When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
11 games · 2024 · Georgia Tech · pick one to list those games
45% went over. Of the 5 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 0% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 36% of games.
All 11 games
2024 · Georgia Tech · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 · Postseason |
GT -2.5 | 48.5 | 7243462 | Q4 | VAN Q1 | 27–35 |
2024 · Week 14 |
UGA -17.5 | 48.5 | 317235486 | Q4 | GT Q1 Late over Lead lost |
42–44 |
2024 · Week 13 |
GT -7.5 | 50.5 | 14202359 | Q4 | NCSU Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
29–30 |
2024 · Week 11 |
MIA -9.5 | 64.5 | 17243751 | U | GT Q1 | 23–28 |
2024 · Week 9 |
VT -11.5 | 52.5 | 3202727 | U | VT Q3 | 6–21 |
2024 · Week 8 |
ND -14.5 | 49.5 | 7212844 | U | ND Q4 | 31–13 |
2024 · Week 7 |
GT -3.5 | 60.5 | 14345175 | Q4 | GT Q4 Late over |
41–34 |
2024 · Week 4 |
LOU -8.5 | 55.5 | 14314150 | U | LOU Q4 | 19–31 |
 VMI @  GT2024 · Week 3 |
GT -42.5 | 53.5 | 17385266 | Q4 | GT Q3 | 7–59 |
2024 · Week 2 |
GT -2.5 | 60.5 | 14353859 | U | SYR Q1 | 28–31 |
2024 · Week 1 |
FSU -10.5 | 54.5 | 15282845 | U | GT Q1 | 21–24 |
VAN
UGA
NCSU
MIA
VT
ND
UNC
LOU
SYR
FSUWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 45% 5
Q2 0% 0
Q3 18% 2
Q4 36% 4
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 90% and covered 90% of 10 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 90% and covered 90% of 10 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| 1–3 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 8–10 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 15–17 | 2 | 50% 1 |
| 22+ | 7 | 29% 2 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.