Pete Mathews Coliseum · at Jax State · Conference game
Closing line
JXST -4.5✓ LT covered by 0.5
JXST -4.5✓ LT covered by 0.5Closing total127.5Under by 3.5
 LT | This season | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| 7-7 | Record | 5-9 |
| 6-8 | ATS | 4-10 |
| 6-8 | O/U | 9-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: LT 62–65 JXST · ✓ JXST (59%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LT | 27 | 33 | 60 |
| JXST | 34 | 30 | 64 |
1st half: LT 27, JXST 34 (JXST by 7). The model had JXST by 1.5 and a total of 59.3 (actual 61).
Team stats
| LT | JXST | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-56 39% | Field goals | 20-49 41% |
| 4-17 24% | 3-pointers | 10-23 43% |
| 12-13 92% | Free throws | 14-18 78% |
| 36 15 off | Rebounds | 28 9 off |
| 5 | Assists | 11 |
| 5 | Steals | 7 |
| 4 | Blocks | 2 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 17 | Fouls | 16 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 20 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| LT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ Dudley G | 40 | 25 | 3 | 2 | 9-22 | 3-6 |
| Jaylen Fenner G | 37 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Avery Thomas II F | 29 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 4-13 | 1-5 |
| Melian Martinez C | 24 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| AJ Bates G | 23 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2-8 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Will Allen F | 22 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Kylan Howze F | 16 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Scooter Williams G | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Keegan Rowell, Jermaurhiyun Anderson, Will Jeffress, A'Meir Williams, Lachlan Thompson, Kaden Cooper, Sir Issac Herron
| JXST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Bryant G | 35 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 5-12 | 4-8 |
| Mostapha El Moutaouakkil G | 31 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 5-14 | 2-5 |
| Jacoby Hill G | 30 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 3-7 | 0-3 |
| Iaroslav Niagu F | 26 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Jamar Franklin G | 25 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 3-5 | 3-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Emondrek Erkins-Ford F | 27 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 4-8 | 1-2 |
| Jaye Nash G | 17 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Marcus Fitzgerald Jr. G | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Toby Nnadozie G | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Connor Loy, Jordan Vick, Aidan Driggers, Ben Vungo, Thomas Tut, Aitor Anabitarte
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketJXST -4.5
ModelJXST -2.7
Model edgeLT +1.8
W LT covered
Total
Market127.5
Model126.4
Model edgeUnder 1.1
W Under
Projected score
LT 61.8 · JXST 64.5
LT 60 · JXST 64
Win probability
JXST 59%
1st half
Spread
JXST -1.5
JXST -7.0
Total
59.3
61 points
Projected score
LT 28.9 · JXST 30.4
LT 27 · JXST 34
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenJXST -4.5
no move
CloseJXST -4.5
No change since the open
Total
Open124.5
▲ 3
Close127.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
LT +170 · JXST -205
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened JXST -4.5 · unchangedmodel JXST -2.5
model JXST -2.5
Opened 124.5 · closed 127.5 · moved 3 upmodel 126.5
model 126.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LT | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
| JXST | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
LT 2–2 JXSTSeries tied · 4 games since 2021-22 · JXST has won the last 2 meetings · LT 1-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | JXST 70 @ LT 68 | LT -3.5 | JXST W |
| Jan 16, 2024-25 | LT 61 @ JXST 63 | JXST +2.5 | JXST W |
| Feb 15, 2023-24 | JXST 58 @ LT 63 | LT -10.5 | JXST W |
| Jan 20, 2023-24 | LT 74 @ JXST 57 | JXST +3.5 | LT W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Louisiana Tech
14 games played
Straight up
7-7
50% wins
Against the spread
6-8
43% covers · avg −2.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-8
43% overs · avg −8.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ NEV | L 50-77 | +9.5 | L −17.5 | 136.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 15 | vs JKST | W 68-51 | -8.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 19 | @ INST | L 51-60 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | U 111 |
| Nov 26 | vsINST | W 75-73 | -2.5 | L −0.5 | 141.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 29 | vs ALCN | W 83-58 | -16.5 | W +8.5 | 137.5 | O 141 |
| Dec 3 | @ GASO | L 69-77 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 13 | vs UL | W 65-44 | -9.5 | W +11.5 | 126.5 | U 109 |
| Dec 17 | @ TULN | L 53-61 | +4.5 | L −3.5 | 140.5 | U 114 |
| Dec 29 | vs UTEP | W 75-63 | -2.5 | W +9.5 | 130.5 | O 138 |
| Jan 2 | @ MTSU | L 51-88 | +6.5 | L −30.5 | 134.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 4 | @ WKU | L 61-66 | +9.5 | W +4.5 | 145.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 8 | vs LIB | L 56-72 | +4.5 | L −11.5 | 135.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 10 | vs DEL | W 70-68 | -6.5 | L −4.5 | 123.5 | O 138 |
| Jan 14 | vsMTSU | W 59-58 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 131.5 | U 117 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@NEV
NEVL 50-77
−17.5
15
vsJKST
JKSTW 68-51
+8.5
19
@INST
INSTL 51-60
−5.5
26
vsINST
INSTW 75-73
−0.5
29
vsALCN
ALCNW 83-58
+8.5
3
@GASO
GASOL 69-77
−6.5
13
vsUL
ULW 65-44
+11.5
17
@TULN
TULNL 53-61
−3.5
29
vsUTEP
UTEPW 75-63
+9.5
2
@MTSU
MTSUL 51-88
−30.5
4
@WKU
WKUL 61-66
+4.5
8
vsLIB
LIBL 56-72
−11.5
10
vsDEL
DELW 70-68
−4.5
14
vsMTSU
MTSUW 59-58
+4.5
covered 6didn’t cover 8avg −2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@NEV
NEVL 50-77
−9.5
15
vsJKST
JKSTW 68-51
−27.5
19
@INST
INSTL 51-60
−36.5
26
vsINST
INSTW 75-73
+6.5
29
vsALCN
ALCNW 83-58
+3.5
3
@GASO
GASOL 69-77
+0.5
13
vsUL
ULW 65-44
−17.5
17
@TULN
TULNL 53-61
−26.5
29
vsUTEP
UTEPW 75-63
+7.5
2
@MTSU
MTSUL 51-88
+4.5
4
@WKU
WKUL 61-66
−18.5
8
vsLIB
LIBL 56-72
−7.5
10
vsDEL
DELW 70-68
+14.5
14
vsMTSU
MTSUW 59-58
−14.5
over 6under 8avg −8.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Jax State
14 games played
Straight up
5-9
36% wins
Against the spread
4-10
29% covers · avg −2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-5
64% overs · avg −2.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14 | vs CCU | W 74-67 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 139.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 19 | vs USA | L 65-71 | -2.5 | L −8.5 | 135.5 | O 136 |
| Nov 24 | @ ARST | L 63-74 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 155.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 26 | vs NDSU | L 43-56 | +3.5 | L −9.5 | 142.5 | U 99 |
| Dec 1 | vs UNA | L 66-73 | -6.5 | L −13.5 | 134.5 | O 139 |
| Dec 13 | @ GAST | L 73-77 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 139.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 17 | vs EKU | L 59-62 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 20 | @ ETSU | W 81-75 | +9.5 | W +15.5 | 134.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 29 | vsWKU | W 78-67 | +2.5 | W +13.5 | 142.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 2 | @DEL | W 67-64 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 126.5 | O 131 |
| Jan 4 | @LIB | L 69-78 | +9.5 | W +0.5 | 134.5 | O 147 |
| Jan 7 | vs FIU | W 71-64 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 10 | @ KENN | L 82-88 | +5.5 | L −0.5 | 149.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 14 | vs SHSU | L 62-77 | -1.5 | L −16.5 | 150.5 | U 139 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
14
vsCCU
CCUW 74-67
−0.5
19
vsUSA
USAL 65-71
−8.5
24
@ARST
ARSTL 63-74
−6.5
26
vsNDSU
NDSUL 43-56
−9.5
1
vsUNA
UNAL 66-73
−13.5
13
@GAST
GASTL 73-77
−7.5
17
vsEKU
EKUL 59-62
−5.5
20
@ETSU
ETSUW 81-75
+15.5
29
vsWKU
WKUW 78-67
+13.5
2
@DEL
DELW 67-64
−1.5
4
@LIB
LIBL 69-78
+0.5
7
vsFIU
FIUW 71-64
+5.5
10
@KENN
KENNL 82-88
−0.5
14
vsSHSU
SHSUL 62-77
−16.5
covered 4didn’t cover 10avg −2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
14
vsCCU
CCUW 74-67
+1.5
19
vsUSA
USAL 65-71
+0.5
24
@ARST
ARSTL 63-74
−18.5
26
vsNDSU
NDSUL 43-56
−43.5
1
vsUNA
UNAL 66-73
+4.5
13
@GAST
GASTL 73-77
+10.5
17
vsEKU
EKUL 59-62
−21.5
20
@ETSU
ETSUW 81-75
+21.5
29
vsWKU
WKUW 78-67
+2.5
2
@DEL
DELW 67-64
+4.5
4
@LIB
LIBL 69-78
+12.5
7
vsFIU
FIUW 71-64
−15.5
10
@KENN
KENNL 82-88
+20.5
14
vsSHSU
SHSUL 62-77
−11.5
over 9under 5avg −2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Louisiana Tech
7-7 overall · 3-3 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs MTSU59–58
- Wvs Delaware70–68
- Lvs Liberty56–72
- L@ Western KY61–66
- L@ MTSU51–88
3 days since their last game.
Jax State
5-9 overall · 3-3 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Sam Houston62–77
- L@ Kennesaw St82–88
- Wvs FIU71–64
- L@ Liberty69–78
- W@ Delaware67–64
3 days since their last game.