When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
11 games · 2024 · Hawai'i · pick one to list those games
45% went over. Of the 5 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 0% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 27% of games.
All 11 games
2024 · Hawai'i · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 · Week 14 |
UNM -6.5 | 61.5 | 7304768 | Q4 | HAW Q1 Late over |
30–38 |
2024 · Week 12 |
HAW -2.5 | 61.5 | 17274865 | Q4 | USU Q1 | 10–55 |
2024 · Week 11 |
UNLV -12.5 | 50.5 | 19224256 | Q4 | HAW Q1 Late over |
29–27 |
2024 · Week 10 |
FRES -12.5 | 44.5 | 14202741 | U | HAW Q4 Lead lost |
21–20 |
2024 · Week 9 |
HAW -1.5 | 41.5 | 14173147 | Q4 | HAW Q1 | 13–34 |
2024 · Week 8 |
WSU -18.5 | 54.5 | 10243852 | U | WSU Q4 | 10–42 |
2024 · Week 7 |
BOIS -20.5 | 60.5 | 10202035 | U | BOIS Q4 Late cover flip |
28–7 |
2024 · Week 6 |
SDSU -1.5 | 48.5 | 6273751 | Q4 | SDSU Q2 | 24–27 |
 UNI @  HAW2024 · Week 4 |
HAW -10.5 | 46.5 | 15293643 | U | HAW Q1 | 7–36 |
2024 · Week 1 |
UCLA -13.5 | 51.5 | 7102329 | U | HAW Q1 | 16–13 |
 DSU @ HAW2024 · Week 1 |
HAW -39.5 | 53.5 | 14213549 | U | DSU Q1 | 14–35 |
UNM
USU
UNLV
FRES
NEV
WSU
BOIS
SDSU
UCLAWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 64% 7
Q2 9% 1
Q3 0% 0
Q4 27% 3
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 82% and covered 73% of 11 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 82% and covered 73% of 11 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| 8–10 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 11–14 | 4 | 75% 3 |
| 15–17 | 2 | 50% 1 |
| 18–21 | 2 | 0% 0 |
| 22+ | 2 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.