Great Southern Bank Arena · at Missouri St · Conference game
Closing line
MOST -3.5✓ LT covered by 4.5
MOST -3.5✓ LT covered by 4.5Closing total136.5Over by 20.5
 LT | This season | MOST |
|---|---|---|
| 10-10 | Record | 10-10 |
| 10-10 | ATS | 12-8 |
| 9-11 | O/U | 11-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: LT 66–68 MOST · ✗ MOST (60%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | 2OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LT | 36 | 32 | 7 | 4 | 79 |
| MOST | 32 | 36 | 7 | 3 | 78 |
1st half: LT 36, MOST 32 (LT by 4). The model had MOST by 1.5 and a total of 62.8 (actual 68).
Team stats
| LT | MOST | |
|---|---|---|
| 31-71 44% | Field goals | 26-75 35% |
| 5-20 25% | 3-pointers | 8-31 26% |
| 12-18 67% | Free throws | 18-26 69% |
| 42 13 off | Rebounds | 47 20 off |
| 12 | Assists | 11 |
| 9 | Steals | 10 |
| 12 | Blocks | 8 |
| 20 | Turnovers | 18 |
| 20 | Fouls | 15 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| LT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Thomas II F | 48 | 19 | 9 | 0 | 7-11 | 4-5 |
| AJ Bates G | 38 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 2-12 | 0-2 |
| DJ Dudley G | 18 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 4-7 | 0-1 |
| Melian Martinez C | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Jaylen Fenner G | 14 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Scooter Williams G | 45 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5-15 | 0-3 |
| Kaden Cooper F | 37 | 17 | 13 | 0 | 6-14 | 1-6 |
| Will Allen F | 26 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Sir Issac Herron F | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: A'Meir Williams, Kylan Howze, Keegan Rowell, Jermaurhiyun Anderson, Lachlan Thompson, Will Jeffress
| MOST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith Palek III F | 45 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 6-17 | 0-3 |
| Michael Osei-Bonsu F | 43 | 22 | 13 | 1 | 9-16 | 0-0 |
| Kobi Williams G | 37 | 24 | 3 | 1 | 8-19 | 6-15 |
| Trey Williams Jr. G | 36 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0-7 | 0-4 |
| Antwan Burnett G | 32 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Zaxton King G | 31 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1-5 | 1-4 |
| Melakih Cunningham G | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Darrion Sutton F | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Cameron Boone F | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Logan Epes G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Tyrique Brooks G | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Collin Clark, Ryder Cheesman, Amar Kuljuhovic
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMOST -6.5
3 → LT
CloseMOST -3.5
3 pts toward LT
Total
Open131.5
▲ 5
Close136.5
Up 5 since the open
Moneyline
LT +170 · MOST -205
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MOST -6.5 · closed MOST -3.5 · moved 3 toward LTmodel MOST -3
model MOST -3
Opened 131.5 · closed 136.5 · moved 5 upmodel 134
model 134
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MOST -3.5 | MOST -2.8 | LT +0.7 | W LT covered |
| Total | 136.5 | 134.0 | Under 2.5 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | LT 65.6 · MOST 68.4 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | MOST -1.5 | LT -4.0 |
| 1H total | 62.8 | 68 |
| 1H projected score | LT 30.6 · MOST 32.2 | LT 36 · MOST 32 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LT | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
| MOST | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% | 8-2 80% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Louisiana Tech
20 games played
Straight up
10-10
50% wins
Against the spread
10-10
50% covers · avg −1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-11
45% overs · avg −4.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ NEV | L 50-77 | +9.5 | L −17.5 | 136.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 15 | vs JKST | W 68-51 | -8.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 19 | @ INST | L 51-60 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | U 111 |
| Nov 26 | vsINST | W 75-73 | -2.5 | L −0.5 | 141.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 29 | vs ALCN | W 83-58 | -16.5 | W +8.5 | 137.5 | O 141 |
| Dec 3 | @ GASO | L 69-77 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 13 | vs UL | W 65-44 | -9.5 | W +11.5 | 126.5 | U 109 |
| Dec 17 | @ TULN | L 53-61 | +4.5 | L −3.5 | 140.5 | U 114 |
| Dec 29 | vs UTEP | W 75-63 | -2.5 | W +9.5 | 130.5 | O 138 |
| Jan 2 | @ MTSU | L 51-88 | +6.5 | L −30.5 | 134.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 4 | @ WKU | L 61-66 | +9.5 | W +4.5 | 145.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 8 | vs LIB | L 56-72 | +4.5 | L −11.5 | 135.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 10 | vs DEL | W 70-68 | -6.5 | L −4.5 | 123.5 | O 138 |
| Jan 14 | vsMTSU | W 59-58 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 131.5 | U 117 |
| Jan 17 | @ JXST | L 60-64 | +4.5 | W +0.5 | 127.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 23 | vs KENN | W 82-76 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 28 | @UTEP | W 69-59 | +2.5 | W +12.5 | 130.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 31 | @ SHSU | L 67-83 | +7.5 | L −8.5 | 141.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 4 | vs NMSU | L 63-72 | -1.5 | L −10.5 | 135.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 7 | vsSHSU | W 87-78 | +3.5 | W +12.5 | 143.5 | O 165 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@NEV
NEVL 50-77
−17.5
15
vsJKST
JKSTW 68-51
+8.5
19
@INST
INSTL 51-60
−5.5
26
vsINST
INSTW 75-73
−0.5
29
vsALCN
ALCNW 83-58
+8.5
3
@GASO
GASOL 69-77
−6.5
13
vsUL
ULW 65-44
+11.5
17
@TULN
TULNL 53-61
−3.5
29
vsUTEP
UTEPW 75-63
+9.5
2
@MTSU
MTSUL 51-88
−30.5
4
@WKU
WKUL 61-66
+4.5
8
vsLIB
LIBL 56-72
−11.5
10
vsDEL
DELW 70-68
−4.5
14
vsMTSU
MTSUW 59-58
+4.5
17
@JXST
JXSTL 60-64
+0.5
23
vsKENN
KENNW 82-76
+7.5
28
@UTEP
UTEPW 69-59
+12.5
31
@SHSU
SHSUL 67-83
−8.5
4
vsNMSU
NMSUL 63-72
−10.5
7
vsSHSU
SHSUW 87-78
+12.5
covered 10didn’t cover 10avg −1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@NEV
NEVL 50-77
−9.5
15
vsJKST
JKSTW 68-51
−27.5
19
@INST
INSTL 51-60
−36.5
26
vsINST
INSTW 75-73
+6.5
29
vsALCN
ALCNW 83-58
+3.5
3
@GASO
GASOL 69-77
+0.5
13
vsUL
ULW 65-44
−17.5
17
@TULN
TULNL 53-61
−26.5
29
vsUTEP
UTEPW 75-63
+7.5
2
@MTSU
MTSUL 51-88
+4.5
4
@WKU
WKUL 61-66
−18.5
8
vsLIB
LIBL 56-72
−7.5
10
vsDEL
DELW 70-68
+14.5
14
vsMTSU
MTSUW 59-58
−14.5
17
@JXST
JXSTL 60-64
−3.5
23
vsKENN
KENNW 82-76
+13.5
28
@UTEP
UTEPW 69-59
−2.5
31
@SHSU
SHSUL 67-83
+8.5
4
vsNMSU
NMSUL 63-72
−0.5
7
vsSHSU
SHSUW 87-78
+21.5
over 9under 11avg −4.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Missouri St
20 games played
Straight up
10-10
50% wins
Against the spread
12-8
60% covers · avg +0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-9
55% overs · avg +2.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11 | vs ARST | L 85-86 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 152.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 15 | @ UTA | L 49-67 | +3.5 | L −14.5 | 143.5 | U 116 |
| Nov 22 | vs RGV | W 74-67 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 149.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 24 | vs LIU | L 61-75 | -4.5 | L −18.5 | 145.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 6 | @ TLSA | L 74-98 | +7.5 | L −16.5 | 142.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 12 | @ XAV | L 57-75 | +18.5 | W +0.5 | 151.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 16 | vs ORU | W 63-62 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 23 | vs LIN | W 70-65 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 29 | @DEL | W 61-43 | -1.5 | W +16.5 | 131.5 | U 104 |
| Jan 2 | vsUTEP | W 79-55 | -3.5 | W +20.5 | 131.5 | O 134 |
| Jan 4 | vsNMSU | W 89-82 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 134.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 7 | @KENN | L 80-90 | +6.5 | L −3.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 10 | vs FIU | W 79-71 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 14 | @WKU | L 72-87 | +6.5 | L −8.5 | 148.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 17 | @MTSU | L 87-90 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 137.5 | O 177 |
| Jan 22 | @NMSU | W 84-75 | +6.5 | W +15.5 | 144.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 24 | @UTEP | W 62-57 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 139.5 | U 119 |
| Jan 28 | vsSHSU | L 71-80 | -1.5 | L −10.5 | 148.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 31 | vsJXST | W 74-67 | -4.5 | W +2.5 | 135.5 | O 141 |
| Feb 7 | @LIB | L 76-79 | +9.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | O 155 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
11
vsARST
ARSTL 85-86
−2.5
15
@UTA
UTAL 49-67
−14.5
22
vsRGV
RGVW 74-67
+3.5
24
vsLIU
LIUL 61-75
−18.5
6
@TLSA
TLSAL 74-98
−16.5
12
@XAV
XAVL 57-75
+0.5
16
vsORU
ORUW 63-62
−3.5
23
vsLIN
LINW 70-65
+1.5
29
@DEL
DELW 61-43
+16.5
2
vsUTEP
UTEPW 79-55
+20.5
4
vsNMSU
NMSUW 89-82
+5.5
7
@KENN
KENNL 80-90
−3.5
10
vsFIU
FIUW 79-71
+5.5
14
@WKU
WKUL 72-87
−8.5
17
@MTSU
MTSUL 87-90
+2.5
22
@NMSU
NMSUW 84-75
+15.5
24
@UTEP
UTEPW 62-57
+3.5
28
vsSHSU
SHSUL 71-80
−10.5
31
vsJXST
JXSTW 74-67
+2.5
7
@LIB
LIBL 76-79
+6.5
covered 12didn’t cover 8avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
11
vsARST
ARSTL 85-86
+18.5
15
@UTA
UTAL 49-67
−27.5
22
vsRGV
RGVW 74-67
−8.5
24
vsLIU
LIUL 61-75
−9.5
6
@TLSA
TLSAL 74-98
+29.5
12
@XAV
XAVL 57-75
−19.5
16
vsORU
ORUW 63-62
−21.5
23
vsLIN
LINW 70-65
−10.5
29
@DEL
DELW 61-43
−27.5
2
vsUTEP
UTEPW 79-55
+2.5
4
vsNMSU
NMSUW 89-82
+36.5
7
@KENN
KENNL 80-90
+17.5
10
vsFIU
FIUW 79-71
−3.5
14
@WKU
WKUL 72-87
+10.5
17
@MTSU
MTSUL 87-90
+39.5
22
@NMSU
NMSUW 84-75
+14.5
24
@UTEP
UTEPW 62-57
−20.5
28
vsSHSU
SHSUL 71-80
+2.5
31
vsJXST
JXSTW 74-67
+5.5
7
@LIB
LIBL 76-79
+14.5
over 11under 9avg +2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Louisiana Tech
10-10 overall · 6-6 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Sam Houston87–78
- Lvs New Mexico St63–72
- L@ Sam Houston67–83
- W@ UTEP69–59
- Wvs Kennesaw St82–76
5 days since their last game.
Missouri St
10-10 overall · 7-5 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Liberty76–79
- Wvs Jax State74–67
- Lvs Sam Houston71–80
- W@ UTEP62–57
- W@ New Mexico St84–75
5 days since their last game.