When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
9 games · 2024 · Week 15 · pick one to list those games
56% went over. Of the 5 overs, 20% had cashed by halftime and 40% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 0% of games.
All 9 games
2024 · Week 15 · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 · Week 15 |
ORE -3.5 | 51.5 | 24556282 | Q2 | ORE Q1 | 37–45 |
2024 · Week 15 |
SMU -2.5 | 56.5 | 28314565 | Q4 | CLEM Q1 Late over |
34–31 |
2024 · Week 15 |
UL -4.5 | 57.5 | 10202734 | U | MRSH Q1 | 31–3 |
2024 · Week 15 |
TEX -2.5 | 50.5 | 39193241 | U | UGA Q3 | 22–19 |
2024 · Week 15 |
ISU -1.5 | 51.5 | 17345564 | Q3 | ASU Q1 | 19–45 |
2024 · Week 15 |
M-OH -2.5 | 43.5 | 10243441 | U | OHIO Q1 | 38–3 |
2024 · Week 15 |
BOIS -3.5 | 57.5 | 7212128 | U | BOIS Q1 | 7–21 |
2024 · Week 15 |
TULN -4.5 | 46.5 | 7283549 | Q4 | ARMY Q1 Late over |
14–35 |
2024 · Week 15 |
JXST -4.5 | 58.5 | 17345064 | Q4 | JXST Q1 Late over |
12–52 |
PSU
ORE
CLEM
SMU
MRSH
UL
UGA
TEX
ISU
ASU
OHIO
M-OH
UNLV
BOIS
TULN
ARMY
WKU
JXSTWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 89% 8
Q2 0% 0
Q3 11% 1
Q4 0% 0
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 89% and covered 89% of 9 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 100% and covered 100% of 9 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 8–10 | 2 | 50% 1 |
| 11–14 | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 22+ | 3 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.