VyStar Arena · at Kennesaw St · Conference game
Closing line
KENN -5.5✓ KENN covered by 0.5
Closing total149.5Over by 20.5
| This season | KENN | |
|---|---|---|
| 5-7 | Record | 6-6 |
| 4-8 | ATS | 7-5 |
| 8-4 | O/U | 7-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: JXST 73–79 KENN · ✓ KENN (70%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| JXST | 43 | 39 | 82 |
| KENN | 46 | 42 | 88 |
1st half: JXST 43, KENN 46 (KENN by 3). The model had KENN by 3.5 and a total of 71.0 (actual 89).
Team stats
| JXST | KENN | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-58 48% | Field goals | 27-57 47% |
| 9-23 39% | 3-pointers | 9-24 38% |
| 17-27 63% | Free throws | 25-34 74% |
| 32 10 off | Rebounds | 33 11 off |
| 13 | Assists | 16 |
| 6 | Steals | 5 |
| 4 | Blocks | 6 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 22 | Fouls | 21 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| JXST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Bryant G | 35 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 3-14 | 3-11 |
| Jacoby Hill G | 25 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 3-6 | 2-2 |
| Mostapha El Moutaouakkil G | 25 | 23 | 10 | 0 | 9-16 | 1-4 |
| Marcus Fitzgerald Jr. G | 17 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Iaroslav Niagu F | 16 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaye Nash G | 31 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Emondrek Erkins-Ford F | 27 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Toby Nnadozie G | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Aitor Anabitarte F | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Thomas Tut F | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Connor Loy, Jordan Vick, Ben Vungo, Aidan Driggers, Jamar Franklin
| KENN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Simeon Cottle G | 40 | 28 | 3 | 4 | 6-12 | 5-9 |
| Trey Simpson F | 37 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 3-9 | 3-9 |
| Braedan Lue F | 29 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 4-9 | 0-1 |
| Frankquon Sherman F | 27 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| Kaden Rickard G | 25 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 4-6 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| RJ Johnson G | 29 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 5-11 | 1-3 |
| Perry Smith Jr. C | 10 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Amir Taylor F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Darius Washington III, Nigel Thomas, Brendan Tousignaut, Dozie Onyirimba, Jamil Miller, Jaden Harris, Davin Cosby Jr., Eric Holland, Charles Stone, Chase Clemmons, Ramone Seals
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketKENN -5.5
ModelKENN -6.0
Model edgeKENN +0.5
W KENN covered
Total
Market149.5
Model151.7
Model edgeOver 2.2
W Over
Projected score
JXST 72.9 · KENN 78.8
JXST 82 · KENN 88
Win probability
KENN 70%
1st half
Spread
KENN -3.5
KENN -3.0
Total
71.0
89 points
Projected score
JXST 33.8 · KENN 37.2
JXST 43 · KENN 46
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenKENN -5.5
no move
CloseKENN -5.5
No change since the open
Total
Open149.5
no move
Close149.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
JXST +200 · KENN -245
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened KENN -5.5 · unchangedmodel KENN -6
model KENN -6
Opened 149.5 · unchangedmodel 151.5
model 151.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | |
| 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
JXST 2–4 KENNKENN leads · 6 games since 2021-22 · KENN has won the last 4 meetings · JXST 4-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2024-25 | KENN 74 @ JXST 70 | JXST -4.5 | KENN W |
| Jan 4, 2024-25 | JXST 71 @ KENN 83 | KENN -1.5 | KENN W |
| Feb 11, 2022-23 | JXST 71 @ KENN 74 | KENN -8.5 | JXST W |
| Feb 9, 2022-23 | KENN 54 @ JXST 52 | JXST +3.5 | JXST W |
| Mar 3, 2021-22 | KENN 67 @ JXST 78 | JXST -8 | JXST W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Jax State
12 games played
Straight up
5-7
42% wins
Against the spread
4-8
33% covers · avg −1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-4
67% overs · avg −3.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14 | vs | W 74-67 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 139.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 19 | vs | L 65-71 | -2.5 | L −8.5 | 135.5 | O 136 |
| Nov 24 | @ | L 63-74 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 155.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 26 | vs | L 43-56 | +3.5 | L −9.5 | 142.5 | U 99 |
| Dec 1 | vs | L 66-73 | -6.5 | L −13.5 | 134.5 | O 139 |
| Dec 13 | @ | L 73-77 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 139.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 17 | vs | L 59-62 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 20 | @ | W 81-75 | +9.5 | W +15.5 | 134.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 29 | vs | W 78-67 | +2.5 | W +13.5 | 142.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 2 | @ | W 67-64 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 126.5 | O 131 |
| Jan 4 | @ | L 69-78 | +9.5 | W +0.5 | 134.5 | O 147 |
| Jan 7 | vs | W 71-64 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | U 135 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
14
vs
CCU
W 74-67
−0.5
19
vs
USA
L 65-71
−8.5
24
@
ARST
L 63-74
−6.5
26
vs
NDSU
L 43-56
−9.5
1
vs
UNA
L 66-73
−13.5
13
@
GAST
L 73-77
−7.5
17
vs
EKU
L 59-62
−5.5
20
@
ETSU
W 81-75
+15.5
29
vs
WKU
W 78-67
+13.5
2
@
DEL
W 67-64
−1.5
4
@
LIB
L 69-78
+0.5
7
vs
FIU
W 71-64
+5.5
covered 4didn’t cover 8avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
14
vs
CCU
W 74-67
+1.5
19
vs
USA
L 65-71
+0.5
24
@
ARST
L 63-74
−18.5
26
vs
NDSU
L 43-56
−43.5
1
vs
UNA
L 66-73
+4.5
13
@
GAST
L 73-77
+10.5
17
vs
EKU
L 59-62
−21.5
20
@
ETSU
W 81-75
+21.5
29
vs
WKU
W 78-67
+2.5
2
@
DEL
W 67-64
+4.5
4
@
LIB
L 69-78
+12.5
7
vs
FIU
W 71-64
−15.5
over 8under 4avg −3.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Kennesaw St
12 games played
Straight up
6-6
50% wins
Against the spread
7-5
58% covers · avg −1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-5
58% overs · avg +2.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ | W 92-72 | -11.5 | W +8.5 | 166.5 | U 164 |
| Nov 16 | vs | L 89-108 | +7.5 | L −11.5 | 177.5 | O 197 |
| Nov 24 | vs | W 89-84 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 159.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 25 | vs | L 83-91 | -8.5 | L −16.5 | 166.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 26 | @ | W 102-100 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 160.5 | O 202 |
| Dec 2 | vs | W 88-73 | -15.5 | L −0.5 | 157.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 6 | vs | W 92-69 | -14.5 | W +8.5 | 158.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 17 | @ | L 67-68 | +3.5 | W +2.5 | 160.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 21 | vs | L 81-92 | +20.5 | W +9.5 | 182.5 | U 173 |
| Jan 2 | @ | L 73-81 | +7.5 | L −0.5 | 158.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 4 | @ | L 52-67 | -8.5 | L −23.5 | 148.5 | U 119 |
| Jan 7 | vs | W 90-80 | -6.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@
FAMU
W 92-72
+8.5
16
vs
USF
L 89-108
−11.5
24
vs
RICE
W 89-84
+0.5
25
vs
ORU
L 83-91
−16.5
26
@
FGCU
W 102-100
+3.5
2
vs
JKST
W 88-73
−0.5
6
vs
GAST
W 92-69
+8.5
17
@
MTSU
L 67-68
+2.5
21
vs
ALA
L 81-92
+9.5
2
@
LIB
L 73-81
−0.5
4
@
DEL
L 52-67
−23.5
7
vs
MOST
W 90-80
+3.5
covered 7didn’t cover 5avg −1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@
FAMU
W 92-72
−2.5
16
vs
USF
L 89-108
+19.5
24
vs
RICE
W 89-84
+13.5
25
vs
ORU
L 83-91
+7.5
26
@
FGCU
W 102-100
+41.5
2
vs
JKST
W 88-73
+3.5
6
vs
GAST
W 92-69
+2.5
17
@
MTSU
L 67-68
−25.5
21
vs
ALA
L 81-92
−9.5
2
@
LIB
L 73-81
−4.5
4
@
DEL
L 52-67
−29.5
7
vs
MOST
W 90-80
+17.5
over 7under 5avg +2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Jax State
5-7 overall · 3-1 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs FIU71–64
- L@ Liberty69–78
- W@ Delaware67–64
- Wvs Western KY78–67
- W@ ETSU81–75
3 days since their last game.
Kennesaw St
6-6 overall · 1-3 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Missouri St90–80
- L@ Delaware52–67
- L@ Liberty73–81
- Lvs Alabama81–92
- L@ MTSU67–68
3 days since their last game.