -5.5 | W +27.5 | 152.5 | O 159 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsTAR
TARW 96-60
+20.5
10
vsNOLA
NOLAW 93-58
+15.5
13
vsFIU
FIUW 98-81
−4.5
18
vsALCN
ALCNW 107-81
−6.5
21
vsOMA
OMAW 99-73
+5.5
28
vsDRKE
DRKEW 71-62
−2.5
29
vsDEP
DEPW 96-63
+27.5
covered 4didn’t cover 3avg +7.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsTAR
TARW 96-60
+7.5
10
vsNOLA
NOLAW 93-58
−11.5
13
vsFIU
FIUW 98-81
+20.5
18
vsALCN
ALCNW 107-81
+32.5
21
vsOMA
OMAW 99-73
+8.5
28
vsDRKE
DRKEW 71-62
−18.5
29
vsDEP
DEPW 96-63
+6.5
over 5under 2avg +6.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Boston College
8 games played
Straight up
4-4
50% wins
Against the spread
3-5
38% covers · avg −1.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-5
38% overs · avg −4.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ FAU | L 78-83 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 148.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 6 | vs CIT | W 76-47 | -15.5 | W +13.5 | 144.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 11 | vs CCSU | L 59-60 | -17.5 | L −18.5 | 136.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 15 | @ TEM | W 76-71 | +3.5 | W +8.5 | 142.5 | O 147 |
| Nov 18 | vs HAMP | W 63-52 | -12.5 | L −1.5 | 135.5 | U 115 |
| Nov 21 | vs DAV | L 49-59 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 140.5 | U 108 |
| Nov 23 | vs TULN | L 90-93 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 140.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 26 | vs HARV | W 73-60 | -7.5 | W +5.5 | 138.5 | U 133 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@FAU
FAUL 78-83
−3.5
6
vsCIT
CITW 76-47
+13.5
11
vsCCSU
CCSUL 59-60
−18.5
15
@TEM
TEMW 76-71
+8.5
18
vsHAMP
HAMPW 63-52
−1.5
21
vsDAV
DAVL 49-59
−11.5
23
vsTULN
TULNL 90-93
−5.5
26
vsHARV
HARVW 73-60
+5.5
covered 3didn’t cover 5avg −1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@FAU
FAUL 78-83
+12.5
6
vsCIT
CITW 76-47
−21.5
11
vsCCSU
CCSUL 59-60
−17.5
15
@TEM
TEMW 76-71
+4.5
18
vsHAMP
HAMPW 63-52
−20.5
21
vsDAV
DAVL 49-59
−32.5
23
vsTULN
TULNL 90-93
+42.5
26
vsHARV
HARVW 73-60
−5.5
over 3under 5avg −4.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
LSU
7-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs DePaul96–63
- Wvs Drake71–62
- Wvs Omaha99–73
- Wvs Alcorn St107–81
- Wvs FIU98–81
4 days since their last game.
Boston College
4-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Harvard73–60
- Lvs Tulane90–93
- Lvs Davidson49–59
- Wvs Hampton63–52
- W@ Temple76–71
A week or more of rest.