Madison Square Garden · at Knicks
LineNo line yet
Total—
 POR | This season | NY |
|---|---|---|
| 4-1 | Record | 2-4 |
| 3-2 | ATS | 1-5 |
| 2-3 | O/U | 1-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model: projects NY 112–110 · win probability NY 56%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 221.1
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 212-225 in 2025-26. Model record
What could decide it: POR has more of the edges
POR 6, NY 3 · 2026-27 so far
PORBigShooting
Effective FG%: POR 56.2 and allows 51.3; NY 49.5 and allows 53.1
Context
Schedule so far
POR has played the 27th-hardest schedule, NY the 13th. A record against a soft schedule means less
PORBigNY offense vs POR defense
Offense 23rd of 30 against a defense 11th, on the model’s ratings
PORSmallFree throws
Free throw rate: POR 35.9, NY 24.5. Allowed: POR 27.8, NY 25.9
NYSmallPOR offense vs NY defense
Offense 10th of 30 against a defense 3rd, on the model’s ratings
PORSmallTurnovers
Turnover rate: POR 14.6%, NY 15.2%. Forced: POR 14.8%, NY 13.2%
Context
Tempo
About 102 possessions: POR plays 103.5 a game (14th fastest), NY 101.0 (28th). Faster games mean more points
PORSmallRecent form
Last 5: POR 3-2 ATS, margin +11.4; NY 1-4 ATS, margin +0.4
PORSmallThree-pointers
POR hits 35.3% and allows 32.1%; NY hits 35.2% and allows 35.5%. Threes are 51.5% and 43.2% of their shots
NYSmallRebounding
Offensive rebound rate: POR 27.6%, NY 30.3%. Defensive: POR 77.3%, NY 78.7%
NYSmallHome court
NY at home. This season: NY 1-2 at home, POR 3-0 away
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: POR 100%, NY 100%. Transfers in: POR 0, NY 0. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edge
Spread
Market—
ModelNY -2.2
Model edge—
Total
Market—
Model221.1
Model edge—
Projected score
POR 109.5 · NY 111.6
Win probability
NY 56%
1st half
Spread
NY -1.1
Total
111.0
Projected score
POR 55 · NY 56
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Moneyline
—
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2026-27, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PORlast 5 | 4-1 80% | 3-2 60% | 2-3 40% |
| NYlast 6 | 2-4 33% | 1-5 17% | 1-5 17% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
POR 2–8 NYNY leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · NY has won the last 7 meetings · POR 4-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2025-26 | POR 97 @ NY 127 | NY -6.5 | NY W |
| Jan 11, 2025-26 | NY 123 @ POR 114 | POR +5.5 | NY W |
| Mar 30, 2024-25 | POR 93 @ NY 110 | NY -7.5 | NY W |
| Mar 12, 2024-25 | NY 114 @ POR 113 | POR +3.5 | POR W |
| Mar 14, 2023-24 | NY 105 @ POR 93 | POR +12.5 | POR W |
ATS History · 2026-27
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Trail Blazers
5 games played
Straight up
4-1
80% wins
Against the spread
3-2
60% covers · avg +6.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-3
40% overs · avg −3.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
vs
PHX
PHXW 124-83
+37.5
23
@
SAC
SACW 128-120
−1.5
27
@
LAL
LALW 136-129
+8.5
29
vs
MEM
MEML 103-124
−28.5
31
@
UTAH
UTAHW 112-90
+15.5
covered 3didn’t cover 2avg +6.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
vsPHX
PHXW 124-83
−25.5
23
@SAC
SACW 128-120
+16.5
27
@LAL
LALW 136-129
+30.5
29
vsMEM
MEML 103-124
−6.5
31
@UTAH
UTAHW 112-90
−30.5
over 2under 3avg −3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Knicks
6 games played
Straight up
2-4
33% wins
Against the spread
1-5
17% covers · avg −3.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-5
17% overs · avg −11.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
20
vs
PHI
PHIL 100-106
−10.5
23
@
BOS
BOSL 103-107
−1.5
25
vs
ORL
ORLL 102-111
−15.5
27
vs
DET
DETW 111-97
+9.5
28
@
CHI
CHIW 133-127
−1.5
30
@PHI
PHIL 93-98
−2.5
covered 1didn’t cover 5avg −3.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
20
vsPHI
PHIL 100-106
−25.5
23
@BOS
BOSL 103-107
−10.5
25
vsORL
ORLL 102-111
−11.5
27
vsDET
DETW 111-97
−12.5
28
@CHI
CHIW 133-127
+26.5
30
@PHI
PHIL 93-98
−33.5
over 1under 5avg −11.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Knicks has the better starters
Position by position: Trail Blazers 0, Knicks 2, even 3
Trail BlazersBetterKnicks
G D. Lillard19.2 pts · 4 reb · 3.6 ast
Score 89
=Even
G J. Brunson25.5 pts · 2.8 reb · 5.2 ast
Score 86
G S. Henderson8.8 pts · 2.4 reb · 1.4 ast
Score 34
→NYBig
G J. Hart8.7 pts · 7.5 reb · 3.3 ast
Score 91
F D. Avdija23 pts · 6.8 reb · 5.6 ast
Score 82
=Even
G M. Bridges6.2 pts · 2.8 reb · 2 ast
Score 75
F T. Camara15.2 pts · 2.4 reb · 1.2 ast
Score 44
→NYSmall
F O. Anunoby16.2 pts · 5.8 reb · 2.7 ast
Score 73
C D. Clingan8.6 pts · 8.8 reb · 1.4 ast
Score 74
=Even
C K. Towns21.8 pts · 13.5 reb · 3.2 ast
Score 80
Trail BlazersBetterKnicks
POR offense10th of 30 · +1.4
→NYSmall
NY defense3rd of 30 · +5.2
POR defense11th of 30 · +1.8
←PORBig
NY offense23rd of 30 · -1.8
Backcourt+11.6 · 2 players
→NYBig
Backcourt+35.0 · 3 players
Frontcourt+16.7 · 3 players
→NYSmall
Frontcourt+17.7 · 2 players
Bench+15.6 · 5 players
←PORBig
Bench+5.0 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestPOR betterNY betterNEW no NBA numbers yet
Depth chart
Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Trail BlazersGuards
D. Lillard29 minS. Henderson21 minJ. Holiday25 minS. Cissoko22 minV. Krejci11 minC. Youngblood6 min
Forwards
D. Avdija31 minT. Camara26 minJ. Tonje8 min
Centers
D. Clingan22 minM. Potter19 minR. Williams17 minB. Carlson12 minY. Hansen10 min
Out
J. MorantOut
KnicksGuards
J. Brunson35 minJ. Hart33 minM. Bridges28 minL. Shamet24 minM. McBride19 minT. Kolek14 min
Forwards
O. Anunoby34 minD. Knecht10 minM. Diawara9 minP. Dadiet5 minT. NickelNew
Centers
K. Towns32 minJ. Wiseman15 minA. Drummond13 min
Out
J. AlvaradoOut
Matchup stats
2026-27 · rank among 30 teams
Scoring
Points per game
POR120.6 #4NY107.0 #27Points per possession
POR1.16 #5NY1.05 #24Pace (possessions)
POR103.5 #14NY101.0 #28Shooting
Effective FG%
POR56.2 #4NY49.5 #273-point %
POR35.3 #12NY35.2 #133-point attempt rate
POR51.5 #1NY43.2 #14Free throw rate
POR35.9 #3NY24.5 #23Possessions
Turnover rate
POR14.6 #9NY15.2 #14Offensive rebound rate
POR27.6 #14NY30.3 #6Assists per game
POR26.2 #17NY26.2 #18Defense
Points allowed
POR109.2 #10NY107.7 #6Points allowed per possession
POR1.06 #10NY1.07 #12Opponent effective FG%
POR51.3 #8NY53.1 #14Opponent 3-point %
POR32.1 #8NY35.5 #18Turnovers forced
POR14.8 #20NY13.2 #29Defensive rebound rate
POR77.3 #3NY78.7 #1Steals per game
POR8.6 #18NY7.3 #23Blocks per game
POR4.2 #21NY4.0 #28| POR | NY | |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| 120.6 #4 | Points per game | 107.0 #27 |
| 1.16 #5 | Points per possession | 1.05 #24 |
| 103.5 #14 | Pace (possessions) | 101.0 #28 |
| Shooting | ||
| 56.2 #4 | Effective FG% | 49.5 #27 |
| 35.3 #12 | 3-point % | 35.2 #13 |
| 51.5 #1 | 3-point attempt rate | 43.2 #14 |
| 35.9 #3 | Free throw rate | 24.5 #23 |
| Possessions | ||
| 14.6 #9 | Turnover rate | 15.2 #14 |
| 27.6 #14 | Offensive rebound rate | 30.3 #6 |
| 26.2 #17 | Assists per game | 26.2 #18 |
| Defense | ||
| 109.2 #10 | Points allowed | 107.7 #6 |
| 1.06 #10 | Points allowed per possession | 1.07 #12 |
| 51.3 #8 | Opponent effective FG% | 53.1 #14 |
| 32.1 #8 | Opponent 3-point % | 35.5 #18 |
| 14.8 #20 | Turnovers forced | 13.2 #29 |
| 77.3 #3 | Defensive rebound rate | 78.7 #1 |
| 8.6 #18 | Steals per game | 7.3 #23 |
| 4.2 #21 | Blocks per game | 4.0 #28 |
Trail Blazers
4-1 overall · 4-1 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- W@ Jazz112–90
- Lvs Grizzlies103–124
- W@ Lakers136–129
- W@ Kings128–120
- Wvs Suns124–83
A week or more of rest.
Knicks
2-4 overall · 2-4 in conference · Eastern Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- L@ 76ers93–98
- W@ Bulls133–127
- Wvs Pistons111–97
- Lvs Magic102–111
- L@ Celtics103–107
A week or more of rest.