Thomas Assembly Center · at Louisiana Tech · Conference game
Closing line
SHSU -3.5✓ LT covered by 12.5
SHSU -3.5✓ LT covered by 12.5Closing total143.5Over by 21.5
| SHSU | This season | LT |
|---|---|---|
| 13-7 | Record | 9-10 |
| 16-4 | ATS | 9-10 |
| 12-8 | O/U | 8-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SHSU 73–70 LT · ✗ SHSU (60%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SHSU | 38 | 40 | 78 |
| LT | 37 | 50 | 87 |
1st half: SHSU 38, LT 37 (SHSU by 1). The model had SHSU by 1.9 and a total of 66.6 (actual 75).
Team stats
| SHSU | LT | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-57 44% | Field goals | 30-65 46% |
| 13-27 48% | 3-pointers | 1-17 6% |
| 15-21 71% | Free throws | 26-35 74% |
| 30 6 off | Rebounds | 46 18 off |
| 14 | Assists | 17 |
| 9 | Steals | 10 |
| 4 | Blocks | 5 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 22 | Fouls | 15 |
| 16 | Points in paint | 48 |
| 25 | Fast-break points | 23 |
Players
| SHSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Walker G | 37 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 4-10 | 0-1 |
| Po'Boigh King G | 33 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 7-18 | 6-12 |
| Damon Nicholas Jr. G | 31 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Kashie Natt G | 24 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 3-8 | 2-5 |
| Veljko Ilic F | 19 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jacobe Coleman G | 29 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 5-7 | 5-7 |
| Matt Dann F | 20 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| CJ Beaumont G | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Noah Benny, Nathan Nguyen, Cheikh Sadibou Ndiaye, Jackson Rogers, Jaxson Ford, Justin Begg, Isaiah Manning
| LT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Thomas II F | 34 | 15 | 11 | 0 | 7-10 | 1-3 |
| DJ Dudley G | 29 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2-11 | 0-4 |
| AJ Bates G | 28 | 21 | 0 | 6 | 5-9 | 0-3 |
| Jaylen Fenner G | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Melian Martinez C | 9 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kaden Cooper F | 33 | 16 | 18 | 3 | 5-10 | 0-2 |
| Scooter Williams G | 27 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4-12 | 0-4 |
| Sir Issac Herron F | 26 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 6-8 | 0-0 |
| Kylan Howze F | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Keegan Rowell, A'Meir Williams, Jermaurhiyun Anderson, Lachlan Thompson, Will Jeffress, Will Allen
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSHSU -3.5
ModelSHSU -3.0
Model edgeLT +0.5
W LT covered
Total
Market143.5
Model142.1
Model edgeUnder 1.4
L Over
Projected score
SHSU 72.5 · LT 69.6
SHSU 78 · LT 87
Win probability
SHSU 60%
1st half
Spread
SHSU -1.9
SHSU -1.0
Total
66.6
75 points
Projected score
SHSU 34.2 · LT 32.3
SHSU 38 · LT 37
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSHSU -3.5
no move
CloseSHSU -3.5
No change since the open
Total
Open140.5
▲ 3
Close143.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
SHSU -175 · LT +145
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SHSU -3.5 · unchangedmodel SHSU -3
model SHSU -3
Opened 140.5 · closed 143.5 · moved 3 upmodel 142
model 142
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SHSU | 8-2 80% | 8-2 80% | 4-6 40% |
| LT | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
SHSU 3–2 LTSHSU leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · SHSU 4-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2025-26 | LT 67 @ SHSU 83 | SHSU -7.5 | SHSU W |
| Mar 1, 2024-25 | LT 90 @ SHSU 66 | SHSU -2.5 | LT W |
| Feb 1, 2024-25 | SHSU 61 @ LT 66 | LT -6.5 | SHSU W |
| Mar 7, 2023-24 | SHSU 72 @ LT 66 | LT -9.5 | SHSU W |
| Jan 6, 2023-24 | LT 77 @ SHSU 81 | SHSU +7 | SHSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Sam Houston
20 games played
Straight up
13-7
65% wins
Against the spread
16-4
80% covers · avg +5.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-8
60% overs · avg +0.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ TTU | L 77-98 | +31.5 | W +10.5 | 156.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 15 | @ UTAH | L 79-85 | +12.5 | W +6.5 | 159.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 19 | vs WYO | W 78-70 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 156.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 26 | vs IDST | W 84-81 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 28 | vs IDHO | W 94-68 | +1.5 | W +27.5 | 154.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 2 | @ OKST | L 83-93 | +13.5 | W +3.5 | 169.5 | O 176 |
| Dec 6 | @ TXSO | W 82-70 | -7.5 | W +4.5 | 158.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 17 | @ ORST | W 85-75 | +3.5 | W +13.5 | 153.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 21 | @ NMSU | L 78-87 | +5.5 | L −3.5 | 153.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 2 | @ WKU | L 91-102 | +5.5 | L −5.5 | 168.5 | O 193 |
| Jan 4 | @ MTSU | L 67-68 | +4.5 | W +3.5 | 156.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 8 | vs DEL | W 72-60 | -11.5 | W +0.5 | 144.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 10 | vs LIB | L 74-82 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 154.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 14 | @ JXST | W 77-62 | +1.5 | W +16.5 | 150.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 17 | @ FIU | W 76-63 | +2.5 | W +15.5 | 168.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 21 | vs KENN | W 93-87 | -5.5 | W +0.5 | 167.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 24 | vsWKU | W 73-58 | -5.5 | W +9.5 | 156.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 28 | @ MOST | W 80-71 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 148.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 31 | vsLT | W 83-67 | -7.5 | W +8.5 | 141.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 4 | vs UTEP | W 70-66 | -10.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | U 136 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@TTU
TTUL 77-98
+10.5
15
@UTAH
UTAHL 79-85
+6.5
19
vsWYO
WYOW 78-70
+6.5
26
vsIDST
IDSTW 84-81
+1.5
28
vsIDHO
IDHOW 94-68
+27.5
2
@OKST
OKSTL 83-93
+3.5
6
@TXSO
TXSOW 82-70
+4.5
17
@ORST
ORSTW 85-75
+13.5
21
@NMSU
NMSUL 78-87
−3.5
2
@WKU
WKUL 91-102
−5.5
4
@MTSU
MTSUL 67-68
+3.5
8
vsDEL
DELW 72-60
+0.5
10
vsLIB
LIBL 74-82
−6.5
14
@JXST
JXSTW 77-62
+16.5
17
@FIU
FIUW 76-63
+15.5
21
vsKENN
KENNW 93-87
+0.5
24
vsWKU
WKUW 73-58
+9.5
28
@MOST
MOSTW 80-71
+10.5
31
vsLT
LTW 83-67
+8.5
4
vsUTEP
UTEPW 70-66
−6.5
covered 16didn’t cover 4avg +5.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@TTU
TTUL 77-98
+18.5
15
@UTAH
UTAHL 79-85
+4.5
19
vsWYO
WYOW 78-70
−8.5
26
vsIDST
IDSTW 84-81
+22.5
28
vsIDHO
IDHOW 94-68
+7.5
2
@OKST
OKSTL 83-93
+6.5
6
@TXSO
TXSOW 82-70
−6.5
17
@ORST
ORSTW 85-75
+6.5
21
@NMSU
NMSUL 78-87
+11.5
2
@WKU
WKUL 91-102
+24.5
4
@MTSU
MTSUL 67-68
−21.5
8
vsDEL
DELW 72-60
−12.5
10
vsLIB
LIBL 74-82
+1.5
14
@JXST
JXSTW 77-62
−11.5
17
@FIU
FIUW 76-63
−29.5
21
vsKENN
KENNW 93-87
+12.5
24
vsWKU
WKUW 73-58
−25.5
28
@MOST
MOSTW 80-71
+2.5
31
vsLT
LTW 83-67
+8.5
4
vsUTEP
UTEPW 70-66
−9.5
over 12under 8avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Louisiana Tech
19 games played
Straight up
9-10
47% wins
Against the spread
9-10
47% covers · avg −1.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-11
42% overs · avg −5.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ NEV | L 50-77 | +9.5 | L −17.5 | 136.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 15 | vs JKST | W 68-51 | -8.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 19 | @ INST | L 51-60 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | U 111 |
| Nov 26 | vsINST | W 75-73 | -2.5 | L −0.5 | 141.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 29 | vs ALCN | W 83-58 | -16.5 | W +8.5 | 137.5 | O 141 |
| Dec 3 | @ GASO | L 69-77 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 13 | vs UL | W 65-44 | -9.5 | W +11.5 | 126.5 | U 109 |
| Dec 17 | @ TULN | L 53-61 | +4.5 | L −3.5 | 140.5 | U 114 |
| Dec 29 | vsUTEP | W 75-63 | -2.5 | W +9.5 | 130.5 | O 138 |
| Jan 2 | @MTSU | L 51-88 | +6.5 | L −30.5 | 134.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 4 | @WKU | L 61-66 | +9.5 | W +4.5 | 145.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 8 | vsLIB | L 56-72 | +4.5 | L −11.5 | 135.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 10 | vsDEL | W 70-68 | -6.5 | L −4.5 | 123.5 | O 138 |
| Jan 14 | vsMTSU | W 59-58 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 131.5 | U 117 |
| Jan 17 | @JXST | L 60-64 | +4.5 | W +0.5 | 127.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 23 | vsKENN | W 82-76 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 28 | @UTEP | W 69-59 | +2.5 | W +12.5 | 130.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 31 | @SHSU | L 67-83 | +7.5 | L −8.5 | 141.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 4 | vsNMSU | L 63-72 | -1.5 | L −10.5 | 135.5 | U 135 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@NEV
NEVL 50-77
−17.5
15
vsJKST
JKSTW 68-51
+8.5
19
@INST
INSTL 51-60
−5.5
26
vsINST
INSTW 75-73
−0.5
29
vsALCN
ALCNW 83-58
+8.5
3
@GASO
GASOL 69-77
−6.5
13
vsUL
ULW 65-44
+11.5
17
@TULN
TULNL 53-61
−3.5
29
vsUTEP
UTEPW 75-63
+9.5
2
@MTSU
MTSUL 51-88
−30.5
4
@WKU
WKUL 61-66
+4.5
8
vsLIB
LIBL 56-72
−11.5
10
vsDEL
DELW 70-68
−4.5
14
vsMTSU
MTSUW 59-58
+4.5
17
@JXST
JXSTL 60-64
+0.5
23
vsKENN
KENNW 82-76
+7.5
28
@UTEP
UTEPW 69-59
+12.5
31
@SHSU
SHSUL 67-83
−8.5
4
vsNMSU
NMSUL 63-72
−10.5
covered 9didn’t cover 10avg −1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@NEV
NEVL 50-77
−9.5
15
vsJKST
JKSTW 68-51
−27.5
19
@INST
INSTL 51-60
−36.5
26
vsINST
INSTW 75-73
+6.5
29
vsALCN
ALCNW 83-58
+3.5
3
@GASO
GASOL 69-77
+0.5
13
vsUL
ULW 65-44
−17.5
17
@TULN
TULNL 53-61
−26.5
29
vsUTEP
UTEPW 75-63
+7.5
2
@MTSU
MTSUL 51-88
+4.5
4
@WKU
WKUL 61-66
−18.5
8
vsLIB
LIBL 56-72
−7.5
10
vsDEL
DELW 70-68
+14.5
14
vsMTSU
MTSUW 59-58
−14.5
17
@JXST
JXSTL 60-64
−3.5
23
vsKENN
KENNW 82-76
+13.5
28
@UTEP
UTEPW 69-59
−2.5
31
@SHSU
SHSUL 67-83
+8.5
4
vsNMSU
NMSUL 63-72
−0.5
over 8under 11avg −5.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Sam Houston
13-7 overall · 8-4 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UTEP70–66
- Wvs Louisiana Tech83–67
- W@ Missouri St80–71
- Wvs Western KY73–58
- Wvs Kennesaw St93–87
3 days since their last game.
Louisiana Tech
9-10 overall · 5-6 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs New Mexico St63–72
- L@ Sam Houston67–83
- W@ UTEP69–59
- Wvs Kennesaw St82–76
- L@ Jax State60–64
3 days since their last game.